There's so much going on today that I'm not sure where to start. Stocks plunging. Bonds rallying. Brexit talks. Economic data. Trade war. The list seems endless so where do we begin?

I guess we'll start with the "stock market". It has been under pressure since full trading reopened...

It turns out that Professor Cohen was actually in Moscow when the events in the Kerch Strait transpired ten days ago. He's back in the US now and provides some essential background information on this latest crisis within the New Cold War.

In lieu of a regular TFMR podcast today,...

With the public funeral for president George HW Bush today, most of the major US markets are closed. This means no stock market and no bond market. However, Comex is trading so let's take a look and see where we are.

For Comex gold, it has been a rangebound day with an overnight low of...

We've been writing and warning about an inverted yield curve for years now. It took a little longer than expected to get here but the moment has come, nonetheless.

If you've been around here for a while, you may remember this post from 2015. My primary mistake in this podcast was in...

News over the weekend pointed to a rally today in the precious metals and commodities...though it took a while for it to kick in.

Of course, the source of this rally is the "ceasefire" in the Trade War announced by Trump and Xi back on Saturday. This sent the yuan surging from the open...

The entire commodity sector is getting smashed again today as the POSX once again bounces from its primary, short-term trendline.

I'm not even sure of where to start this morning but let's begin with WTI crude. It just traded under $50 for the first time since August of 2017 and it's...

Let's start by thanking everyone again for your patience and understanding with my schedule yesterday. MamaFerg is now safely moved to her new home and all is well, except for my aching back and shoulders. It was a thoroughly busy day and I didn't return to Turdfork until about 10:00 pm...which...

We wrote two weeks ago about CGP painting himself into a corner. That corner got even tighter today and it will soon close, leaving him with zero remaining options.

It's coming at CGP from multiple directions today. First, Trump in all his glory, pounded away in an interview posted...

It's Dec18 option expiration day and, so far, it's pretty quiet. Maybe that's because, as we first noticed a week ago, there's not the usual open interest or clear "sweet spots". Whatever it is, this has sure begun as a listless day, despite the circumstances.

There are, however, a...

First of all, welcome back. I hope that everyone enjoyed at least some measure of relaxation through what was essentially a four-day, US market holiday. Yes, there was some trading on Friday but it's back to full desks today with a charge into year end.

For us, the most important...

It's a sea of red on this Black Friday. The Comex metals are getting whipsawed ahead of next week's Dec18 option expiration and it's primarily being driven by another crash in crude.

So let's start with crude because it's simply amazing. I've yet to find a comprehensive analysis of WHY...