The end of the Great Keynesian Experiment is upon us. Turd Ferguson and his band of loyal Turdites patrol this Watchtower. We are here to help each other navigate the coming economic chaos. However, no one can predict every eventuality, so please read the disclaimer and community guidelines before proceeding.

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Tariff Schmariff

By Turd Ferguson | Tuesday, September 18, 2018 at 10:31 am

Trump finally announced his tariff plan late yesterday and the Chinese responded today. The "market" reaction. A big ole yawn.
Turd's Vault

TFMR Podcast - Monday, September 17

By Turd Ferguson | Monday, September 17, 2018 at 2:40 pm

The week appears to have begun on an UP note. Can this hold/continue tomorrow or will we just slide back lower. And let's take one more look at the CoT and the declining open interest numbers for Comex silver.
Turd's Vault

Monday, Monday

By Turd Ferguson | Monday, September 17, 2018 at 9:53 am

A new week begins with news of trade talks and tariffs and, of course, impending war and crisis. But at least Comex Digital Gold is up $4, so we've got that going for us...which is nice.

Guest Post: "What Keeps Them Up At Night", by Jim Quinn of The Burning Platform

By Turd Ferguson | Monday, September 17, 2018 at 8:55 am

As we arrive at the 10-year anniversary of The Great Financial Crisis, here's another excellent post from our friend, Jim Quinn of The Burning Platform.
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TFMR Podcast - Friday, September 14

By Turd Ferguson | Friday, September 14, 2018 at 5:55 pm

It's time to put this week behind us.
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The Weeknd

By Turd Ferguson | Friday, September 14, 2018 at 10:53 am

I've never understood if this cat's name is short for "The Weekend" or "The Weakened". Not even the LTs could explain it. Regardless, like that rapper fellow and in my weakened state, I'm ready for the weekend.
Turd's Vault

TFMR Podcast - Thursday, September 13

By Turd Ferguson | Thursday, September 13, 2018 at 5:31 pm

The action today only confirms what we've been saying for weeks. Namely, the current downtrends remain in place and that attempting to catch a a falling knife is usually a dangerous idea.
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Hope Percolates

By Turd Ferguson | Thursday, September 13, 2018 at 10:37 am

A weak CPI and a "hawkish" Count Draghi have combined to shove the POSX lower today. Thus, hope springs eternal that a bottom has been found for this most recent, five-month downtrend.
Turd's Vault

TFMR Podcast - Wednesday, September 12

By Turd Ferguson | Wednesday, September 12, 2018 at 4:45 pm

The Comex metals jumped today on weak inflation data and headlines regarding new US trade talks with China. But will more inflation data and the ECB turn everything right back lower tomorrow?
Turd's Vault

Going With The Flo

By Turd Ferguson | Wednesday, September 12, 2018 at 10:00 am

In what can hardly be called a shock, the mid-year POSX rally has led to a Producer Price Index today that came in well below "expectations". Now it's just one datapoint but it's definitely something worth noting.
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