Turd's Blog

Founder
tfmetalsreport [at] gmail [dot] com ()

Craig Hemke, aka "Turd Ferguson," was a licensed securities "professional" for nearly twenty years. Disgruntled by the fraud known as "financial services", he retired to a career as a serial entrepreneur in 2008. Though otherworldly in his ability to forecast price movements, The Turd is NOT a soothsayer, a psychic or a witch. After all these years, he simply has a decent understanding of the forces at play in the precious metal "markets".

You can reach The Turd by visiting the Contact page and selecting "Speak to The Turd" or you can simply send him an email at turd[at]tfmetalsreport[dot]com. If you are polite and not belligerently arrogant, he will probably answer you in short order. If he does not answer you, do not be offended. He's a busy guy and there are only so many hours in a day.

Comexpiration Day

Wednesday, May 25, 2022 - 10:03am
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Today marks the final day of trading for the Jun22 Comex gold options. As usual, we're seeing shenanigans and, as usual, we all knew about it ahead of time.

And this is how you use "Manipulation Analysis" to your advantage. I'm not sure if anyone was considering the purchase of an...

Putting The Stag In Stagflation

Tuesday, May 24, 2022 - 10:40am
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Today's US economic data is gloomy and points toward worsening conditions and eventual recession. The amount of time before Powell Pivot II kicks in just got shorter.

As discussed in yesterday's podcast, we already have Goons Bullard and Bostic starting to walk back rate hike...

Monkey See, Monkey Do

Monday, May 23, 2022 - 10:44am
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The week begins with the usual Comex shenanigans but the bigger concern is with how it will end. There's a lot of economic data between now and then and an even longer list of potential unknowns, particularly with this Monkeypox stuff.

So welcome to Monday. I hope you had a nice...

No New News Here

Friday, May 20, 2022 - 10:32am
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19

This seems strange. Every Friday has market-moving news whether it's a BLSBS or some sort of other economic datapoint. But today, there's nothing and, left to its own devices, CDG and CDS are going slowly melting away and taking with them any chance of a weekly close above $1840 or $22....

And Now For Something Completely Different

Thursday, May 19, 2022 - 10:40am
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20

What's this? Bonds are up and the POSX is down?? When's the last time that happened??? And the TIP is up, too???? And the GDX is up over a full point????? Goodness me, how can that be?

OK, so maybe things haven't changed THAT much. After all, the 200-day moving...

Currency Convulsions

Wednesday, May 18, 2022 - 11:08am
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19

It's just another day in the barrel for Comex precious metals so let's a couple of other items that have crossed my screen this morning.

First of all, welcome to Wednesday...in all its glory. The POSX is up while bonds catch a safe haven bid as the S&P is down 70 points. Yeehaw....

To Recess or Not To Recess

Tuesday, May 17, 2022 - 10:24am
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21

That is the question. For yours truly, the end result has always been stagflation and the US (and world) is definitely headed in that direction. But today's economic data seemed to forestall the recession talk for now and that has helped to drive the Comex metals backward...again.

...

Tell Me Why

Monday, May 16, 2022 - 10:52am
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25

I don't like Mondays. I want to shoot the whole day down.

Let's hope that this week will be different from last week...or the week before that...or the week before that. It didn't start out particularly well. Did you catch this little beauty overnight? Nothing to see here, of course....

Aw, Screw It

Friday, May 13, 2022 - 10:46am
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19

Don't you feel that way, too? I mean, come on. The Comex precious metals have done nothing but go straight freaking down for weeks and, at some point, you feel like none of it even matters anymore. Which is precisely why we are now likely at an intermediate low.

In fact, I wouldn't be...

Powell's Black Hole

Thursday, May 12, 2022 - 10:49am
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Unwittingly or not, The Fed has created a black hole of rising nominal rates and a rising POSX and this beast is now consuming nearly all "markets".

I'm a little late getting started because I spent some time this morning watching a press conference where some astronomers and...