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Thursday Conversation - Mickey Fulp

The Mercenary Geologist
34

Mickey Fulp, "The Mercenary Geologist", returns today for a fun-filled discussion of the metals, the miners and the information someone must correctly analyze when building a diversified portfolio of mining shares.

Again, you can find more information about Mickey and his terrific service by visiting his website: www.goldgeologist.com. Once there, be sure to sign up for the FREE weekly email newsletter. If we're correct in expecting higher precious metal prices in 2020, gaining as much information as possible regarding the mining shares is paramount to success.

For this call, Mickey and I primarily focus upon three main topics:

  • Mickey's macro forecast for 2020
  • What key information investors must analyze for senior producers, junior producers and the exploration companies
  • Three key names he's following closely in 2020

Thanks again to Mickey for his time today. Please be sure to give this podcast a thorough listen.

TF

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Mickey
Jan 17, 2020 - 9:40am

Apple

look at revenue and earnings growth--just not there.

Apple doing about 7% buybacks a year so 7% of the price growth a year is due to buybacks. Numbers game. Problem is there are fewer shareholders.

7% on a 1.2 trillion market cap is a lot

Question is, what has the market cap grown by over the same period of time,.

it all means the PE or PEG ratio is in nosebleed territory, people are holding a stock with little real growth with a hi PE--thats called risk.

There are a lot of stocks like this.

except the ones that do not have earings , whats their PE

canary
Jan 17, 2020 - 9:34am

@Lakedweller

That's what the Fed is for (quote from ZH).

NW VIEW
Jan 17, 2020 - 9:32am

They cannot afford a robot waitress!

This new minimum wage hike, in Washington State, is doing major damage. The locals have cut hours, closing at 2 p.m.. New menu and raise the prices. They have brought back the owners spouses to work for free. The workers hours and shifts are cut and the building has been for sale for a couple of years, no takers. I expect that they will close the doors in time. Why work for free? There are many times that the owners will save money by just shutting the cafe down and look for a job in the big city. Jim

P.S.: Morning prayer:

Thank You Lord that I do not need a job in the big city. I would only qualify for a greeter at Walmart. When they see that I have been on SS for over 10 years and not as fast as I was 50 years ago, I would be stuck in a tent on the streets of Olympia.

canary
Jan 17, 2020 - 9:31am
lakedweller2
Jan 17, 2020 - 9:30am

Investing Philosophy

Why is it I would rather purchase high risk Junior Miners than Dow stocks in a parabolic move? Thought for the day.

lakedweller2
Jan 17, 2020 - 9:22am

Apple

This morning on CNBS, they put up a several year chart of Apple price growth. I nearly spit out my coffee. The chart was one of those 45 degree marches up that TF always talks about being an algo march rather than a free market chart.

Key Economic Events Week of 11/30

11/30 9:45 ET Chicago PMI
12/1 9:45 ET Markit Manu PMI Nov
12/1 10:00 ET ISM Manu PMI Nov
12/2 8:15 ET ADP Employment Report
12/3 9:45 ET Markit Services PMI Nov
12/3 10:00 ET ISM Services PMI Nov
12/4 8:30 ET BLSBS
12/4 8:30 ET US Trade Deficit Nov
12/4 10:00 ET Factory Orders

Ben Stackin
Jan 17, 2020 - 9:15am

Palladium up $99 on spot market

AYFKM?? Wow. Somebody is going to have a bad day.... (not me)

https://www.kitco.com/market/

ps: I'm in SBGL for the Pd/Pt play.... it has a lot of risk DYODD

pps: now up $110 at 9:28 am EST

ppps: + $170 9:58 Holy Cow

Jan 17, 2020 - 8:44am

The Plan

Quite clear effort to work prices back to $1550 and $18. Very obvious. Very disgusting.

Jan 17, 2020 - 8:32am

once again, up all night

and then down at the Comex open.

canary
Jan 17, 2020 - 8:00am

Novo

“Novo is at a seminal junction,” commented Dr. Quinton Hennigh, Chairman and President of Novo. “We are rapidly advancing our gold projects in the Pilbara and aim to move the Company toward becoming a new gold producer. Our team is one of the best in Australia. These options vest once Novo reaches certain production milestones, goals our team feels confident they can meet. We look forward to an exciting, very busy year.”

https://www.novoresources.com/news-media/news/display/index.php?content_...

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Key Economic Events Week of 11/30

11/30 9:45 ET Chicago PMI
12/1 9:45 ET Markit Manu PMI Nov
12/1 10:00 ET ISM Manu PMI Nov
12/2 8:15 ET ADP Employment Report
12/3 9:45 ET Markit Services PMI Nov
12/3 10:00 ET ISM Services PMI Nov
12/4 8:30 ET BLSBS
12/4 8:30 ET US Trade Deficit Nov
12/4 10:00 ET Factory Orders

Key Economic Events Week of 11/23

11/23 9:45 ET Markit flash PMIs
11/23 1:00 ET Goon Daly
11/23 3:00 ET Goon Evans
11/24 9:00 ET Case-Shiller home prices
11/24 10:00 ET Consumer Confidence
11/24 11:00 ET Goon Bullard
11/24 12:00 ET Goon Williams
11/24 12:45 ET Goon Chlamydia
11/25 8:30 ET Q3 GDP 2nd guess
11/25 8:30 ET Durable Goods
11/25 10:00 ET Personal Inc and Spend
11/25 10:00 ET Core inflation
11/26 US Market holiday

Key Economic Events Week of 11/16

11/16 2:00 pm ET Goon Chlamydia
11/17 8:30 ET Retail Sales
11/17 8:30 ET Import Price Index
11/17 9:15 ET Cap Ute and Ind Prod
11/17 10:00 ET Business Inventories
11/17 1:00 pm ET Chief Goon Powell
11/18 8:30 ET Housing Starts
11/18 1:20 pm ET Goon Bullard
11/19 8:30 ET Jobless claims
11/19 8:30 ET Philly Fed

Key Economic Events Week of 11/9

11/9 1:30 pm ET Goon Mester
11/10 7:30 am ET Goon Kaplan
11/10 10:00 ET JOLTS job openings
11/10 10:00 ET Goon Rosengren
11/11 Veteran's Day. Bond market closed.
11/12 8:30 ET CPI
11/12 11:45 ET Chief Goon Powell
11/12 2:00 pm ET Federal budget
11/13 7:00 ET Goon Williams
11/13 8:30 ET PPI
11/13 8:30 ET Goon Bullard
11/13 10:00 ET Consumer sentiment

Key Economic Events Week of 11/2

11/2 9:45 ET Markit Manu PMI
11/2 10:00 ET ISM Manu PMI
11/2 10:00 ET Construction Spending
11/3 U.S. Election Day
11/4 November FOMC begins
11/4 8:30 ET ADP jobs report
11/4 8:30 ET US Trade Deficit
11/4 9:45 ET Markit Services PMI
11/4 10:00 ET ISM Services PMI
11/5 8:30 ET Productivity & Unit Labor Costs
11/5 2:00 ET FOMC Fedlines
11/5 2:30 ET Chief Goon Powell presser
11/6 8:30 ET BLSBS
11/6 10:00 ET Wholesale Inventories

Key Economic Events Week of 10/26

10/27 8:30 ET Durable Goods
10/27 10:00 ET Case-Shiller home prices
10/27 10:00 ET Consumer Confidence
10/27 10:00 ET Richmond Fed
10/28 8:30 ET Advance Trade in Goods
10/28 8:30 ET Wholesale Inventories
10/29 8:00 ET ECB monetary policy stmt
10/29 8:30 ET Q3 GDP first guess
10/30 8:30 ET Personal Income and Spending
10/30 8:30 ET Core Inflation
10/30 10:00 ET UMich Consmer Sentiment

Key Economic Events Week of 10/19

10/19 11:45 ET Goon Chlamydia
10/20 8:30 ET Housing Starts
10/20 1:00 pm ET Goon Evans
10/21 10:00 ET Goon Mester
10/21 2:00 pm ET Fed Beige Book
10/22 8:30 ET Initial Jobless Claims
10/23 9:45 ET Markit Oct flash PMIs

Key Economic Events Week of 10/12

10/13 8:30 ET CPI and Core CPI
10/14 8:30 ET PPI
10/14 9:00 ET Goon Chlamydia
10/15 8:30 ET Philly Fed
10/15 8:30 ET Empire State Idx
10/15 8:30 ET Import Price Idx
10/16 8:30 ET Retail Sales
10/16 9:15 ET Cap Ute & Ind Prod
10/16 10:00 ET Business Inv

Key Economic Events Week of 10/5

10/5 9:45 ET Markit Svc PMI
10/5 10:00 ET ISM Svc PMI
10/5 10:45 ET Goon Evans
10/6 8:30 ET Trade Deficit
10/6 10:00 ET JOLTS job openings
10/6 10:45 ET Chief Goon Powell
10/7 2:00 ET Sept FOMC minutes
10/7 3:00 ET Goon Williams
10/8 8:30 ET Initial jobless claims
10/9 10:00 ET Wholesale Inventories
10/9 12:10 ET Goon Rosengren

Key Economic Events Week of 9/28

9/29 8:30 ET Advance trade in goods
9/29 9:00 ET Case-Shiller home prices
9/29 10:00 ET Consumer Confidence
9/30 8:15 ET ADP employment report
9/30 9:45 ET Chicago PMI
10/1 8:30 ET Personal Income and Spending
10/1 8:30 ET Core Inflation
10/1 9:45 ET Markit Manu PMI
10/1 10:00 ET ISM Manu PMI
10/2 8:30 ET BLSBS
10/2 10:00 ET Factory Orders

Forum Discussion

by 11IMIX, Dec 3, 2020 - 7:02pm
by 11IMIX, Dec 3, 2020 - 7:01pm
by SteveW, Dec 3, 2020 - 3:41pm
by Nijle, Dec 3, 2020 - 11:15am