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TFMR Podcast - Thursday, January 31

This is a free public podcast. Given the circumstances, you should take time to listen.

47

It was a decent day as a follow-up to the fireworks of yesterday. And now we await the BLSBS tomorrow, aware of the fact that we've had a pretty nice 5-day run and we may be due for a brief pullback.

But for today, we simply assess where we've been, where we are and where we're heading. As to the latter, the biggest signal of future Fed policy is coming from the bond market, so that's where we begin the discussion today.

Though we don't want to overlook the importance of the POSX:

We check the updated charts of both CDG and CDS:

And we close with another check on the mining shares.

Thanks for listening and be ready for a very interesting end to the week tomorrow.

TF

p.s. Due to the circumstances, I thought we'd make this a public podcast as an example of what we do here every day. Membership at TFMR is just $12/month or 40¢/day and a subscription in 2019 has never been more valuable. Therefore and for a limited time, all new subscribers have an opportunity to receive half off their first month subscription. Simply visit this page: www.tfmetalsreport.com/subscribe and then enter the coupon code MAXOUT2019 at checkout. Now's the time to join us at TFMR. 2019 and 2020 are going to be terrific years for precious metal investors. Don't miss out on the fun!

  47 Comments

scoremore
Jan 31, 2019 - 8:57pm
lakedweller2
Jan 31, 2019 - 9:06pm

How About That USD/CNY

You just never know when the dollar gets strong. And... gold goes down.

indiana rod
Jan 31, 2019 - 9:13pm

FRIDAY'S CHANGE ?

It appeared that something changed last Friday. Could one of the reasons be the news that, according to Goldseek, Central Banks bought more gold in 2018 than any year since 1967, 651.5 tonnes, 74 % more than 2017.

Harley
Jan 31, 2019 - 9:18pm

Sokoman Iron?

Does anyone know what happened with Sokoman Iron today? Looks like panic selling on a press release that raises some concern but not worthy of a full on panic. I'm beginning to think that maybe I missed something important and am now holding shares of hope after a 38% drop today? Sprott owns part of the company, did anyone hear anything from him?

Craig, would you be willing/able to ask his views in the Sprott Weekly Wrap-up tomorrow?

Thanks!
:)

Jan 31, 2019 - 9:21pm
NW VIEW
Jan 31, 2019 - 9:41pm

Pharmacy Math??????

I have worked hard to avoid any pills from my local doctor. He said, a few years ago: "Your to fat, lose some weight". So I did. He said: "Your a1c is too high, lose weight and watch the carbs ", and I did. He said :Your blood pressure is too high and I want to put you on some pills", and they almost killed me.

So, it took some time, off of all pills, except I keep a supply of blood pressure medication in case of an emergency. I needed a refill today for my old medication had expired last year. They are expensive, 30 little pills for $95, but worth having "if" I eat 3 pizzas, a large bowl of chili, and a full rack of BBQ ribs. Ha! So, I told the Dr., "I would like a pill cutter, only taking half of a pill if I need one". He said that sounded good.

I headed to the pharmacy, they gave me only 15 pills instead of 30 for the same $95. They said it was still a 30 day supply even though I was only using half a pill that I would need to cut. Now that is how the system works.

silver66Harley
Jan 31, 2019 - 9:55pm

sokomon iron

I apologize to the board

I bought 20,000 shares this morning at 9:45

my streak in jr's continues

I guess capital losses can offset those future gains

oy vey

silver66

brolgaboy
Jan 31, 2019 - 10:03pm

Google ads are definitely

Google ads are definitely based on other sites you have visited. It may be an indirect connection, but Google is certainly analyzing your site visits and making assumptions about other things you might like to see.

For example, I recently looked for a pair of shoes online. What am I seeing now? Ads for boots, jeans, sweaters, etc. They are making a guess that because I looked for shoes, I might be looking for other clothes.

scoremore
Jan 31, 2019 - 10:04pm

Ah, but Google has already

Ah, but Google has already said the next major version of Chrome will block ad blockers. And I'm sure the others will follow suit.

Jan 31, 2019 - 10:21pm

fwiw

@CFTC
Just ANOTHER violation of the @CMEGroup position limits.
As you know (I hope), the front/delivery month position limit in Comex gold is 3,000 contracts.
Below you can see that Goldman was short (and thus delivered) 4,005 contracts today.
Rules should apply to everyone! pic.twitter.com/Tr2gTJ0G8H

— TF Metals Report (@TFMetals) February 1, 2019

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Key Economic Events Week of 1/13

1/14 8:30 ET CPI
1/14 9:00 ET Goon Williams
1/15 8:30 ET PPI and Empire Fed
1/16 8:30 ET Retail Sales and Philly Fed
1/17 8:30 ET Housing Starts
1/17 9:15 Et Cap Ute and Ind Prod

Key Economic Events Week of 1/6

1/7 8:30 ET US trade deficit
1/7 10:00 ET ISM Services PMI
1/7 10:00 ET Factory Orders
1/8 8:15 ET ADP employment
1/9 8:00 ET Goon Chlamydia speech
1/9 1:20 ET Goon Evans 2:00 ET Goon Bullard
1/10 8:30 ET BLSBS
1/10 10:00 ET Wholesale Inventories

Key Economic Events Week of 12/16

12/16 8:30 ET Empire State Manu Idx
12/16 9:45 ET Markit flash PMIs Dec
12/17 8:30 ET Housing Starts and Bldg Perms
12/17 9:15 ET Cap Ute and Ind Prod
12/19 8:30 ET Philly Fed
12/20 8:30 ET Final guess Q3 GDP
12/20 10:00 ET Pers Inc and Spending
12/20 10:00 ET Core Inflation

Key Economic Events Week of 12/9

12/10 8:30 ET Productivity and Unit Labor Costs
12/11 8:30 ET CPI
12/11 2:00 pm ET FOMC fedlines
12/11 2:30 pm ET CGP presser
12/12 8:30 ET PPI
12/13 8:30 ET Retail Sales
12/13 10:00 ET Business Inventories
12/13 11:00 ET Goon Williams speech

Key Economic Events Week of 12/2

12/2 9:45 ET Markit Manu PMI
12/2 10:00 ET ISM Manu PMI
12/2 10:00 ET Construction Spending
12/4 9:45 ET Markit Services PMI
12/4 10:00 ET ISM Services PMI
12/5 8:30 ET Trade Deficit
12/5 10:00 ET Factory Orders
12/6 8:30 ET BLSBS
12/6 10:00 ET Wholesale Inventories

Key Economic Events Week of 11/25

11/25 8:30 ET Chicago Fed Nat'l Idx
11/25 7:00 pm ET CGP speech
11/26 8:30 ET Advance Trade
11/26 9:00 ET Case-Shiller home prices
11/26 10:00 ET New home sales
11/26 10:00 ET Consumer Confidence
11/27 8:30 ET Q3 GDP 2nd guess
11/27 8:30 ET Durable Goods
11/27 9:45 ET Chicago PMI
11/27 10:00 ET Pers Inc & Cons Spndg
11/27 10:00 ET Core inflation
11/27 2:00 pm ET Beige Book

Key Economic Events Week of 11/18

11/19 8:30 ET Housing Starts & Bldg Perms
11/20 2:00 ET October FOMC minutes
11/21 8:30 ET Philly Fed
11/21 10:00 ET Existing Home Sales
11/22 9:45 ET Markit November Flash PMIs

Key Economic Events Week of 11/11

11/12 Three Fed Goon speeches
11/13 8:30 ET CPI
11/13 11:00 ET CGP on Capitol Hill
11/14 8:30 ET PPI
11/14 Four Fed Goon speeches
11/14 10:00 ET CGP on Capitol Hill
11/15 8:30 ET Retail Sales
11/15 8:30 ET Empire State Manu Index
11/15 9:15 ET Cap Ute and Ind Prod
11/15 10:00 ET Business Inventories

Key Economic Events Week of 11/4

11/4 10:00 ET Factory Orders
11/5 9:45 ET Markit Services PMI
11/5 10:00 ET ISM Services PMI
11/6 8:30 ET Productivity & Labor Costs
11/6 Speeches by Goons Williams, Harker and Evans
11/8 10:00 ET Consumer Sentiment
11/8 10:00 ET Wholesale Inventories

Key Economic Events Week of 10/28

10/30 8:30 ET Q3 GDP first guess
10/30 2:00 ET FOMC fedlines
10/30 2:30 ET CGP presser
10/31 8:30 ET Personal Income & Spending
10/31 8:30 ET Core Inflation
10/31 9:45 ET Chicago PMI
11/1 8:30 ET BLSBS
11/1 9:45 ET Markit Manu PMI
1/1 10:00 ET ISM Manu PMI

Forum Discussion

by tonym9, 2 hours 12 min ago
by sierra skier, 4 hours 45 min ago
by NW VIEW, 18 hours 12 min ago
by sierra skier, Jan 24, 2020 - 5:34pm
by tonym9, Jan 24, 2020 - 5:21pm
by NW VIEW, Jan 24, 2020 - 5:09pm
randomness