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Thursday (Friday) Conversation - Dave Collum

A look back at 2018 and a look ahead into 2019.


It's with great pleasure that we introduce a new guest to TFMR, Dr. Dave Collum of Cornell University. Though Dave is professor of organic chemistry by day, he's also a terrific analyst and commentator regarding the global financial system. His annual "Year In Review" column is always a must read and thus it was a treat to make his acquaintance through this podcast.

If you missed Dave's most recent "Year In Review", you can review it now though this link: https://www.peakprosperity.com/blog/114635/2018-year-review We must warn you, though...It's lengthy and detailed so don't just rush through it. Carve out some time and give it your undivided attention. You won't be disappointed.

For this podcast, Dave and I primarily discussed three topics:

  • Dave's background and how/why he got interested in global monetary issues.
  • What were the two or three most important events of 2018?
  • Looking ahead, what will Year In Review 2019 look like?

I think you're going to really enjoy this podcast. Thanks again to Dave for being so generous with his time and I look forward to keeping in tough through the months ahead.



ancient Egyptian...ex-canary
Jan 14, 2019 - 9:19am

Eurozone Industrial Production

M/M...Prior +0.2% (revised +0.1%).....Consensus -0.5%.....Actual -1.7%.

Y/Y....Prior +1.2%......Consensus -2.2%......Actual -3.3%.

Jan 14, 2019 - 8:57am


Oh how clever the machines are, programed to knock overnight gold every morning at the same time for $5 bucks.

Someone needs to go in at the same time and run it up $10 to rip their faces off!


......paging the Admiral!

Jan 14, 2019 - 8:45am

90 minutes after my post

on overnight action and then metals getting knocked down, it happens again.

e were up 8.40 on gold at one time, now 2.70 and was only up 1.80 a few minutes ago.

If you have a chance and time, read Volckers new book, "Keeping at It; the Quest for Sound Money and Good Government"

Jan 14, 2019 - 8:42am
Joseph Warren
Jan 14, 2019 - 8:31am

Catherine Austin Fitts

Devastating interview from a very smart & big finance experienced professional. As I watched this I thought, “Most of the political and market subjects we talk about every day . . . are actually irrelevant.”

If this interview isn’t felt in your gut, - watch it again & contemplate its implications -


Jan 14, 2019 - 8:23am

Newmont buying Goldcorp!!!


Been holding back, but im calling it....

”Billhilly Bottom”

Jan 14, 2019 - 7:11am

Gold up over nite pattern

mentioned that Friday that we see gold up nicely overnight than gets pushed down just before NYSE open and then the pushdown continues especially for miners.

makes for a good deal for NEM.

Joseph WarrenThomas More
Jan 14, 2019 - 7:10am

@Thomas Moore

Thank you for your comments.

Take care of yourself, my friend. (No reply necessary or expected) - - JW

P.S. - thank you for mentioning the Catherine Austin Fitts interview. I hadn’t watched it yet, but went immediately to it after your comment above. We are in DEEP trouble. Fascism has been ‘legalized’. The ‘elected’ US government is nothing but fake theater.

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Thomas MoreJoseph Warren
Jan 14, 2019 - 4:51am

Thank you Joseph

But commentators argue that whether the project is a success or not, Maréchal-Le Pen’s profile can only benefit. A recent opinion poll gave her a public approval rating of 19%, one point more than Marine, and a remarkable score for someone no longer in elected office.

Copied from the 3rd link above. Marion has the thumbs up also from Philippe de Villiers - who is a person anyone on the right would respect.

The Le Pen family are quite rich from the Lafarge Cement Co.

The big problem for Marion, a young mother, her husband left her - I won't go into the circumstances, but as you know politics is a very dirty game.

Don't have any more free time - sorry.

Thomas More
Jan 14, 2019 - 4:36am

Capping Gold

started at 9:55 am Paris time; 3:55 am EST.

I didn't see anyone comment on USA Watchdog interviewing Catherine Austin Fitts. I can say that that interview scares the daylights out of me. If you watch it, please notice how Greg Hunter, who is usually very good, is NOT on the same page as she is. While she is trying to warn us how bad things ARE - he is asking questions about future crashes - stocks and other things. He couldn't wrap his head around the fact that the dangers he worries about are already here - that we are in the midst of a mine field and about to be attacked.

That said, I agree with NW View above - that it is very comforting (to my soul) that Pres Trump insists on a prayer before a meeting. This whole idea about a wall is a very emotional issue. Alot of walls can be viewed like concentration camps - but with the human trafficking side that he develops in his presentation - no Church member would be against a wall under those arguments. From my side I will pass that along - the forces that oppose us are spiritual - and as such we had better get our shit together. Please pardon my French.

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Key Economic Events Week of 4/19

4/22 8:30 ET Initial jobless claims
4/22 10:00 ET Existing home sales
4/22 10:00 ET LEI
4/23 9:45 ET April flash PMIs
4/23 10:00 ET New home sales

Key Economic Events Week of 4/12

4/13 8:30 ET CPI
4/13 12:00 ET Goon Harker
4/14 8:30 ET Import Price Index
4/14 12:00 ET Chief Goon Powell
4/14 2:45 ET Goon Chlamydia
4/15 8:30 ET Retail Sales
4/15 8:30 ET Philly Fed
4/15 8:30 ET Empire State Manu
4/15 9:15 ET Cap Ute and Ind Prod
4/15 2:00 ET Goon Daly
4/15 4:00 ET Goon Mester
4/16 8:30 ET Housing starts

Key Economic Events Week of 4/5

4/5 9:45 ET Markit service PMI
4/5 10:00 ET ISM service PMI
4/5 10:00 ET Factory Orders
4/6 10:00 ET JOLTS job openings
4/7 9:00 ET Goon Evans
4/7 12:00 ET Goon Barkin
4/7 2:00 ET March FOMC minutes
4/8 12:00 ET Chief Goon Powell
4/9 8:30 ET PPI
4/9 10:00 ET Wholesale inventories

Key Economic Events Week of 3/29

3/30 9:00 ET Goon Quarles
3/30 10:00 ET Consumer Confidence
3/30 2:30 ET Goon Williams
3/31 8:15 ET ADP Employment
3/31 9:45 ET Chicago PMI
3/31 time TBA Biden Infrastructure speech
4/1 9:45 ET Markit Manu PMI
4/1 10:00 ET ISM Manu PMI
4/1 10:00 ET Construction spending
4/2 8:30 ET BLSBS

Key Economic Events Week of 3/22

3/23 9:00 ET Goon Bullard
3/23 12:00 ET CGP and Mother on Capitol Hill
3/24 8:30 ET Durable Goods
3/24 9:45 ET Markit Flash PMIs March
3/24 10:00 ET CGP and Mother on Capitol Hill
3/25 8:30 ET Q4 2020 CDP final guess
3/25 12:00 ET Goon Bostic speech
3/25 3:45 ET Goon Chlamydia speech
3/26 8:30 ET Personal Income and Spending
3/26 8:30 ET Core Inflation
3/26 10:00 ET Consumer Sentiment

Key Economic Events Week of 3/15

3/15 8:30 ET Empire State Index
3/16 8:30 ET Retail Sales
3/16 8:30 Import Price Index
3/16 9:15 ET Cap Ute and Ind Prod
3/16 10:00 ET Business Inventories
3/17 2:00 ET FOMC Fedlines
3/17 2:30 ET CGP presser
3/17 8:30 ET Philly Fed

Key Economic Events Week of 3/8

3/8 10:00 ET Wholesale Inventories
3/10 8:30 ET CPI
3/10 2:00 ET Federal budget
3/11 8:30 ET Initial jobless claims
3/12 10:00 ET JOLTS job openings
3/13 8:30 ET PPI
3/13 10:00 ET UMich sentiment

Key Economic Events Week of 3/1

3/1 9:45 ET Markit Manu PMI
3/2 10:00 ET ISM Manu PMI
3/2 1:00 ET Goon Brainard
3/3 9:45 ET Markit Service PMI
3/3 10:00 ET ISM Service PMI
3/3 12:00 ET Goon Bostic
3/3 2:00 ET Goon Evans
3/4 8:30 ET Unit Labor Costs
3/4 10:00 ET Factory Orders
3/4 12:00 ET Chief Goon Powell
3/5 8:30 ET BLSBS

Key Economic Events Week of 2/22

2/22 10:00 ET LEIII
2/23 9:00 ET Case-Shiller home prices
2/23 10:00 ET CGP at US Senate
2/24 10:00 ET CGP at US House
2/24 1:00 ET Goon Chlamydia speech
2/25 8:30 ET Jobless claims
2/25 8:30 ET Durable goods
2/25 10:30 ET Goon Bullard
2/26 8:30 ET Pers Inc and Spending
2/26 8:30 ET Core inflation
2/26 9:45 ET Chicago PMI
2/26 10:00 ET UMich sentiment

Key Economic Events Week of 2/15

2/17 8:30 ET Retail Sales
2/17 8:30 ET PPI
2/17 9:15 ET Cap Ute and Ind Prod
2/17 10:00 ET Business Inventories
2/17 2:00 ET January FOMC minutes
2/18 8:30 ET Initial jobless claims
2/18 8:30 ET Import price index
2/18 8:30 ET Philly Fed
2/19 9:45 ET Markit Feb flash PMIs

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