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Thursday (Friday) Conversation - Dave Collum

A look back at 2018 and a look ahead into 2019.


It's with great pleasure that we introduce a new guest to TFMR, Dr. Dave Collum of Cornell University. Though Dave is professor of organic chemistry by day, he's also a terrific analyst and commentator regarding the global financial system. His annual "Year In Review" column is always a must read and thus it was a treat to make his acquaintance through this podcast.

If you missed Dave's most recent "Year In Review", you can review it now though this link: https://www.peakprosperity.com/blog/114635/2018-year-review We must warn you, though...It's lengthy and detailed so don't just rush through it. Carve out some time and give it your undivided attention. You won't be disappointed.

For this podcast, Dave and I primarily discussed three topics:

  • Dave's background and how/why he got interested in global monetary issues.
  • What were the two or three most important events of 2018?
  • Looking ahead, what will Year In Review 2019 look like?

I think you're going to really enjoy this podcast. Thanks again to Dave for being so generous with his time and I look forward to keeping in tough through the months ahead.



Jan 14, 2019 - 9:19am

Eurozone Industrial Production

M/M...Prior +0.2% (revised +0.1%).....Consensus -0.5%.....Actual -1.7%.

Y/Y....Prior +1.2%......Consensus -2.2%......Actual -3.3%.

Jan 14, 2019 - 8:57am


Oh how clever the machines are, programed to knock overnight gold every morning at the same time for $5 bucks.

Someone needs to go in at the same time and run it up $10 to rip their faces off!


......paging the Admiral!

Jan 14, 2019 - 8:45am

90 minutes after my post

on overnight action and then metals getting knocked down, it happens again.

e were up 8.40 on gold at one time, now 2.70 and was only up 1.80 a few minutes ago.

If you have a chance and time, read Volckers new book, "Keeping at It; the Quest for Sound Money and Good Government"

Jan 14, 2019 - 8:42am
Joseph Warren
Jan 14, 2019 - 8:31am

Catherine Austin Fitts

Devastating interview from a very smart & big finance experienced professional. As I watched this I thought, “Most of the political and market subjects we talk about every day . . . are actually irrelevant.”

If this interview isn’t felt in your gut, - watch it again & contemplate its implications -


Jan 14, 2019 - 8:23am

Newmont buying Goldcorp!!!


Been holding back, but im calling it....

”Billhilly Bottom”

Jan 14, 2019 - 7:11am

Gold up over nite pattern

mentioned that Friday that we see gold up nicely overnight than gets pushed down just before NYSE open and then the pushdown continues especially for miners.

makes for a good deal for NEM.

Joseph WarrenThomas More
Jan 14, 2019 - 7:10am

@Thomas Moore

Thank you for your comments.

Take care of yourself, my friend. (No reply necessary or expected) - - JW

P.S. - thank you for mentioning the Catherine Austin Fitts interview. I hadn’t watched it yet, but went immediately to it after your comment above. We are in DEEP trouble. Fascism has been ‘legalized’. The ‘elected’ US government is nothing but fake theater.

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Thomas MoreJoseph Warren
Jan 14, 2019 - 4:51am

Thank you Joseph

But commentators argue that whether the project is a success or not, Maréchal-Le Pen’s profile can only benefit. A recent opinion poll gave her a public approval rating of 19%, one point more than Marine, and a remarkable score for someone no longer in elected office.

Copied from the 3rd link above. Marion has the thumbs up also from Philippe de Villiers - who is a person anyone on the right would respect.

The Le Pen family are quite rich from the Lafarge Cement Co.

The big problem for Marion, a young mother, her husband left her - I won't go into the circumstances, but as you know politics is a very dirty game.

Don't have any more free time - sorry.

Thomas More
Jan 14, 2019 - 4:36am

Capping Gold

started at 9:55 am Paris time; 3:55 am EST.

I didn't see anyone comment on USA Watchdog interviewing Catherine Austin Fitts. I can say that that interview scares the daylights out of me. If you watch it, please notice how Greg Hunter, who is usually very good, is NOT on the same page as she is. While she is trying to warn us how bad things ARE - he is asking questions about future crashes - stocks and other things. He couldn't wrap his head around the fact that the dangers he worries about are already here - that we are in the midst of a mine field and about to be attacked.

That said, I agree with NW View above - that it is very comforting (to my soul) that Pres Trump insists on a prayer before a meeting. This whole idea about a wall is a very emotional issue. Alot of walls can be viewed like concentration camps - but with the human trafficking side that he develops in his presentation - no Church member would be against a wall under those arguments. From my side I will pass that along - the forces that oppose us are spiritual - and as such we had better get our shit together. Please pardon my French.

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Key Economic Events Week of 8/10

8/10 10:00 ET Job openings
8/11 8:30 ET Producer Price Idx
8/12 8:30 ET Consumer Price Idx
8/13 8:30 ET Initial jobless claims
8/13 8:30 ET Import Price Idx
8/14 8:30 ET Retail Sales
8/14 8:30 ET Productivity & Unit Labor Costs
8/14 8:30 ET Cap Ute and Ind Prod
8/14 10:00 ET Business Inventories

Key Economic Events Week of 8/3

8/3 9:45 ET Markit Manu PMI July
8/3 10:00 ET ISM Manu PMI July
8/3 10:00 ET Construction Spending
8/4 10:00 ET Factory Orders
8/5 8:15 ET ADP employment July
8/5 9:45 ET Markit Service PMI
8/5 10:00 ET ISM Service PMI
8/6 8:30 ET Initial jobless claims
8/7 8:30 ET BLSBS for July
8/7 10:00 ET Wholesale Inventories

Key Economic Events Week of 7/27

7/27 8:30 ET Durable Goods
7/28 9:00 ET Case-Shiller home prices
7/29 8:30 ET Advance trade in goods
7/29 2:00 ET FOMC Fedlines
7/29 2:30 ET CGP presser
7/30 8:30 ET Q2 GDP first guess
7/31 8:30 ET Personal Income and Spending
7/31 8:30 ET Core inflation
7/31 9:45 ET Chicago PMI

Key Economic Events Week of 7/20

7/21 8:30 ET Chicago Fed
7/21 2:00 ET Senate vote on Judy Shelton
7/22 10:00 ET Existing home sales
7/23 8:30 ET Jobless claims
7/23 10:00 ET Leading Economic Indicators
7/24 9:45 ET Markit flash PMIs for July

Key Economic Events Week of 7/13

7/13 11:30 ET Goon Williams speech
7/13 1:00 ET Goon Kaplan speech
7/14 8:30 ET CPI for June
7/14 2:30 ET Goon Bullard speech
7/15 8:30 ET Empire State and Import Price Idx
7/15 9:15 ET Cap Ute and Ind Prod
7/16 8:30 ET Retail Sales and Philly Fed
7/16 11:00 ET Goon Williams again
7/17 8:30 ET Housing Starts and Permits

Key Economic Events Week of 7/6

7/6 9:45 ET Markit Service PMI
7/6 10:00 ET ISM Service PMI
7/7 10:00 ET Job openings
7/9 8:30 ET Initial jobless claims
7/9 10:00 ET Wholesale inventories
7/10 8:30 ET PPI for June

Key Economic Events Week of 6/29

6/30 9:00 ET Case-Shiller home prices
6/30 9:45 ET Chicago PMI
6/30 10:00 ET Consumer Confidence
6/30 12:30 ET CGP and SSHW to Capitol Hill
7/1 8:15 ET ADP Employment
7/1 9:45 ET Markit Manu PMI
7/1 10:00 ET ISM Manu PMI
7/1 2:00 ET June FOMC minutes
7/2 8:30 ET BLSBS
7/2 10:00 ET Factory Orders

Key Economic Events Week of 6/22

6/22 8:30 ET Chicago Fed
6/22 10:00 ET Existing home sales
6/23 9:45 ET Markit flash PMIs for June
6/23 10:00 ET New home sales
6/25 8:30 ET Q1 GDP final guess
6/25 8:30 ET Durable Goods
6/26 8:30 ET Pers Inc and Spending
6/26 8:30 ET Core inflation

Key Economic Events Week of 6/15

6/16 8:30 ET Retail Sales
6/16 8:30 ET Cap Ute and Ind Prod
6/16 10:00 ET Chief Goon Powell US Senate
6/16 4:00 pm ET Goon Chlamydia speech
6/17 8:30 ET Housing Starts
6/17 12:00 ET Chief Goon Powell US House
6/18 8:30 ET Initial Jobless Claims
6/18 8:30 ET Philly Fed
6/19 8:30 ET Current Account Deficit
6/19 1:00 pm ET CGP and Mester conference

Key Economic Events Week of 6/8

6/9 10:00 ET Job openings
6/9 10:00 ET Wholesale inventories
6/10 8:30 ET CPI for May
6/10 2:00 ET FOMC Fedlines
6/10 2:30 ET CGP presser
6/11 8:30 ET Initial jobless claims
6/11 8:30 ET PPI for May
6/12 8:30 ET Import price index
6/12 10:00 ET Consumer sentiment

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