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TFMR Podcast - Monday, November 19

Today's podcast is freely available for public distribution.


After a volatile Monday, the stage is set for a very important Tuesday across all global markets as tomorrow will be the last day this week with "all hands on deck" due to the looming US holiday of Thanksgiving.

Thus as a public service and just for fun, I though we'd make this a public podcast today. Please feel free to pass the link along to anyone who might be interested and if you're here for the first time, please understand that we create posts and podcasts like these every single day of the week...all for a whopping 40¢/day subscription. You can learn more here: www.tfmetalsreport.com/subscribe

For today, we begin with a discussion of these three links:

From that third link is this passage. I think it describes nearly all of us:

As we begin our review of the charts, we start with two of the bond market where rates have fallen to their lowest levels in 60 days.

And Tuesday will be an important day for the "stock market" and POSX, too:

And all of this will impact the Comex Digital Metals on Tuesday, both of which are still working on flipping their momentum for a year-end and Q1 rally.

OK, that's all for today. Thanks for listening and be ready for an interesting Tuesday.



Nov 21, 2018 - 1:32am

IMO the CBs are raising rates

IMO the CBs are raising rates so as to crash the markets(I remember a researcher doing a video on the connection between market crashes and rate hikes) Everybody got suckered into the financial markets again, time to pull the rug. Rinse and repeat on a global scale...

About the SB dumping money into the markets, they are actually buying up tangible assets with money out of thin air, directly. Quite unprecedented in a sense...

Angry Chef
Nov 20, 2018 - 10:47am

The Global Reset is in Full

The Global Reset is in Full Speed Mode


The SNB had roughly 83 Billion in Us Equities back in September. I recall they started to sell in October. The other 139 CB's around the planet have been doing the same thing. Print money and dump it into their markets. Drive stocks up and monetize their debt. Now it appears the CB's are pulling back hoping for a soft landing on the short side of the trade. In the meantime the rest of the World is leaving us behind. Read the article above and ask yourself if any of our leaders could have pulled off such a meeting ?

Nov 20, 2018 - 10:43am

FYI, we ran into a technical

FYI, we ran into a technical issue with the update last night, and decided it was best to not push the update until it is resolved. Will most likely try again this upcoming evening. Thanks.

Nov 20, 2018 - 10:39am

Equities in trouble....and

Equities in trouble....and money flows into USD...not gold, and definitely not silver...Traders (or rather the algos) have no conviction in PMs.

Edit...Gold waits for a signal from the Fed?...Gold seems to always wait for "something".

Thomas More
Nov 20, 2018 - 10:15am

The SP is now trading below

The SP is now trading below what should be a support level 2640 on the cash SP. A close at these levels could lead to a cascading of stock prices lower. I did watch Greg Mannarino this morning (last night's post). He is confident as ever - hats off to him, he has been right since February 2nd. Every dog has his day.

J Siefertdangerkitty
Nov 20, 2018 - 10:13am

Craig, if you get a chance,

Dangerkitty asked: "Craig, if you get a chance, for the weekend thread, can you post a chart on the bitcoin support levels, please and thanks? "

I'm also interested in anything Craig can offer on BTC.

Only yesterday I found an article on Medium from a posting on Twitter by Awe & Wonder.
Sorry but I don't know how to copy and paste Twitter pages.
So here's the article on Medium...


Summing up Awe & Wonder expects the bottom in bitcoin to be around mid-2019 and at a price in the range 4400–5000. That said we are already in the top that range.
PS I bought another ''serving' of BTC today.

Nov 20, 2018 - 10:08am

What is with Bitcoin BTC cash

What is with Bitcoin BTC cash Ethereum and Litecoin?

BTC down 30% plus in 1 week. That reminds me of the tech wreck of 2001, the Lehman crash, silver price down 70% peak to trough.

Is this a liquidation event because anyone buying in at $6500, a supposed new low (not to mention $14,000 and $19,000 former highs) has to feel brutalized by these drops

Oil is taking a very large hit, down to $55 a BBL with Canadian tar sands selling for under $20 a BBL. Even 10 yr UST is down to 3.04%. Rate drops benefit home buyers and other borrowers. Oil price drops is a good thing for everyone except the oil produce

The stuck market is lining up for more than a correction. Earnings are not there. Insider selling is very substantial and consumers have buyer ennui. This Christmas season is not lining up as robust if the retailers that took major hits today are any indicator. Housing stocks and retail home sales are just not there.

This might be a perfect storm for gold and silver to rise Hope springs eternal but asset investment shifting sentiments might be a good support for increases in the PM prices. A sector rotation to miner stocks would be welcome. The next 3 days will be woo woo's for the market

Nov 20, 2018 - 10:01am

Are cryptos going to have the

Are cryptos going to have the same apocalyptic experience as the gold and silver miners?...Feels like somebody greedy wants all the money from millions of enthusiastic young people that got into it.

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Nov 20, 2018 - 9:55am

And again, re BTC, none of

And again, re BTC, none of this should be surprising or unepxected. Yes I still have my whopping 1.6 BTC but my cost basis is ZERO and I'm hoping for a new rally around the time of the next "halving".

Thomas MoreAGXIIK
Nov 20, 2018 - 9:41am

Financial markets have been

Financial markets have been turned into a casino since ... I guess for me it became a casino - and I participated in it - in 1982 when They "invented" the SP500 futures. I am not of the opinion that option trading or futures trading will be of much use to us as They own the system. They own the system that we are all complaining about - yet what is the first thing we are planning - to try to identify some level to buy (you name it) with the objective of making some fiat.

These guys scare me - and you should be too - if not, listen to the interview by Greg Hunter of Rob Kirby. If it is too long listen to the second half or last third. Think about it - we have been advised to get our asses out of the water. Get our gold and silver into our own hands. If the money that you speculate in is pocket change and amuses you - that's another story. But if we fall 10 or 15 more SP points from here - it doesn't take a long time to close the markets early.

Everyone knows that American Thanksgiving is approaching - even at my golf club they are having a Black Friday sale. What Americans don't think about is how a crash in stocks before a long weekend like this affects us here in Europe. The margin calls still get sent out - but the sales to meet margin are executed in Europe and other markets which are open for trading.

Merci l'Amérique.

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5/26 8:30 ET Chicago Fed
5/26 10:00 ET Consumer Confidence
5/27 2:00 ET Fed Beige Book
5/28 8:30 ET Q2 GDP 2nd guess
5/28 8:30 ET Durable Goods
5/29 8:30 ET Pers Inc and Cons Spend
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Key Economic Events Week of 5/18

5/18 2:00 ET Goon Bostic speech
5/19 8:30 ET Housing starts
5/19 10:00 ET CGP and Mnuchin US Senate
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5/21 8:30 ET Philly Fed
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5/21 2:30 ET Chief Goon Powell speech

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5/11 12:00 ET Goon Bostic speech
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5/12 8:30 ET CPI
5/12 9:00 ET Goon Kashnkari speech
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5/12 5:00 ET Goon Mester speech
5/13 8:30 ET PPI
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5/14 8:30 ET Initial jobless claims and import prices
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5/7 8:30 ET Productivity
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Key Economic Events Week of 4/27

4/28 8:30 ET Advance trade in goods
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Key Economic Events Week of 3/9

(as if these actually matter)
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