Ukraine Crisis Reaches A New Flash Point

13

Events in recent days have brought the situation in Ukraine to a new danger point. Things could get dicey very quickly now that the government in Kiev has denied Russia access to resupply their troops and bases in Transnistria. What the hell is "Transnistria", you ask? I'm afraid that, before the end of June, you'll know very well what and where Transnistria is.

Officially, Transnistria is "a breakaway state located mostly on a strip of land between the River Dniester and the eastern Moldovan border with Ukraine". It even has its own Wikipedia page: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Transnistria

On a map, you can find it as a small strip of land between Moldova and Ukraine. See below:

Since the fall of the Soviet Union, Russia has maintained a military presence there. This includes at least two motorized rifle battalions which guard military supply depots holding enough material to arm/supply a full division. There are also up to 150,000 Russian citizens living in Transnistria. For more background, please see this very informative post from the Fort Russ blogspot site: https://fortruss.blogspot.com/2015/06/transnistria-another-front-in-civi...

And here's the problem. Back on Monday, the government in Kiev decided to cancel all treaties with Russia pertaining to Transnistria. (https://www.lse.co.uk/AllNews.asp?code=u7g8q9jf&headline=Ukraine_blocks_...) This means that no longer will Russian supplies be able to cross through Ukraine to get to Transnistria. Since, the other side of Transnistria borders Moldova...a sworn enemy of Russia...supplies can't come in through the west, either. This leaves Transnistria, and the thousands of Russian troops and citizens there, thoroughly isolated.

What will be Russia's response to this unnecessary escalation? Will they begin a "Transnistria Airlift"? If so, what will Ukraine do? What will happen if Kiev attempts to shoot down one these Russian planes?

This is all very concerning and you need to be paying close attention to these events. Last night, John and Steve discussed Transnistria in the 3rd segment of their show, beginning at about the 19 minute mark. PLEASE BE CERTAIN THAT YOU LISTEN.

Additionally, though, this entire program is a MUST LISTEN. In the first half, John and Steve discuss Secretariat Kerry's failed attempt at detente in Sochi back in April. Why was Kerry allowed to go to Sochi is he was only going to be contradicted and ostracized immediately following the meetings with Lavrov and Putin? And where the heck is Kerry now? Does he really have a "broken leg"? That sure seems like a convenient excuse to sideline and marginalize him as The War Party reasserts control.

Anyway, I think you can tell that I am very, very concerned about all of this...more so than at any other time since we began covering these events in February of 2014. Please pay attention to the headlines and please be prepared for anything. This is the most serious, international crisis of my lifetime...probably your lifetime, too...and things are rapidly moving from bad to worse.

TF

  13 Comments

4 oz
Jun 10, 2015 - 8:32am
arch stanton
Jun 10, 2015 - 8:36am
J.P. Cubish
Jun 10, 2015 - 9:17am

Thanks

thanks for keeping us informed Turd. I will be sure to give it a listen.

Arag
Jun 10, 2015 - 9:24am

While Marchas is out getting some fiat

I am keeping your seat, Sir !

NW VIEW
Jun 10, 2015 - 9:25am

Mental Health!

Just look at the continual information available everywhere: We have to deal with Russian Nuclear attacks, ISIS, FEMA Camps, Jadehelm and the many empty Walmarts that may be used for you and your family. If we dive to deeply into all these concepts. we will need to also close down all the McDonalds and Wendys for local drop off places for those needing straight jackets and counseling.

What do you really have in your internal bugout bag? Yes it does matter and if your bag is on empty, Walmart awaits us.

>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>

I like to spend some time these days in my organic garden. Things out there are just like they have always been. My peas are fruitful and I try to eat about 40 off the vines every day. The strawberries are really good this year, the raspberries are just now producing. Carrots and tomatoes are healthy and eastern Washington cherries are being sold near my home. The weeds still grow as usual and my hoe does the job as usual. The birds both sing to me and when I am gone, eat my berries, as usual.

If we focus to deeply on the world problems, forget how to live in the now, we will wake up with our lives filled with weeds as they wheel us into a Walmart on a stretcher.

Peace to you today: Jim

realitybiter
Jun 10, 2015 - 9:54am

Nice rally

and the slaves don't notice.

The algos, the hft's, the manipulated media, etc are the slave master....

Get on board.

or as my old boss used to say, "Be sellin' when they're yellin', and buy it when they are quiet"

Auggie
Jun 10, 2015 - 4:48pm

War with Russia

I guess tptb have figured out through past experience that a good ol' shooting war is a excellent way to solve an economic crisis (and to get four terms in office). I was kind of hoping for war on the EU instead of Russia as it is so much prettier in Europe than in economically backward and cold Russia. We could eliminate the French nuclear sites in about 35 minutes and the rest of it would be a cake walk. Then there is all that Gold that MIGHT be over there.

hindsight101
Jun 10, 2015 - 6:27pm

Been away from the site for awhile

...and been more involved with less radical thinking people.

If the DOW Jones and the price of silver are any indication of how ugly things are out there, I guess I have the wrong channel....

SilveryBlue Auggie
Jun 11, 2015 - 7:00am

Was that sarc?

Hope you have fun on your cake walk there big fella. And if you don't find any gold I will cry a bucket for you.

Auggie SilveryBlue
Jun 11, 2015 - 12:12pm

Of Course it was Sarcastic

But don't think it hasn't been seriously discussed by some Feds. I don't think Obama so much, because he thinks the economy is doing well. However as proved in Philadelphia, even the guy driving the train isn't going to get around a 50 mph turn at 106 mph. And the US (and World) economy is a lot bigger, longer, and heavier than that passenger train in Philly. I see how historians (and in economics, there hasn't been a novel thought in decades) could and probably would see this as a way out; it's worked before. As far as declaring and pursuing a war with the EU, that was facetious; a much longer, sustained war would be necessary, one that involves a comprehensive national drive that I don't know exists in this country anymore. A proxy war will just not be enough.

Subscribe or login to read all comments.

Contribute

Donate Shop

Get Your Subscriber Benefits

Private iTunes feed for all TF Metals Report podcasts, and access to Vault member forum discussions!

Key Economic Events Week of 8/19

8/21 10:00 ET Existing home sales
8/21 2:00 ET July FOMC minutes
8/22 9:45 ET Markit Manu and Svc PMIs
8/22 Jackson Holedown begins
8/23 10:00 ET Chief Goon Powell speaks

Key Economic Events Week of 8/12

8/13 8:30 ET Consumer Price Index
8/14 8:30 ET Retail Sales
8/14 8:30 ET Productivity & Labor Costs
8/14 8:30 ET Philly Fed
8/14 9:15 ET Ind Prod and Cap Ute
8/14 10:00 ET Business Inventories
8/15 8:30 ET Housing Starts & Bldg Permits

Key Economic Events Week of 8/5

8/5 9:45 ET Markit services PMI
8/5 10:00 ET ISM services PMI
8/6 10:00 ET Job Openings
8/8 10:00 ET Wholesale Inventories
8/9 8:30 ET Producer Price Index

Key Economic Events Week of 7/29

7/30 8:30 ET Personal Inc/Spending & Core Inflation
7/30 10:00 ET Consumer Confidence
7/31 8:15 ET ADP employment
7/31 2:00 pm ET FOMC Fedlines
7/31 2:30 pm ET CGP presser
8/1 9:45 ET Markit Manu PMI
8/1 10:00 ET ISM Manu PMI
8/2 8:30 ET BLSBS
8/2 10:00 ET Factory Orders

Key Economic Events Week of 7/22

7/23 10:00 ET Existing home sales
7/23 10:00 ET Richmond Fed Manu Idx
7/24 9:45 ET flash Markit PMIs
7/25 8:00 ET Count Draghi/ECB policy meeting
7/25 8:30 ET Durable Goods
7/25 8:30 ET Wholesale Inventories
7/26 8:30 ET Q2 GDP first guess

Key Economic Events Week of 7/15

7/15 8:30 ET Empire State Fed Index
7/16 8:30 ET Retail Sales and Import Price Index
7/16 9:15 ET Cap Ute and Ind Prod
7/16 10:00 ET Business Inventories
7/17 8:30 ET Housing Starts and Building Permits
7/18 8:30 ET Philly Fed
7/19 10:00 ET Consumer Sentiment

Key Economic Events Week of 7/8

7/9 8:45 ET Fed Stress Conference, three Goon speeches
7/10 8:30 ET CGP Hump-Hawk prepared remarks
7/10 10:00 ET CGP Hump-Hawk House
7/10 10:00 ET Wholesale Inventories
7/10 2:00 ET June FOMC minutes
7/11 8:30 ET CPI
7/11 10:00 ET CGP Hump-Hawk Senate
7/11 12:30 ET Goon Williams
7/12 8:30 ET PPI

Key Economic Events Week of 7/1

7/1 9:45 ET Markit Manu PMI
7/1 10:00 ET ISM Manu PMI
7/1 10:00 ET Construction Spending
7/2 6:35 ET Goon Williams
7/3 8:15 ET ADP June employment
7/3 8:30 ET Trade Deficit
7/3 9:45 ET Markit Services PMI
7/3 10:00 ET ISM Services PMI
7/3 10:00 ET Factory Orders
7/4 US Market Holiday
7/5 8:30 ET BLSBS

Key Economic Events Week of 6/24

6/25 10:00 ET New Home Sales
6/25 1:00 pm ET Chief Goon Powell
6/25 5:30 pm ET Goon Bullard
6/26 8:30 ET Durable Goods
6/27 8:30 ET Q1 GDP final guess
6/28 8:30 ET Personal Income and Consumer Spending
6/28 8:30 ET Core Inflation
6/28 9:45 ET Chicago PMI

Key Economic Events Week of 6/17

6/18 8:30 ET Housing Starts and Building Permits
6/19 2:00 ET FOMC Fedlines
6/19 2:30 ET CGP presser
6/20 8:30 ET Philly Fed
6/21 9:45 ET Markit flash June PMIs

Recent Comments

by procog, 9 min 45 sec ago
by DeaconBenjamin, 10 min 10 sec ago
by RW, 10 min 17 sec ago
by Blackwatersailor, 12 min 8 sec ago
by Island Teal, 17 min 10 sec ago

Forum Discussion

by sierra skier, 1 hour 9 min ago
by NW VIEW, 2 hours 10 min ago
by Porros, Aug 21, 2019 - 5:00am
by sierra skier, Aug 20, 2019 - 5:12pm
by zman, Aug 20, 2019 - 4:53pm
randomness