Is Minsk 2 Finally Breaking?

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Terrible news out of Ukraine today as it appears that the Minsk Peace Accords are crumbling as I type. With these developments, the crisis in Ukraine could spin rapidly put of control in the weeks ahead. Please stay on top of the situation by listening to these weekly podcasts.

Again, if you're new to this, John Batchelor is a longtime correspondent and anchor for ABC News here in the US. Professor Stephen F. Cohen is a foremost expert on Russian and Soviet history. Every Tuesday night at 10:00 pm EDT they discuss the latest developments out of Ukraine and they do so in a manner and scope you won't find anywhere else in the mainstream media.

Last evening...and right before teh fighting resumed today...John and Steve primarily discussed three topics:

  1. How the FIFA corruption scandal effects Russia and its powerful leaders and oligarchs.
  2. The simply incredible news that former Georgian leader Mikheil Saakashvili has been made a Ukraine citizen and appointed to the governorship of the Odessa region.
  3. The revelation that George Soros is attempting to steer the conflict through his influence within both the Ukraine and American governments.

The Saakashvili story is the most breathtaking and ominous development of the week. For more info, check these links:

If you missed the Soros story, here's the link to the report from ZeroHedge: http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2015-06-01/hacked-emails-expose-george-soros-ukraine-puppet-master

And here are some of the headlines out of Ukraine and Donbass from earlier today. These are extraordinarily bad developments as the renewed fighting will bring outcries from the War Party to arm Kiev and further intervene. Now is the time to follow this crisis VERY CLOSELY.

The most recent summary also comes from ZH: http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2015-06-03/russian-ruble-tumbles-2-month-lows-stocks-drop-following-large-scale-rebel-offensive

As Bloomberg notes,

*INTERFAX CITES GENERAL STAFF OF UKRAINE ARMED FORCES ON ATTACK
*UKRAINE SAYS REBELS STARTED LARGE-SCALE OFFENSIVE IN EAST: IFX
*UKRAINE SAYS REBEL OFFENSIVE INVOLVES 1,000 TROOPS, TANKS: IFX
*UKRAINE SAYS ARTILLERY RE-DEPLOYED TO HALT REBEL OFFENSIVE: IFX
*UKRAINE SAYS REBEL OFFENSIVE STARTED NEAR MARYINKA IN EAST: IFX
Offensive by pro-Russian insurgents near Donetsk-region town of Maryinka involves up to 1,000 troops, more than 10 tanks and howitzers, General Staff of Ukraine’s armed forces says in statement on Facebook.

To counter attack, Ukraine re-deployed and used artillery that was previously pulled back

Ukraine says it informed international partners on artillery re-deployment

So, please take the time to listen to this discussion and PLEASE stay on top of this rapidly changing and dangerous situation. Below is a map to help you get your bearings.

TF

19 Comments

proformatrillionaire's picture

1

First again. I will celebrate again by purchasing a sleeve of silver eagles.

Silver Sooner's picture

Saakashvili

One thing to really watch going forward is if the west tries something with the Transdniester region in Moldova.  Russia has over 1,500 peacekeepers there, and it's sandwiched between Moldova and Ukraine.  But more concerning, it's very, very close to...Odessa.

If the West wants to drag Russia into the war openly, how would an attack on its peacekeepers isolated in Transdniester work for ya?  Piece that together with all that we know about Saakashvili and his, er, um, "relationship" with Russia.  

Also, Russia has postponed a scheduled refit for one of its Black Sea guided missile cruiser--the "Moskva".  The Moskva is known as a "carrier killer".  Russia has also been beefing up Crimea just in the last month or so.  

See the pattern?

Chiron's picture

John F'ing Kerry is an ass

Anything else you need to know about his "femur fracture"?  

I could rant for reams of paper about this man, but it would be a waste of precious time.

silver66's picture

sorry Marchas45

FOURTH !!!smiley

Silver66

arch stanton's picture

happy

"ode to billy joe" day

Silver Sooner's picture

Ukraine Update 11:30 EST

This is one of those days where things happen every minute.

It would almost be easier to say where things AREN'T happening.  Lots of towns are seeing increased shelling and/or positional infantry/tank battles.  Shirokino, Debaltsevo, Marinka, Gorlovka, Dukachevsk, Uglegorsk, Donetsk.  

What is fairly clear is that there is a major operation going on in Marinka.  DNR (Donetsk People's Republic) forces are pushing HARD on Marinka.  Ukrainian losses here seem to outnumber the rebel's by a significant margin.  Ukraine has also reportedly committed mobile reserves here to plug the gap.  Within the last hour, reports are indicating that DNR have launched a second-wave attack here.  Thus, this is much more of a planned operation, rather than ongoing skirmishes.     

Some are theorizing that in taking Marinka, this would expose Ukraine's southern flank of its forces around Peski (the war-torn village on the west edge of Donetsk airport).  

Turd Ferguson's picture

Thank you SS

MODERATOR

Your updates are a vital part of filling in the picture. Very much appreciated!

Turd Ferguson's picture

And here you go...

MODERATOR

The move begins to take the 2018 World Cup away from Russia.

 

Silver Sooner's picture

Ukraine Update 12:30 EST

- Fighting continues in and around Marinka.  Heavy losses both sides.  Calls have gone out on both sides for people to come to the hospital(s) and donate blood.  Estimates of today's dead/wounded are ~500 (both sides).  This includes 60 civilians injured just in Donetsk.  

Clips of fighting from Marinka:

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Turd Ferguson's picture

Consider the source

MODERATOR
Turd Ferguson's picture

When I say that things could

MODERATOR

When I say that things could get really bad, really fast...this is the kind of thing I'm talking about:

 

Silver Sooner's picture

...get bad fast:

There's also a handful of NATO ships in the Black Sea.  There is a disputed incident that happened with the USS Ross and some Russian Su-24s last week.  France is also sending a recon frigate to replace the Ross (reports are it entered the Black Sea yesterday).  

As for RUMORS, quite a few Russian "vacationers" recently crossed the border and are part of the Marinka follow-on plans.

Turd Ferguson's picture

And you KNOW that

MODERATOR

And you KNOW that McCain, Breedlove and the rest of The War Party will soon be screaming for NATO weapons and troops for Ukraine. Very bad. Very scary. And I don't frighten easily.

Response to: ...get bad fast:
Turd Ferguson's picture

updated tweet

MODERATOR
brokerk22's picture

Gainesville

is offering silver eagles for only $1.25 over spot.  This extremely low price has me worried.  They are sold out of course.  But why would they sell them so low over spot?

tyberious's picture

Gainesville

lakedweller2's picture

Low Premium Over Spot

They expect a drop in price

Turd Ferguson's picture

Another update

MODERATOR
Turd Ferguson's picture

New ZH link on story

MODERATOR

Good summation on the Russia-FIFA story.

You'd be correct in suspecting that this entire story is cover to take the 2018 World Cup away from Russia.

http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2015-06-03/next-escalation-fbi-launches-probe-russia-2018-world-cup-award

Response to: And here you go...
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