TFMR Podcast - Friday, January 30


Right on cue, gold rebounded today and recovered most of the contract expiration losses of yesterday. Now, with another volatile week ahead, can it crawl back toward $1300 and, if it does, what will happen with silver?

As we wrap up the week and the month (a month which saw gold +8% while the S&P was -3%), just a discussion of these charts:



the HUI and the S&P

And this crazy chart of 10-year German and Japanese bond yields

Regarding the totally insane global interest rate picture, please print off and read this remarkable story from Zerohedge. Then take the printed copy and add it to your Stack For Posterity.

And finally, here's a fun article from SRSrocco covering many of the topics we regularly discuss here in Turdville:

Have a great weekend!



Jan 30, 2015 - 8:38pm

Turd: the real identity of ChillyD

I'm surprised that you didn't recognize his voice. You were interviewed by none other than Jeffrey Lebowski:

new shit has come to light
Jan 30, 2015 - 8:31pm

Don Harold

I think Kerry Lutz had him on last week. I think he said he had the wisdom to sell all silver at $49.00 back in 2011, way to go sage. The entire interview sounded like a bush whacking, self righteous pile of shit from the all knowing.

Jan 30, 2015 - 8:30pm

Chilly willy wonka Don

might wanna watch this:

Video unavailable

Good show, Craig

Jan 30, 2015 - 8:21pm


You mean I actually just did an interview with that Raw Dog guy? I only "knew" him by his email name "Don".

Oh well. Like it matters. As you can tell, I didn't take any shit from the guy and he actually came off as sort of clueless, particularly when he tried to say that gold was awful expensive "insurance" when you compare it to homeowners insurance. HUH?

Anyway, I won't have time to listen to it this weekend and, besides, I already know what we discussed. I'm glad that so many of you found it interesting and entertaining.

Jan 30, 2015 - 8:10pm

What A Real Asshole

How the heck do you really feel Turd? That guy had one agenda, to destroy the Metals Community by negative means. Hell he got all excited once when he thought he had you but man you handled the asshole well.

I believe I've heard him once before and I believe it involved Chris Duane but hell Turd I hope your through with that jerk. Keep Stacking

O! God it's Raw Dog no wonder I heard that voice before. That guys a nut and always changing his mind on the metals and he believes he is one smart cookie. Only thing he has for sure is one Big Ego.

bim jeam
Jan 30, 2015 - 7:26pm


You really have my respect for putting up with that chillyd clown as long as you did.
What a flaming ahole.

Edit: The audio track at link above did not require an email address.

Jan 30, 2015 - 7:24pm

Turd's triumph interveiw

Below is the link to Chilly Dickhead's site, but you have to give your email before you can access the video. DO NOT DO IT. This guy does not deserve it.

You can access it on Financial Survival Network, once there scroll down till you find it.

Turd tore this A-hole up!

Great job Craig, hold your head up high!

P.S. , Chilly Dick has the most pathetic looking site I have ever seen.

Dr. P. Metals
Jan 30, 2015 - 7:13pm



Edit, ok, that's maybe too creepy LOL. later...good weekend, get away from this for a few days.

Jan 30, 2015 - 7:03pm
Dr. P. Metals
Jan 30, 2015 - 7:01pm

Ha, you crashed my edit while you replied, no biggie

What I wanted to add, is that at least for me, I'm still digesting this most recent 2-day sequence of events. It was the most blatant manipulation event we've ever seen (except for those gigantic ones years ago), and this one was all right out in the open, right in our faces, and no-one (regulator wise, etc) cares at all! So I'm still raw from this one...I'm still trying to claw back to even, on this part of my portfolio, but unsure as to whether it's even possible. I've started to move more and more out of the system each week now, and when all out, i'm out of here. This is so ridiculous it's well, ridiculous. I had hoped to try to claw back to even, but am slowly thinking even that may be futile.

RE: "but I think we are seeing some daylight." at least until the next manipulated event. where as one poster said, they can claw back these gains, and even more, if we didn't re-enter at the exact bottom of the prior bottom again.

Yes, have a good weekend! Been a long year already :)

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Key Economic Events Week of 11/30

11/30 9:45 ET Chicago PMI
12/1 9:45 ET Markit Manu PMI Nov
12/1 10:00 ET ISM Manu PMI Nov
12/2 8:15 ET ADP Employment Report
12/3 9:45 ET Markit Services PMI Nov
12/3 10:00 ET ISM Services PMI Nov
12/4 8:30 ET BLSBS
12/4 8:30 ET US Trade Deficit Nov
12/4 10:00 ET Factory Orders

Key Economic Events Week of 11/23

11/23 9:45 ET Markit flash PMIs
11/23 1:00 ET Goon Daly
11/23 3:00 ET Goon Evans
11/24 9:00 ET Case-Shiller home prices
11/24 10:00 ET Consumer Confidence
11/24 11:00 ET Goon Bullard
11/24 12:00 ET Goon Williams
11/24 12:45 ET Goon Chlamydia
11/25 8:30 ET Q3 GDP 2nd guess
11/25 8:30 ET Durable Goods
11/25 10:00 ET Personal Inc and Spend
11/25 10:00 ET Core inflation
11/26 US Market holiday

Key Economic Events Week of 11/16

11/16 2:00 pm ET Goon Chlamydia
11/17 8:30 ET Retail Sales
11/17 8:30 ET Import Price Index
11/17 9:15 ET Cap Ute and Ind Prod
11/17 10:00 ET Business Inventories
11/17 1:00 pm ET Chief Goon Powell
11/18 8:30 ET Housing Starts
11/18 1:20 pm ET Goon Bullard
11/19 8:30 ET Jobless claims
11/19 8:30 ET Philly Fed

Key Economic Events Week of 11/9

11/9 1:30 pm ET Goon Mester
11/10 7:30 am ET Goon Kaplan
11/10 10:00 ET JOLTS job openings
11/10 10:00 ET Goon Rosengren
11/11 Veteran's Day. Bond market closed.
11/12 8:30 ET CPI
11/12 11:45 ET Chief Goon Powell
11/12 2:00 pm ET Federal budget
11/13 7:00 ET Goon Williams
11/13 8:30 ET PPI
11/13 8:30 ET Goon Bullard
11/13 10:00 ET Consumer sentiment

Key Economic Events Week of 11/2

11/2 9:45 ET Markit Manu PMI
11/2 10:00 ET ISM Manu PMI
11/2 10:00 ET Construction Spending
11/3 U.S. Election Day
11/4 November FOMC begins
11/4 8:30 ET ADP jobs report
11/4 8:30 ET US Trade Deficit
11/4 9:45 ET Markit Services PMI
11/4 10:00 ET ISM Services PMI
11/5 8:30 ET Productivity & Unit Labor Costs
11/5 2:00 ET FOMC Fedlines
11/5 2:30 ET Chief Goon Powell presser
11/6 8:30 ET BLSBS
11/6 10:00 ET Wholesale Inventories

Key Economic Events Week of 10/26

10/27 8:30 ET Durable Goods
10/27 10:00 ET Case-Shiller home prices
10/27 10:00 ET Consumer Confidence
10/27 10:00 ET Richmond Fed
10/28 8:30 ET Advance Trade in Goods
10/28 8:30 ET Wholesale Inventories
10/29 8:00 ET ECB monetary policy stmt
10/29 8:30 ET Q3 GDP first guess
10/30 8:30 ET Personal Income and Spending
10/30 8:30 ET Core Inflation
10/30 10:00 ET UMich Consmer Sentiment

Key Economic Events Week of 10/19

10/19 11:45 ET Goon Chlamydia
10/20 8:30 ET Housing Starts
10/20 1:00 pm ET Goon Evans
10/21 10:00 ET Goon Mester
10/21 2:00 pm ET Fed Beige Book
10/22 8:30 ET Initial Jobless Claims
10/23 9:45 ET Markit Oct flash PMIs

Key Economic Events Week of 10/12

10/13 8:30 ET CPI and Core CPI
10/14 8:30 ET PPI
10/14 9:00 ET Goon Chlamydia
10/15 8:30 ET Philly Fed
10/15 8:30 ET Empire State Idx
10/15 8:30 ET Import Price Idx
10/16 8:30 ET Retail Sales
10/16 9:15 ET Cap Ute & Ind Prod
10/16 10:00 ET Business Inv

Key Economic Events Week of 10/5

10/5 9:45 ET Markit Svc PMI
10/5 10:00 ET ISM Svc PMI
10/5 10:45 ET Goon Evans
10/6 8:30 ET Trade Deficit
10/6 10:00 ET JOLTS job openings
10/6 10:45 ET Chief Goon Powell
10/7 2:00 ET Sept FOMC minutes
10/7 3:00 ET Goon Williams
10/8 8:30 ET Initial jobless claims
10/9 10:00 ET Wholesale Inventories
10/9 12:10 ET Goon Rosengren

Key Economic Events Week of 9/28

9/29 8:30 ET Advance trade in goods
9/29 9:00 ET Case-Shiller home prices
9/29 10:00 ET Consumer Confidence
9/30 8:15 ET ADP employment report
9/30 9:45 ET Chicago PMI
10/1 8:30 ET Personal Income and Spending
10/1 8:30 ET Core Inflation
10/1 9:45 ET Markit Manu PMI
10/1 10:00 ET ISM Manu PMI
10/2 8:30 ET BLSBS
10/2 10:00 ET Factory Orders

Forum Discussion

by 11IMIX, Dec 3, 2020 - 7:02pm
by 11IMIX, Dec 3, 2020 - 7:01pm
by SteveW, Dec 3, 2020 - 3:41pm
by Nijle, Dec 3, 2020 - 11:15am