TFMR Podcast #41 - Andrew Maguire Discusses Gold Backwardation and Current Gold Price Trends

135

Today, we conclude our analysis of the current backwardation in gold by visiting with legendary trader, Andrew Maguire.

A couple of things before we get started:

  • If you haven't yet, I strongly encourage you to listen to yesterday's podcast with Sandeep Jaitly before you listen to this one with Andy. I posted Sandeep first for a reason...you need as clear an understanding of backwardation as possible so that you can give this your full consideration.
  • There are good people, like Trader Dan, who have looked at this issue and concluded that there is no current backwardation in gold. Perhaps it all depends on what you're measuring. All I know is that Sandeep and Professor Fekete are global authorities on this stuff and I tend to side with them. Reasonable people can disagree, however, and it is disagreement that helps to make a "market", whether it's gold, silver, stocks, whatever.
  • Andy will have more to say in March and he's promised to come back soon for another podcast. This particular podcast primarily deals with the current backwardation and the implications for price in the short, intermediate and longer terms.

And keep in mind as you listen...Andy is "boots on the ground" in London, the center of the gold trading world for the past 200+ years. The Comex in New York controls paper price but, as you know, the underlying fundamental going forward is global, physical demand and this takes place in London. Where Comex may physically settle 1,000,000 troy ounces (30 metric tonnes) once every two months, London allocates and settles that much physical metal nearly every single day. Therefore, spot vs futures backwardation is a big, big deal. It drives allocation and purchase decisions for many of the central banks and other sovereigns currently racing to convert dollars into hard assets. Therefore, you must fully consider the ramifications of what is happening and I'm confident you'll find that this podcast will promote your understanding of the situation.

TF

p.s. Once again, I urge you to consider a subscription to Coghlan Capital, perhaps only for Andy's detailed and extensive, weekly commentary. He provides the reader with background and information you simply cannot and will not find anywhere else. Along with the commentary, you also get real-time access so you can follow along with Andy's daily trading activity as well as unbiased and objective technical analysis from Paul Coghlan. Yes, it's expensive but what service of real value isn't? At this critical time, it might be the smartest investment you could make. https://www.coghlancapital.com/daytrades-application?ak=turd_army

  135 Comments

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ArtL
Mar 7, 2013 - 2:02am

Visit the FAQ page to learn how to track your last read comment, add images, embed videos, tweets, and animated gifs, and more.

Two Gun Tobin
Mar 3, 2013 - 3:00pm

My addition problem

HAHAHAHAHA.. I could not log in because 1+0 does not equal 1.... tried 4 times... what a riot. I always thought that I was living in some kind of alternate universe, and now I'm sure. I never want to go back to that place and time where everything made sense.. so much more fun here in Turdland!

Fishing is pretty good in this universe though.

foggyroad
Mar 3, 2013 - 9:51am

Log on worked very well

Every time, I have used the new system it worked well

I wonder if personal PC browser settings have anything to do with it?

I like it much better than the old squiggly word one that used to generate daft words, on the old blogspot site.

I would like to thank, Admin for the new upgrades, they have worked every time.

The blogspot captcha at one point, seemed to generate nasty irritating words that I refused to type out.

Random computer generated words like slvrhater, donbyslvr, and smusmnrs , cmeok, cftcaok, jpmisdogdswrk, sqdruls, who owns that captcha computer?

hmm..

well maybe I'm reading too much into it.:0)

Stay strong, P.T.S

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