Pailin's Trading Corner

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Sun, Nov 30, 2014 - 5:25pm
tonym9
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didn't find additional

didn't find additional buys this weekend but there is plenty of silver out there, gov't issue is about $3 over, some as low as 2.39 per for eagles...goldmart i think it was.

it'll be interesting to watch this open...

"No! Try not. Do, or do not. There is no try." -Yoda Levitation will levitate until levitation doesn't levitate. Rates be the key matey.
Sun, Nov 30, 2014 - 6:42pm
pailin
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GAP DOWN

Hello 14.49. ha ha.

To the intelligent man or woman, life appears infinitely mysterious, but the stupid have an answer for everything. -Edward Abbey
Sun, Nov 30, 2014 - 6:46pm
Tesla
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GSR @ 79:1

Now Were Talking!!

Sun, Nov 30, 2014 - 6:51pm Tesla
pailin
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Tesla wrote:Now Were

Tesla wrote:

Now Were Talking!!

YES! Best GSR since December 2008. And best USD price since August 2009. I think 8 pm ET will bring even more downside. Robbed on my short, and that's the downside of stop/loss. I got picked at 16.30, plain and simple.

To the intelligent man or woman, life appears infinitely mysterious, but the stupid have an answer for everything. -Edward Abbey
Sun, Nov 30, 2014 - 6:52pm
brokerk22
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Holy shit

silver now down 80 cents.

Sun, Nov 30, 2014 - 6:53pm
Urban Roman
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Dayyum.

Not a glitch.

Now I'm glad I snagged some ZSL on Friday. Figured the Swiss vote would go the way it did, and that would have a noticeable effect. Sell on Monday, or wait 'til Tuesday?

In other news, retail shortages once again appearing in TPM's product line. FWIW.

Sun, Nov 30, 2014 - 6:57pm
pailin
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I think it's safe to assume

I think it's safe to assume ASE will disappear tomorrow or Tues at the latest through year end. Why punch out more 2014 at this point, right? Man year end rally for metals is looking really off right now though...crude is totally collapsing.

To the intelligent man or woman, life appears infinitely mysterious, but the stupid have an answer for everything. -Edward Abbey
Sun, Nov 30, 2014 - 6:58pm
eyeswideopen
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Copper getting stomped

Looks like it's approaching the low from 2010.

Sun, Nov 30, 2014 - 7:07pm
pailin
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short again from 14.70

Not ideal, but the break of 15 I have to take seriously.

Stop 15.30.

And yes I know I could wake up very happy or smoked again :)

To the intelligent man or woman, life appears infinitely mysterious, but the stupid have an answer for everything. -Edward Abbey
Sun, Nov 30, 2014 - 7:14pm
eyeswideopen
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Question?

I see a gap from 15.25 to about 14.95 on a 1 minute chart.

Can that gap exist indefinitely, or does it even matter?

Sun, Nov 30, 2014 - 7:25pm
thatguy007
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Yeah that gap on the gold chart

Gap on the gold chart looks magnetic... would be happy to short from there.

Just my luck it'll get filled via $950Au :P

Sun, Nov 30, 2014 - 7:43pm
tonym9
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O-O !!!! 14 handle winds the

O-O !!!!

14 handle winds the clock back a bit no doubt. Getting closer to 08 crash levels. From here I'm on alert for a buy. Govt issue at 15 all in trips my trigger. Getting closer. Goldmart at 17.26 for Maples.

I don't expect to buy until first quarter '15 though. Last thing I want to see is a waterfall event. I want it to be a slow grind so premiums don't skyrocket.

P, that short looks good assuming the short term relief rally doesn't get you. I still say seasonals are dead for now. IMO we have to reset to crash levels before normal seasonal chart action returns.

The one thought that keeps nagging at me is silver's over reactions...past 08 crash lows takes us where ???

At this point though my eyes are on OIL...

"No! Try not. Do, or do not. There is no try." -Yoda Levitation will levitate until levitation doesn't levitate. Rates be the key matey.
Sun, Nov 30, 2014 - 8:20pm
SSK
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Sadly, I took no short going

Sadly, I took no short going into the weekend. I do own some long SLW (which has been holding up rather well), but that will be stomped.

I hear you Pailin about Trader Dan. He was never a great prognosticator, but that's what made him worthwhile. He could confirm a market's trend, set trading parameters, and I LOVED how he tweaked Sinclair and Turd's noses. He broke from those guys about two years ago when he saw the gold market turn south while they kept calling bottoms and deviating toward conspiracies in lieu of the reality right in front of their noses.

Bottom for silver? $6?

Bottom for Gold? $600

Could be.

Sun, Nov 30, 2014 - 8:45pm
pailin
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I'll never get it. There's so

I'll never get it. There's so many ways to make money out there. Fleecing the flock? For speculative opinion stuff?? That's just lazy and weak. And usually signals the end as the smart leave and the weak go broke (being fleeced). Dan was nice reading, but whatever. Be surprised if he's still doing the same a year from now. Then again, others have (hint, hint) and seem to be thriving?? Maybe I'm the big idiot on this...

The only piece missing from the puzzle is Miles Franklin telling us how this break under $15 brings us closer to "victory". Surely we'll get that tomorrow :)

To the intelligent man or woman, life appears infinitely mysterious, but the stupid have an answer for everything. -Edward Abbey
Sun, Nov 30, 2014 - 9:00pm
Urban Roman
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Tradingview shows a brief

Tradingview shows a brief little dip in XAGUSD at 23:42 to 13.997.

Mon, Dec 1, 2014 - 4:56am pailin
Tesla
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Ouch! Stopped Out

pailin wrote:

Not ideal, but the break of 15 I have to take seriously.

Stop 15.30.

And yes I know I could wake up very happy or smoked again :)

On huge dollar bounce. Still looking down at possible 13.** I think now. 14.1* minimum. Gotta buy big if that happens. (edit) almost 2 dollar bounce!

Mon, Dec 1, 2014 - 6:34am
pailin
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Yep it happens. Looks like

Yep it happens. Looks like that was a very brief opportunity, probably ZH correctly reporting that fund liquidating it's commodity positions. That may be it for the year, unless the same thing happens again (large pools go poof!) For 2015, who knows but to most of the world, nothing changed since last week :)

To the intelligent man or woman, life appears infinitely mysterious, but the stupid have an answer for everything. -Edward Abbey
Mon, Dec 1, 2014 - 9:08am pailin
Urban Roman
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Jollyville
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Yep it happens.

Some of the ZH comments were good..

"It's a hedge fund! Didn't they hedge?"

Mon, Dec 1, 2014 - 10:51am
pailin
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Even though I got smoked,

Even though I got smoked, stop paid off, too busy today to watch tick by tick, it got me out early and not too painfully. Live to play another day. December 1, guess funds are BUYING for December? Crazy markets. As most of you know, aside from long bullion moves and short paper metals moves...I'm not a player anymore. Art...less liquid, all gains :)

To the intelligent man or woman, life appears infinitely mysterious, but the stupid have an answer for everything. -Edward Abbey
Mon, Dec 1, 2014 - 11:18am
tonym9
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another example of why P's

another example of why P's forex platform notes make cents...much to be made with flexibility, much to be lost being trapped.

the whipsaw is impressive.

14.60ish now has a recent marker on the charts...and connects all the way across the bottom of a longterm chart

"No! Try not. Do, or do not. There is no try." -Yoda Levitation will levitate until levitation doesn't levitate. Rates be the key matey.