Plotting the Course of The Zeitgeist

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Fri, Feb 12, 2021 - 8:47pm
Mark Howe
Joined: May 31, 2020

Buying silver contract for delivery

Can you buy a silver contract, take delivery at 27.45 then sell silver on eBay for $30.00 or more?

If we look around we see not where we are, but the obvious signs of where we were.

Where we are now will be revealed soon, but it is not clear, not transparent as yet.

The markets, in which we invest, trade, and our assets are priced are not predicated upon the now.

Nor are the markest priced based upon the near future either. You see - the obvious changes are priced in already.

What is not priced in are :

- unexpected and sudden changes that become "revealed", but insiders were acting to price them in already, in advance of the general market

- the ongoing process of "crystallization of the course of the zeitgeist".

What I mean by the second is this: the movers and manipulators are motivating the crowd. They seek advantage for themselves from this. eg When Edward Bernays paid women to flout their cigarettes, and call them, "torches of freedom", and paid shill media to cover those comments with articles, headlines, photographs of the pretty actresses, generations of women were motivated to begin smoking, something previously considered a dirty habit.

History took a turn as a result. Money flowed from women, towards tobacco corporations. Health services suffered costs and lives were shortened. The PRopaganda, PR (public relations moniker) business took a leap forwards. Money moved and some people paid with cash, savings, happiness, eventually oftentimes with their life.

So what did Bernays do? He shifted the course of the zeitgeist in a small way for the benefit of a big client.

That is what this forum thread is about. Noting the evolution of changes to the course of the zeitgeist. NOT SIMPLY NOTING THE ZEITGEIST!

Society is like a ship cutting through ice. The ice represents uncertainty of the future. The battlefront for society takes place at the leading edge. The bow of the ship of society. Every time fresh ice breaks, (uncertainty dissolves into transparency) enabling forwards motion of society. The direction may be continuation of what it was before, or it may be modified a little this way, or modify a little that way. Sometimes events accellerate or decellerate. (Changes rapidly vs stability)

The modifications not yet observed by the general market are opportunity. Sometimes it will be short term, other times longer term. Sometimes it will be a false alert intended to create mispricing of an asset by some interested party.

So to kick things off:

Here is some unusually fair legacy media coverage (globalist EU controlled BBC) of old corrupted parties arguing with each other as new democratic parties prepare to replace them. Whether the future will be wonderful or terrible ( and no established power ever left voluntarily or quietly ) these people ( old left, old right, their media ) are making change attractive.


Fri, Feb 12, 2021 - 8:50pm
Mark Howe
Joined: May 31, 2020

Delivery of silver contract

Why can't you buy comes silver contract, take deliver at let's say $27.50 the sell silver bars on eBay for $30 or more? Almost 10% spread between future price and metal price???????

Sat, Feb 13, 2021 - 2:53am
Chicago, IL
Joined: Aug 31, 2011

Hidden costs

There are hidden costs when buying a contract for delivery like assay charges, insurance and delivery fees.

I miss my old dog.

Sat, Feb 13, 2021 - 3:07pm
Joined: Jan 20, 2013

Future vs Physical

The difference is because they are not the same product.

They never were.

In "good times" the difference ebtween them may be ignored at no cost. Because "bad times" are unusual, and not much knowledge of that zeitgeist, or any world spirit, is inside peoples heads, the difference between the two products during those times is also not well recognized.

As long as perceptions of the difference are low, price converges. When perceptions change the premium for physical expands.

One time it will stay expanded and paper price will converge on physical instead of vice versa.

But .... most end-of-the-paradigm-as-we-know-it forecasts don't materialize.

In other words, it's a mistake to forecast an imminent fiat FX revaluation (crash in value) 99.999% of the time.

To act on such a forecast required some way to reject the 99.999% of bad forecasts.

Meanwhile, we actually do have a resonable way to compare futures prices with physical prices. Look at the contango/premium (depending on which side you are in) at the moment when open interest is at its absolute lowest level.

Until that moment arrives, the basis, or paper vs price difference, or spot vs future difference, will be approximate to interest rate prevailing at that time, since the risk is in eserve FX fiat units. When the bond market cracks, and it will because it always does, that calculation will become irrelevant, and risk will be values in a different unit of exchange.

What establishment are trying to do is build a cage around traders, and get the following monetary unit into place before the existing one goes into a decline.

BUT ... such a negotiation is akin to asking the winning boxer in the ring to refrain from throwing the winning punch.

That sort of negotiation has hailed through all recorded history.

And yet, we must not make the play too soon, because empires take a long long time to fall. However, there are plenty of other opportunities going on, since the decline is a process more than an event.

Try to enjoy the decline. We have options. Literally as well as figuratively.

argentus maximus

Rhythm and Price

This analyst - global markets

Mon, Feb 15, 2021 - 6:51pm
Joined: Jan 20, 2013

BBC facing trouble

It seems to unexpected that this should happen.

I mean, if only there were some advice or warning of potential pitfalls to avold.

Some wisdom.

Some phrase .

Like maybe ....

"Get Woke, Go Broke"

No. They couldn't have seen it coming. Totally unpredicted.

Nobody knew.

Only .... by now, we have been talking about this here for how long?

The BBC is DOOMED Says Doctor Who Showrunner Russell T Davies!

argentus maximus

Rhythm and Price

This analyst - global markets

Sun, Feb 21, 2021 - 8:59am
Joined: Jan 20, 2013

When the public calls out fake fact checkers

When the public calls out fake fact checkers, Poynter, the fact checking umbrella organization got its feather really ruffled.

I wonder why? Is fact checking so profitable? Or could they be motivated by political bias? Not good for their fact checking accuracy either way, right?

So, the fakiest of fake fact checkers who endorse fake news of one side while calling out fake news of the other, dislike public sourced checking as being tested by twitter in its Birdwatch tweet rating scheme.


What is this? It is the middle to left calling out the far left.

argentus maximus

Rhythm and Price

This analyst - global markets

Wed, Feb 24, 2021 - 6:17am
Green Lantern
Joined: Jun 15, 2011

Nobody has posted a good UFO

Nobody has posted a good UFO story here in a long time.

I consider 99% of the news flow I've read related to UFO's as bullshit.

Good CGI graphics

Lack of eye witness testimony

Unnamed sources by witnesses who took the video.

Lack of corroboration with other parties.

Probably other tells.

So this UFO story is a bit different because we have corroboration, we have the audio between American Airlines pilot and the tower.

We have corporate acknowledgement of the encounter. Do all the other stories have that element?

The audio was captured by a blogger "Aviation, Intellegence, Space" news blog. You can listen for yourself.

We have widespread media reports

Maybe it was a cruise missile? Better yet 3rd cruise over a commercial jet?

The latter is much more problematic than visitors from another planet. Cruise missiles over commercial airlines on domestic soil would be really bad which pushes this narrative much lower than an actually unidentified object.

The final explanation would be that it is disinformation that pilots are in on, the blogger is on, American Airlines is in on, and the FAA is in on.

I'd rate the widespread conspiracy that everyone is in on as highly unlikely. A story like that could be broken.