Oh gee, I was looking forward to this years derby more than usual Why? Because the year started off with full of talent and the mediocrity of the past few years. Every year you lose some to injury or regression but to lose this many in so late in the year was heartbreaking for me. My early pick was a colt named Constitution. He came up with a hairline fracture in training. Thankfully it was discovered while training and not while he was all out on the engine during a race. He will be back but likely will miss all triple crown races. Then Cairo Prince an early favorite who had regressed but was training back into form fit for the derby- injury and he's out. I have one other favorite who is in that Constitution had beaten earlier this year but egad he's got an engine and is all heart. That leaves the overwhelming California Chrome. A magnificent animal by all standard and his resembles to secretariat is no coincidence since he carries his blood. He is not as sturdy built as the legend but he he's done nothing wrong and he's marvelous to watch. He already received standing ovation in his native California. He's the whole enchilada and is showing no signs of a bounce. Only detraction is he coming off poly tracks and no history of how he will respond to dirt. He really does have potential to a crown winner if he can hold up. Unfortunately, the rest entered so far are rather immature and quite haven't figured out to use all four legs together properly or as we say, they aren't collected yet. One other has 9 starts already and that means a very tired horse. Why the big deal? Well what would Secretariat be without Sham ( a likely crown winner himself in any other year). I can't imagine Affirmed without an equally talented Alydar matching him stride for stride in the stretch. Niatross without Storm Damage dogging him. Battery does have a decent one in the hunt but I hate him as a human and a trainer and I don't think his horse is the same quality. I reckon I'm saying is that even if we get a crown winner this year. It's gonna be, as far as the derby is concerned kinda like the Pittsburgh Steelers beating the Pitt Panthers. Oh wait I nearly forgot. There is a long long shot named Danza that beat some excellent horses but there is no way to tell if it can be repeated. I'm still anxious to see California Chrome run. He really is graceful and just floats over the surface. The field isn't set and there will be more entering but so far it appears ill be betting the tote board instead of the talent. Hey that kinda sounds like the markets dont it? Oh well that's my $10 dollars.
Looking forward to some more of your thoughts on the KD. Not poorly written at all. I love horses but not around them at all, so I love learning new-to-me terms like "collected". Hope you continue to write your thoughts.
P.S. Making leftovers is even more fun than the original dinner. Just made some awesome scalloped potatoes with ham.
[quote=Ruffian] Pro gamblers will tell you it's not who you bet but how you bet. Without a doubt Chrome is the class of the race but this is the derby and there will be 18 or 19 gunning for him. [quote]
How about a short tutorial on how to bet the race. I'm not much of a gambler but I'd put a few bucks down to keep things interesting.
I m really enjoying this thread- thank you for sharing your knowledge, this is fascinating! Now I'm off to look up 6 or 7 words and concepts you used so I can understand!
Please feel free to keep this up, if you want- Ill read every post. Gracias, amigo!
CaliChrome sure looks impressive. The handride in the SA Derby was a thing of beauty.
The place horse in that race was also under a hand ride so keep an eye on it, too.
Love me some ponies ... growing up I went to del mar with my nana (RIP) and i have fond memories of times at the track. nothing like holding a ticket and watching your horses come in. i will be doing some last minute research saturday AM, but cheers again for sharing your thoughts.
Are you physically at Churchill Downs watching all week or via satellite?
Never been, but i'll get there one of these years. I am always down for a mint julep and a cigar!!! sure does look like cc and the rest. i'll prob exacta box that beautiful beast w/ my 3 favorites. How can a guy like me not give med(t)al count an across the board how you doing at 20-1 ... looking for a payday, and i promise to dump my winning lettuce into more phyZZ.
please continue to share with us, i too really appreciate your time and effort.
Thanks for the betting tips. I was listening to some expert today who after giving his picks and favorites said, but I wouldn't bet it. Whatever that means. Doesn't give me much confidence in throwing my money down at the window.
If I get brave, I'll make a bet. Otherwise just watch with a Mint Julep. Did you guys know that Mint Julep must be served in a pewter glass? I didn't. And if you have deep pockets, you can get the top shelf Kentucky Whiskey and that Mint Julep will cost you $2000.00 buckeroo's. Better have a nice buzz.
Thank you so much for sharing some insight into the world of horse racing. I only lost $32 fiat. I boxed 4 and CC and Danza were winners, but I picked two other horses that didn't show, Metal Count and Dance with Fate. I had to go to the casino to place the bets and wait in a long line. I can't believe how nervous I get.
I started getting into the Triple Crown when I bet on Real Quiet way back when. What kind of prediction do you have for CC to be a Triple Crown winner?