The setup for the big trade

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Fri, Mar 15, 2019 - 8:11am TF
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Craig, Argentus Maximus, Setup

Turd Ferguson wrote:

I prefer to just let the forums run their course without my interruption.

However, I just wanted to publicly thank AM again for maintaining this forum. He's been at it now FOR OVER SIX YEARS and if anyone knows how difficult that is...it's me.

So thanks again, AM, for all your contributions to TFMR. Let's just hope The Big Trade realizes itself in the not-too-distant future.

Thanks for your kind comments Craig.

It's appreciated.

Back in January 2013, when I contacted you and asked could I make a forum with a different take on things, and you said "Go ahead", I little thought I would be still here now.

I had a vague notion that I would try to manage people's expectations and drop insight (as I do my best to gain such) for an 89 month bear swing, hopefully get good entry points, and then fade away into incognito-dom.

But clarity never arrives - because geopolitcal reality is always moving, always changing, and we never get the memo from the top, only misinformation, misdirection, and control nudging in negative (for us) directions and behaviours.

So its all still just as murky now as it was six years ago. I have merely gotten through the time in between without taking significant damage, while becoming more robust for what comes. And it's a running project still.

I hope all you Setup readers feel the same way.

And thanks Craig, for providing this forum where our discussions, scenario building, and thought experiments can take place.

Back then I looked around for a place to speak from, and yours seemed the best. Today I am happy I made that choice back then, and that you received my email so positively.

Norm

argentus maximus Rhythm and Price http://www.greenhobbymodel.com/rhythmnprice.html This analysis - global markets
Mon, Mar 18, 2019 - 9:57am argentus maximus
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AM

The socialists are in control of Europe and gold goes nowhere. They probably will be in control of the US and the rest of the world and It will not matter. The young people around the world could care less about gold. Why bother?

kentucky
Mon, Mar 18, 2019 - 3:34pm kentucky
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kentucky wrote:

kentucky wrote:

The socialists are in control of Europe and gold goes nowhere. They probably will be in control of the US and the rest of the world and It will not matter. The young people around the world could care less about gold. Why bother?

The group in control will be ousted, removed, or self destruct when the right inflection arrives.

Historically (referring to the 1970-80s here) left wing governments end up in power towards the latter part of a stagflation. Money runs out for the elites and nation states and they start doing things about finding new marks with deep pockets. That's when resource wars get going, to steal other nations' gold, oil, energy, crops, revenues, and also when the forces to destroy the resource nation states' stability increases.

We're there.

After that stage, a winner emerges for the coming period, the money gets reset to favour that new power (or power group !) and the governments swings away from the bankrupt leftwing governments and rightist governments get back in power.

The new powers can control everything with emergency powers, commodities get capped, including gold (unless it is the new currency which I don't expect), new energy gets rolled out and it all starts again.

Using this as a pattern of sorts, a question arises: are the cities bankrupt yet? No. Another is: Have the IMF, World bank, et al bailed out the weak states yet by issuing new credit? Partially but it's not endemic.

The difficulty is, this is a rolling process, not a wave that crashes all in one moment. There is no sign of the new currency yet. The winner has not emerged from the fray. So negotiations continue and jockeying for positional advantage outside the negotiations also continues.

And at this time gold is almost back to it's decade trading mid range against US dollar. But you look at gold against other prime currencies and a different story is visible. This is the principle of breadth.

So as a measure of breadth, and I have not done this at moment of typing, how many currencies is the gold price rising in, and how many currencies is it falling in?

argentus maximus Rhythm and Price http://www.greenhobbymodel.com/rhythmnprice.html This analysis - global markets
Tue, Mar 19, 2019 - 4:24pm
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Green Lantern

I love that you follow Gann's work. I'd love to keep seeing updates from your analysis.

Tue, Mar 19, 2019 - 7:11pm
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clarification AM

So negotiations continue and jockeying for positional advantage outside the negotiations also continues.

Can you provide some insight as to what negotiations for a new currency look like. I don't think they are on the front page, they probably are, but I don't know how to read the tea leaves.

a few nudges or historical situtations, so we can see how these negotiations worked in the past or are heppening in the present. this will allow us to have our radar turned on.

Thanks

Silver66

Silver66 Rage against the dying of the light

Wed, Mar 20, 2019 - 7:31am
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follow up to negotiations

AM you have suggested that gold will not be the next currency. The problem right now with the US dollar is it is the medium of exchange and the store of value. So the next currency could split those two functions ? ?

If the next currency is crypto then this article could be "telling " to the negotiations . Crypto needs technology does it not?

https://www.zerohedge.com/news/2019-03-19/trumps-beijing-blockade-backfi...

Is part of the world not ready to give washington a back door pass into all its data that is currently in US produced chips

Silver66

Silver66 Rage against the dying of the light

Thu, Mar 21, 2019 - 6:30am
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Bond yield inversion and FED

Bond yield inversion and FED has put an end to rate hikes, both in favor for gold. Yes I am bullish Gold for the next seven years.

Look at Gold weekly, this golden serpent is a man with a plan!

http://farm8.staticflickr.com/7925/32491504777_e3166b178b_b.jpg

coiling it's body ready to shoot away and bite a central banksters butt injecting it with golden venom.

Other than that a huge environment debate at work, it's me against 20 other climate change fanatics.
I did some research yesterday and it was quite easy to find some good arguments against the alarmists.

Greta Thunberg a Swedish climate alarmist, the woman of the year in Sweden. She looks like a twelve year old kid. I feel sorry for her, brainwashed by her parents.

It is not like we have not tried this before, look at the climate fascist from 1972:
"We got ten years to stop the catastrophe"

http://farm8.staticflickr.com/7880/46710439634_296b601fe6_b.jpg

and the 1199 islands of Maldives

30 yrs. later, global warming still hasn't sunk Maldives

Saturday, September 22, 2018

Michael F. Haverluck (OneNewsNow.com

After alerting the world in September 1988 that the Maldive islands of the Indian Ocean would be submerged by rising seas in less than three decades – due to the so-called first effects of man-made global warming – officials of the United Nations and associated climatologists are scratching their heads that the island chain is still there.

A report derived from government officials’ predictions shocked the world 30 years ago, warning that the tropical paradise archipelago would soon suffer the same fate as the lost city of Atlantis.

“A gradual rise in average sea level is threatening to completely cover this Indian Ocean nation of 1196 small islands within the next 30 years,” the Agence France-Presse (AFP) reported in September 1988.

Scare tactics or numbers gone wrong?

Serving alongside the UN at the time, Environmental Affairs Director Hussein Shihab gave precise “calculations” about the extent to which the Maldives would become submerged.

“An estimated rise of 20 to 30 centimeters in the next 20 to 40 years could be ‘catastrophic’ for most of the islands, which were no more than a meter above sea level,” Shihab told AFP at the time.

The alarmism did not stop there, as many islanders were led to believe by affiliated of the global peacekeepers that they had just several years to evacuate the island before it became inhabitable.

“The article went on to suggest the Maldives – along with its 200,000 inhabitants – could ‘end’ sooner than expected if drinking water supplies dry up by 1992 ‘as predicted,’” The Daily Caller News Foundation (DCNF) reported. “Today, more than 417,000 people live in the Maldives.”

Power the Future Executive Director Daniel Turner mocked the alarmists at the UN and their affiliated climatologists.

“Call Noah and have him build another Ark,” the leader of the pro-energy group mused while speaking with DCNF. “Bring out the Coast Guard. Send all the boogie boards and floaties you can find – for the Maldives is going down!”

‘Poster’ islands for global warming

For decades, the UN has claimed that the Maldives would be the first to go under the sea once the “catastrophic” effects of climate change induced by human pollutants began.

“The Maldives are among the island nations often held up by United Nations officials as being on the ‘front-lines’ of man-made global warming,” DCNF Energy Editor Michael Bastasch noted.

In fact, Republic of Maldives President Mohamed Nasheed addressed other world leaders at the UN General Assembly Summit on Climate Change in August 2009 to alarm attendees that entire populations across the world will drown as glaciers melt – and increase the ocean depth by just 4.5 feet – because of manmade airborne pollution.

"You know that with a sea-level rise of over 1.5 meters, hundreds of millions of people would be dead,” Nasheed told the UN Chronicle days after speaking at the summit. “They would simply be wiped out."

Behind the dire warnings of the Green agenda is reportedly the green glow of money, but the alarmism was not enough to quickly secure the exorbitant funds ultra-environmentalists were trying to pander from climate-change believing nations across the globe.

“The island nation was among the first to apply for Green Climate Fund aid, but the funding hasn’t been flowing, according to The New York Times,” Bastach explained.

Just last year, Maldives Energy and Environment Minister Thoriq Ibrahim made it clear that he wanted immediate access to funds … before it was too late.

“That’s too long to wait,” Ibrahim insisted to The New York Times in November. “There’s no use having a fund somewhere if you can’t access it quickly.”

However, 30 years of panic did not usher in the consuming seas or the desired funding for the UN, as the Maldives are still perched right above sea level, with its beautiful sandy beaches still beckoning tourists to lay down their towels and unfold their beach chairs – not to head for high ground … if there were any.

“The Maldives are indeed low-lying islands with its highest point only reaching about eight feet above sea level,” Bastach informed. “But obviously, decades-old warnings [that] the Maldives were on the verge of being swallowed by the seas didn’t pan out.”

Getting bigger, not smaller?

Despite what many climatologists report concerning rising sea levels, research conducted by New Zealand scientists on Tavalu’s nine atolls and 101 reef islands between 1971 and 2014 indicates that the Maldives and other coral islands in the region are actually getting larger – not shrinking and sinking.

Thu, Mar 21, 2019 - 2:32pm
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Climate change: Scare tactics or numbers gone wrong?

Solsson: The fundamental change I like to cite is the Keeling curve. It is well established and incontrovertible.

It predicts that the Earth will undergo warming over the next several centuries, as global systems are buffered and there is considerable lag in moving to a new equilibrium once carbon dioxide in the atmosphere is stabilized.

There are obvious problems in explaining this to the general population, particularly since this experiment has not been run before. Thus some of the predictions have proven to be incorrect due to a lack of understanding of issues beyond increasing temperature. The study that you cite on Tuvalu found that the majority of islands (73.5%) expanded in area while there was erosion on a subset of smaller islands. I wonder if you read the original paper which reported a sea level rise of 3.9+/- 0.4 mm/yr over four decades at the Funafuti tide gauge or whether you read a report that informed you of only part of the data slanted to support a viewpoint?

In retrospect the critical technological change was the invention and development of the Haber process in the second decade of the last century. Fixation of nitrogen into ammonia fertilizer allowed the population to be fed and expand beyond the billion present at the beginning of the 20 th century, thereby increasing beyond the likely 2-3 billion sustainable carrying capacity of Earth for our species. We are now impacting our environment well beyond simple climate change. Basic biology infers that when a species expands way beyond the sustainable limit that the population will collapse. Malthus was, I think, the first to point out that exponential population growth was not sustainable, leading to disease, famine etc.

As AI obviates any need for human work and as our social structure makes it likely that the rentiers will control the means of manufacturing I see the possibility of wage slaves destroying themselves much as many Russians were said to die of vodka poisoning as the USSR collapsed. Isn't that the reason for the fentanyl epidemic anyway and the destruction of national, social cohesion by mass immigration?

So what does any of this have to do with trading? Well a deflation in the population will lead to general deflation while the tsunami of AI may render us as little more than pets. Maybe our role in the Universe is to give rise to the Borg.

“Don't walk behind me; I may not lead. Don't walk in front of me; I may not follow. Just walk beside me and be my friend.” ― Albert Camus
Fri, Mar 22, 2019 - 11:45am
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Looking for all the bond bears!!

Look at this, new recent lows on bond yields!!! What happened, I thought betting that yields were going higher was like shooting fish in a barrel.

This is just the start of deflating the debt away, we're going to see negative to 0% on bond yields. Low rates are good , correct?

Think about it, how do you make negative to 0% bond yields attractive for investors? You kill economic growth and inflation!!!!!

Yes, that's right. We're going into the final economic holes. This is where credit dries up for the peasants and social programs get cut. We're already hearing about Trump's budget to cut spending on social programs and cutting off credit for student loans, this is just the start.

What happened to the US dollar trading lower on the Fed giving up? Nope, the US dollar is trading even higher now.

The Elite have no choice, they must bring the economy into a perpetual economic recession with negative rates of interest. They have their debt slaves and they're not going to be able to refinance at lower rates, only The Elite can take advantage of the lower interest rates.

What about gold? IF gold trades over $1500 oz The Elite will panic and start the massive social cuts on the peasants, that will quickly bring the price lower. I don't think gold will even be given the chance to trade at those levels, deflation will be the new theme.

There is no "socialist" that's going to piss on this new party, the peasants are going to experience life without the government credit card. Will they get upset and angry with this new lifestyle? Yes, but nothing is going to change this new reality. We're going to be in this mess for generations to come, negative rates are never going away.

The best trade? Go long the 30 year bond, it will be trading below 1% in 2 years.

Fri, Mar 22, 2019 - 1:24pm
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Bonds and swing lengths

Speaking for myself, I regard the bond markets as the most chancy highest risk markets. this is because the Central Banks have achieved a state of immunity, and this allows them (in their corporate form) to produce a "tail" event without having to pay a personal or individual price for their crookedness.

As regards the bond highs/interest lows, I called a high a couple of years ago. But, a reversal of a 150-320 years bond bull can not be expected to reverse in one business cycle.

I suggested, then and since, a massive trading range for bonds, the swings of which most people would call bull or bear markets due to their size.

The bond market swings will tend to be 4 and a half or nine years in duration. There are some other cycles which obscure that and make it inadequate for full investment strategizing.

Q3 2019, Q4 2020 and Q2-Q3 2022 are the approximate pivot times, broadly speaking, as of a point of view formed at the present moment.

argentus maximus Rhythm and Price http://www.greenhobbymodel.com/rhythmnprice.html This analysis - global markets
Wed, Mar 27, 2019 - 6:37am
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How best to manage "social commentary" posts?

I have indulged a lot of space, a big percentage of content for this subject for that last year or so. But this pushes investment, charts, market specific content down/up the page, diluting the true Setup posts from myself and our other valued contributors. Would a podcast be a good idea to take social commentary posts in the future into a different stream/channel? My YT channel for those? What do you think and what would your suggestions be for this? Feedback appreciated since I can't know what people want until they say it.

Private messages are available for TFMR subscribers, if you're shy! Otherwise post below your ideas and suggestions about the direction you'd like to see more general / wider coverage commentary take.

argentus maximus Rhythm and Price http://www.greenhobbymodel.com/rhythmnprice.html This analysis - global markets
Wed, Mar 27, 2019 - 6:41am
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Cernovich is perceptive 27:00 for a min or two after

Mindset Squared Episode 6 Cernovich Talks Trolls Bolen Talks Real Estate

I try to be careful about how I source my inspiration for the ideas and thoughts we will form and allow to guide us. As this little quote shows, this has become an extremely difficult and onerous, but a absolutely necessary task.

A filter to verify informations' origin is something a survive and thrive-alist can benefit from. For investment in markets ... well, it's just so much extra advantageous to have one, or a few variants of such a filter.

I'd love to do podcasts on this, going into the world of metaphysics of ideas converting to money, but really don't see many who would appreciate such discussion. Unfortunately, there is far more demand for far less useful materials. But I suppose this is just one added situation where opportunity arises from, isn't it?

I have been a little sleepy lately, posting less frequently. Not from now on. Pay attention. Next 30+ a bit days will possibly make or break stocks.

Holidays over. Work calls. The movers and shakers have been jostled, pushed and compelled to choose sides for the coming phase, which initiates soon (in my humble opinion).

Videos and webinars for subscribers to be made starting right now. I will post here in Setup for the Big Trade daily/alternate days again. Possibly reactivate the monthly blog article creative process also.

I have learned that it's better to get busy before the need for that is obvious than after the event!

Idea: Consider watching YT on two screens, one logged in, the other in privacy mode, and take note of suggested video differences when or if they arise. OR: watch the same on YT as is on eg Bitchute and see suggested video differences (which will be more significant, but still maybe give a vague "heads up" to see concerted directional nudging).

Stops!!!!!!

argentus maximus Rhythm and Price http://www.greenhobbymodel.com/rhythmnprice.html This analysis - global markets
Wed, Mar 27, 2019 - 7:30am
Green Lantern
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Airplane time

Airplane time

https://www.theglobeandmail.com/world/article-southwest-737-max-makes-em...

The reactive mind is a funny thing. It often works against our best interests. This was the very first thing I saw when I opened my computer and my reactive mind was plenty awake. It had been programed from earlier discussions here and similar discussions in the previous DOTS, pre-ending cycle that Am mentioned here.

Recently, alot of posts on fractals and an archive full of posts teaching us how to spot them, correlating news flow to cycles in markets.

Possibly a fractal in motion from the last Southwest accident, woman being sucked out of a plane??? I guess I'll find out? The bigger chart has more red lines going back to the first time it was mentioned here/or DOTS and Malaysian airplanes just falling out of the sky.

Go back a couple of pages to my post on Goldman Sachs advice to gold investors. They told you to get out of the stock market in January, as did all the major brokerages, what happened? All the indexes rallied. Did smart $, do what they told you to do and many have been repeating?

Since the major Ethiopian 737 crash, the Bond curve inverted, SPX rallied on extremely low volume which happened back in 12/18 and many nore market fractals to be observed.

The gold price has been rallying since August 16, 2018 from the low price $1,184.80. But funny thing about this rally, investment funds sat out and were slow to buy into this rally. According to my research, investment funds now own 123,909 long gold contracts, some distance from the all time high is investment funds holding 300,070 long contracts. That would mean while Goldman was pumping, big investment funds weren't convinced but they are not often the ones that reached for the cheese. The top dogs are very patient at working the average investor and the accumulation and distribution phases, messing with your brains, can happen over years.

So if a fractal is in the works that would mean a correction until first week of April and then the rally everybody is anticipating for a new high into late April. Whether you're looking at standard technical analysis via https://www.goldmoney.com/research/goldmoney-insights/gold-preparing-for..., or the more esoteric approach which I'll forgo that exercise. There are two cycles involved, one, changes today, and the other one changes, on April 24th. For those, you have to look up.

--------------------------------

As I was refreshing my memory of "airplane time" by searching the archives here. Not an easy job. Am presents things in a different way than most analysts and if my experience is any barometer or a fractal of the whole, that means it requires repeated readings and some thoughtful contemplation before it clicks. And honestly, sometimes that can be 6 months or more out. But I have a private clipboard of unsolved riddles so not to forget and walk away the same way I came in.

I post a fuller version of a quote that was referenced here by am, that I found in my search, that actually makes more sense than it did before because I've been having eye problems to go along with my leg problem. A

“Though seeing, they do not see; though hearing, they do not hear or understand.

14 In them is fulfilled the prophecy of Isaiah: “ ‘You will be ever hearing but never understanding; you will be ever seeing but never perceiving.

15 For this people’s heart has become calloused; they hardly hear with their ears, and they have closed their eyes.

https://www.biblestudytools.com/passage/?q=mateo+13:9-16;-lucas-8:5-11

most of these lessons and alternative interpretations of the bible were posted in the stacker forums that could be used for your understanding of markets and geopolitical cycles. .

The reason I bring this up is because all of a sudden as a middle ager, my eyesight ain't as good as it used to be. And we also discussed this at length over on the other part of the forum but now I raise it here with new information.

I reached out to an expert in the field who is the 1% of people that understand the mechanisms of the human body better than most of humanity. I'n fortunate to have made such a contact and she is in high demand but still unrecognized for her GENIUS in mainstream circles. Turns out, I didn't know alot about seeing.

As a matter of fact, most of us don't and there is a relationship between how we perceive reality, how we process reality, our believe systems and our eye sight. some of that info is not appropriate or relevant to economic and market discussions.

The apparatus is actually a tetrahedron. That's a pyramid. Those who were following the Gann/Bible discussions know it's importance in decoding markets and understanding natural law. The process and anatomy of Seeing is a fractal of universal law.

As our eyesight declines, our inner programming switches. Instead of seeing the way nature intended us to, in a receptive way, we begin "trying" to see. We squint or put on reading glasses to compensate for our declining sight and we are projecting/anticipating what we will see instead of seeing reality/objects the way they actually exist.

Essentially, we no longer see the way Van Gogh saw in a totally receptive state. (that post is in the archives too if you missed it) We don't see the that book in front of us, or the picture on the wall. We struggle to understand foreign concepts. It's not that we aren't capable, it's we are projecting our old thinking patterns onto new idea's instead of being receptive. "Be as a child"

Instead of receptively seeing, we are projecting. We have inverted the seeing process. And than the more difficulty we have seeing, we begin to try to see. (see my recent post in the vault about the law of reversed effects or Am's original post on Zen and the Art of Archery on his main blog on main street. Often referred to as the law of revered effects.)

So the state of our eyesight is a fractal of how we think in an unconscious manner. In the same way that when you look at what's happening in the world, and I guess Trump derangement syndrome is a good example of thousands I could choose from, not that the inverse, the Q derangement syndrome (Tm) is equally a dysfunction of projection, rather than receptive seeing and hearing.

Our bodies, our minds, our political and financial beliefs, gold included, (and their operating systems) are fractals of hidden concepts in the bible. Hidden concepts in megaliths and everywhere else. We are constantly taking in erroneous information which effects us on an unconscious level (ALL OF US as long as you are reading the news flow) and then we are projecting back into reality instead of seeing.

To conclude, and make it relevant, if it isn't already clear, technical analysis in all it's forms is utterly USELESS. Elliot Wave, Traditional, Gann techniques and for those that don't use any of it or understand it, it's the same with all the narratives that experts are constantly feeding your brains. (Did you read that last line and say Green Lantern is totally full of shit now?) I forgot the IF.... It's conditional.... As long as you are processing information here, or from Zerohedge or from main street from the position of your preconceived notions and projecting your set of believes on to it, and not receptive, your financial eyesight is in a state of decline and no paradigm can offset your mental conditioning.

I just witnessed one of the most heralded Gann analysts get it totally wrong. All signs pointing to the market is crashing. Less than 24 hours later I saw sentiment turn on a dime. They say trading options and futures are dangerous. Not anymore than reading the internet when your eyes have not opened.

As a matter of fact, I read untold #'s of traders repeating this on social media. And it goes in not because the tools are bad, but because we project our believes and simply use the tools to confirm our bias. The philosophers stone is inside of us, not out there.

I have two more sessions left. One hour session shifted not just my eyesight but reminded me how we are own worst enemies as traders and investors. It's theoretically possible to see like Van Gogh and regenerate your eyes if you regenerate your believe systems.

Wed, Mar 27, 2019 - 10:14am argentus maximus
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Argentus - I stay quiet most

Argentus - I stay quiet most of the time, but I appreciate your social commentary. It is usually tied into the big picture of long term trends. I think you should be as creative as you want.

Wed, Mar 27, 2019 - 1:19pm
zman
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Big market events?

For those that are waiting for a big market event to change the world, you're going to be very disappointed, not gonna happen.

https://www.zerohedge.com/news/2019-03-27/janet-yellen-suggests-strength...

"intervene directly in assets....buying equities and corporate bonds"

Yeah, that's right folks. The Fed is going to buy trillions of worth of stocks and corporate bonds while the middle class is going to get cut off from credit and social programs from the government.

There isn't going to be any market event, interest rates are going to negative and 0%, Wall Street will soar even higher and inflation will never be a factor. The days of market events are over.

Wed, Mar 27, 2019 - 2:11pm
Green Lantern
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Cernovich and AI/podcast

As I said, I would personally be interested in this endeavor and would support it and pass along the message.

Ive personally pulled out of soaking up what’s passed along on social media, both political commentary and started ignoring trader sentiment even guys like Cernovich. Not because I don’t find him valuable. I just seek them out when on occasion or if an event arises that I am interested in their point of view.

I imagine that Cernovich, like yourself, take in a lot more information as part of your jobs as public figures/analysts guaging sentiment and providing commentary in your respective areas. I am trying to be very strategic in what I consume because there is a tendency to be distracted like Cernivich experienced with franchises.

i either haven’t encountered that nudge or I am unconscious of it because it went past my conscious filters.

And I don’t recall even seeing trailers for Captain America or any other SWJ influence from Hollywood or other because I don’t consume that material which doesn’t mean it doesn’t go in and I am not the unconscious effect of these social forces.

So I am completely interested and would consume it and support it

I have watched and checked in with all the people you have shared with us Styxenhammer, Leeds, Vox what’s his name, the videos you posted on fractals in gold and Capt America,Star wars etc....

your general level of commentary is higher than all of them Some of them peak with an outstanding insight but then their level falls .... styxenhammer a good example where he overtly gets caught up in the right sentiment and Leeds has also strayed recently. With half his videos dealing with “competition” and trolls

so I am publicly encouraging you to do it and take the risk and enter the pool of fringe/alternative commentary at a higher level which would be a sacrifice of your time and you would put you at risk, no more or no less, than the rest of being trolled, or shadow banned or deplatformed. I guess my opinion is so what... You have unique insights, a high level of experience in both mainstream financial world and the more esoteric financial commentary from cycles to history to psychology and more.... That makes you a rarity and maybe taken for granted based on observation especially if some of your commentary flies over people’s heads

Good commentary that enlightens can often also create confusion and people handle that differently but confusion is actually a good space and exit way out of bias if people allow it

your idea echoes what I’ve been thinking you should do long ago

i support it out of selfish motivations because I want more but willing to contribute if that means ordering coffee

however you have to consider adding to your exposure outside this venue and stepping into the matrix where there are pools of consciousness that definitely can be tapped into. And I suspect your post was well timed cyclically and not a coincidence that you choose today . Timing and other law of vibration aspects, that you have shared with us can obviously be used to support this endeavor

We re getting closer to big things happening in this world and with as much info that’s available 24/7 there are still gaps . I say that from experience and frustration of finding the resources that meet my needs and I check it everybody

Wed, Mar 27, 2019 - 3:21pm
HappyNow
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I appreciate the social

I appreciate the social commentary, it is part of the bigger picture and as long as we don’t get sidetracked would keep it here. Maybe ask every few months?

In more directly related news...Canada has a national state funded broadcaster (CBC) and yesterday I heard bond rates talked on the daily minute or two they spend on business. First a short explanation of what bond rates are and the connection to borrowing then lending by the big banks. Then news that bond rates were falling, and that it was on the one hand sounding good for cheap borrowing, it was on the other hand a recession indicator because of the developing relationship between long- and short-term rates. (Yield curve inversion)

Thought that was worth paying attention to. Not the content of the news as much as talking about recession in new terms. Typically they would have stopped after ‘expect cheaper lending’.

Swing trade indexed ETFs. Long physical gold, silver, and 1 miner.
Wed, Mar 27, 2019 - 3:23pm
ancientmoney
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Social commentary is fine by me...

I don't post much either. But it does seem to me that the controllers (politicians, mass media, bankers, MIC, FED, etc.) are trying to sow seeds meant to germinate into chaos.

The Mueller Russiagate deal was a hoax from the start, and everyone at the top knew it.

The Smollett case was a hoax/false flag that went bad, almost as though it was designed from the start to go bad.

Now, letting him off the hook for 16 felonies for a fake "hate crime" with no penalty sort of tells the black/gay/liberal communities that they are free to create mayhem with little to fear.

Not sure what to make of the Boeing airliners grounding after crashes, or if it is incidental.

The FED surely knew well before they decided to pull the plug on "tightening" and went into reverse, that the economy could not take tightening. I guess they maybe put on the bravado in order to regain a couple hundred basis points so they can drop rates again.

Trump has indicated he is a Zionist backer with no inclination to drain the swamp. He has backed off every major, needed, and difficult campaign promise he made. He did the easy ones like tax changes. But nothing else to speak of. Just another politician that changes colors after the election is over.

China and Russia, while they were "allies" during Obama's (early) reign, are now vilified as the new "axis of evil." The elites likely already knew that the party leadership change was coming, so fomented the Ukraine uprising against Russia late in the Obama presidency.

Now we have the likes of AOC espousing the end of the world in 12 years unless we spend untold trillions to stop "global climate change" in its tracks. As if. Even if it were in human power to do so, rather than the sun's the economic system could not survive MMT (we are in it now, but not nearly to the scale needed by AOC).

The wars continue unabated, and more are threatened (by the NATO countries).

The Chinese omen comes to mind: "may you live in interesting times."

Wed, Mar 27, 2019 - 10:57pm
SteveW
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Social commentary

I need any help I can get in sorting the wheat from the chaff.

I really came here today to ensure you guys saw what was posted on the main page:

A simple demo of order and chaos (and order again) - Home made Pendulum Wave with 15 billiard balls
“Don't walk behind me; I may not lead. Don't walk in front of me; I may not follow. Just walk beside me and be my friend.” ― Albert Camus
Thu, Mar 28, 2019 - 2:02pm
UncleFester
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AM

As I stated before, I find the social commentary not only entertaining but informative. It provides context for the patterns and cycles reflected in the public markets. I'm sure it will be excellent regardless of the format chosen.

BTW...maybe a correlation to the bond pivots you spoke of last page?

https://www.tradingview.com/x/p4CbnxcX/

Just because I'm paranoid, doesn't mean they aren't out to get me.

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