The setup for the big trade

12561 posts / 0 new
Last post
Wed, Jan 11, 2017 - 10:32pm Solsson
SamSchlepps
Offline
-
Canada
Joined: Sep 7, 2012
500
1673

@ solsson plus

FWIW: fib numbers - stars / zodiac and pentagrams ( think whitehouse and i get into your inauguration perspective), apologies if posted and this is way out of my wheelhouse - thanks AM for introducing numbers to me.

Fibonacci Numbers As A Basis of the Zodiac

Fibonacci Numbers As A Basis of the Zodiac

Published on Mar 9, 2015

Dividing the Fibonacci numbers by 10 results in a sequence of 60 numbers, which when placed evenly around a circle produce the number zero four times precisely at the beginning of the cardinal zodiac signs. The number 5 appears at the beginning of the other zodiac signs. There are symmetries, pentagrams, and embedded Fibonacci-like sequences.
Sequences of Fibonacci numbers in a modulus function were mentioned by Joseph Louis Lagrange in 1774 and are known as Pisano periods. In modern times Brian Ray Payne, Jain Jain, Russell Ohlhaussen and others have discovered curious relationships between Pisano periods and astrology.

regards

Wed, Jan 11, 2017 - 11:29pm
Pete
Offline
-
Fair Oaks, CA
Joined: Jun 24, 2011
1038
3685

Link for Action/Reaction Calculator Download

https://sabercathost.com/folder/4191/Action-Reaction_Calculators

If I've done this right, you just click on the link and you will have access to two files within the folder for downloading to your computer. You will need MS Excel to use the spreadsheet; the .doc file (MS Word) can be viewed at the host site, I think.

Post any questions about the calculators here on the blog.

It is worthwhile to copy the original worksheet, save it as a second worksheet, and leave it unmodified in the event the active worksheet gets messed up somehow.

Enjoy, and let me know what you think.

The reason I created the spreadsheet for myself is that most online tools and charting programs are inaccurate or too limited when it comes to graphics. Oftentimes, trades can be made at line values when intraday timeframes indicate a turn by reversal bars, alternate closes, RSI extremes and divergence, etc. You can often make trades with extreme risk/reward potentials when you know the true value of the target line(s).

Thu, Jan 12, 2017 - 3:26am
Offline
-
Dublin
Ireland
Joined: Jan 20, 2013
3861
25250

Here a can of worms (possibly) being opened

Massachusetts judge says Exxon must hand over climate documents

So ... aside from the research which will point slightly in some direction but contain caveats if honest .... where does the climate change money come from and who does it go to, in the case of one oil giant?

argentus maximus Rhythm and Price http://www.greenhobbymodel.com/rhythmnprice.html This analysis - global markets
Thu, Jan 12, 2017 - 4:03pm
Solsson
Offline
-
Ankeborg
Sweden
Joined: Dec 14, 2013
1119
4249

Bye bye JNUG, I tried the

Bye bye JNUG, I tried the final number 9 but failed, jumped out lower. We are at a round number and AM not being long ...

mmm tomorrow the baker's dozen Friday the 13th.

Thu, Jan 12, 2017 - 7:28pm Pete
banman17
Offline
-
london,
Canada
Joined: Jun 14, 2011
33
290

re Calc download

Hi Pete,

Thanks for the calculator download. I was just wondering if the downloads that they require you to install on your browser are virus free. I usually don't like to install programs that I do not have a choice in installing as they may be hidden key loggers or viruses lurking inside. It seems you cannot download unless you install some software. Let me know if you have checked out their downloads and if they will not harm my computer.

Thanks again for all your work.

Thu, Jan 12, 2017 - 10:19pm
Pete
Offline
-
Fair Oaks, CA
Joined: Jun 24, 2011
1038
3685

@banman17

It's a valid concern. Download the files but don't open them. First have them scanned for viruses by your antivirus software. I use AVG free and always scan downloaded files. If I right click on any file, I can select an antivirus scan that AVG runs.

Malwarebytes.com is also a great site for antivirus and malware detection and elimination. Their free program (be sure to unclick the professional version trial before installing) works very well, not perfect or all inclusive, but can be updated, etc for free. It's saved my behind on a number of occasions.

I can assure you that when I uploaded the files they were as clean as the driven snow. I would really doubt the site would mess with that, and try to keep a very safe environment, or they'd be out of business by Friday.

Thu, Jan 12, 2017 - 11:08pm Pete
banman17
Offline
-
london,
Canada
Joined: Jun 14, 2011
33
290

re scanning

Thanks for the prompt reply Pete,

I have a mac with parallels, so instead of downloading on the Windows side, I downloaded with the mac and didn't have to install anything, and I managed to get the files ok with no viruses like you said. Thanks again for uploading them and the prompt reply. I'll have to play around with them to see how they work. Many thanks.

Chris

Sat, Jan 14, 2017 - 2:19pm
silverwood
Offline
-
Kilauea, HI
Joined: Jun 15, 2011
651
1754

Ronnie Fattal's 1/14/17 gold and silver analysis

Ronnie appears to be softening his bearish sentiment a bit. After watching many of his videos it is becoming apparent to me that the best his analysis can give you is odds. Betting when odds are in your favor on the direction of the market you are following. I am contrary in my thinking and I prefer taking long shots which will almost always pay the most if you are right. One thing about market analysis is that I personally believe the 800 pound gorillas have all this analysis also. These entities can move markets to create advantages for them and thereby fool the smaller investors by "painting technical scenarios". When they get sentiment in one direction or the other they can then reverse their bets and catch most players wrong footed. All this new algo computer trading along with connectivity to huge sums of capital has made this quite easy for them.

Elliott Wave Analysis of Gold & Silver as of 14th January 2017
Sat, Jan 14, 2017 - 5:41pm
kentucky
Offline
-
maggie valley, NC
Joined: Jun 20, 2011
116
343

Gold in different Currency

https://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=%24GOLD%3A%24USD&p=W&st=1980-12-16&en=today&id=p17322549088&a=494043022

Do you think that they are trying to drive sentiment down in India?

kentucky
Sun, Jan 15, 2017 - 4:35am
Offline
-
Dublin
Ireland
Joined: Jan 20, 2013
3861
25250

G-V Very high V condition in

G-V

Very high V condition in place from now until end of January, particularly now until about 25th.

People who work with people, - it's hard to pull crisis points, but maybe 17th Jan can have everything from the other times all at once?

Let all the alphas, alpha legislators, and psychos do battle for and against each other, avoid being collateral damage, and stand aside to await information of the decision at the lowest cost.

I'm already beginning to look past the month of January to February 2017, and 5th-6th, 8th and 12th look promising for good trading opportunity.

Stops for the (weakish) bull case for gold still set off the pivots I previously described, and on the new one added by the market last week. If this shifts to the downside the conditions for accelleration are present. Good stops will trip before any accelleration manifests.

I am still long term long, but have not added new longs (PM) as the opportunities so far have been not attractive enough. I could miss a bus this time, but if that occurs there will be other times. The reasons for not acquiring yet have been a difference between price extremes and preferred times at which those price turns have occurred. I am more interested in buying at the right time than thinking about what the best price might be for any one particular iteration of testing price range boundaries.

argentus maximus Rhythm and Price http://www.greenhobbymodel.com/rhythmnprice.html This analysis - global markets
Mon, Jan 16, 2017 - 9:06am eclectic
eclectic
Offline
-
Houston, TX
Joined: May 3, 2013
329
962

FT

Crickets?..........

Tue, Jan 17, 2017 - 11:23pm
Pete
Offline
-
Fair Oaks, CA
Joined: Jun 24, 2011
1038
3685

April Gold

Prices in April and June contracts have reached the latest ML; in Feb contract, nearly so. We got our 5 m0 pivots up at last. 60m rsi reached 79.45 at the ML, a good place to book some profits if you got long earlier. The 60m pivots after today's top are too small to make any prediction about what comes next, but the calendar time elapsed for this rally and the last one (ending Nov 9) is the same, meaning other lines are crossing the ML at this time/price, enhancing likelihood for a turn lower now.

Wed, Jan 18, 2017 - 5:12am Pete
Solsson
Offline
-
Ankeborg
Sweden
Joined: Dec 14, 2013
1119
4249

Yepp agree Pete, sold my

Yepp agree Pete, sold my uranium play earlier this week planning a move into jdst for a couple of weeks. Many higly skilled analysts out there is predicting a low around 1 week of Feb going into second week. Then we are off to the races for x months. If we manage to set a higher low that is of course. The odds are good imo.

The old Swedish analyst AC is getting exited about gold, he is about to do some calculations about a top in 2017 , using Gann knowledge.

It's scary how both AM and AC has the same view about Gold, almost exactly the same approach, but they do not know each other. Both of them are Gann students + others like Mr J.

Wed, Jan 18, 2017 - 12:12pm
Pete
Offline
-
Fair Oaks, CA
Joined: Jun 24, 2011
1038
3685

Feb Gold 60m

Since price reached a daily and weekly ML, it's time to look closer for confirmation of a daily trend change from the rally high on the intraday chart. A daily chart confirmation, such as a lower close, may be more robust, but can be too late to trade effectively in today's very fast moving markets. How one proceeds becomes a matter of style and temperament.

The min-3 60m chart concept (used as a more robust filter for trend determination in the intraday world) this morning shows a shakeout occurring at a possible p2 after the ML touch, which is a dangerous position to longs as price may be entering a third wave down. Shakeouts often proceed strong moves. There was a 15m chart breakout to higher levels today that got reversed the next bar, leading to the current position on the 60m. Entry risk on that 15m signal was a bit over a dollar.

As I am sending this, it appears that price closed the hour above the sh. We shall see if the experimental red-dotted line is useful.

Wed, Jan 18, 2017 - 3:34pm
Solsson
Offline
-
Ankeborg
Sweden
Joined: Dec 14, 2013
1119
4249

Good teamwork Pete, I entered

Good teamwork Pete, I entered jdst early today to hedge my miners.

Wed, Jan 18, 2017 - 3:59pm
Offline
-
Dublin
Ireland
Joined: Jan 20, 2013
3861
25250

Interview with Russell Napier

Do you want to have an informed opinion about the prospects for gold, based upon central bank geopolitics? Mine is something I want to update and maintain as accurate as possible.

In this light, this excellent interview with Russell Napier follows on and updates the issues discussed in the McAlvany/Carmen Reinhart interview of a few months ago. (Listen to that one too if you missed it when I linked it here at the time!)

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=L_UqsNz-cxw

argentus maximus Rhythm and Price http://www.greenhobbymodel.com/rhythmnprice.html This analysis - global markets
Sat, Jan 21, 2017 - 1:53pm
silverwood
Offline
-
Kilauea, HI
Joined: Jun 15, 2011
651
1754

Ronnie Fattal's 1/21/17 gold and silver analysis

Wow! Ronnie seems quite a bit more bullish in his outlook. He believes(high degree of probability) we have completed corrective wave 2 of a 5 wave impulsive leg up in gold, silver and the miners. I am just waiting patiently for this staying long. I do scalp for a quick profit when odds seem to be in my favor for stocks I am concentrating on.

Elliott Wave Analysis of Gold, Silver & GDX as of 21st January 2017
Sun, Jan 22, 2017 - 3:05pm silverwood
Solsson
Offline
-
Ankeborg
Sweden
Joined: Dec 14, 2013
1119
4249

silverwood wrote:Wow! Ronnie

silverwood wrote:

Wow! Ronnie seems quite a bit more bullish in his outlook. He believes(high degree of probability) we have completed corrective wave 2 of a 5 wave impulsive leg up in gold, silver and the miners.

mmmm, I guess I won the friendly duel ... https://www.tfmetalsreport.com/comment/661163#comment-661163

I prefer this guy, despite the fact he circles the cursor so fast I almost felt seasick in one of his recent analysis, and if you can get over the pinkish layout and the use of fabulous he is coming forward as a humble, calm and confident analyst:

01/20/17 - Gold GDX Silver DXY Elliott Wave Market Analysis

I am bearish short term ... a new friendly duel with Ronnie? The wave 2 is not in yet.

Mon, Jan 23, 2017 - 7:17pm
Offline
-
Dublin
Ireland
Joined: Jan 20, 2013
3861
25250

It looks like the

It looks like the rubbernecking of an amazed world at the fantastic US election process is about to taper.

The marketing and psychological subterfuge this time round has been unprecedented - to such an extent that it appears to me that no matter where you go people have been touched by, and bitten onto one or other of the "baited fishing hook control memes" floating around the contest between the political class and their buddies, and the other groups who have been harmed by them, or see that coming pretty soon if there had not been an intervention.

Maybe we can get back to normal some time soon, if this has not been a longer term game changer.

Not entirely disconnected from all that, and typing this as someone who tries to look at things differently to see if that gives greater understanding - here is a look at the financial industry, from way outside the usual Wall Street and City perspective:

This lady Lisa Servon has written articles in HuffPo and New York Times among others. You've got her boxed in and labelled already? Fear not she has also been published in WSJ and New Yorker ... if that helps .... :-)

Anyway she studies poverty, and here is a recent title from her pen that caught my attention: THE UNBANKING OF AMERICA: HOW THE NEW MIDDLE CLASS SURVIVES. This subject matter is enclosed within many of the circles in my mental global venn diagram encompassing the activities of NWO, IMF, progressive left social order trends, and the "populist" pushback against all of the preceding forces. Hey, isn't the spin word "populist" a great way of casting aspersion and an shadow of negativity upon political opposition without admitting what they are trying to do is reassert democracy? Ah well, there is a time for that too. Any, poverty and inequity feed opposition, or "populism,", and that might make globalism less "sustainable " for the people in charge. I mean, they do want to retain all their ill gotten gains and not have to hand it back to those they robbed (and still rob) via a crooked system.

So here is an interview with Lisa Servon about her new book, in which she looks at the working class and financial services and reality: https://www.npr.org/2017/01/10/509126878/what-is-driving-the-unbanking-of-america . I like the subject matter, and found it interesting. These are issues raised in it that don't get discussed when the high and mighty are talking about cashless economies, wars on cash, digital money etc. Consider the resilience of payday loans and check cashing services and the like in the face of relentless higher brow criticism over decades, and then think about bitcoin, alternative bitcoin brands, digital money, and who will actually follow along or instead get creative doing something else, because that's what they must do to survive. If Ken Rogoff, Paul Krugman et al are looking down from their ivory towers upon the masses, possibly about to advise them to "eat cake if bread is unaffordable" and pretending that cash is about crime instead of freedom and privacy, then this is a worm's eye view looking up. Different issues come into view ... different motivations.

argentus maximus Rhythm and Price http://www.greenhobbymodel.com/rhythmnprice.html This analysis - global markets
Tue, Jan 24, 2017 - 3:06am
Byzantium
Offline
-
London
UK
Joined: Feb 20, 2012
1603
8508

This weeks options & futures expiry

I am writing this on Tuesday, and I had previously diarised that Thursday is options expiry, both for gold and silver, while Friday is futures expiry for both.

Does anybody have a feel for where the magic level is this time, for the commercials to cover their shorts? I'll be fishing for the lows, but I'd hate to angle too low and miss it. From recollection, there is a link that shows the open interest at each price level, which is very useful in anticipating how deep the drop will be.

Cheers all!