The setup for the big trade

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Sat, Feb 6, 2016 - 1:34pm
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You have the synchrony

You have the synchrony figured correctly Silver66. The regulars here get it by now. I expect my comments about using personal traffic experience to evaluate social and market stability is possibly less strange to a few people now.

V all the way for a while. Not so much G. So power contest with a violent twist.

This peak goes from 5th to 9th - 11th Feb, but it doesn't reduce for long and comes back. Make sure to remember Valentine's Day for your significant other or else! They'll be killing one another right through February into week one of March. A violent period of death and destruction with high profile suicides.

St. Patrick's week, or the Spring Solstice (if that term seems better) will be lively this year.

This prolonged V effect will probably be enough to get a few campaigns going, but I don't see crisis markers.

A G peak at 27th March to middle of April. G rises up to accompany V and hold at noticeable elevated levels. Given this and the violence bubbling for almost a month by then, I think the second week to third week of April will be sparky and climactic.

Two and a half months will do. Let it run and see how it plays.

argentus maximus Rhythm and Price http://www.greenhobbymodel.com/rhythmnprice.html This analysis - global markets
Sat, Feb 6, 2016 - 7:11pm
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Syncrony?  The V

Syncrony? The V Effect.....

Posted 3 minutes before AM's response.

https://www.tfmetalsreport.com/forum/7126/i-wonder-why-iwwti?page=187

So who is really in charge of the topics we discuss here? And our opinions which we think up? For that matter markets? etc...

Fool me once etc....

Sun, Feb 7, 2016 - 10:30am
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mmm I've noticed it myself,

mmm I've noticed it myself, from a couple of days ago the headline was "Russia practicing nuclear war against Sweden".

Silver66, nice cat post, I am a big cat fan myself, thinking of a ragdoll, I've heard that cat people is a little bit smarter than dog dito hehe

Ok, my ego got in my way for the solar/lunar story and I didn't get it. My brain is not firing on all cylinders if there is not a greed component involved, an instant feedback in dollars still motivate's me a great deal. I was not comfortable with the sun, moon and earth story explaining events in markets. I was thinking to myself, what is next, astrology, sorry for that.

Argentus maximus had to write it on my nose in the last RNP before I was prepared to take in all info provided here. For those of you not a member I can really recommend to participate. The info is worth every euro/dollar spent.

The last two RNP's was mind boggling, everything is connected. Do you not get the feeling that everything around us is engineered by an almost divine engineer. It's so perfect and beautiful. Bo Polny talks about Gods clock is always perfect. I remember an interview with David Attenborough, the journalist asked him a question "You've seen all mother natures miracles now for several decades, for sure you must believe in God" David responded with "There is a worm that crawls into the eye of a child, so that he becomes blind before the age of 5 years. That is not a very merciful creature is it?

Sun, Feb 7, 2016 - 11:01am argentus maximus
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argentus maximus wrote: For

argentus maximus wrote:

For those who prefer market related chit chat. Anybody happy that super long term cycles have nothing to do with the second by second path of eg turbulent futures markets of today. And anyway Central Bank control makes all analysis impossible for sure. Just one teeny tiny little angle on this. Where was the Dow 12 or 13 years ago? That would be 2003 to 2004 period. Well it came to the end of a rise with few pullbacks, and went into a descending trading range which became a larger pullback. The regulators say that past performance is no guide to future performance in financial markets. I expect that's how it is.

Of course if things really are fractal, then what power does a mere central bank have over a massive hundred or thousand year cycle? None of course. But .... if the tiny micro cycles are actually smaller self similar versions of that gigantic central bank crusher, then what? Wavelets eroding away a concrete pier while the pier owner frantically pours extra concrete paid for by somebody else? I'll leave that one for you to ponder.

A fractal pattern in charts, a self repeating pattern, maybe it's possible to predict the future from a smaller time scale, lets say 60min chart and then at a later time see the very same pattern repeated in a monthly chart, cool isn't it, it's like the invention of a time machine.

Sun, Feb 7, 2016 - 10:17pm
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If you can figure out a

If you can figure out a pattern in the frequency of prime numbers, you might have a chance....until then, no one, and I mean NO ONE can consistently predict the future and I dont care who they are.

"I found a flaw in the model that I perceived is the critical functioning structure that defines how the world works." - Alan Greenspan, October 2008 WTF ! Now you tell us !!!
Sun, Feb 7, 2016 - 11:00pm Hammer
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Hammer if you can figure out a

I agree that no one knows the future (actually one guy does but he owns the joint ;-))

I like to think of the work AM and others on this forum do is akin to surfing

If you go to the beach and there are lots of really good waves, you don't mind missing a few. In fact at the end of the day when you are sitting around with your buds rehashing the day you will probably talk about all the waves including the ones you did not catch and what a great day it was. However if you went to the beach and the tide was going out and the waves were few and far between you probably would talk about the waves you missed

I study this forum to show me how to have a good day at the beach not how to catch the one monster wave.I want to know when to go to the beach and when to stay at home

Silver66

Silver66 Rage against the dying of the light

Mon, Feb 8, 2016 - 4:17am
Hammer
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Being a surfer myself, I

Being a surfer myself, I would agree with your summation/comparison to waiting for waves....it is physically impossible to catch them all but you have to be out in the water on the outside waiting for the (ideally) set waves that usually comes in threes to even have a chance of riding one in.

"I found a flaw in the model that I perceived is the critical functioning structure that defines how the world works." - Alan Greenspan, October 2008 WTF ! Now you tell us !!!
Mon, Feb 8, 2016 - 9:02am
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You can keep a monster in the

You can keep a monster in the cellar for only so long.

Mon, Feb 8, 2016 - 9:07pm
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I have also

Noticed that i will come up with a construct that is previously unknown to myself , then within a day i will see it explained here or at ZH or elsewhere. I suppose my main fear is that the system does not implode. The markets are so centralized now that as far as i know the Nippon market is close to 60% owned by Japan .Gov. If the ESF has no judiciary oversight and no limit to its scope then why the hell won't they just buy the whole Quadrillion worth of equities and derivatives, after all, finance as it exists today is only a figment of our combined imagination. Through the system they created, all value has been replaced with debt that is once again fiction. I get perplexed when i see great thinkers saying it must fail because of all this debt. I hate using the word ponzi because it limits our perspective. The ones in control of this wonderous majestic global finance hologram know that they can paint anything they want and we will buy it. Where did the quadrillion worth of derivatives come from ? Straight out of Blythe's head, thats where. Mandrake the magnificent has waved it in to existence, and Russia will wave it out. I get angry when i think about the scope of the fraud, and i get pissed when i can't put things in to words, so enough from me.!!!

Mon, Feb 8, 2016 - 11:55pm
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Aaannndd

Right on cue from ZH

Beam Me Up Scotty

How can the Fed run out of money when they have a printing press and a keyboard? They have infinite money. I'm wrong you say? When's the last time you or anyone else audited them?? They will buy everything including the kitchen sink as long as someone will sell it to them to keep things propped up. Only reason markets go down is because they want them to.

I start thinking things and someone else types it amazing.

Tue, Feb 9, 2016 - 1:39am
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Laverne is drunk as a skunk....

in this post - so I am advising strong user discretion..... ( and she is intellectually very lonely too - which is why this post is even typed in the first place.....)

Why drunk as a skunk? I have been battling a severe throat infection with good nutrition and heavy application of Vit C's as per ag1969 good advice etc. for a fortnight now, with waning results, and now (somewhat unfortunately) I have resorted to the ultimate ancestral medicinal remedy - cumin schnapps! So my sincere apologies for the aftermath in advance ;-)

(However, someone once told me that truth should be told from children and drunk people, so here we go........)

AM - you are wonderfully mindblowing in the best sense of the word! Yet - you make me terribly vexed with with your persistence on being so damn enigmatic! And I am certainly not intellectually lazy. I have really been trying to follow..... but "don't play too hard to get" as we say amongst the female population of the planet ;-)

Anyhoo, you have been wondering about synchronicity with JC Collins. Well, in my current state of mind, I will spill the beans for me. I am an absolute complete nobody compared to you! But - nonetheless- there is a strange kind of synchronicity with you and me too. This is the third - maybe forth time I have noticed and it is getting weird.

The first time - I forget.

The second time - I had just researched the financial crashes going back to the tulip mania and shortly thereafter you made a video about Armstrong and his referring to financial crashes as a basis for his 8,6 cycle business.... and you said he knew better and the crashes were just an excuse. (I wrote you about this) However, I had just done the same - before your video lead - and found a 72 and 81 year connection to the crashes going waaaaay back - so something was definitely working - even if he "knew better". Based on that I found perfectly matching summarized legs within 144 period, 152 and 156 periods. On one of these occasion I was able to calculate detailed future legs based on a number derived from Pi (Brain explosion followed....).

Third time was the magnificent waves - admittedly out there but you know what I mean - but I was pointed to a piece of particular art - just at the very moment of receiving that info I was in the middle of researching (again) the flood myths of Christianity and Sumer etc.

The forth time was the recent 360 - 60 - 12+1 business. I had just completed a round of research into the 1 minute chart of EUR/USD. I had found the 6- 36- 216 connection (=666 mark of the beast formula which includes the 180-144-108-72 etc.) and then you post your circle 360 - sun - vernal equinox - video - and my mind blows up once again.

On the surface you operate on the relationship with the ancient monuments and the sun etc. and I am operating on the one minute chart of a currency pair with 6 as basic cycle morphing into 36+4 morphing into 6x36 plus 24 to form a basic cycle. So when Gann - or whoever it was (sorry-schnapps brain) - saying 40 - he was right - because it is 36+4 on the visual grid - not the calculated grid. And when you say 12+1 it is correct because it is actually 12,5ish - times 2 - on the visual grid - so that anyone trying to find the tops and bottoms will find a 13 period - which is in fact two 12 + 1 sharing the one to confuse the spectators..... The visual grid is just moving by 4 for every basic element. (For evidence of this - look at the Gold Weekly chart with 65 days clear spike bottoms (=60 days but the weekly will yield 65 days - ish) You will find almost perfect 65 day intervals turning into perfect 12+1 with 1 shared between two 12 periods, if that makes sense, all the way back to the 1999 25. aug sept bottom iircc- and beyond).

Speculation / mind haze : The market is the true calendar. We just have visual grid movement to accommodate for the movement in relation to Official 24 hour calendar - to weekly - to monthly - when the true calendar is 36 hours of 40 minutes hours and it will match the equinoxes and solstices perfectly in that way. Of course it will also accommodate the equinoxes at 90 days nicely, but when using the 36 hour day - it will fit equinoxes at 60 days. I haven't figured out to factor in the Summertime - Wintertime yet - but I am sure this is esoterically done to allow quicker alignment with the true calendar - than to require two rounds or more if Equinoxes to balance the calendar before all systems meet in equilibrium. If this sounds like total gibberish - it probably is - it is work in progress - but I feel sure it will eventually make sense in the end - once the schnapps evaporates....... (For those who are able to follow the gibberish - I am using a 1-2-3-4-5-6-7-8-9 hour cycle to ascertain when they meet/align again - and they do on equinoxes after 2 cycles - if I recall correctly - but as I said WIP......

One this is clear to me though - the markets operates in 36 cycles (6-36-216) - which means this will tally with the movements of the universe as per AM - in ways I have not clarified yet - but in ways AM has begun to hint at - so pay attention guys! - the recent video - in the usual vexing enigmatic fashion - provided very profound clues - not only to the markets - but to the calendar of man and the universe as well. Nothing less.....

Boy, this forum (and others) continues to be very exiting indeed ;-) Even for drunk denizens such as myself at present moment ;-)

Thank you all so much for your contributions - the process of discovery and learning is worth everything ;-D

God bless you all!!. Before I never thought God was real - but T-ville "fringe" forums showed me, how wrong I was. So much to learn ;-) So much to learn ;-) Thank You All.

Foggyroad and Bugzy - If you see this - Love to you guys to pieces as well - one for humorous kindness carrying faith and one for brutal honesty on behalf of truth and freedom - you guys rock! ;-)

Good night y'all - If you didn't get this post at all - no worries - twasnt very easily accessible anyway ;-)

Tue, Feb 9, 2016 - 3:00am Lamenting Laverne
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I dont

i Don't Need to be inebriated to be at a loss here at tf metals. Brutal honesty is brutal God is real , however he feels no compulsion to abide by my constructs. Nice to hear your lovely type LL.:)

Tue, Feb 9, 2016 - 12:37pm
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Well

that was embarrassing, as they say. A case of "button-press-regrets". I was just in a very uppedy good mood because of recent findings and from deep relief that this painful throat had finally started to improve....

So my sincere apologies, AM and all, for cluttering the thread with yesterdays ... uhm ... outburst! The main point was concerning odd synchronicity, I have noticed several times, and that observation stands, though.

PS - @ SamSchlepps - Thank you for your reply elsewhere. That was very interesting too.

Tue, Feb 9, 2016 - 1:43pm
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@LLActually thanks for

@LL

Actually thanks for posting that stream of consciousness!

I posted first a long reply this morning, and subsequently a second shorter reply, only for both to disappear when I hit "send" (comm lines are dire here today) so third time lucky with this.

Just to say that there were various ways I considered doing that topic. I make a few attempts and deleted them before settling on the videos you saw and heard.

I could have just said "here is this big economic cycle" and we would all have moved on with the implications untouched. I think the way I explained it everybody got a lot more than just seeing a big cycle in stocks. I'm pleased that you did. But that doesn't happen without spending some time rolling the ideas around inside your head, and taking pen and paper and writing down some numbers to see how they fit around and into each other. So I know you put the effort in and are getting the rewards you earned.

Take care and get well soon.

argentus maximus Rhythm and Price http://www.greenhobbymodel.com/rhythmnprice.html This analysis - global markets
Tue, Feb 9, 2016 - 1:55pm
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Trendlines on charts and sentiment inside us

As gold rises in the present rally excitement is building among gold bugs. So is that a new bull or not?
I don't like to choose. I have looked for a substantial rally from each significant low after Q3 last year, and this is the second such.

What I see is gold bugs getting excited as a steeply descending trendline is breached, and a minor horizontal TL is subsequently breached. The psyche of the retail gold long positioned cohort seems linked to proximity of price to the trendlines. Which is to say the trendline on the chart reflects their sentiment and where and when it will change.

And there is another less steeply descending trendline located quite a bit above the gold price still to be taken out if this rally is to climb out of daily-weekly and into weekly-monthly scale.

So what will trigger the nest alteration of emotion inside the gold bugs heads? Next price level please!

argentus maximus Rhythm and Price http://www.greenhobbymodel.com/rhythmnprice.html This analysis - global markets
Tue, Feb 9, 2016 - 2:46pm
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Trading crew

is bearish as ever. This is fantastic news. They will never turn bullish. Sentiment has permanently been crushed. this is the way it is supposed to be.

Tue, Feb 9, 2016 - 2:49pm
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Current gold price action

I am taking it as an interim profit-taking opportunity, scaled down accordingly for caution. I want it to be the start of a new bull, but it could be another bull trap. Here are the noteworthy points, as I see them:

  1. I believe that the cartel habitually likes a brief spike up, so that it can stifle sentiment for the next 12 months by a grindingly slow but steady decline. Rinse repeat; flat price over the long term, but 90% of the duration involves seeming decline. Bearish.
  2. The higher and faster the price rises, the more vulnerable we are to a smash. Bearish.
  3. The relentless inching forward of the price, over days, smacks of short covering. Bearish.
  4. What with all these esoteric fan lines and technicals, sometimes a new resistance point has to be set up, to stop the old lines going off the page and wearing out, just as the lower of the two lines are doing in Argentus' chart above. Setting up new fan lines requires a brief spike up which can handily also be used to fleece the bulls again. Bearish.

However: there are some noteworthy bullish features of this rise:

  1. In the other main currencies, the gold price is generating an increasingly bullish posture. Any higher from here, and in every currency around the world other than the dollar, the gold picture is not only looking increasingly a winner again, but any comex smashes will have to go very deep indeed, to address those non-dollar charts. I am looking at 5 year charts, basically since the 2011 top, and what I see is this:
    1. In AUD, we have rarely been this high, and we just took out stiff horizontal resistance.
    2. In CHF, we are near the top of a two year horizontal channel.
    3. In CAD, the charts look bullish.
    4. In EUR, the lowest lows are now well in the rear view mirror, being Dec 2013 at 859 Euro.
    5. In JPY, we've been essentially flat for 4 years. Neither bullish nor bearish; the 5 year chart is neutral.
    6. In GBP, we are up nearly 20% just five weeks into the year, and as with the swiss franc, are close to a breakout zone.
  2. As Turd pointed out, the rising gold price would appear to be driven by, and shielded by, a rising yen. The Yen:USD technicals suggest a further strengthening of the Yen, and therefore gold. This will trigger a bull market in gold in various non dollar currencies; we are close. The Japanese announced NIRP and yet their currency strengthened; what more can they do to weaken it; are there any bullets left?
  3. All that Comex stuff, a 500:1 ratio of phys to open interest. Maybe the day has come?
  4. The lame-stream excuse for the 1980 gold price spike of $850, was the Soviet invasion of Afghanistan, being a major jolt to assumptions of US supremacy. Today, we have a despairing Kerry trying to stall the fall of ISIS / Aleppo with peace talks; another major blow to US standing at the hands of the Russians, on a par with Afghanistan. Russians in Afghanistan, updated to Russians in the Shia crescent, cutting the middle east in half, and with the house of Saud in deep trouble. This is my own esoterica, but it is on my mind; the gold price might be connected somehow to these things....maybe.

well, I am struggling to decide where from here, but those are my thoughts. GLTA.

Tue, Feb 9, 2016 - 2:56pm
Byzantium
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@ broker 22

Algorithms have no sentiment, and they drive the price. Their logic has been selling gold for 5 years already.

Stackers do not sell their phys, they only pause buying. And even while the west was actively buying, they were but a footnote to Asian demand for phys, which never stopped.

Tue, Feb 9, 2016 - 3:27pm Lamenting Laverne
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Brilliant

LL your post was brilliant !

Tue, Feb 9, 2016 - 4:08pm
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Thanks AM

Thank you AM for your reply ;-)

1) That was a shame with the lost posts - I lost a few over time as well and learned the hard way that "copy-to-clipboard-before-send-is-your-friend.

2) You videos were great! I did not mean to sound as if I am criticizing - it is more a testament to my own frustration about my lack of capacity to "get it" sometimes and then sitting there with a juicy carrot dangling right in front of my nose - juuuust out of reach - it is easier to complain that the teacher is not moving the carrot ever so slightly closer - instead of complaining that my arms are not growing long enough fast enough.... or something along those lines ;-)

3) For me these recent postings/videos of yours are much bigger than "just another big cycle". Much. I had been working on the 6-36-216 idea and other related stuff, I did not mention above, for at least 14 days before you posted the JC Collins post. The context to understand my joy is that I have been poking at gaining more insight into markets and related subjects from different angles (financial, historic, religious, cosmos etc.) over and over again ever since I came to this site years ago. I have found many interesting pieces on the way - but I always lost the thread during these commando raids - and I always ended up with just a pile of seemingly unrelated and messy jigsaw pieces and a thoroughly exploded head.

Every time I lost the thread without any solid conclusions after many days of trying to figure stuff out would be extremely frustrating and I have gone through many many attempts. Then all of a sudden last time when I was doing the minute chart analysis - it started to make pieces found during the last 1-1,5 years fit in the picture, instead of just adding new confusing pieces to the picture, and several things started to make sense. I was still scared that I would lose the thread once again (and I eventually did) but the clarity stayed much longer than normal. When I did lose it, it felt like I should just pick up exactly where I left it, when the head would start working again, because it was a valid thread and not another dead-end. But a mini doubt remained....

Then you post your posts and continuation in the videos - playing along those very same lines - confirming that the track was correct. Man! That was such a delight after so many failed attempts and so much wool in the head! I am not pretending to have figured it all out - not even close - but it was just so gratifying after hours and hours of work to see that someone like you are working with the same numbers and hearing about the context - from a different angle than my own.

So utterly cool! Thank You ;-)

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