... fwiw, having worked offshore in the GOM for years (rigs/platforms) & having lived in N.O. (pre-Katrina) any hurricane under Cat 3 just not that big of a deal assuming you are prepared which most knowledgeable Gulf Coast residents are - for those not prepared, all bets are off especially the NE corner of Cat 4 / 5 ... now on the left coast, back to worrying about earthquake/fire prepardeness
Odd, that this has not been in the US MSM.
if life weren't confusing enough already, there are two cities of the same name (kinda like london, ontario and that other one). panama city (florida) and nearby panama city beach are a spring break destination (like daytona and ft. lauderdale) favored by college students from the midwest, the south, and "rednecks" in general. it's often referred to as the "redneck riviera." a good place to party if you're young and reckless.
Redneck Riviera checking in here....
This should be a good one. In Walton County we've had mandatory evacs for low-lying areas, RVS and trailers. I live in an area only accessible by bridge from the west, north or east. Once sustained winds are over 45mph they close the bridges. They suspect that will happen this afternoon. Once that happens, we're locked in baby. Homes here are built for wind but not much elevation to speak of for storm surge. That will be the ugly. Labor Day holiday looks to be a bust this weekend. Lot of lost business.
Here's a local webcam with a shot of the beach. That beach will be covered in the next day or two.
checking out new forum format. nice job!
wunderground showing Isaac to be a Cat 1 when he lands. Seems like good news to me.
Congress removed the 99 year term limit to the Fed Charter a long time ago... and changed it to be at such time that the Congress revokes their charter.... otherwise Indefinite.... :-)
cloudy and breezy all morning here in north florida (near tallahassee). we, just a few minutes ago, got our first little rainshower. winds, light and variable, up to 15 mph (estimated). so far, for this location, isaac is underwhelming.
I don't know if this was mentioned previously, but for all you folks who follow HAARP. I found this mentioned over at ZeroHedge. Anyone know if this is a goof?
I've been watching this guy for a long time now. More HAARP info. Scroll down a bit for his latest on Isaac.
Yep, it's at magnitude 10.0 peak shortwave.........
most of the discussion about nola's experience with katrina was dealing with the problem rather than the solution. i don't believe anyone wants a solution
i believe the main cause of the disaster was the fact that there was (is) a city with large sections built BELOW SEA LEVEL. this is insane! it is a continuing invitation to disaster.
i have a simple solution to offer: a change to the building codes that would prohibit the construction (or reconstruction) of any building with floor space intended for human habitation at less than five feet above mean high tide level.
sensible? you bet! politically possible? no way!
Click image to zoom in – Download GIS data: 0.1 degree .shp 0.5 degree .shp
Other images: 5-Day track on – 3-Day track on – 3-Day track off
nice colors! is that a hurricane? ...or an avocado?
halfway across the gulf and still not hurricane strength.
looks like some nice rain for the corn belt :) a couple months late :(
of how HAARP works:
Where I live in Louisiana, the majority of people are transitioning today from preparation to panic. Yesterday, you could get gasoline at every station and Home Depot had stacks of water cases. Today, most gas stations are out or only have premium left with long lines, and there is no water to be found that I know of. Lots of vehicle accidents since everyone is in a hurry.
Similar to financial transitions that occur, you have to be prepared beforehand since you do not know when the majority shift will take place, and by then it is too late.
Still trop storm but now 70mph sustained. Pressure still 981 mb.
"Upgraded" back to Cat2 at landfall. Expecting 100mph strength.
Personally, I'm still worried that it could "bomb out" in the final 6-8 hours and make it to 110-115 and, on this current path, those winds would come right through New Orleans.
And that the end of this loop, you can see the beginning of an eyewall:
I just wanted to check back in for anyone wanting an update on my situation in Ft Lauderdale. I just got my power back on after 16 hours without. Today has still been stormy and I actually got caught out in a squall earlier. While I consider myself well prepped for short to intermediate term situations... two things did jump out in my circumstance:
I was REALLY pissed about my power loss because I hadn't prepped my fridge/freezer beforehand. I expected to have constant power through this storm. If it was a serious hurricane, I would have prepared my perishable foods accordingly and not worried so much about losing a whole bunch of stuff. Fortunately, this surprise ended before anything could spoil. 95% of my food and food storage is not in the fridge anyway, but I was bothered nonetheless.
I do have a small solar setup, enough to charge AA batteries and USB devices. But since acquiring it last year, I switched from a Blackberry to an iPhone 4s and didn't make sure that it can juice up my iPhone. The two don't like each other, apparently. I need to troubleshoot this asap.
Otherwise, it was no more than a sticky, humid inconvenience. I value these times as opportunities to prepare for a much more serious situation in the future. Turdites on the Gulf Coast, stay safe!
Wind shear is often the most critical factor controlling hurricane formation and destruction. In general, wind shear refers to any change in wind speed or direction along a straight line. In the case of hurricanes, wind shear is important primarily in the vertical direction--from the surface to the top of the troposphere. The troposphere is the region of the atmosphere that our active weather is confined to, and extends up to about 40,000 feet altitude (a pressure of about 200 mb) in the tropics in summer. Hurricanes fill the entire vertical extent of the troposphere, and are steered by the average wind through this layer. When one hears the phrase, "wind shear is 20 knots over the hurricane", this typically refers to the difference in wind speed between 200 mb (the top of the troposphere, 40,000 feet altitude) and a layer where a pressure of 850 mb is found--about 5,000 feet above the surface
From Spaghetti Models:
As this is happening and afterwards, it's interesting to note those folks who have been kind enough to post their Prep levels and where it got them. Hopefully, this will not be a serious event, but will help to teach all of us the things we need to know.