The setup for the big trade

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Sat, Dec 8, 2018 - 6:34am (Reply to #11591)
Solsson
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Picked up a letter from

Picked up a letter from Postnord today. I've got a mysterious package that I've not ordered. It is sent from an foreign country. I've ignored it bcos my last name is misspelled, but Postnord is persistent. They extended the timeline to collect it for another month.

Look at the letter and the import Tax I have to pay:

Creepy, I wonder what is hidden inside it ...

Sat, Dec 8, 2018 - 9:26am
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Photo taken last week

Just before dawn, one day last week:

A pretty sight! The planet Venus orbits the sun in 5/8th of the time the Earth does, so a Venusian year is between sixty one and sixty two per cent of an Earth year in length. About two hundred and twenty five days which would be about 160 business days. But due to it's shorter orbit than ours, Venus passes the Earth out when looked from above our Solar System (eg from a viewpoint above our North Pole and also above the Sun). So Earth and Venus become closest to each other every approximately one point six years.

These are all periods at which cycles of nature might be found.

argentus maximus Rhythm and Price https://www.greenhobbymodel.com/rhythmnprice.html This analysis - global markets
Sat, Dec 8, 2018 - 2:40pm
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Just some chart ....

argentus maximus Rhythm and Price https://www.greenhobbymodel.com/rhythmnprice.html This analysis - global markets
Sat, Dec 8, 2018 - 7:04pm
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VAP is dropping hints

If I had to do without everything, all the fancy schmancy tricks.

If I could merely see the price and one other things. What would I choose?

I suspect it would be an effective support and resistance measuring tool.

Possibly VAP.

Now any tool is pretty much useless until the user reads the manual and has practised with it to achieve proficiency.

I introduced this technique here several years ago, and have always demonstrated by realtime use so the results could be rechecked afterwards. So by now those who will do that have done so, and those who won't, well probably haven't.

That is a very revealing chart above. Basis the GLD price it shows the price at which the whole table will alter its tilt, and all the odds alter substantially. Currently GLD is below that level, which is a sell for possible drops to lower prices. BUT! BUT! BUT! GLD was down there before, and couldn't be kept down, and it climbed upwards to where it is. So in the light of that it might not be a wise sell this late in the game.

Say you bet money successfully on the champ beating the newcomer. The champ has always beat newcomers until now. And you won the bet when wannabee champ got knocked down. But unlike all the previous wannabees, this newcomer after taking a huge hit shakes his head, squints and starts to look more determined than before. He DIDN'T STAY DOWN. He looks meaner not damaged. He gets up without looking beaten. And comes back kind of soon after being knocked down.

Well. What does that do to the odds for repeating the same bet and winning again? Whatever way it will go, those win:lose odds are different this time. The players are the same, but the odds not so.

Champ has to be favourite until he's not the champ. Due respect to power. But he's a lot older now, carrying some signs of wear and tear. His tactics are better known. This gold haired wannabee is a big fella. Needs to be put down regularly just to keep him in his place. Unruly independent type. Strong. His track record of making winning comebacks goes back a long way. Extra respect due to this one.

Also it's time to keep an extra eye on those fight organizers. They have control of the ring, the glove checks, judging, regulatory and referees, the time, maybe they could pull some sudden last minute rules changes. Plenty of room for cheating there by the champs' insider buddies.

That's all right there in that chart above, plus some more. But you knew that already. But there's a related fight in the next ring. Let's check it out.

Here's the TBond. You can see a little exploratory wave work also, with a timeline after which some inversionary moves are proceeding for the upper two scenarios. So far that is. That's of debatable value. And there's VAP also. Are we looking into the future where one fight is a few minutes ahead of the other? Lots to wonder about that possibility. Care advised certainly. There is a sense of we could be looking at big betting punters lines in the sand to either double up or to alternatively cut and run.

Have a good weekend everybody.

argentus maximus Rhythm and Price https://www.greenhobbymodel.com/rhythmnprice.html This analysis - global markets
Sat, Dec 8, 2018 - 8:52pm (Reply to #11592)
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88 ... 89

You're an interesting chap, Solsson.

I didn't see it the first time, but when I scanned your post later Hah Hah!

88 months after 6 September 2011

89 months after 6 September 2011 (a Fibonacci sequence number)

.... from 6 Sept 2011 the gold bull high that year ...... would be either the first week of Jan or Feb next.

And I'll put this one out also. Seven point two years from that high was passed about three weeks ago. That marked a second higher low for gold following the August bottom.

PS : Video to elaborate something big in P&F for subscribers before this weekend's over.

argentus maximus Rhythm and Price https://www.greenhobbymodel.com/rhythmnprice.html This analysis - global markets
Sun, Dec 9, 2018 - 2:07pm
Pete
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Trader Joe

Just checked in with Trader Joe's blog and glad I did.  Very interesting monthly view of crude oil, and of course ES.  

https://studyofcycles.blogspot.com/

Sun, Dec 9, 2018 - 5:20pm
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I second what Pete said. Plus

I second what Pete said. Plus this: Joe has a very clear focus on one of the possible scenarios in play right now. Look at the direction of the last completed 5 wave swing. Consider the matter of stops carefully.

argentus maximus Rhythm and Price https://www.greenhobbymodel.com/rhythmnprice.html This analysis - global markets
Sun, Dec 9, 2018 - 7:26pm
Pete
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Over at King World News

Michael Oliver Just Predicted Gold Will Take Out 5 Years Of Highs In 50 Trading Days!
December 07, 2018

https://kingworldnews.com/michael-oliver-just-predicted-gold-will-take-out-5-years-of-highs-in-50-trading-days/

Mon, Dec 10, 2018 - 10:42am
CaptK
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Gold Hurst Cycles

SentientTrader Market Update - 9 November 2018 (Gold)

Market Update - 9 November 2018 (Gold)
Mon, Dec 10, 2018 - 11:35am
UncleFester
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Speaking of Oil

USGS just revised its numbers for the Permian shale patch.  Gave recoverable oil a 2x (46 Bb) and recoverable natural gas a whopping 10x (280 Tcf).  Numbers will change should price fall below $30pb.  US is now net exporter of energy for first time since the 1970's I think.

Energy data junkies might like this link, can't speak to its accuracy...

https://www.tsp-data-portal.org/Breakdown-of-Energy-Production-Statistics...

Just because I'm paranoid, doesn't mean they aren't out to get me.
Mon, Dec 10, 2018 - 11:38am (Reply to #11596)
Solsson
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argentus maximus wrote:

argentus maximus wrote:

You're an interesting chap, Solsson.

I didn't see it the first time, but when I scanned your post later Hah Hah!

88 months after 6 September 2011

89 months after 6 September 2011 (a Fibonacci sequence number)

.... from 6 Sept 2011 the gold bull high that year ...... would be either the first week of Jan or Feb next.

And I'll put this one out also. Seven point two years from that high was passed about three weeks ago. That marked a second higher low for gold following the August bottom.

PS : Video to elaborate something big in P&F for subscribers before this weekend's over.

Wohoo, congrats Argentus, you solved the riddle yes well done! Do you know there is more to it. I am born on the 5 of September. At that particular point in time I was exactly 47 years old, so the 6th of September marked a turn for Gold like the turn of the Sun at tropic of capricorn and tropic of cancer. The angles are 23.5°+23.5° = 47° 

I am the Son of Sol laugh maybe not, but I somehow vibrate in synchronization with Gold, that's cool ...

Tropic of Cancer / Capricorn and Equator Explained

Talking about synchronization. Carl-Gustav Jung was frustrated about the subject. He thought it was intellectual rubbish and that's why his book is so thin. His frustration became less when he was able to discuss the phenomena with his friend a mathematician specialized in quantum mechanics.

Oh no, that number again. Last time I checked the price was 89SEK cheeky

Thu, Dec 13, 2018 - 11:06am
zman
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Europe deflation

https://www.zerohedge.com/news/2018-12-13/euro-slides-draghi-warns-downs...

Wow, thanks for the warning.   There's no economic growth or inflation, mission accomplished!!!

https://www.zerohedge.com/news/2018-12-13/italian-bonds-stocks-rally-ita...

Look at this, the EU elites controlling everything once again.  

It doesn't matter which political party is elected in which nation, it doesn't matter where the people protest.  The EU is controlled by the bond holders (elite) and they're going with even more deflation and lack of real economic growth.

So what's going to happen when the tax receipts start declining in the EU?   Yes, they can't run budget deficits so they are going to experience big spending cuts for the peasants and even higher taxes.    This is all about keeping the bond yields at negative or zero rates.  

BTW, this is just a preview for the US as well.  There is no bailout for Main Street, no stimulus, no flooding the economy with money. Not gonna happen.

Thu, Dec 13, 2018 - 5:00pm
zman
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November US federal deficit!!!!

https://www.zerohedge.com/news/2018-12-13/us-reports-biggest-ever-budget...

"$205 billion"    Not bad for just one month!!!!    This is why interest rates MUST go lower.   What's going to happen when tax receipts really start tanking?   Yep, spending CUTS for the peasants.   

Fri, Dec 14, 2018 - 4:39am
Solsson
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Karmic debt numbers

I am looking into this a little bit and I've noticed that I've got two of the numbers in my joined date:

Karmic Debt Numbers

The term Karma could basically be defined by the cliché “what you sow is what you reap”. It therefore refers to the whole Karmic system wherein the results of actions done in the past come up in the present. Thus its basic idea is that everything and everybody in this life is connected. Each and every individual is accountable for his or her actions. The actions might be good deeds or sins. Quite naturally the results of good deeds are good and the results of the sins committed are bad.

Karmic debt refers to a very special number in numerology. From the name Karmic Debt itself it becomes clear that based on the debt of the actions committed in the past the future is decided.

The best and most powerful number yet. Not just for financials ...

Angel Numbers 8,88,888,8888 repeating 8s

for those of you who can not stand computer voices

Angel Number 888: Time to blossom!

The time has arrived, this is it. If you do not have the guts to invest now you might miss the whole thing. That is how I interpret the situation we are currently in.

Just wow it is so spot on!

https://angelnumbersmeaning.com/angel-number-8888-meaning-and-symbolism/

Thank you Argentus-Norman and Carl-Gustav Jung for the support yessmiley this was meant to be ...

Edit:
Oups do not say Hi before crossing the river, a Swedish saying. Early 2019 we would know for sure.

Once again I've got support from the only verse. Look at the time when I tried to edit my post, it's Phi²
It's a sign that what I wrote above is not entirely rubbish, maybe there are a lot of truth in it.

Fri, Dec 14, 2018 - 9:34am
UncleFester
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Update

It has been awhile, but here is weekly Au in dollars with Fester Fans added.  Fans originate from the 12/2015 low.  You will notice that this projection is weak or flat.  This is the only set currently in play.  To generate them, 1200 (1.38) and 1230 (1.62) for 08/16/2018. 

https://www.tradingview.com/x/kRqGIitw/

Just because I'm paranoid, doesn't mean they aren't out to get me.
Fri, Dec 14, 2018 - 10:41am
Pete
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Feb gold Fri AM

Gold hit the minor pivot ml and put in an hourly reversal (though not a volume reversal also).  Look at the hourly volumes over the week and notice how these last two have the highest volumes of the minor correction.  This little decline is probably over.

Sun, Dec 16, 2018 - 6:11pm
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Deutsche Bank + Commerzbank = ?

In case you are not watching this unfold:

Much depends whether the Ministry for Finance or the Ministry for Defence (or both) are running the show.

Deutsche Bank To Become A SUPER Bank! Germany Will Set Stage For Global Financial Collapse!

Also wouldn't it be a shame if the Co Co bond liabilities were not reeled in, cancelled,  and converted into ordinary stock - before the final solution should be announced?

argentus maximus Rhythm and Price https://www.greenhobbymodel.com/rhythmnprice.html This analysis - global markets
Sun, Dec 16, 2018 - 7:39pm (Reply to #11608)
silver66
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coco's

https://www.investopedia.com/terms/c/contingentconvertible.asp

AM what you are really saying politely is who gets Fu#ked, and that will show at least for the moment where the power lies in this repositioning in German

silver66

Silver66 Rage against the dying of the light

Tue, Dec 18, 2018 - 1:55pm
Solsson
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A letter from the military in

A letter from the military in France to Macron, globalism finally being stopped?

Mister President,

You are about to sign the "Global Compact on Safe, Orderly and Regular Migration" on 10 and 11 December, which establishes a genuine right to migration. It may impose itself on our national legislation through pre-existing treaties or the principle of common responsibility set out in this pact.

It seems to us that the only sovereignty that will remain with France will consist in freely setting the way in which the objectives of the pact will have to be implemented. You can not give up this new part of the national sovereignty without a public debate whereas 80% of the French population considers that it is necessary to stop or regulate drastically the immigration. By deciding alone to sign this pact, you would add an additional reason for revolt to the anger of an already battered people. You would be guilty of a denial of democracy or treason against the nation.

In addition, the finances of our country are drained and our debt is growing. You can not take the risk of an expensive call for air migration without first showing that you will not have to resort to more taxes to meet the objectives of the pact. On the other hand, you must be able, in terms of security, to curb the consequences linked to the arrival of extra-European populations. Finally, you can not ignore that the very essence of politics is to ensure security on the outside and harmony within. However, this concord can be obtained only if it maintains a certain internal coherence of the society alone capable of allowing to want to do together, which becomes more and more problematic today.

In fact, the French state is late in coming to realize the impossibility of integrating too many people, in addition to totally different cultures, who have regrouped in the last forty years in areas that no longer submit to the laws of the Republic.

You can not decide alone to erase our civilizational landmarks and deprive us of our carnal homeland.

We therefore ask you to defer the signing of this pact and call by referendum the French to vote on this document. You are accountable to the French of your actions. Your election is not a blank.

We support the initiative of General MARTINEZ against the signature of this pact which must be adopted by the Member States of the UN at the Intergovernmental Conference of Marrakech.

Général Antoine MARTINEZ

Charles MILLON – Ancien Ministre de la Défense

Général Marc BERTUCCHI

Général Philippe CHATENOUD

Général André COUSTOU

Général Roland DUBOIS

Général Daniel GROSMAIRE

Général Christian HOUDET

Général Michel ISSAVERDENS

Amiral Patrick MARTIN

Général Christian PIQUEMAL

Général Daniel SCHAEFFER

Général Didier TAUZIN

Colonel Jean Louis CHANAS

Tue, Dec 18, 2018 - 2:09pm
Solsson
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I was supposed to post this,

I was supposed to post this, but I was blown away by the letter. The Swedish government signed the Global Compact deal without hesitation ...

Du you recognize the number, 16.2? 

randomness