The setup for the big trade

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Wed, Nov 8, 2017 - 8:01am
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What did 6 weeks of extreme G-V initiate?

The take the party back from it's corrupt inept greedy owners meme, eg as in 5-Star in Italy, was born in the US left and now spreads to the right.

argentus maximus wrote:
November 3, 2017 - 10:13pm

... Also, the US democrat party seems to have finally and belatedly reached the conclusion that either the embedded Clinton controls must go or it will disappear instead. Political class vs oligarch class - a power contest decision, and a substantial decision at that. ...

Cernovich puts it into words that the party faithful will understand.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=sv3dUzi3d5k

So .. when the political crowd are beating on the doors of the inner sanctums, of both left and right (which could conceivably be a single umbrella entity) what will be the response from within? The usual crowd manipulation?

Trump found it just so easy to play the patriotism card when confronted with embarrassing kneeling celebrity athletes. He rang the stars and stripes bell and the pavlovian trained crowd jumped to his cause. It just took a few tweets and they did his work for him.

"Who let the dogs out?" is a question that almost always gives a telling answer for those who ask it.

So, the oligarch class own the parties, the military agencies play their game too, and the political skivvy class that administer the parties manage the scam and make a fine living for themselves while skinning the people on behalf of their bosses. The game is tried, tested, and has worked for many decades.

But the people will decide soon to come and take their game back.

Mind wars already playing will escalate. The heat will come on the leaders of common man. False Pied Piper-esque leaders are about to be created and unleashed to deflect crowd energy into less harmful directions, like against enemies of these various elites. Lot's of patriotic pavlovian crowd-bells are due to be rung as this progresses. Religions will join in the fray acting for benefit of their earth-based economic masters. Which is definitely not acting in the interests of the common people living within their influence. I have observed high level meetings take place between supposedly competitive or oppositional religious leaders in recent times. It's happening. The pan religious agreement is probably in place.

What will this do for or against faith in political institutions? And what will it do for confidence in things financial like sovereign bond markets? Which depend on confidence in the solidity and permanence of political and national institutions.

The next financial, probably forex, could be bonds, crisis has begun. It won't be visible for a while. But it's on the way.

Perennially wrong doomsaying analysts will have their infrequent good forecast when it comes, the mainstream will mislead as they always do until the last moment then reverse claiming they were right all along as they always do. Good analysts will probably begin to produce work that falls roughly inline with this post's content as time passes and reality gradually emerges from the fog.

The protesting crowds are so incredibly far behind where the power contest currently is that watching their swings to follow it will be a wonderful case study in mass conversational and covert hypnosis, or persuasion as it is now called, and its efficacy. All life-vision-creating public information ("Let me draw you a picture" or "Look at this illustration", or "I have a dream .." will be suspect until consciously checked and cleared.

Many may become drafted by circumstance (or legislated) into institutions with no voluntary exit door. It's a chancy thing to allow during periods such as this, I mean becoming a tool or asset within a command structure where your pain or loss can result in a reward, promotion or monetary gain for unknown others above you in the hierarchy of that institution.

argentus maximus Rhythm and Price https://www.greenhobbymodel.com/rhythmnprice.html This analysis - global markets
Thu, Nov 9, 2017 - 2:05am
Pete
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Maybe

This could evolve into a p5 short pattern basis min-2 pivots. R1 would be a target for the end of this corrective wave, which would turn out to be a major pivot if reached by Nov 22.

Thu, Nov 9, 2017 - 3:59pm (Reply to #10458)
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argentus maximus

duplicate

argentus maximus Rhythm and Price https://www.greenhobbymodel.com/rhythmnprice.html This analysis - global markets
Thu, Nov 9, 2017 - 4:00pm
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Just about there

argentus maximus wrote:
September 25, 2017 - 3:38pm https://www.tfmetalsreport.com/comment/669585#comment-669585

.... I would also draw readers attention to the fact that the 911 atrocity 16 year anniversary passed and has faded from the news. There is a second anniversary of that event that has not yet arrived, about a month and a half away in November. ...

We have now got within a week of what I was talking about six weeks ago, in that September post. Related events are manifesting. Who were the substantial players back then? It's adequate to watch the MSM with the added insight of recollection and subsequent research applied to the present information arriving at our eyes and ears.

argentus maximus Rhythm and Price https://www.greenhobbymodel.com/rhythmnprice.html This analysis - global markets
Thu, Nov 9, 2017 - 4:22pm (Reply to #10572)
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Hmmm.YT have deleted the

Hmmm.

It appears that YT have deleted the account for that video linked above. Or the user? I expect I'll find out soon, which.

Political filtering?

Time to consider options.

I don't do much there, but have often considered doing more in that place. The possibility of editorial control being imposed from the controllers of that platform was sufficient to put me off committing energy in that direction.

But maybe:

Bitchute ... Steemit .... Vid.me .... Vimeo ... Hatreon? What of these, or another, has critical mass and is not single political polarity by userbase?

Any suggestions? It's not good to send business towards those with policy of sending ill intentions and decisions in return. Aiding the enemy ... not wise.

argentus maximus Rhythm and Price https://www.greenhobbymodel.com/rhythmnprice.html This analysis - global markets
Thu, Nov 9, 2017 - 9:58pm (Reply to #10575)
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WTO

is that other event you reference China being granted entrance to the WTO ?

Silver66

Silver66 Rage against the dying of the light

Fri, Nov 10, 2017 - 1:36pm
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911 what presidency (identify

911 what presidency (identify the policy characteristics not getting stuck on the name), who did it, who helped, what locations were connected by that event, their mission targets, result on society legislation spending, who got rich, who's agendas were advanced?

What was 911 for? Let me summarize the multiple streams as "resource war for capture of legislative power to enable access to greater levels of wealth and power for key participants" .

So who is acting now? Who are, always were their allies and backers that appear not to be involved according to news media? What are, always was their agenda and wishlist? The specialty of this thread, t... , makes the connection clear to me.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=yq_LtbtvefM

This time, different location as the current phase,otherwise same policies, same game, same parties.

argentus maximus Rhythm and Price https://www.greenhobbymodel.com/rhythmnprice.html This analysis - global markets
Fri, Nov 10, 2017 - 2:54pm (Reply to #10578)
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Last time, Iraq. Coming soon,

Last time, Iraq. Coming soon, Iran and/or Yemen.

Basically energy producing countries not yet "owned".

China must be accommodated, Russia either accommodated or isolated and drained of power.

North Korea must be neutralized, if not by the US, then by another agreed player.

Now look at Trump's recent international visits and see if they fit that plan.

Trump's base includes among others,state of Israel, the US military, the flyover midlanders who willingly serve in patriotic belief they thereby protect those they love. Everybody is going to get what they want.

argentus maximus Rhythm and Price https://www.greenhobbymodel.com/rhythmnprice.html This analysis - global markets
Sat, Nov 11, 2017 - 12:15pm
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the "H&K" pattern

Typically, when the 0-y line is broken and price returns to it, it is a support/resistance line where positions are taken for the continuation to r1 at least. This price action was dubbed the "hug and kiss" pattern where price hugged the broken 0-y line until a final "kiss" goodbye. Maybe like the man who, leaving for work, decides to come back to hug his spouse, then gives her a kiss goodbye as he breaks away to work.

Not always, but most often, a close beyond (in this instance, above) the 0-y line negates the pattern. As always, the pattern indications work best when the 0-y line is mpl, as here.

No stopping at r1 this time.

Sat, Nov 11, 2017 - 4:00pm
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FWIW--LT WTI

The monthly and daily continuation crude oil (WTI) charts are interesting.

The monthly may be pointing to an important target and top early next year.

The daily is interesting as a great example of how combining various geometric techniques can reveal good position trading opportunities.

Right now, if the crude rally is to continue, it must overcome the current r1 target at new highs. The center line is very strong. Already some profit-taking is evident from the exact r1 value (top). Price is getting closer to the monthly ml drawn on the monthly chart (or the daily, using the monthly pivot extremes). Internally it counts/looks good as an impulse wave higher with room to run.

Sun, Nov 12, 2017 - 3:10pm
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Follow up

to the last paragraph in post https://www.tfmetalsreport.com/comment/671114#comment-671114

The latest (possible) minor ml joins the confluence. Updated chart here.

Sun, Nov 12, 2017 - 10:19pm
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Update

Here is daily spot with support lines from both the 2015 and 2016 lows. They are converging. A little $20 drop would take out both, so bears are licking their chops. But bulls see a new base at 1270-1285 and can now attack last years high. Mind those stops.

https://s.tradingview.com/x/Q5HMCucm/

2 year view of the same....

https://s.tradingview.com/x/j24aW0Bl/

Just because I'm paranoid, doesn't mean they aren't out to get me.
Tue, Nov 14, 2017 - 1:04pm
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Nov 15th : A Politics-War

Nov 15th : A Politics-War cycle peak.

The longest time span harmonic I discovered thus far for this cycle is 40+ years, back in the 1970s. The MSM news is already chock full of first order associated geopolitics. Can this be done and dusted already? I'm not happy that what has happened so far is big enough to make that the case.

G-V showing this for most of this week only as a small peak on G effect, V slightly above normal. That's tough to reconcile with the above. G-V is saying somewhat today-tomorrow, but rather more end of November, 4th, then 8th-10th December (V is very high on 10th).

argentus maximus Rhythm and Price https://www.greenhobbymodel.com/rhythmnprice.html This analysis - global markets
Wed, Nov 15, 2017 - 11:50am
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Credit for partial image:

Credit for partial image: Today's Reuters home page

Credit for above image: some conspiracy websearch result

Business as usual for those doing their gods work I guess.

argentus maximus Rhythm and Price https://www.greenhobbymodel.com/rhythmnprice.html This analysis - global markets
Thu, Nov 16, 2017 - 5:18am
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mmm, a campaign running at

mmm, a campaign running at full speed at work and every propaganda poster ends with a funny phrase ...

I DO NOT LOOK THE OTHER WAY!

that's how a person who wants to manipulate it's audience work ... LOOK HERE (but not here, then you might learn something). It's a very simple two step plan

1. The GOOD reason

2. The REAL reason

it's at every level in society and has been for a very long time. We are going to celebrate our Christmas party at the Freemason lodge haha

https://gnosticwarrior.com/322.html

Thu, Nov 16, 2017 - 8:08am
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The global putch continues ...

... how will it get? Far enough to save the western neocon controlled empire from the impending consequences of it's covert-string-pullers' past actions?

More "anniversary celebrations" to report today:

An extra country ...

Cambodia's main opposition party dissolved by Supreme Court

Cambodia's Supreme Court dissolved the main opposition party on Thursday, leaving authoritarian Prime Minister Hun Sen clear to extend over three decades in power in a general election next year.

S&P 500 Breaks Longest Stretch of Calm in Half a Century

....by historical standards, the market remains quite calm. The S&P 500 is down just 0.7% so far this week. If it finishes the week without a 2% decline, it would mark its 62nd consecutive week without such a move lower, the longest such stretch since 1965, according to the Journal’s Market Data Group.

Paulson holds stake in gold steady in third-quarter

begins: " Paulson & Co left its stake in gold investments unchanged in the third quarter, as concerns about North Korea’s ..."

But this part later belies the title (slightly): " ... Paulson & Co, led by longtime gold bull John Paulson, kept its stake in SPDR Gold Trust at 4.36 million shares with a value of $530 million at the end of September, up from a value of $514.5 million in the second quarter, the 13F filing showed .... Paulson also left stakes unchanged...(in various gold stocks AM) " (highlighted text is my edit)

I think these things are worth your attention as being signs of power escalation, capitulation, and change. This is the last round for those markets that tend to lead events by the longest period- bonds and gold.

Meanwhile, it appears that US media is concerned most with how many sips of water the president took during a speech, the water seems to be even more important than the content of that speech! It's got pretty blatant even for the dumbest media consumers.

I find myself recalling how Frank Zappa summarized this: “The illusion of freedom will continue as long as it's profitable to continue the illusion. At the point where the illusion becomes too expensive to maintain, they will just take down the scenery, they will pull back the curtains, they will move the tables and chairs out of the way and you will see the brick wall at the back of the theater.”

Given the defacto reputation burning behaviour of the big brand mainstream fake media, I think we can safely come to the conclusion that it is extremely important to some parties to maintain the illusion just a little longer, in the short term. Don't make the mistake of going 180 degree reversal on info gathering and of assuming that this makes the alternative media correct in everything they report. They are more corrupted and infiltrated than at anytime before now. But there are level headed and informed sources available.

Steady hand on the tiller. The long forecast in Setup for The Big Trade is relentlessly cruising toward it's destination. Medium term trendlines are above the gold price as it moves towards lower range boundary.

I find myself looking at various FX pairs recently looking for harder currencies to set levels on.

( All could change in a moment of course. Theories are just that, before they succeed, if they do. Stops are required, always. )

argentus maximus Rhythm and Price https://www.greenhobbymodel.com/rhythmnprice.html This analysis - global markets
Thu, Nov 16, 2017 - 12:21pm
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Trader Joe

Trader Joe over at Study of Cycles is presently counting wiggle waves in a downwards direction for the SPX.

"A Top of "Some Degree" appears in Place ..... "

https://studyofcycles.blogspot.ie/2017/11/another-lower-low-day.html

argentus maximus Rhythm and Price https://www.greenhobbymodel.com/rhythmnprice.html This analysis - global markets
Thu, Nov 16, 2017 - 9:47pm
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re spx

I note that the NYSE advance-decline line did not make a new high with the indexes, for the first time in a long time.

Sun, Nov 19, 2017 - 1:51am
Pete
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Dec Gold

Dec gold may reach r1 soon, a place to watch for an important turn. If at c, then a = c; and the time of w.2 = 162% the time of w.1. It could be a major pivot high.

A very good article linked below. Where are we in the credit cycle? The rise in short-term govt bond rates is supporting gold for a particular reason.

https://www.goldmoney.com/research/goldmoney-insights/americas-stagflation

Sun, Nov 19, 2017 - 1:04pm
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NEM

The weekly chart of NEM is not bullish until price can get above the rl. If gold can break out, NEM might too. The daily chart shows the support at the recent lows with real potential to move higher (there is a shakeout pattern at p1-p2). Price is nearing an important juncture. Very recent support at 35.49 low appears critical. This was where buyers stepped in to prevent a 2P line break. We need a strong move on higher volume for a w.3 impulse to prove the bullish potential. It's got to be soon.

randomness