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The setup for the big trade

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Thu, Feb 4, 2016 - 12:08pm
brokerk22
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I am Avi Gilburt

and my analysis is the market will go up and the market will go down. I will be right either way. I hate to say it but AM sounds a little this way. IMHO ==== uselsess nonsense.

Thu, Feb 4, 2016 - 1:15pm
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What's unclear about the fact

 What's unclear about the fact I said I'm long, waiting for lower prices to buy, and accept that people will sell the crap out of it when it goes up a bit more, so expect a pullback which could run?

I mention short term trading objectives and this makes my long term strategy so unclear you can't see it?

The last time I bought heavily was August last. Gold is well above those levels.

If the short term is confusing, then forget trying to buy or sell smart. Not all that ambitious, but whatever suits you, do it.

argentus maximus Rhythm and Price https://www.greenhobbymodel.com/rhythmnprice.html This analysis - global markets
Thu, Feb 4, 2016 - 1:22pm (Reply to #8611)
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brokerk22 wrote: and

brokerk22 wrote:

and technical analysis ==== useless gibberish in HFT rigged markets.

That's bullshit. Those guys trounced fundamentalist gold bulls for the last four years just by selling it when it got back up to THE DESCENDING TRENDLINE which I understand is a beginners technical trading strategy.

argentus maximus Rhythm and Price https://www.greenhobbymodel.com/rhythmnprice.html This analysis - global markets
Thu, Feb 4, 2016 - 4:20pm
silver66
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New fibonacci analysis

Silver66 Rage against the dying of the light

Thu, Feb 4, 2016 - 5:08pm (Reply to #8615)
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:-)

 :-)

argentus maximus Rhythm and Price https://www.greenhobbymodel.com/rhythmnprice.html This analysis - global markets
Fri, Feb 5, 2016 - 7:25am
brokerk22
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@argentus

You are the owner of a subscription site that uses technical analysis that you sell as a service. I didn't expect you to agree with this statement. No surprise here.

Fri, Feb 5, 2016 - 8:13am (Reply to #8611)
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brokerk22 wrote:and

brokerk22 wrote:

and technical analysis ==== useless gibberish in HFT rigged markets.

You're a broker. Means you buy and sell for other people. That's a service. I assume you have a way of knowing when to buy and sell? Tell us what's useful to trade HFT rigged markets? Or do you just tell them what doesn't work and keep the rest under your vest?

Fri, Feb 5, 2016 - 8:22am (Reply to #8617)
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brokerk22 wrote:You are the

brokerk22 wrote:
You are the owner of a subscription site that uses technical analysis that you sell as a service. I didn't expect you to agree with this statement. No surprise here.

Technical analysis is childs play compared to what I do. However unlike you I am objective enough to recognize the degree to which TA works, and therefore it must be included in my methodology to that exact degree. Not 1% more, or less.

Other things work too and those must also be used. But you see price bouncing off technical levels hundreds of times every week.

I know your theses is that it's all rigged. Do you think the culprits just turn on a money tap? What do you think THEY use to guide THEIR interventions? Technical analysis and volume flow of course. Well .... price times volume, or rate of change, is similar to the physics equation mass times velocity. The result in each case is momentum. This is what the winners and the riggers are both playing. It's a language of sorts. It gets bashed to and fro for very good reasons. It gets created and it gets destroyed. They all want to control it but can't ... enough. And it is imprinted on the chart for you to see, just like words in a book. Learn to speak and read it.

But as I said, that's just technical analysis. One possible tool in the toolbox. Sometimes a scalpel works better than a spanner, other times a needle, or a hammer.

Follow your own desires. I follow my research and past results. Best of LUCK to you.

argentus maximus Rhythm and Price https://www.greenhobbymodel.com/rhythmnprice.html This analysis - global markets
Fri, Feb 5, 2016 - 5:12pm
Solsson
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Holy smoke I've not seen such

Holy smoke I've not seen such a powerful green bar in HUI since 2012

The Atlas V carrying Juno lifts off.

Have a nice weekend folks!

Sat, Feb 6, 2016 - 11:20am
silver66
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inflection point

Hey AM, on this forum and on the main forums I have noticed recently some unusually aggressive debating and attacks . Are we at a G-V date or an inflection point

Just curious

Silver66

Silver66 Rage against the dying of the light

Sat, Feb 6, 2016 - 1:34pm
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You have the synchrony

You have the synchrony figured correctly Silver66. The regulars here get it by now. I expect my comments about using personal traffic experience to evaluate social and market stability is possibly less strange to a few people now.

V all the way for a while. Not so much G. So power contest with a violent twist.

This peak goes from 5th to 9th - 11th Feb, but it doesn't reduce for long and comes back. Make sure to remember Valentine's Day for your significant other or else! They'll be killing one another right through February into week one of March. A violent period of death and destruction with high profile suicides.

St. Patrick's week, or the Spring Solstice (if that term seems better) will be lively this year.

This prolonged V effect will probably be enough to get a few campaigns going, but I don't see crisis markers.

A G peak at 27th March to middle of April. G rises up to accompany V and hold at noticeable elevated levels. Given this and the violence bubbling for almost a month by then, I think the second week to third week of April will be sparky and climactic.

Two and a half months will do. Let it run and see how it plays.

argentus maximus Rhythm and Price https://www.greenhobbymodel.com/rhythmnprice.html This analysis - global markets
Sat, Feb 6, 2016 - 7:11pm
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Syncrony?  The V

Syncrony? The V Effect.....

Posted 3 minutes before AM's response. 

https://www.tfmetalsreport.com/forum/7126/i-wonder-why-iwwti?page=187

So who is really in charge of the topics we discuss here? And our opinions which we think up? For that matter markets? etc...

Fool me once etc....

Sun, Feb 7, 2016 - 10:30am
Solsson
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mmm I've noticed it myself,

mmm I've noticed it myself, from a couple of days ago the headline was "Russia practicing nuclear war against Sweden".

Silver66, nice cat post, I am a big cat fan myself, thinking of a ragdoll, I've heard that cat people is a little bit smarter than dog dito hehe

Ok, my ego got in my way for the solar/lunar story and I didn't get it. My brain is not firing on all cylinders if there is not a greed component involved, an instant feedback in dollars still motivate's me a great deal. I was not comfortable with the sun, moon and earth story explaining events in markets. I was thinking to myself, what is next, astrology, sorry for that.

Argentus maximus had to write it on my nose in the last RNP before I was prepared to take in all info provided here. For those of you not a member I can really recommend to participate. The info is worth every euro/dollar spent.

The last two RNP's was mind boggling, everything is connected. Do you not get the feeling that everything around us is engineered by an almost divine engineer. It's so perfect and beautiful. Bo Polny talks about Gods clock is always perfect. I remember an interview with David Attenborough, the journalist asked him a question "You've seen all mother natures miracles now for several decades, for sure you must believe in God" David responded with "There is a worm that crawls into the eye of a child, so that he becomes blind before the age of 5 years. That is not a very merciful creature is it?

Sun, Feb 7, 2016 - 11:01am (Reply to #8580)
Solsson
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argentus maximus wrote: For

argentus maximus wrote:

For those who prefer market related chit chat. Anybody happy that super long term cycles have nothing to do with the second by second path of eg turbulent futures markets of today. And anyway Central Bank control makes all analysis impossible for sure. Just one teeny tiny little angle on this. Where was the Dow 12 or 13 years ago? That would be 2003 to 2004 period. Well it came to the end of a rise with few pullbacks, and went into a descending trading range which became a larger pullback. The regulators say that past performance is no guide to future performance in financial markets. I expect that's how it is.

Of course if things really are fractal, then what power does a mere central bank have over a massive hundred or thousand year cycle? None of course. But .... if the tiny micro cycles are actually smaller self similar versions of that gigantic central bank crusher, then what? Wavelets eroding away a concrete pier while the pier owner frantically pours extra concrete paid for by somebody else? I'll leave that one for you to ponder.

A fractal pattern in charts, a self repeating pattern, maybe it's possible to predict the future from a smaller time scale, lets say 60min chart and then at a later time see the very same pattern repeated in a monthly chart, cool isn't it, it's like the invention of a time machine.

Sun, Feb 7, 2016 - 10:17pm
Hammer
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If you can figure out a

If you can figure out a pattern in the frequency of prime numbers, you might have a chance....until then, no one, and I mean NO ONE can consistently predict the future and I dont care who they are.

"I found a flaw in the model that I perceived is the critical functioning structure that defines how the world works." - Alan Greenspan, October 2008 WTF ! Now you tell us !!!
Sun, Feb 7, 2016 - 11:00pm (Reply to #8626)
silver66
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Hammer if you can figure out a

I agree that no one knows the future (actually one guy does but he owns the joint ;-))

I like to think of the work AM and others on this forum do is akin to surfing

If you go to the beach and there are lots of really good waves, you don't mind missing a few. In fact at the end of the day when you are sitting around with your buds rehashing the day you will probably talk about all the waves including the ones you did not catch and what a great day it was. However if you went to the beach and the tide was going out and the waves were few and far between you probably would talk about the waves you missed

I study this forum to show me how to have a good day at the beach not how to catch the one monster wave.I want to know when to go to the beach and when to stay at home

Silver66

Silver66 Rage against the dying of the light

Mon, Feb 8, 2016 - 4:17am
Hammer
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Being a surfer myself, I

Being a surfer myself, I would agree with your summation/comparison to waiting for waves....it is physically impossible to catch them all but you have to be out in the water on the outside waiting for the (ideally) set waves that usually comes in threes to even have a chance of riding one in.

"I found a flaw in the model that I perceived is the critical functioning structure that defines how the world works." - Alan Greenspan, October 2008 WTF ! Now you tell us !!!
Mon, Feb 8, 2016 - 9:02am
erewenguy
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You can keep a monster in the

You can keep a monster in the cellar for only so long.

Mon, Feb 8, 2016 - 9:07pm
Wy So Lo
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I have also

Noticed that i will come up with a construct that is previously unknown to myself , then within a day i will see it explained here or at ZH or elsewhere. I suppose my main fear is that the system does not implode. The markets are so centralized now that as far as i know the Nippon market is close to 60% owned by Japan .Gov. If the ESF has no judiciary oversight and no limit to its scope then why the hell won't they just buy the whole Quadrillion worth of equities and derivatives, after all, finance as it exists today is only a figment of our combined imagination. Through the system they created, all value has been replaced with debt that is once again fiction. I get perplexed when i see great thinkers saying it must fail because of all this debt. I hate using the word ponzi because it limits our perspective. The ones in control of this wonderous majestic global finance hologram know that they can paint anything they want and we will buy it. Where did the quadrillion worth of derivatives come from ? Straight out of Blythe's head, thats where. Mandrake the magnificent has waved it in to existence, and Russia will wave it out. I get angry when i think about the scope of the fraud, and i get pissed when i can't put things in to words, so enough from me.!!!

Mon, Feb 8, 2016 - 11:55pm
Wy So Lo
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Aaannndd

Right on cue from ZH

Beam Me Up Scotty

Beam Me Up Scotty's picture

How can the Fed run out of money when they have a printing press and a keyboard? They have infinite money. I'm wrong you say? When's the last time you or anyone else audited them?? They will buy everything including the kitchen sink as long as someone will sell it to them to keep things propped up. Only reason markets go down is because they want them to.

I start thinking things and someone else types it amazing.

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