A2A with Dave Kranzler of Investment Research Dynamics

154

After a few weeks away, the award-winning webinar series "Access to Access" returns today with an update from our pal, Dave Kranzler of Investment Research Dynamics.

It's always great to have Dave on as a guest and once again he did not disappoint. Over the course of this 54-minute call, Dave addresses a wide range of topics, including:

  • the developments today at Tahoe Resources
  • the current CoT structure and its implications for price
  • why Mother and her Goons are moving to raise the FF rate
  • possible gold and silver confiscation
  • how the mining shares may trade in a general equity bear market
  • and a whole lot more!

Please be sure to give this a listen and thanks again to Dave for all of his time.

TF

  154 Comments

boomer sooner
Jul 6, 2017 - 11:38pm

Found this on Shitco

Where are the Stops? Thursday, July 6, Gold and Silver

Jim Wyckoff Thursday July 06, 2017

https://www.kitco.com/commentaries/2017-07-06/Where-are-the-Stops-Thursd...

August GoldBuy StopsSell Stops

$1,229.50 **$1,216.50**

$1,240.00 $1,210.00

$1,250.00 $1,201.40

$1,260.00 $1,200.00

September SilverBuy StopsSell Stops

$16.19 $15.85

**$16.28** $15.75

$16.50 $15.50

$16.75 $15.25

They pretty much ran the table tonight.

lakedweller2
Jul 6, 2017 - 11:42pm

Bizarre

I can only believe that certain tangibles have value including gold and silver.

Joseph Warren
Jul 7, 2017 - 12:52am

Craziness . . . .

increasing in intensity & frequency. (Economically, politically, and socially) And then one day something Big happens. Maybe the launch of the next really Big War. And then all the 'markets' go completely dark Everything changes over a weekend, and on Monday nothing is the same. TPTB's reset of the game board.

Does anyone doubt that the situation could be much worse than we probably imagined just a few years ago ? Look how increasingly crazy it's getting. We thought we would position ourselves in PMs and make a ton. Maybe that should be the least of our concerns.

Screw their so-called 'prices'. Think I'll hold tight to my physical PMs. Gotta feeling we'll need them.

AGXIIK
Jul 7, 2017 - 2:07am

Will the schwacking ever end?

The PPT/ESF beat the hell out of silver, shoving it down from $17 to $8 right around the time of the Lehman crash. This was done as a ruse to distract people from the real problem---the cratering of the global financial system. This schwacking of PM prices lasted a few months, before silver and gold started a relentless rise to $50 and $1,900 respectively.

The best part of that price rise was the first 4 months of 2011 when both metals did the proverbial Rhino Horn price rise. Prices rose slowly at first and then very quickly. Like bankruptcies.

 The fear factor of the financial system implosion, coupled with a disasterous drop in the stock market and free fall in real estate prices caused people to rush to precious metals and bid silver up 500% I know about the high premiums but outside of that temporary situation, people went to the best alternative asset protection and the prices went parabolic. Not many but certain enough to force price discovery at the edges that then migrated to the middle.

Until the Fed et al came to their senses, went full on ZIRP and QE, thus juicing the stock market, giving a huge rise to bond values and reflating every bubble that was popped including real estate and subprime mortgages (oh hell yes, those are back with a vengence) along with a new breed of lending--- FUBAR student loans and TACFU auto loans.

The cause of the 2008 crash was not resolved. The same bankster systemic problems are the same ,only with $250-300 billion in crushingly fresh debt that can never be repaid

But add to these problems is the War War vs Jaw Jaw problems in Syria, North Korea, China, the middle east and the Sino Soviet zone of war and peace that is standing up the the US MIC incursions

Gold and, to a less extent, silver are fear oriented investment metals. Suppressing the price makes it look like everything is fine and dandy----which it is not.

I fully expect to wake up some morning to find the Korean peninsula in flames; both north and south. Not because Mini Me did something really rash; not that it's impossible to picture this, but because someone said 'Pull the trigger' They feared getting hit first and did a preemptive first strike because they feared it would be done to them.

North Korea, South Korea, Japan, the US or some unexpected event in that area; someone launches a missile that goes off course and lands somewhere important

And We have our Arch Duke Ferdinand moment

Hopefully Trump does not get dragging into this foolishness

simjojim
Jul 7, 2017 - 4:23am

Sentiment and frustration

When I bought my first physical silver I knew I was buying into a manipulated market. Thanks mostly to Ted Butler and GATA. To be honest, it was a big part of the attraction for me, buying an undervalued asset. Did I think we'd be here in 2017 with silver at $15, not a chance I would have believed it! But here we are and what can we do about it, not a thing. Am I frustrated, yes, am I sorry, no.

So to clarify, the manipulation to the down side was a big part of my decision to buy silver. Someone pointed out earlier, we are much closer to the bottom than we are to the top. I don't know how long I've been a member here but from my perspective sentiment has never been as low as it is ATM......... could be a good sign.

Joseph Warren
Jul 7, 2017 - 6:00am

The PMs are Like Special Sunglasses . . .

from the cult movie classic 'They Live'. Deep involvement in PMs gives you insight into the nature of how the world really works. This recent 'price' smash is another example of that. (Non PM 'bugs' are likely completely unaware that it happened.) Someone earlier in the thread lamented that the CFTC takes no action. On the contrary, they do exactly what their owners want them to do. And the politicians in D.C. do the same -

They Live Sunglasses
Joseph Warren
Jul 7, 2017 - 7:50am

A Reminder for Days Like We've Recently Had . . .

undoubtedly this has already been posted. But see if what this lady says about the current economic & financial conditions makes sense. Got phys PMs ?

https://usawatchdog.com/market-crash-coming-insiders-run-lynette-zang/

GOLDDOC
Jul 7, 2017 - 8:20am

TPTB KNOW WHAT AM IS DOING!!

They just cant stop it anymore. So maybe they are going along for the ride. Perfect time to closeout all short positions and begin taking a new position with ag/au going straight up.

murphy
Jul 7, 2017 - 8:24am

End of thread book review

I recently came across, None Dare Call It Conspiracy by Gary Allen. Especially interesting since it was written in 1971. A lot of facts based on historical researchers, most importantly Carrol Quigley. I never had the patience to finish Quigley's five pound epic. 

You can check out the first one and a half chapters on Amazon. The first chapter was a bit boring but the next one was interesting enough for me to spend $5.00 on the Kindle edition.

This book is a primer for anyone who wishes to understand the basic workings of the global network of Insiders that is determined to wield power over all of mankind in the coming New World Order. The Special Edition is updated with illustrations and charts for 2013. Introduction by U.S. Congressman John G. Schmitz: The story you are about to read is true. The names have not been changed to protect the guilty. This book may have the effect of changing your life. After reading this book, you will never look at national and world events in the same way again. None Dare Call It Conspiracy will be a very controversial book. At first it will receive little publicity and those whose plans are exposed in it will try to kill it by the silent treatment. For reasons that become obvious as you read this book, it will not be reviewed in all the "proper" places or be available on your local book stand. However, there is nothing these people can do to stop a grass roots book distributing system. Eventually it will be necessary for the people and organizations named in this book to try to blunt its effect by attacking it or the author. They have a tremendous vested interest in keeping you from discovering what they are doing. And they have the big guns of the mass media at their disposal to fire the barrages at None Dare Call It Conspiracy. By sheer volume, the "experts" will try to ridicule you out of investigating for yourself as to whether or not the information in this book is true They will ignore the fact that the author about to conjecture. They will find a typographical error or ague some point that is open to debate. If necessary they will lie in order to protect themselves by smearing this book. I believe those who pooh-pooh the information herein because psychologically many people would prefer to believe we are because we all like to ignore bad news. We do so at our own peril.

https://www.amazon.com/None-Dare-Call-Conspiracy-Allen/dp/1939438004/ref...

NUGTCALL
Jul 7, 2017 - 8:28am

TPTB KNOW WHAT AM IS DOING!!

Wishful thinking. 

matt_
Jul 7, 2017 - 8:39am

"Jobs" up +220,000

..versus 179,000 expected. I know these numbers are meaningless, but that doesn't stop the market from reacting to the better than expected jobs number.

https://www.cnbc.com/2017/07/07/us-nonfarm-payrolls-june-2017.html

jwmkratz
Jul 7, 2017 - 8:42am

Current BLS report is good report for service businesses...

...and horrible for manufacturing, heavy industry, and goods producing businesses... Another 102,000 phantom jobs added via B/D model. Nothing has changed for the last eight years.

Docdhj
Jul 7, 2017 - 8:43am

Jobs Number

Turdites,

Great news! A blow out jobs number! 179,000 increase expected...... actual number of an increase of 222,000...... one little problem with the "lollipops and rainbows" hackfest going on at CNBS & FBN..... 102,000 were fictitious due to the birth/death model and wages are less than stagnant. Other than that enjoy the ride on The Titanic while the music plays on!

Dave

OOOBuck
Jul 7, 2017 - 8:44am

I was just wondering

....if we'll need Bitcoin to purchase AM's cryptobullion. Just a thought.

lolWotEvA
Jul 7, 2017 - 8:45am

So was last nights smash because

someone got a preview of the BLSBS????

NUGTCALL
Jul 7, 2017 - 8:46am

I don't watch TV

But if I was making a bet I would think Liesman has a little woody about now


Jul 7, 2017 - 9:17am
fluxplus
Jul 7, 2017 - 9:20am

Silver below $15?

Silver below $15? Is it possible? Or we are ready for the bounce now?

tyberious
Jul 7, 2017 - 9:23am

  Bullion Banks line up in

Bullion Banks line up in London to support LME’s Gold Futures

The London Metal Exchange (LME) is about to launch a range of new gold and silver futures in the London market (LMEprecious). Crucially though, these gold futures do not deliver physical gold or silver. Instead they transfer around unallocated gold and unallocated silver, units of which are fractionally-backed in the London precious metals markets.

This LME development is also backed by the World (Paper) Gold Council and supported by a large cast of investment banks, some of which are even part of a joint venture company which has struck a revenue sharing deal with the LME. For all the background on these new LMEprecious futures and to find out who these banks are, read on.
Continue reading...

JQuest
Jul 7, 2017 - 9:24am

Have You Noticed ?

When there is good economic news from the phony number generators Gold and Silver always take a immediate dive lower.

But when there is bad news concerning world politics or the economy, both which used to effect Gold and Silver to the up side now do absolutely nothing.

The manipulation is in our face now and so terribly obvious!


Jul 7, 2017 - 9:25am

BLSBSUSDJPY

What a joke this is. Note the initial reaction/digestion of the BLSBS was lower. And then, like magic, five minutes later the USDJPY begins to scream higher.

boomer sooner
Jul 7, 2017 - 9:25am

Anyone know where to find

Anyone know where to find Federal unemployment spending? A chart for the last 20 years would be nice.

Blankone
Jul 7, 2017 - 9:27am

Hammered

Metals getting monkey hammered again. Think ill jump in today and add to the stack...might as well !!!!

Mickey
Jul 7, 2017 - 9:27am

BLS

for newbies here, there is very little that can be trusted in this particular govt report.

the non seasonable data is different--than the seasonable data used, for one thing.

and the way we are going, now at 4.4% unemployment, I can see negative unemployment around the corner.

The important thing are that states are running out of money. The fed govt prints. there are unfunded liabilities for both as far as one can see. Retailers are in trouble. Amazon not increasing sales nearly enough to counter the overall retail decline. And retialers in general have low margins and getting lower.

GM has inventory coming out its ass. Fiat Chrysler probably too. They cant give cars away now and we know prices of used cars are down. autos are only 15-20% of economy so there is nothing to be concerned about, right.

Payback time for all the credit based spending and stock buying is going to be a bitch when it comes. We ahve always had cycles, this one has been elongated.

We have some major problems and the people are complacent about it all.

This is way beyond precious metals.

boomer sooner
Jul 7, 2017 - 9:27am

boomer

Maybe check the FRED site. Put "FRED charts" into google and you'll find it.

murphy
Jul 7, 2017 - 9:35am

@ Mickey

C'mon man, you're making way too much sense. Using analysis from reality.

Orange
Jul 7, 2017 - 9:38am

Very Depressing

Too bloody right.

And where is the investigation?

Depressing.

Dr. P. Metals
Jul 7, 2017 - 9:41am

Perspective

a reminder of where things are still at:

People Choose Free Candy Bar over Free 10 oz Silver Bar (Worth $150) in Experiment

Note: since the making of that video, silver has been flat or gone down in price 25% and the candy bar has doubled in price. surprise

simjojim
Jul 7, 2017 - 9:49am

Falling Mine Supply

more and more uses for silver, yet here we are in the $15's. If that's not a fucking disgusting joke then I don't know what is.

https://schiffgold.com/key-gold-news/silver-news-mine-production-falls-first-time-14-years-new-technological-breakthroughs/


Jul 7, 2017 - 9:49am

Diversion required

I added a modest position on JNUG last night. Fortunately, I was able to close it out before the opening with only a small loss. while it was deciding which way to go. So, today is a good day to work on something really awful, like running a new water line from the meter to the house. I better go rent that trencher and get to digging. But $14 silver will definitely tempt me to make another large purchase...

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