Weekend Review

481
Sat, Sep 22, 2012 - 12:16pm

What an interesting week. Instead of volatility, we got containment and flatlines. Something tells me next week won't be the same.

Ponder this for a moment, QE∞ is announced as official Fed policy last Thursday. That day gold, the only alternative currency to steadily-debasing fiat, responds with a $38 move. Frankly, I would have expected more but, given the Cartel propensity for containing daily moves at either the +1% or +2% levels, $38 seemed about right. However, over the next five days, would you have expected this?

  • Friday, 9/14: net change +$0.60
  • Monday, 9/17: -$2.10
  • Tuesday, 9/18: +$0.60
  • Wednesday 9/19: +$0.50
  • Thursday 9/20: -$1.50

So, cumulatively over the next five days trading in gold, immediately following the long-awaited announcement of QE∞, the total change was down $1.90. Huh?? And, again, it's not like we saw the +$20, -$22, +$31 kind of volatility you would have expected. Very strange and, once again, subtle evidence of the outright blatant and ongoing manipulation and "managed ascent" of the paper price by The Gold Bullion Banking Cartel.

To no one's surprise, this week's CoT continued the trend of Cartel naked short issuance to contain price. Again, I'm not really sure who wrote the mandate that JPM, DB et al have to act as market makers in the metals but, for some reason, that is the role they allege to play. Spec money comes into the pit and the banks issue the highly-leveraged paper. Not content to see price bid up as the spec bids search for willing sellers of existing contracts, The Cartel, instead, simply issues brand new contracts to satisfy demand.

In doing so, The Gold Cartel added another 18,196 short contracts this week and brought their net short ratio back up to an astonishingly dangerous (to them) 2.68:1. Why is this so dangerous, you ask? Because they are continuing to play this game as if none of the fundamentals have changed. This is no longer 2002 or 2008. It's not even 2011. We are near The End Game for fiat currency and the "creditor nations" around the globe recognize this. The are readily exchanging their rapidly-devaluing fiat for hard assets, gold in particular. This insatiable physical demand underpins the paper market and makes precipitous, short-covering drops, like we've seen The Cartel execute in the past, all but impossible. Oh sure, there will still be selloffs and beatdowns...Heck, we saw one yesterday...but incessant physical demand forces The Cartel to quickly turn tail and buy in order to cover and secure the metal required to meet the allocations sought at every London fix.

So, again, look to buy the dips. Not every $5 dip, mind you, but any substantial dip the pushes price back to obvious support points. Right now, the obvious area is around $1755-1760. IF a dip develops early next week, I'll be all over it. Gold looks certain to soon blast through $1780 and then $1800. From there, I expect a rapid move toward the old all-time highs of $1920. At that point, gold could, once again, get disorderly to the upside, similar to what we saw in August of 2011. It will likely break out and UP through the long-term channel again and head toward and through $2000.

And here is a long-term chart of gold priced in euros. Recall that we've been discussing for weeks how euro/gold was getting well ahead of dollar/gold and that dollar gold would eventually catch up. A month ago, euro/gold was showing that $1800 gold was coming. Now, euro gold makes it look like $1920 gold is only about a month away. (Chart courtesy Trader Dan: https://www.traderdannorcini.blogspot.com/2012/09/euro-gold-on-track-for-all-time-high.html)

And JPM and their pals continue to play games with silver, blissfully unaware that their dynasty has ended. Just last week, they added another 2,880 short contracts in a vain attempt to pin price below $35 and protect the vulnerable buy-stops near $35.50 that, if tripped, would send silver quickly toward $37.50. Oh well, screw 'em. So they "won" this week. Whatever. They're just going to lose eventually so what's another week of waiting. Now at a total gross short position of 82,358 contracts and a net short ratio of 2.58:1, The Silver Cartel is sitting on a powderkeg of their making. Boy is it ever going to be fun to watch it explode right under them.

As The Doc pointed out yesterday, The Forces of Darkness expended a lot of ammunition yesterday in a desperate attempt to start a cascade and keep price under $35. ( https://www.silverdoctors.com/cartel-dumped-2x-annual-us-silver-production-on-market-in-15-min-to-smash-silver-under-35/) They now find themselves in a bit of a jam as we head into Tuesday. They'll need to cover quite a few contracts before the 1:25 EDT close that day or they risk showing their footprints on next week's CoT. What will they do? Cover, of course! Now the question is, will they gamble by raiding first and hoping for a steep enough selloff that they can cover the raid "material" and more on the way back up? Maybe but I doubt it. Physical demand will easily blunt the dip again just as it did yesterday. Their only logical choice, after being thwarted yesterday, is to begin to cover yesterday's new shorts as early as Monday, otherwise they risk a significantly "Happy Tuesday" that blows out those $35.50-area buy stops and send price toward $37+. What to do, what to do. A whole lot of choices, all of them bad. HAHAHAHAHA! You did this to yourselves, you arrogant bastards, and now you're stuck. You'll get no sympathy around here.

And in case the action in crude this week left you feeling that global peace and harmony were right around the corner, I give you this to ponder: https://www.zerohedge.com/news/2012-09-22/head-irans-revolutionary-guards-war-israel-will-occur

In that same vein, I was contacted this week by a nice guy who asked me to link a few of his prepping articles. I certainly hope you are using this time to full consider these topics: https://destinysurvival.com/2012/09/03/food-storage-how-to-calculate-for-your-needs/ & https://www.emergencyfoodstorage101.com/2012/08/07/being-prepared-for-power-outages/. Of course (shameless plug coming), you can find many of these items by visiting the Turdmart, a link to which is conveniently placed at the top of each page but copied below for your convenience.

https://www.tfmetalsreport.com/preparation-store

I hope that everyone has a safe, fun and relaxing weekend. Come back on Monday and be prepared for a week that is considerably more volatile and interesting than this past one was.

TF

11:00 pm (23:00) EDT Sunday UPDATE:

So, what the hell happened at 20:58? Anyone have a guess? I do but, first, let's look at the charts:

At exactly the same time, the POSX began an uptrend that carried it 20 ticks higher over the next hour.

So, what we likely have here is another HFT algo (WOPR) run amok. True Cartel hit jobs rarely impact so many markets across the board. On a light volume Sunday night, a brainless computer "saw" the uptick in The Pig and began program selling.

Regardless of instigator or intention, it is going to be very difficult to break down paper price much further. Difficult but not impossible. That said, I will be very surprised to see the metals considerably lower in the morning as there is no reason to expect a buyers strike in London on Monday. As mentioned Friday, gold should have considerable support near $1750. Silver will continue to find bids, just as it did two hours ago, near $33.50.

Hang in there and try not to panic. If protracted selling does come in, consider it a blessing. Please consider any and all bouts of price weakness as opportunities to add to your stack.

TF

About the Author

Founder
turd [at] tfmetalsreport [dot] com ()

  481 Comments

· Sep 23, 2012 - 6:43pm

Dedicated to all Turds in

Dedicated to all Turds in Turdville. You are "Riders on A Storm"

https://youtu.be/5qRJIBtbc2c

Remember riding in my pops 68 Chevy listening to this tune.

They don't make music with these too much anymore. Fender Rhodes. 

BillAuAg · Sep 23, 2012 - 6:43pm

Physics and Gold

Use an ultrasound device on a gold alloy and get the very same results you get with an aluminum ingot.

Find the primary resonance for a 10 oz Gold bar and try to match it to a gold alloy bar or a layered bar or anything else and it will not match. Even a 9.9 oz bar of gold will not match the resonance of a similar 10 oz bar. Moth nature hates a cheat.

And the method is non destructive, sure fire, and takes up the same space as a decent dictionary.

I Run Bartertown · Sep 23, 2012 - 6:53pm

That Feeling's Back

I just want to see big movement in silver. $4 up to clear 37.50 or $4 down and I'll 

buy the fornicating dip. 

Just a junky...

Drugstore Cowboy - 3. "Gentle Explosion"

Can you inject colloidal silver? 

· Sep 23, 2012 - 7:04pm

gold plated tungsten coins?

I wanna get me some of dem!

I'll use them as a decoy and turn them over to the feds if there is ever an confiscation event. Keep them in my conspicuous safe (not bolted to the floor) just in case someone breaks in the house.

redwood · Sep 23, 2012 - 7:06pm

Metals not looking well.  

Metals not looking well. Should know better in half hour.

tyberious · Sep 23, 2012 - 7:07pm

@tyberious

"They had been called to the home after a caretaker there called and reported that the man in wheelchair was causing a disturbance."

Just one more example of why you should never call the police.

¤ · Sep 23, 2012 - 7:07pm

Bismuth

Tmosley...That's a good idea about the shapes.

The one thing I noticed from that pic a week ago is that it appears in one of the pics that a section was broken off one end of a bar. Tunsten is very brittle as you mentioned and pretty much shatters to some extent when broken. It splinters.

This pic with the missing section almost looks ripped and not snapped off and I see no fragmentation or the jagged ends I would associate with tungsten from what I can see. It almost looks like a small curly-cue like edge is still attached in one of the pics along that broken edge and this trained ex-welders eye see's something soft and lead like in this pic from ZH last week.

My guess is that some new alloy that has the density of tungsten has been discovered and is being used. Or maybe bismuth? (see below)

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_elements

If you go to this wiki link it shows a table of elements you can sort by various criteria. If you go to the weight column and sort in descending order you'll see Gold listed at No. 79 and Tungsten at No.74. Bismuth is a slightly heavier at No. 83

My guess is it's lead (No. 82) or a alloy of lead/bismuth and softer. That drill mark seems 'off' to me as lead would easily drill out. Bismuth I'm not so sure of, never drilled into a block of it.

Bismuth
83Bi
Sb
Bi

Uup
Hydrogen (other non-metal)   Helium (noble gas)
Lithium (alkali metal) Beryllium (alkaline earth metal)   Boron (metalloid) Carbon (other non-metal) Nitrogen (other non-metal) Oxygen (other non-metal) Fluorine (halogen) Neon (noble gas)
Sodium (alkali metal) Magnesium (alkaline earth metal)   Aluminium (post-transition metal) Silicon (metalloid) Phosphorus (other non-metal) Sulfur (other non-metal) Chlorine (halogen) Argon (noble gas)
Potassium (alkali metal) Calcium (alkaline earth metal)   Scandium (transition metal) Titanium (transition metal) Vanadium (transition metal) Chromium (transition metal) Manganese (transition metal) Iron (transition metal) Cobalt (transition metal) Nickel (transition metal) Copper (transition metal) Zinc (transition metal) Gallium (post-transition metal) Germanium (metalloid) Arsenic (metalloid) Selenium (other non-metal) Bromine (halogen) Krypton (noble gas)
Rubidium (alkali metal) Strontium (alkaline earth metal)     Yttrium (transition metal) Zirconium (transition metal) Niobium (transition metal) Molybdenum (transition metal) Technetium (transition metal) Ruthenium (transition metal) Rhodium (transition metal) Palladium (transition metal) Silver (transition metal) Cadmium (transition metal) Indium (post-transition metal) Tin (post-transition metal) Antimony (metalloid) Tellurium (metalloid) Iodine (halogen) Xenon (noble gas)
Caesium (alkali metal) Barium (alkaline earth metal) Lanthanum (lanthanoid) Cerium (lanthanoid) Praseodymium (lanthanoid) Neodymium (lanthanoid) Promethium (lanthanoid) Samarium (lanthanoid) Europium (lanthanoid) Gadolinium (lanthanoid) Terbium (lanthanoid) Dysprosium (lanthanoid) Holmium (lanthanoid) Erbium (lanthanoid) Thulium (lanthanoid) Ytterbium (lanthanoid) Lutetium (lanthanoid) Hafnium (transition metal) Tantalum (transition metal) Tungsten (transition metal) Rhenium (transition metal) Osmium (transition metal) Iridium (transition metal) Platinum (transition metal) Gold (transition metal) Mercury (transition metal) Thallium (post-transition metal) Lead (post-transition metal) Bismuth (post-transition metal) Polonium (post-transition metal) Astatine (halogen) Radon (noble gas)
Francium (alkali metal) Radium (alkaline earth metal) Actinium (actinoid) Thorium (actinoid) Protactinium (actinoid) Uranium (actinoid) Neptunium (actinoid) Plutonium (actinoid) Americium (actinoid) Curium (actinoid) Berkelium (actinoid) Californium (actinoid) Einsteinium (actinoid) Fermium (actinoid) Mendelevium (actinoid) Nobelium (actinoid) Lawrencium (actinoid) Rutherfordium (transition metal) Dubnium (transition metal) Seaborgium (transition metal) Bohrium (transition metal) Hassium (transition metal) Meitnerium (unknown chemical properties) Darmstadtium (unknown chemical properties) Roentgenium (unknown chemical properties) Copernicium (transition metal) Ununtrium (unknown chemical properties) Flerovium (unknown chemical properties) Ununpentium (unknown chemical properties) Livermorium (unknown chemical properties) Ununseptium (unknown chemical properties) Ununoctium (unknown chemical properties)
Periodic table
 
  leadbismuthpolonium
Appearance
lustrous silver
General properties
Name, symbol, number bismuth, Bi, 83
Pronunciation // BIZ-məth
Element category post-transition metal
Group, period, block 15, 6, p
Standard atomic weight 208.98040(1)
Electron configuration [Xe] 4f14 5d10 6s2 6p3 2, 8, 18, 32, 18, 5 Electron shells of bismuth (2, 8, 18, 32, 18, 5)
Physical properties
Phase solid
Density (near r.t.) 9.78 g·cm−3
Liquid density at m.p. 10.05 g·cm−3
Melting point 544.7 K, 271.5 °C, 520.7 °F
Boiling point 1837 K, 1564 °C, 2847 °F
Heat of fusion 11.30 kJ·mol−1
Heat of vaporization 151 kJ·mol−1
Molar heat capacity 25.52 J·mol−1·K−1
Vapor pressure
P (Pa) 1 10 100 1 k 10 k 100 k
at T (K) 941 1041 1165 1325 1538 1835
Atomic properties
Oxidation states 5, 4, 3, 2, 1
(mildly acidic oxide)
Electronegativity 2.02 (Pauling scale)
Ionization energies
(more)
1st: 703 kJ·mol−1
2nd: 1610 kJ·mol−1
3rd: 2466 kJ·mol−1
Atomic radius 156 pm
Covalent radius 148±4 pm
Van der Waals radius 207 pm
Miscellanea
Crystal structure rhombohedral[1] Bismuth has a rhombohedral crystal structure
Magnetic ordering diamagnetic
Electrical resistivity (20 °C) 1.29 µΩ·m
Thermal conductivity 7.97 W·m−1·K−1
Thermal expansion (25 °C) 13.4 µm·m−1·K−1
Speed of sound (thin rod) (20 °C) 1790 m·s−1
Young's modulus 32 GPa
Shear modulus 12 GPa
Bulk modulus 31 GPa
Poisson ratio 0.33
Mohs hardness 2.25
Brinell hardness 94.2 MPa
CAS registry number 7440-69-9
Most stable isotopes
Main article: Isotopes of bismuth
iso NA half-life DM DE (MeV) DP
207Bi syn 31.55 y ε, β+ 2.399 207Pb
208Bi syn 368,000 y ε, β+ 2.880 208Pb
209Bi 100% (1.9 ± 0.2) ×1019y α 3.14 205Tl
210mBi syn 3.04×106y IT 0.271 210Bi
silver foil hat · Sep 23, 2012 - 7:12pm

You mean the "F" in BTFD is (effing)?

I always thought it meant manuFactured...

Where's the manuFactured "dunce" smiley?

reefman · Sep 23, 2012 - 7:16pm

Silver is on the cusp of breaking the trend line...

Silver is on the cusp of breaking the trend line...

Will it hold?

Teach · Sep 23, 2012 - 7:19pm

Gotta get me some...

of the new golden "dough-nuts".

I think this is a really good idea. yes

Patrancus · Sep 23, 2012 - 7:20pm

Found some of these

Found some of these gold beauties in the hoard, might be fake, boy they sure are good for eaten.

Chocolate Gold Coins 9oz. Bag
redwood · Sep 23, 2012 - 7:26pm

"fornicating" aka copulating,

"fornicating" aka copulating, mating, breeding, doing, humping, mounting, screwing, banging, bonking. Certainly would make for odd expressions of anger, frustration, inarticulation, or pauses in a sentence. Just saying.

btw for those who don't know I am Canadian.

benque · Sep 23, 2012 - 7:30pm

Sound familiar??

In a documentary about the charisma which Hitler used to hold the loyalty of the German people even in their darkest hours; a man who as a schoolboy survived the bombing of Dusseldorf is interviewed. He recounts how when he asked "why are they doing this to us?", he was told "they hate us because we are trying to make the world a better place."

· Sep 23, 2012 - 7:34pm

Just posted this in the forum

Just posted this in the forum but I think it bears repeating. The first reaction was it was meant to scare us. Maybe it's scaring those Big banks in China that Chinese guy said is making them. How about instead of the secret service investigating who done it, they are investigating how the hell it got out into the hands in the public. SWITCH! 

Here is a situation that Jim Rickards could conceivably be REALLLY WRONG or REALLY DECIEVING US. I know you guys have been looking for something like this. BIG MAYBE. He seems to underplay the value of a full accounting of the gold. Why? Is some of it not the real deal? How are we going to have a gold standard when nobody is telling the truth about how much gold we have?

And that guy from China telling us that the big banks are holding it and producing it. TIME BOMB BABY!! Sometimes the fly on the wall is more than just a fly.

Watch this story! Watch the fake gold bonds stories! Watch Central Banks! Watch this China/Japan fiasco! Watch the IMF! Maybe they are all connected and what lies underneath is coming to the surface in bits and pieces. This could scare the sh*# out of the bankers as much as it would the collectors. GOLD ETF-Tungsten? Or it could just be a fake bar meant to scare us. I think it deserves some neutrality until all this plays out.

Gold on the outside. Doesn't mean gold on the inside.

rxmitch ferretflat · Sep 23, 2012 - 7:41pm

pirce capping done FOR ACCUMULATION

You can be absolutely sure the 7 touches capping sells at $1775 were for the purpose of accumulation.

Our newly created trillionaire banksters will be long of cash gold in their own depositories.

Gold is going to $3500 and beyond much, much, much faster than it took to get to go above $1900.

If you think the major banksters are either short or flat on this gold move, you are seriously bonkers.

1760 WAS A GOOD DIP

¤ · Sep 23, 2012 - 7:47pm

Govt. Archive Film: first commercial nuclear power plant

"Tour of the first commercial nuclear power plant."

Public domain film from the Library of Congress Prelinger Archive.

Video unavailable
redwood · Sep 23, 2012 - 7:47pm

benque

Good segue into what I was also about to say. Like Xty I also don't support the egregious use of swearing for a number of reasons. However in the right moment and place nothing expresses some terms with the same accuracy, force and influence. Mind-fucking is what comes to mind. Try and substitute that one. The reason we are all here. 

benque redwood · Sep 23, 2012 - 7:56pm

redwood

I'll drink to that. Would prefer instead to drink to the onset of happier, more enlightened times.

In the meantime, in the words of an old friend, and onetime supermarket employee: "Stackety-stack-stack; bread on the bottom, eggs in the middle, cans on top; stackety-stack-stack". Words to live by.

murphy · Sep 23, 2012 - 8:07pm

Redwood

I think this was Xty's post from earlier today. I liked it so much I cut, pasted and sent it to all my young adult children. The eldest most professional son, at 28 and an engineer to boot....... his response is at the bottom. What a dick. ( Was I wrong for saying that?)

Yes. It reveals a lot about character and attitude. " You can choose to have character and class, or be considered rude, crude and crass."

Ten Tips for Taming Your Tongue 

Follow these links or scroll down through each page to learn how to tame your tongue.

1. Recognize that swearing does damage.

2. Start by eliminating casual swearing.

3. Think positively.

4. Practice being patient.

5. Cope, don't cuss.

6. Stop complaining.

7. Use alternative words.

8. Make your point politely.

9. Think of what you should have said.

10. Work at it.

"Your language might offend some people, but the tone and attitude behind your words do far greater damage to all of your relationships.

Even if your friends and associates commonly use cuss words, you will be perceived as more mature, intelligent, articulate, polite, considerate and pleasant if you control your language and the emotions that typically prompt expletives. You can choose to have character and class, or be considered rude, crude and crass.

Cursing is sometimes humorous, but sometimes abusive. It can help vent anger, or provoke it. It can relieve stress, or cause it. It can be clever and flirtatious, or sexist and intimidating. Consequently, be aware of when and where you swear. Control it, tame it, time it. Or, to be on the safe side, stop using it altogether."

https://www.cusscontrol.com/tips1.html

Fuck this. Lol. Sent from my iPhone
Torpedo Fish · Sep 23, 2012 - 8:10pm

dip

Ladies, I smell a shallow DIP ahead 

philipat · Sep 23, 2012 - 8:18pm

The next Raid Begins

Gold down $4 on Globex (Kitco) and $6 in Hong Kong Futures (Bloomberg).

reefman · Sep 23, 2012 - 8:20pm

Silver has broken the up-channel

Silver has broken the up-channel, and also broken the resistance point from Friday... This has the potential to turn ugly real fast. 

Silver is looking sickly this evening.

Let's hope we sell off enough to dampen the overbought condition so we can go up again. 

Next stop.... $34.00?

redwood · Sep 23, 2012 - 8:21pm

murphy

How are you? Been hiding my head in the corner so much these days I've almost forgotten all the great peeps here. You know murphy what parents say has the greatest influence of all. Whether acknowledged by children or not even at age 28. By a vast majority, not. I remember a 72 yr.old man who was so devastated that his 91 yr. old mother did not comfort him when his 65 yr. old wife died. The relationship is permanent.

So he responded in the way that young adults, often teenagers do. Dismissing you to retain their sense of autonomy. Doesn't mean it doesn't sink. It always does and when you least expect it, it pops up. I'm sure you have a great kid and you have to admit that was pretty funny.

tyberious · Sep 23, 2012 - 8:22pm

Just woke up from my NFL beer nap

@ Bollocks and Steve on the Chinese re-smelting weights, indeed it was from Oz to Kgs. Wizard of Oz, cool.

@Puck, they (the police) are not here to protect and serve the public, they protect and serve TBTP. People need to get that through there heads. In my life time I have had several encounters with various law enforcement officers; secret service, polite but not very responsive to questions :0, state troopers, can be helpful as long as your not in Jersey, most of them were decent, highway patrol, great guys but they drive faster than I, no fair, local sheriffs, very good and decent people, local cops, authoritarian, some have below average IQ, many of the new recruits have PSTD or are poorly trained to confront unarmed civilians, many have chips on their shoulders, most are simply trying to rise through the ranks, common sense be damned.

Now, before some says that stereotyping, I prefaced this by saying these are the encounters that I have had, yours may be different!

P.S. I am a little bias my uncle was a state trooper, may God bless his soul.

· Sep 23, 2012 - 8:22pm

Hollow coins.  1876-S Trade

Hollow coins. 

1876-S Trade Dollar - Opium Dollar - Hinged Box Dollar

No evidence that they were used to smuggle Opium but the US Mint did make hollow silver coins that had a hinge on it. Apparently, used as lockets for your sweetheart. 

According to NGS, Ms. Libery is naked sitting on the Pot. No indication if she is doing a #1 or #2

redwood · Sep 23, 2012 - 8:23pm

I smell deep dip ahead. This

I smell a deep dip ahead. This is just the beginning I'm afraid. Edit: and just as I'm typing the curve is almost vertical. Too bad.

¤ · Sep 23, 2012 - 8:28pm

BTO, ZZ & Stevie Ray

Video unavailable
ZZ TOP-Waitin' For The Bus/Jesus Just Left Chicago
Stevie Ray Vaughan & Double Trouble - Couldn't Stand the Weather (Video)
murphy · Sep 23, 2012 - 8:34pm

Redwood

I couldn't be prouder. Miss you too. Every once in a while I catch something you say in PTC from the recent comment section and poke my head in. Always appreciate your take on things.

GL- Regarding JR, I believe the thing he says TPTB need to avoid, is not the auditing of the physical, but the paperwork regarding who really has title to it. Quite convenient that all the Central Banks will be able to avoid a physical inspection of their possibly tainted gold , since they wouldn't want you to know who owns them.

QE to infinity murphy · Sep 23, 2012 - 8:40pm

@ murphy

Your son has a sense of humour. Unlike polite language, it can't be taught, so he is lucky he has it. 

Notice: If you do not see your new comment immediately, do not be alarmed. We are currently refreshing new comments approximately every 2 minutes to better manage performance while working on other issues. Thank you for your patience.

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