Weekend Review

Sat, Sep 22, 2012 - 12:16pm

What an interesting week. Instead of volatility, we got containment and flatlines. Something tells me next week won't be the same.

Ponder this for a moment, QE∞ is announced as official Fed policy last Thursday. That day gold, the only alternative currency to steadily-debasing fiat, responds with a $38 move. Frankly, I would have expected more but, given the Cartel propensity for containing daily moves at either the +1% or +2% levels, $38 seemed about right. However, over the next five days, would you have expected this?

  • Friday, 9/14: net change +$0.60
  • Monday, 9/17: -$2.10
  • Tuesday, 9/18: +$0.60
  • Wednesday 9/19: +$0.50
  • Thursday 9/20: -$1.50

So, cumulatively over the next five days trading in gold, immediately following the long-awaited announcement of QE∞, the total change was down $1.90. Huh?? And, again, it's not like we saw the +$20, -$22, +$31 kind of volatility you would have expected. Very strange and, once again, subtle evidence of the outright blatant and ongoing manipulation and "managed ascent" of the paper price by The Gold Bullion Banking Cartel.

To no one's surprise, this week's CoT continued the trend of Cartel naked short issuance to contain price. Again, I'm not really sure who wrote the mandate that JPM, DB et al have to act as market makers in the metals but, for some reason, that is the role they allege to play. Spec money comes into the pit and the banks issue the highly-leveraged paper. Not content to see price bid up as the spec bids search for willing sellers of existing contracts, The Cartel, instead, simply issues brand new contracts to satisfy demand.

In doing so, The Gold Cartel added another 18,196 short contracts this week and brought their net short ratio back up to an astonishingly dangerous (to them) 2.68:1. Why is this so dangerous, you ask? Because they are continuing to play this game as if none of the fundamentals have changed. This is no longer 2002 or 2008. It's not even 2011. We are near The End Game for fiat currency and the "creditor nations" around the globe recognize this. The are readily exchanging their rapidly-devaluing fiat for hard assets, gold in particular. This insatiable physical demand underpins the paper market and makes precipitous, short-covering drops, like we've seen The Cartel execute in the past, all but impossible. Oh sure, there will still be selloffs and beatdowns...Heck, we saw one yesterday...but incessant physical demand forces The Cartel to quickly turn tail and buy in order to cover and secure the metal required to meet the allocations sought at every London fix.

So, again, look to buy the dips. Not every $5 dip, mind you, but any substantial dip the pushes price back to obvious support points. Right now, the obvious area is around $1755-1760. IF a dip develops early next week, I'll be all over it. Gold looks certain to soon blast through $1780 and then $1800. From there, I expect a rapid move toward the old all-time highs of $1920. At that point, gold could, once again, get disorderly to the upside, similar to what we saw in August of 2011. It will likely break out and UP through the long-term channel again and head toward and through $2000.

And here is a long-term chart of gold priced in euros. Recall that we've been discussing for weeks how euro/gold was getting well ahead of dollar/gold and that dollar gold would eventually catch up. A month ago, euro/gold was showing that $1800 gold was coming. Now, euro gold makes it look like $1920 gold is only about a month away. (Chart courtesy Trader Dan: https://www.traderdannorcini.blogspot.com/2012/09/euro-gold-on-track-for-all-time-high.html)

And JPM and their pals continue to play games with silver, blissfully unaware that their dynasty has ended. Just last week, they added another 2,880 short contracts in a vain attempt to pin price below $35 and protect the vulnerable buy-stops near $35.50 that, if tripped, would send silver quickly toward $37.50. Oh well, screw 'em. So they "won" this week. Whatever. They're just going to lose eventually so what's another week of waiting. Now at a total gross short position of 82,358 contracts and a net short ratio of 2.58:1, The Silver Cartel is sitting on a powderkeg of their making. Boy is it ever going to be fun to watch it explode right under them.

As The Doc pointed out yesterday, The Forces of Darkness expended a lot of ammunition yesterday in a desperate attempt to start a cascade and keep price under $35. ( https://www.silverdoctors.com/cartel-dumped-2x-annual-us-silver-production-on-market-in-15-min-to-smash-silver-under-35/) They now find themselves in a bit of a jam as we head into Tuesday. They'll need to cover quite a few contracts before the 1:25 EDT close that day or they risk showing their footprints on next week's CoT. What will they do? Cover, of course! Now the question is, will they gamble by raiding first and hoping for a steep enough selloff that they can cover the raid "material" and more on the way back up? Maybe but I doubt it. Physical demand will easily blunt the dip again just as it did yesterday. Their only logical choice, after being thwarted yesterday, is to begin to cover yesterday's new shorts as early as Monday, otherwise they risk a significantly "Happy Tuesday" that blows out those $35.50-area buy stops and send price toward $37+. What to do, what to do. A whole lot of choices, all of them bad. HAHAHAHAHA! You did this to yourselves, you arrogant bastards, and now you're stuck. You'll get no sympathy around here.

And in case the action in crude this week left you feeling that global peace and harmony were right around the corner, I give you this to ponder: https://www.zerohedge.com/news/2012-09-22/head-irans-revolutionary-guards-war-israel-will-occur

In that same vein, I was contacted this week by a nice guy who asked me to link a few of his prepping articles. I certainly hope you are using this time to full consider these topics: https://destinysurvival.com/2012/09/03/food-storage-how-to-calculate-for-your-needs/ & https://www.emergencyfoodstorage101.com/2012/08/07/being-prepared-for-power-outages/. Of course (shameless plug coming), you can find many of these items by visiting the Turdmart, a link to which is conveniently placed at the top of each page but copied below for your convenience.


I hope that everyone has a safe, fun and relaxing weekend. Come back on Monday and be prepared for a week that is considerably more volatile and interesting than this past one was.


11:00 pm (23:00) EDT Sunday UPDATE:

So, what the hell happened at 20:58? Anyone have a guess? I do but, first, let's look at the charts:

At exactly the same time, the POSX began an uptrend that carried it 20 ticks higher over the next hour.

So, what we likely have here is another HFT algo (WOPR) run amok. True Cartel hit jobs rarely impact so many markets across the board. On a light volume Sunday night, a brainless computer "saw" the uptick in The Pig and began program selling.

Regardless of instigator or intention, it is going to be very difficult to break down paper price much further. Difficult but not impossible. That said, I will be very surprised to see the metals considerably lower in the morning as there is no reason to expect a buyers strike in London on Monday. As mentioned Friday, gold should have considerable support near $1750. Silver will continue to find bids, just as it did two hours ago, near $33.50.

Hang in there and try not to panic. If protracted selling does come in, consider it a blessing. Please consider any and all bouts of price weakness as opportunities to add to your stack.


About the Author

turd [at] tfmetalsreport [dot] com ()


lakedweller2 thisismynewname
Sep 23, 2012 - 3:28pm

Other Resources - watching dogma

Add to your list these that I also read:

8. jsmineset.com

9. maxkeiser.com

10. gata.org

11. financialsense.com

12. goldseek.com and goldseek radio

13. kereport.com

14. kingworldnews.com

15. mcalvanyweeklycommentary.com

Green Lantern
Sep 23, 2012 - 3:32pm


FLASH: MORE FAKE GOLD by Joseph Farrell

FLASH: More fake tungsten-filled gold bars have shown up, this time in Manhattan, and judging from the sophistication exhibitted by the counterfeits, this is serious (my thanks to Mr. P.T. for sharing this with me):

Fake Gold Bars Turn Up in Manhattan

There are possibilities here:

  1. The operation is small, unconnected to anything larger, and nothing to be concerned about;
  2. The operation is connected to the banksters themselves, and is conceived as being a means to keep the price of gold artificially suppressed while they run their printing presses (not, in my view, a very plausible scenario);
  3. The amount of gold actually in existence is badly and deliberately obfuscated, and this is someone’s way of sending a message to TPTB…

And on and on we could go… but if this trend continues, and indeed, if it becomes a large trend… then make sure you know what’s inside your gold, for the article really points out what thereal problem is in today’s financial world: “reputable dealers,” in a world where the major banks are themselves part of fraud like LIBOR and the derivatives, what does “reputable” mean?

See you on the flip side…

My friend Mr P.T. sent me this as I was scheduling these few weeks’ worth of blogs, and I just had to share it, because in its own way, it’s shining a light once again on all those stories of fake gold-backed U.S. Federal Reserve bearer bonds that seem to keep being seized:

Don Coxe – Emergency Fed Meeting & Gold Backed Bonds

Now, as I read that, I thought, “where have we heard this before? And what might it all mean?” Well, obviously, from the title of this little musing, we’ve heard of this before in connection with all those allegedly fake gold-backed US Federal Reserve Bearer Bonds that seem to keep popping up, first with the Japanese Bearer Bond scandal in Italy, then in Spain, then back to Italy. I’ve been arguing the speculative hypothesis that this whole phenomenon may represent an actual hidden tier of system of finance. After all, one doesn’t counterfeit four dollar bills, one only counterfeits something that actually exists.

Now we’re being told a new system of finance might be in the works with, guess what, gold-backed bonds. Indeed, I blogged previously about this subject, with Germany wanting to issue such bonds against the surrender of various nations’ gold reserves and their national treasures (who said the elites aren’t trying to gobble up antiquities? Shades of the Nazi Ahnenerbedienst, on a much larger scale?).

Now, there was always a problem with the whole bearer-bond scandal that bothered me, and it’s a problem that has also bothered some of you, namely, the Federal Reserve, at least officially, doesn’t issue bonds, the U.S. Treasury does, and the Fed buys them. So who’s buying these alleged bonds, and with what? Well, the answer to the last question is obvious enough: with gold.

But there isn’t enough gold to back all those bonds… and one suspects, not enough gold to float all that European debt either, unless (1) there’s a heck-of-a lot more gold in existence than we’ve been told, or (2) someone is making gold in vast amounts (see alchemy here!), or (3) a bit of both.

So we go back to the fundamental statement in this intriguing article:

“This European gold bond is huge news. When asked if this was bringing gold back into the financial system, Coxe responded, “Yes, exactly. I did conference calls with people in our organization about this. I said, ‘Something like this could be unfolding because this crisis is developing so fast.’”

“When asked if this event would begin to trigger a significant revaluation for gold, Coxe replied, “At this point, how they would do it, and whether there would be any revaluation, what it would be is security for issuing specific bonds. But, of course, once you do that, what you do is you break the virginity of the system.

“Then you have to start looking at revaluations, you’re right. All of that will come. My own take is that I think there is a very good chance of this … that within the next three months we will find that something like this has been done for some of the countries in the eurozone.

“‘That means that gold will have been moving back into the (financial) system.’”

Really now… how much gold? Whose gold? Once we get back to those two questions, we’re right back square in the middle of all that Operation Golden Lily gold seized by Japan, and all the shady postwar dealings associated with it… and all the covert slush funds that were set up in conjunction with it…

…and once we admit that possibility, then we’re looking at a potentially volatile financial situation, one that the goldbugs would have us believe is as stable as the metal and the quantities of that metal in existence…. and that’s the problem.


Sep 23, 2012 - 3:39pm

tungsten gold

Thanks for that CA, appreciate it and the heads up on the recent ZH article.

How long before tungsten gold is found in London in the very near future?

I realize one or more incidents have taken place in the past couple/few years that I'm aware of from what I've read but a new 'discovery' along the lines of the recent NY incidents would have me thinking that maybe there is a alternative scenario that the Chinese (through proxies) are placing and allowing bars to be found by slowly distributing them into the Western gold market stream and planting the seeds of doubt in the West's gold market and monetary system in general so that China's future gold market and possible future monetary system looks like a viable alternative by comparison.

I agree that it's also possible that these bars could be from Western sources meant to sow distrust among the general public about gold in general. It seems like something that could easily be done if someone large enough or sophisticated/sinister enough would want to disrupt the burgeoning gold market mania that is underway in a simmering way and not far away from a boil.

The only other possibility is that some very sophisticated 'regular' international type criminals who seem to possess a high degree of sophistication and technical skill are good at passing off highly scrutinized gold bullion and getting away with it for who knows how long up to this point?

My takeaway from any of those scenario's is this...if the discovery of tungsten gold starts happening with more frequency (either over here in the U.S. or starts to happen over in the UK soon) then my conclusion is that the momentum behind the scene to check the validity of the gold or silver bars will lead to a shocking inventory shortage and that it might not be someone standing for delivery that necessitates the inventory taking in of itself but the fear that their bullion is fake that prompts a much closer look. Either way, the bullion will get inventoried and tested leading to either a large shortage of physical bullion and/or the discovery of many tainted gold and silver bars where real physical one's are purported to be in storage.

If gold or even a silver bar is found to be fake in London soon and it becomes a mini trend and it doesn't happen in China then you now what I'm already thinking as I have stated above. Does anyone here not think that there are probably many fake silver bars in the system that aren't as heavily scrutinized as gold but simply many more of them?

H/T for the person who comes up with the metal that would be needed to substitute whatever one bar of silver might weigh. Would it also be tungsten except less of it or something with more mass vs. weight so that more silver could be hollowed out in place of it? Bad thought.

Let the inventory begin.

Green Lantern
Sep 23, 2012 - 3:43pm

(No subject)

Video unavailable

I also posted a video of the guy who reported it to the secret service testifying infront of congress and Ron Paul re: gold. I can't find it on youtube and don't remember what day.

Also, I find it strange that this happened in the New York Jewlery district and not in a coin or bullion store. I know enough people who buy and sell that would never go to a jewelry district to buy or sell. And in certain parts of New York city there are are literally gold buyers on every block. This strikes me as odd.

TexasStacker Louie
Sep 23, 2012 - 3:45pm

sometimes its nice to be

sometimes its nice to be poorer...I couldnt afford a 10 ounce gold bar if i tried, so I personally am at little risk of getting ripped-off by this particular scam.

Sep 23, 2012 - 3:46pm

Consumer Reports...Arsenic In Your Food...

Check your brands for how many ppb of inorganic arsenic is contained in rice & other products...& how to limit exposure...


I hope this helps anyone who is concerned!!!...

Bag Of Gold

Sep 23, 2012 - 3:49pm

Any thoughts on trading for this week?

Stock charts had a target of $1780 for gold and now they have gone red since the High Pole we got on Friday.

We could get a small correction here.

The crooks need to cover and have built up a large short position so we may get hit for $40-50 paper smackers.


Sep 23, 2012 - 3:56pm

Specific Gravity

Specific Gravity is unique for every element.

The combination of volume and weight for every metal is unique.

Au SG=19.32

W SG =19.25

Ag SG =10.49

Pb SG =11.34

Each metal has a unique Modulus of Elasticity, Modulus of Rigity, Specific Heat, Conductivity, and other less used indices.

A high frequency resonance compared against a known standard would have quickly shown even a good gold alloy as a fake.

Just say'n

Sep 23, 2012 - 3:59pm

<sarc> Time to give up hope?

Between that truly frightening GMO video, the fake gold bars, aresnic in the rice, and the fact that my (preseason #1 ranked) college football team lost their second game of the year yesterday, is it time to just give up hope? <sarcasm off>

Short Stack
Sep 23, 2012 - 4:06pm

Cursing vs Profanity. There is a difference.

I'm sure we've all heard some stories of witches who when caught and are about to be burned at the stake, hung or drowned have burst out with a Curse upon her antagonists. The curse comes to fruition and the cursed parties suffer, until a way is found for the curse to be lifted.

Swearing, profanity and name-calling is not cursing. Such words as are derogatory or profane cannot by definition be considered cursing however much some would like to call it that.

A Curse, is a calling down of ill will upon another or group of others by what the Curse-er considers to be a spiritual being of pure power. But it is not limited to witches, warlocks or satanists. Note that in the Bible, the prophet Elisha, a most righteous man, called down a Curse from God on a bunch of young hoodlums who were harassing him as he went along his way. No sooner had Elisha gone beyond the site of the young men when two she-bears came out of the nearby woods and mauled them.

In the English translation we are told that in the garden of Eden, Adam and Eve were told to not eat of the Tree of Knowledge of Good and Evil.

In the Hebrew it is referred to as the Tree of Knowledge of Blessing and Calamity, the word calamity is synonymous with the word curse. We all have within us the power to speak words unless of course you're mute. As such we all have the power to bless and to curse.

In all cases, it is the wise who guard their tongues lest they themselves be cursed. Know also that in some instances, a Curse can and will backfire on to the Curse-er.

My Blessings be to all of you.

Sep 23, 2012 - 4:16pm

But coffee...

For some, there's nothing like the scent of a fresh cup of coffee brewing. And for some, that wonderful scent is ruined by the bitter taste of the beverage. So why does the smell of coffee seem so much better than the actual taste of the drink?

The Telegraph reports on a new discovery from scientists that proves why scent can be more pleasing than taste. The gist? When you swallow a sip of coffee, the scent travels up the back of your throat and into the nose, where the olfactory receptors signal a reaction to the smell. But the receptors go to a different part of the brain, where taste isn't as well-received. It's what's called the "second sense of smell," or the "retronasal" sense of smell. (The first kind of smell is when you inhale a scent from your environment.)

The rest of the article: https://www.thedailymeal.com/why-coffee-smells-better-it-tastes

Sep 23, 2012 - 4:17pm

Manufacturing PAMP Suisse gold bars

The first zero hedge report on the NYC fakes stated that it was a 10 oz numbered PAMP/Suisse bar with the original certificate.

So how could they be manufactured? Previous reports have speculated that gold bars could be hollowed out and then filled with tungsten but I believe this is impossible. How would they be filled with tungsten unless liquid tungsten was used? This is impossible since tungsten has the highest melting point of any metal at 3422 C. Gold, in contrast, melts at only 1064 C.

Thus I am led to believe that the only method for manufacture is to coat tungsten blanks with a thin coating of molten gold and then after it hardens stamp it with a counterfeit stamp. This would require a refinery operation and the sophistication to produce counterfeit stamps.

I am puzzled though by how the gold seems to peel off the tungsten, but not being a metallurgist have no knowledge as to whether this would be quite normal.

Sep 23, 2012 - 4:21pm

I do love the remote control

I do love the remote control for my tv... even though so many folks tell me that I should never watch that thing (blow it up, they say)... but thanks to this remote control I really enjoy an occasional tv show. This thing allows me to skip right over all the junk that fills most of the channels.

And I love the scroll button here on my mouse. I find this little magic wheel just rolls me right on past any bickering that might go on here at this site, leaving me with a wonderful impression of how blessed I am to have this place to visit.

And I love the "ignore user" button... even though some folks feel that I should read everything in order to be "open minded" (they generally are the same folks who say I shouldn't watch any tv... go figure). But my time is limited and I feel no obligation to read the driblings of those I find offensive. There is so much here and elsewhere to read on the internet that is of great value.

I have had the thrill of being first... once... and it was mighty fine. But I find that the greatest satisfaction comes from receiving a hat tip. For those of you who get a bunch of hat tips on your postings, let me let you know that your efforts are greatly appreciated.

And thank you Turd for all you do.


Sep 23, 2012 - 4:22pm

About this Dan Norcini COT on KWN

Please enlighten me:

If the # of shorts has grown so much and Dan worries that this would force Silver down - then why has this not already happened? As this information is already known. What am I missing?

There again, maybe I misinterpreted what Dan said - I was very tired, perhaps I need to go back and re-read it.


Short Stack
Sep 23, 2012 - 4:25pm

Pamp bars not the only fakes.

There were discovered a while back that some fake Morgan dollars coming out of China by the thousands were shipped to the United States metals dealers.

Also some one ounce bars were found to have some tungsten rods inserted into them. See YouTube.

Hence the "ring sound" test.

Jeanne d'Arc
Sep 23, 2012 - 4:25pm

The market action on Friday

There is more than one explanation for the apparently unusual PM market action on Friday...

Regardless, both silver and gold are looking very precarious this week. It's going to be make or break, I think, for the direction of travel over the next couple of months.


Silver Alert
Sep 23, 2012 - 4:25pm


Turdites are surmising that the gold fakery is a false flag to turn the sheeple off of gold.

What if instead it is the beginning of a cover story for a Comex/LBMA default? In the much anticipated standard default, the EE would have to admit there is not enough physical to go around because of their shenanigans. Then there would be plenty of market outrage, fake Congressional hearings, calls for jail time, etc.

But if it turns out much of the gold & silver is "salted" they could claim "Oh, we thought we had plenty and we're the victims here." Yes, there would still be market outrage, fake Congressional hearings, calls for jail time, etc. But outside of accusations of stupidity, people wouldn't be calling for EE heads.

Short Stack
Sep 23, 2012 - 4:28pm

Re: A f-ing story.

I wonder where he is today?

Probably went into politics.

Sep 23, 2012 - 4:29pm

Ultrasonic detectors by G.E.

These detectors provide (according to the operator) a 100% guarantee of detecting inserts, bubbles, or other anomalies in gold bars. It would seem like any good dealer would want one of these in their shop.

The ultrasound video (about 2 minutes long) from:


The video:


The equipment used:


Sep 23, 2012 - 4:32pm

Short stack

You're funny!

Sep 23, 2012 - 4:36pm

A f-ing story

Some years ago, when my kids were little tikes, we lived in a downtown home close to the street and neighbors. Some young men were standing on the curb in front of our house talking and one in particular profusely used derivatives of the f-word as his primary verbs, adverbs, adjectives, and nouns. My wife stepped out of the front door and nicely asked them to clean up their language--that we had small children who could hear them. They apologized and the storyteller continued telling his story to his buddies...except he could no longer speak...he kept pausing, searching for an alternative term, stuttering, and finally got frustrated. He said to his buddies, "C'mon, lets go somewhere else so we can talk."

The young man literally could not speak English without using the F-word.

I wonder where he is today?

Dagney Taggart
Sep 23, 2012 - 4:38pm


Our Vancouver supplier has one similar. As a courtesy because it's a decent trip for us, he does this test in our presence. I suspect it will become important for people to have access to one shortly.

Dagney Taggart
Sep 23, 2012 - 4:39pm

This isn't hard....

So there you are standing on the deck of the Titanic that is sinking. An officer says, "The boat is sinking. Get in the fucking lifeboat". Is anybody here going to whine that he was rude or said fuck?

God help you if you said yes. How in the world did you live this long? Nobody is saying how something is said is not important. But it is a distant second to what is said. Saying fuck, shit, bitch etc. is not an excuse to ignore facts. It never has been, except in the US for the last 40 or so years while your country was being raped by sweet-talkers getting the sheep fat, happy, and entertained with it. Some people here had better get a handle on this right quickly. Spoiled whiny pussy play time is ending and I seriously hope you don't need me to remind you of this, although I'm not sure anymore.

This is how one treats linguisti-holics where I come from. Sack up, as dad says.

@Dr J: Good example. Those types of people who cannot say a single sentence without swearing are just as retarded as the ones from my example. Stay clear of both. They both get others hurt or worse.

Dagney Taggart
Sep 23, 2012 - 4:41pm

@ Silver Alert

This will only make holding the real thing more valuable. Get it tested, everybody.

The Green Manalishi
Sep 23, 2012 - 4:55pm
Sep 23, 2012 - 4:57pm

Tungston vs. Gold

Much cheaper than an ultrasonic inspection instrument (with video display, used for finding defects and inclusions) is a simple ultrasonic thickness gauge, which gives the wrong answer if you substitute tungsten for gold. Way off, like 40 percent. Instead of showing a picture of the inclusion, it only displays the measured thickness. Just look up "ultrasonic thickness gauge" on Amazon or Ebay. They run about $150.

Sep 23, 2012 - 4:58pm


IRCC, Jim Willie stated that the Chinese were taking delivery of LBMA bars ~ 400.00 oz and melting them down to 100 oz bars. It was assumed that this was due to the intention of the Chinese to back the Yuan with gold, but perhaps it was to determine the purity of LBMA bars.

Sep 23, 2012 - 4:59pm

ESM: Euro fund to rise to 2 trillion euros

Sept. 23, 2012, 3:48 p.m. EDT

Euro fund to rise to 2 trillion euros: report

By Kate Gibson

NEW YORK (MarketWatch) -- Euro-area nations are readying to let the bloc's permanent rescue fund leverage its capital to hit a capacity of more than 2 trillion euros and help large members if needed, Reuters reported Sunday, citing the German magazine Der Spiegel. The plan would have the European Stability Mechanism operate in the same manner as its predecessor, the European Financial Stability Facility.


Nick Elway
Sep 23, 2012 - 5:00pm

JPM can exit their short

@Warren Peace, Mr. Fix

Sure they might change the rules, or a little false flag (goldfinger?, WTC basement again?) could make all the (non-existent?) and insured inventory disappear and make JPM appear blameless. Extra bonus for framing some "terrorist".

JPM is too big to jail, they've got options out of "legal" bounds.

Short Stack
Sep 23, 2012 - 5:02pm

@Dr. Jerome

Thanks. It takes someone with a sense of humor to see the humor in others.


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