Argentus' Golden Quarter

Perspective and Scale are The Hardest Things In A Short Term Market Environment

How many lows does it take to end a four years minimum bear? How much separation does a secondary low, before or after the main low, have to nave to qualify as a bottoming consolidation? There are no fixed answers, just experience, some reluctance to follow false storytellers, and musing upon the facts as they appear at the time. Here are Argentus Maximus's weekend thoughts.

Cycles, Mindsets, Where Some Mindsets Come From, Reaction to Shock

Ever hear the phrase "disaster capitalism". Not yet? 

In that case, read on ....

Does "600" Plus or Minus Matter When We're Talking Tonnes of Gold?

The Global Gold Supply Data Saga flies back into our radar in it's latest newest iteration.

This time it's only 600 tonnes of gold that is "coming and going". Only 24 billion bucks of vagueness ......

A2A with Pining For the Fjords and Argentus Maximus

Two of TFMetalsreport's independent contributors got together today and had a 3/4 hour conversation about markets, the times we live in, questions from many Turdites and a few things more. They recorded their conversation for this week's A2A podcast.

Would You Recognize a Slow Motion Collapse If One Was Right In Front of You?

The human eye, and intellect, senses motion with great acuity. Predators sneak in slowly at first and then when within striking distance they rush the last part. Events can work in a similar way. If something like an economic event moves slow enough it's approach may become invisible, except by periodic comparison with the stationary background. At the end comes the rush. So comparisons with events that crept up on other people unnoticed are a worthwhile exercise for the prepared.

I give you the fiat currencies of Venezuela and the US. Nothing in common? OK so. Move on then - there's nothing to see here.

The Golden Bear of 2011 (continued)

Two and a quarter years ago Argentus Maximus wrote a gold forecast in his Blog. Here is the look back at how it worked out.

The LBMA, Thomson/Reuters GFMS, and The 2000 Tonnes of Gold that Just Appeared in 2013

A comparison by Ronan Manly at BullionStar between an LBMA report  pdf file and the earlier saved version of the same named file suggests that 2000 tonnes of gold in 2013 was shall we say "redefined" by way of explanation as to where it may have originated?

Taxpayers and gold ETF stockholders might like to have an audit of their central bank vaults and/or ETF vaults completed ASAP, as well as of their accounting books relating to gold transactions during 2013, just to be absolutely sure everything is present and correct and nothing fishy was going on. Simple reassurance will surely be issued, but audits seem appropriate given the amounts of capital involved.

Poker Meets Dominoes Played on Rickety Tables

Can we assume it's not the stock market? Given the week's crashy style of markets I mean! Hah! But let's play a game of assume it's not the stock market. And I have Central Bankers going crazy in October, so if it's not the stock market what else might it be? Calling Japan ... come in Japan .... Japan, are you there? Japan! ........ California, Illinois  ... Greece ... Ukraine .... Anybody in bondland.... please answer ...   How did we land inside this zombie movie?

What else might it be? Let me consult my current issue of "Trusty Doomster's List of Worries".  Ah, here we are .....

Monthly Gold Cycles

Monthly Gold Cycles by Argentus Maximus

This is pretty much presented without comment, except to suggest that you might like to look up the various cycle period lengths found, and go try them out for yourself to see how well they do or don't fit the fresh events gradually becoming included into the valuation of gold.

Looking Forwards from 7 Months Back May Help Clarify the Fog

Argentus Maximus talks about the current July 2015 gold price break and releases his Rhythm and Price video newsletter of November 2014.

Syndicate contentRSS - Argentus' Golden Quarter