A few days ago, I commissioned our resident grain trading expert, "Art Lomax", to write up a guest post that includes some basics about the grains as well as some of his personal opinions regarding the upcoming season. Thankfully, he obliged.
Before we begin, I would like to thank everyone who participated in the lively discussion thread of the previous post. Solid, thought provoking stuff the kind of which makes this site special. I agree with most of the discussion, particularly that gold is your ultimate, certain store of wealth. I believe, though, that silver has a place, too. I've consistently maintained that gold protects your wealth while silver protects your purchasing power and the simple ability to even purchase things, in the first place. Let's hope we don't reach a point where it takes ounces of gold to fund a trip to the grocery store or gas station. Silver should fill that role.
What a difference a week makes! Just last Tuesday, this site was aflutter with expectation and hope. Silver appeared to have won its "Battle Royale" and was threatening to take gold along with it through stout Cartel resistance. Ehhh....not so much. So here we are, one short week later, and despair reigns supreme, replete with frustration and fears that our precious precious metals are about to swoon to levels not seen since 2010. I'm here to tell you that that is complete nonsense.
Well, nuts. I sat here yesterday and kept looking at that gold chart and thinking (hoping?) that maybe, just maybe, the worst was behind us. Once again, it looks like I spoke too soon and should have, instead, stuck with my ideas from last week.
As many of you know or suspect, I am a subscriber to Ted Butler's newsletter service. Simply put, "Uncle Ted" has forgotten more than I'll likely ever know about the silver market and I find his perspective to be quite valuable. He usually puts out two newsletters per week and, last Monday, after reading his "Weekly Review" of 2/25/12, I asked him for his permission to re-print it here, in its entirety. It's nothing unusual, earth-shattering or out-of-the-ordinary. It is, however, a discussion of many of the issues we commonly mention here and it serves as a fine example of the value of his service.
I don't know about you, but I'm ready for this week to be over. The title of this thread refers to an old adage of the American West and it has to do with horses which, as you might know, need to be cooled and "walked" after a strenuous ride. Pretty well sums up how I feel. I need to be cooled and walked after this strenuous week. No time for that yet, though. We've still got to get through today's trade and, later on, I'll have some very important information for you.
As with most crime scenes, evidence can be difficult to uncover. First, you have to know where to look for the evidence. Then, how do you build a case if the only evidence you find is circumstantial? Well, your humble correspondent is willing to give it a try.