2019 Comes Into Focus

CGP's capitulation sets the stage.

30
Thu, Nov 29, 2018 - 11:08am

Let's start by thanking everyone again for your patience and understanding with my schedule yesterday. MamaFerg is now safely moved to her new home and all is well, except for my aching back and shoulders. It was a thoroughly busy day and I didn't return to Turdfork until about 10:00 pm...which was far too late for a podcast.

But yesterday was certainly noteworthy. As we've been discussing for the past several months, the notion that the Fed would keep tightening through 2019 was increasingly painting CGP into a corner and yesterday the old fellow blinked. Yes, there will still...

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Key Economic Events Week of 4/12

4/13 8:30 ET CPI
4/13 12:00 ET Goon Harker
4/14 8:30 ET Import Price Index
4/14 12:00 ET Chief Goon Powell
4/14 2:45 ET Goon Chlamydia
4/15 8:30 ET Retail Sales
4/15 8:30 ET Philly Fed
4/15 8:30 ET Empire State Manu
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4/16 8:30 ET Housing starts

Key Economic Events Week of 4/5

4/5 9:45 ET Markit service PMI
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4/5 10:00 ET Factory Orders
4/6 10:00 ET JOLTS job openings
4/7 9:00 ET Goon Evans
4/7 12:00 ET Goon Barkin
4/7 2:00 ET March FOMC minutes
4/8 12:00 ET Chief Goon Powell
4/9 8:30 ET PPI
4/9 10:00 ET Wholesale inventories

Key Economic Events Week of 3/29

3/30 9:00 ET Goon Quarles
3/30 10:00 ET Consumer Confidence
3/30 2:30 ET Goon Williams
3/31 8:15 ET ADP Employment
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4/1 9:45 ET Markit Manu PMI
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4/1 10:00 ET Construction spending
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Key Economic Events Week of 3/22

3/23 9:00 ET Goon Bullard
3/23 12:00 ET CGP and Mother on Capitol Hill
3/24 8:30 ET Durable Goods
3/24 9:45 ET Markit Flash PMIs March
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3/25 8:30 ET Q4 2020 CDP final guess
3/25 12:00 ET Goon Bostic speech
3/25 3:45 ET Goon Chlamydia speech
3/26 8:30 ET Personal Income and Spending
3/26 8:30 ET Core Inflation
3/26 10:00 ET Consumer Sentiment

Key Economic Events Week of 3/15

3/15 8:30 ET Empire State Index
3/16 8:30 ET Retail Sales
3/16 8:30 Import Price Index
3/16 9:15 ET Cap Ute and Ind Prod
3/16 10:00 ET Business Inventories
3/17 2:00 ET FOMC Fedlines
3/17 2:30 ET CGP presser
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Key Economic Events Week of 3/8

3/8 10:00 ET Wholesale Inventories
3/10 8:30 ET CPI
3/10 2:00 ET Federal budget
3/11 8:30 ET Initial jobless claims
3/12 10:00 ET JOLTS job openings
3/13 8:30 ET PPI
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Key Economic Events Week of 3/1

3/1 9:45 ET Markit Manu PMI
3/2 10:00 ET ISM Manu PMI
3/2 1:00 ET Goon Brainard
3/3 9:45 ET Markit Service PMI
3/3 10:00 ET ISM Service PMI
3/3 12:00 ET Goon Bostic
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3/4 8:30 ET Unit Labor Costs
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2/22 10:00 ET LEIII
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2/25 8:30 ET Jobless claims
2/25 8:30 ET Durable goods
2/25 10:30 ET Goon Bullard
2/26 8:30 ET Pers Inc and Spending
2/26 8:30 ET Core inflation
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Key Economic Events Week of 2/15

2/17 8:30 ET Retail Sales
2/17 8:30 ET PPI
2/17 9:15 ET Cap Ute and Ind Prod
2/17 10:00 ET Business Inventories
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2/18 8:30 ET Initial jobless claims
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Key Economic Events Week of 2/8

2/8 12:00 ET Goon Mester speech
2/9 10:00 ET JOLTS job openings
2/10 8:30 ET CPI
2/10 10:00 ET Wholesale Inventories
2/10 2:00 ET Chief Goon Powell speech
2/11 8:30 ET Initial jobless claims
2/12 10:00 ET Consumer sentiment

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