Guest Post: "Why bees have it figured out and we don't", by AGXIIK

29
Mon, Jan 15, 2018 - 2:01pm

TFMR regular, AGXIIK, offers this interesting piece for your holiday reading.

"Why bees have it figured out and we don't", by AGXIIK

The Three-Body problem essay goes quite a ways into why we humans are not good at recognizing solar and global minimums. We could prepare years in advance given the knowledge available from 6,000 years of recorded history but we don't. Every solar minimum results in human chaos and the collapse of empires and yet we don't see it coming until it's too late.

Instead, we listen to the witch doctors and shamans who say that weather is human-caused and not something else. If it was caused by something else, something outside of our control, like the solar cycles, they couldn't make billions off inaccurate predictions while maintaining near absolute power and control of the meteorological priesthood caste; those charged with the responsibility of predicting weather which, in reality, holds the power over life and death.

Some of us remember the mantra of the 1970s. Global Cooling.

From a sale standpoint, that was a non-starter. A marketing group was hired after the moneyed classes funding Global Cooling LLC heard the prediction that 2 mile high glaciers were going to flatten Manhattan. That didn't go over so well even if it was a tad more accurate in the long pull. Still, the solar minimum was quite predictable 40 years ago. Now it's upon us. Many focus groups later someone came up with the idea that Global Warming, now called Climate Change, would sell better.

They rebranded their product, complete with hockey stick graphs, appropriate musings from the climatologist Amen corner and top politicians replete with Nobel Prizes and Academy Awards and suggested that we forget everything that we heard in the past. This was the New New and, by God, these people were going to be right even if it killed us.

Most people only start listening to these gurus when the weather gets really bad. To the Weather Channel marketing crew, "If it bleeds it leads" so they go into hysterical overdrive about the latest winter hurricane 3 days late. The listeners completely fail to prepare for sub zero temperatures or hurricanes and end up in harm's way, dragging others to rescue them when their mediocre plans fail because they listened to the news hawks who are either wrong or late.

Climate change cannot be allowed to let us see the reality of year over year sub zero temperatures at a time when the ice caps are melting, the seas are rising, and polar bears are homeless, or so they say. Global warming is just around the corner and besides which, in the world of Double Speak, it totally explains sub freezing temperatures.

Bees have climate change figured out, as the author tells in his article. Later in the article the author note that we see no bees in the Game of Thrones. Dragons? Yes, 3 of them. But no bees. Maybe it was a script oversight.

A apiarist knows his bees are smart enough to prepare for winter months in advance. But what if all the preparation didn't prepare for winter coming 2 months early, 5 degrees below expected temperatures and lasting 4 years. What becomes of the bees which are responsible for 90% of the fruit and vegetable pollination cycle?

They die. We die.

Some on the TFMR boards have taken up the banner, talking about the solar cycle and how it'll affect us within a year or two. The information coming out about the solar minimum might not be common knowledge now but most of us here are well ahead of the curve on that subject. Anyone living above a certain latitude should be preparing now for the real possibility that extreme low temperatures are almost certain to come their way and stay.

About 3 years ago Montana Mel, a TFMR subscriber, first introduced me to the Maunder Minimum, a devastating solar-caused cold snap that left its indelible impression on all of Northern Europe and most of America, rewriting history as populations of both regions struggled to survive. I mislabeled all solar cycles as the Maunder Minimum. It has a catchy ring to it. But it's correctly called a solar minimum

Most of our conversations now include new notations about the coming solar minimum. Martin Armstrong's been discussing this about every 5th article. Say what you want about MA, I think he's got this one wired and he's not without company.

Even more telling, since most people get their information and entertainment from cable, MSM and videos, if you've been watching Game of Thrones you know that winter arrived at the end of season 7.

Maybe GOTs is little more than a well crafted adaptation of a novel; a written and acted series.

Or maybe it's the way the script writers are trying to tell us.

Winter is coming.

And we, like John Snow, know nothing.

About the Author

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turd [at] tfmetalsreport [dot] com ()

  29 Comments

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MontanaMel
Jan 16, 2018 - 10:46pm

How bad is BAD...

I, also, read a bunch on this Grand Minimum cycle... Dark Winter by Casey was my starting point - then, I chased down some of his hard reference books that he listed...some were long out of print and hard to dig out...

AG is a friend of mine. He does the heavy lifting while I just fill-in the blanks, eh?...

FWIW: my own view on this GM issue/cycle and what can we expect is as follows, part is research, part is applying what I read about the 1650 event mostly in the EU area. And, part of this is mixing in my own views on weather/climate learned as a pilot - always watching the weather. The basis of these observations is: At what latitude would I expect being able to "raise a garden for food".....

In that "old book" I use to have, about the EU during the last minimum... It varied from year to year...some. Climate is fickle and subject to so many factors...there is no "hard and fast" answer UNTIL you get close "enough" to the EQUATOR where variables no longer rule the day/month or season... For the EU area...into Asia... 40 deg N Lat describes the "lower edge" of the affected areas...with some north-south migration from year to year during the deepest part of the period of minimum...thinking here is 5 deg plus/minus of this 40 deg line OR LOWER gives you a fighting chance...in the EU area... 40 deg just about cuts the Med Sea mid point.

Here in NA... "Anyplace north of 50 deg is toast...forget getting any grain from Canada, etc...Edmonton is going to have a real rough time - ie: perhaps evac will be called for up there and above...which kicks AK under the bus too. The 40deg N Lat line describes our "northern tier states"...including ME...this is going to be a "tough" go, vs the "rough" go further north...micro climates "may" develop within this 10 deg band, according to "ocean" influences vs "continental" influences...and, those pesky higher/longer Mtn ranges...etc. You are currently at about 38/39 deg N. BUT, you are in the "east face shadow" of those Mtn to your west... you might get TOO MUCH rain and not enough sun to plant there...say 60-75% of the time, during the deep part of the minimum...There is NOT going to be much, if any, "taper in and taper out'.... It will be more of a mix-mash...some nice with some bad and no real seasonal difference to allow planting and growing....Remember the "year without summer" back east was NOT a "peak cool/cold era" per se...it just kind of "flipped and happened"....ouch. All bets are off if we get a major volcano blow...world wide ash cloud, etc... I feel that 35 deg N is going to be the "northern edge" of any SEMI-DEpENDIBLE growing area during the central part of the minimum...That is AZ/NM/TX/LA/MI/AL/GA/and FL... Don't forget, 1/2 of Canada will be moving in with us during these years too...more mouths to feed... No body said you have to like it....just DO IT... sorry to be so hard, but this is how I see this... Being in our 70's++, I doubt we will last this one. The fight to keep oil/gas production flowing from the north side of the line is going to be a national security issue...to include ANWR. Then, slip part of CA into the drink and you can see why I didn't mention CA in my list above for 35 deg areas...I think it'll be a mess, or missing.

Holding onto some "seed stock" could be a very big issue...as there will be many "false springs" or similar...where balmy weather FLIPS to a driving snow storm, or 4 to 10" rainfalls...which tries to change over to freezing rain...not you "nice day" at all... Such events were noted in the Europe book.

Stocking some building supplies for a greenhouse might be "pure Au"...as could a wind turbine to help out those covered PV panels when you need to fire up the ham radio for some intel, eh?... Remember, a dry gun won't freeze at any temp... I saw -88.2 f deg noted today over in Russia...Wait until Ft St John in N. BC reports temps like Scott Base...Burrr.

I personally have seen -72 f. on the North Slope of AK in 1974 - trying to start a Volpar to get out of there!...

I am seeing "center of bottom of this cycle" estimated as 2020/2024 AND 2032..YMMV. The later one, 2032 was confirmed by the Russians for Casey - before he disapeared!

Check-6 Mel

bently
Jan 16, 2018 - 4:15pm

Zero Hedge...

"Investors stunned as stocks suffer biggest reversal in 10 months, cryptos crash."

Left out...but gold gains. The tortoise is beginning to close the gap. Sorry, Harry D!

WingsofGoldCaptainDanite
Jan 16, 2018 - 3:36pm

Epsilon Theory

Thanks for posting that CaptainDanite. Read another article found on that site.

https://www.epsilontheory.com/clever-hans/

enjoyed the two articles so much, I subscribed.

zwartjens
Jan 16, 2018 - 2:27pm

very interesting

As a beekeeper AND a GoT fan I have to say what's written here and in the original Three Body problem is very, very interesting as well as recognizable.

The bee instinct to prepare for winter starting June 22 is known, and actually exploited by beekeepers; just get your bee colonies big before the solstice and locate your colony close to a top food source. Queen notices excess food coming in and starts laying more eggs. Harvest lots of honey in the following 2 weeks. After 4 more weeks, rinse and repeat as the beautiful rule of 40 dictates that 40 days after an egg is produced by the queen, the bee is ready to fly out and gather pollen and nectar.

The insight that this is algorithmic driven and can be wiped out is mind-boggling and will take me quite some pondering before I will grasp the concept enough to determine what to do next. Thanks a lot, this is why I'm a member of TFMR :)

abundance
Jan 16, 2018 - 1:57pm
bookers126
Jan 16, 2018 - 1:03pm

Clif High

Just listened to a very recent Clif interview and he said that an ice age is coming. His data indicates it will start in the Appalachian Mountains and the ice will flow down from them.

Seems like an interesting process, you basically have a year with heavy snow/grapple that simple does not melt during the summer. After that, the ice sheet just grows and grows. I think he said it start very soon/now and reachs a peak in 50 or 60 years. But, with Clif his timing is sometimes way off as are his forecasts.

CaptainDanite
Jan 16, 2018 - 11:52am

The Three-Body Problem - Dr. Ben Hunt

Those of you who enjoyed AGXIIK's essay above may really enjoy Ben Hunt's masterful original take on the topic:

The Three-Body Problem

lund175
Jan 16, 2018 - 11:03am

AGX-Great article about the very near future

People can show me as many financial charts as you want, we really do not know where they will be in 3-5 years.

When it comes to cycles, especially the next several years, that is a greater chance of bearing fruit.

The next several years have many bad cycles coming to a peak.

Cooling cycle
War cycle
Food crisis cycle

Earthquake cycle

Even though they are all related, that is a lot of bad ju ju.

I hate to be negative because I am very a positive person but people have to face the facts.

Erik Hadik has a 40 year cycle website with lots of interest, and it's free.

https://40yearcycle.com

I tell people about the coming cool down with the lack of sun spots and they look even more dumb founded than talking gold and silver.

PREPARE, I am.

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J Siefert
Jan 16, 2018 - 8:32am

Winter here in the Basel Region...

...has been fairly normal so far. If anything, a bit milder than normal. To date we've had about only two days with snow lying on the ground ... maybe 1 or 2 cm. Normal here is to have a snowfall of say 10 cm which melts a bit and then re-frezes and stays that way for about a week. We've has one humdinger of a storm that brought down all those trees that were weak or rotting at the base.
Like many people here I prefer to let the Alps get all the snow which they have had in abundance this winter.

vonburpenstein
Jan 16, 2018 - 8:16am

You just can NOT...

....Beat this place, the info is consistently off the charts...truth tastes good

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