Multiple Part-Time Jobs and Central Bank Lies

188
Fri, Oct 7, 2016 - 11:10am

If anything, today's BLSBS reveals that the average US citizen is now working multiple, part-time jobs in a desperate attempt to make ends meet. And this "robust economy" that is "near full employment" is the supposed rationale for the Federal Reserve to raise the Fed Funds rate as soon as next month. What a perverted lie and scam this all is!

But we all knew there wasn't going to be a rate hike in November anyway and December is at worst 50/50. Today's "jobs report" only confirmed that: https://www.zerohedge.com/news/2016-10-07/fed-whispererr-hilenrath-kills...

However, let's get back to the internals of the BLSBS because I want you to stew on this for a while. We're told through and endless barrage of analysis, punditry and jawboning that The Fed will soon embark on a series of FF rate hikes...primarily because the US job market is so strong that it is near full employment. The thought goes that this will increase pressure to raise wages and, thus, spark inflation.

But below are the two most-important charts you'll see all day. Taken from the BLSBS data, note that the number of US citizens working multiple jobs is at the highest level since 2008 and that the only "growth" in jobs is coming from part-time positions.

This means exactly what you think it means. The Average Joe/Josie, having lost a high-quality full-time job due to downsizing or Obamacare or whatever has been forced to work multiple, part-time jobs just to make ends meet. AND THIS IS THE ROBUST US ECONOMY THAT DEMANDS A RATE HIKE! If anything should prove to you that:

  • Fed policy since at least 2008 is a complete disaster
  • The Fed does NOT work for the average citizen
  • The Fed, instead, does what its owner Banks want

This should do it! What more do you need to know? The lying, criminal Bankers DO NOT CARE about you, you neighbor or anyone outside of their Cabal. All that matters...and all they base their decisions upon...is what is the best course of action for the profitability and sustainability of the owner Banks! Period. End of story.

To that end, the Central Bankers seek to manage and manipulate ALL "markets" worldwide. Given the near impossibility of this task, the so-called regulators that work as pawns of this system look away as impassive, unconcerned observers as HFT the Central Bankers need instead dominate and destroy nearly everything. As an example, last evening the British Pound fell 5% in 5 seconds:

Why? How? That's easy. Again, with HFT, market depth and liquidity appears to be a mile wide. However, in reality, it's only one inch deep and bids or offers can be pulled at the speed of light. The result? Flash crashes...just like we saw last evening in the GBP.

And it is this same HFT that have led the exodus from paper gold and paper silver over the past 10 trading days. Once the 50-day MAs were taken out, the HFTs began to sell all rallies and bounces. Then, once the 100-day MAs were smashed, the outright dumping and liquidation began. Since Tuesday, September 27, when The Banks raided price to smash it through the 50-day, gold has fallen over $80 or about 7%. Over the same time period, total Comex gold open interest has fallen by 89,000 contracts or about 15%. Do you see how this works?

So now, if you want paper gold and silver to go back higher, you need the HFTs to start buying those derivatives again. What will inspire them to do that? The same old, same old...falling interest rates and a sinking USDJPY. Though this trend in those two key inputs will, NO DOUBT, re-assert itself soon, in the meantime, we're left with no choice but to deal with the ongoing fallout of the recent "correction".

Since Tuesday's smash of the 100-day, the only thing we've cared about is whether or not price will manage to hold and close above the 200-day later today. After reaching a post-BLSBS high of $1267 earlier, "gold" is back to $1257 as I type. And where is the 200-day moving average for the Dec16 contract? It's near $1261. See below while asking yourself if it really matters:

So, here we are again. We all get excited when the HFT-discovered, Comex-derivative, US dollar-priced gold print goes up...and we all get depressed when it gets smashed back lower. But why does it even freaking matter at this point? Oh sure, for some of us, the impact this has on "investments" like mining shares is quite detrimental. However, in the long run, do the past two weeks of HFT and Cartel Bank bullshit somehow make gold and silver less valuable for the protection/security reasons for which you bought them in the first place? OF COURSE NOT!

Look, EVERYTHING now is based upon lies, bullshit and illusions. EVERYTHING. Your choice is to either get caught up in the nonsense...like believing that the daily movements of the paper-derivative "gold price" are somehow directly related to the value and fundamentals of physical gold...or you can use your wisdom, understanding and experience to your advantage. Can you take what you've learned here and parlay this knowledge into an even greater level of protection and security from the events that are still, most assuredly, coming? And it's not just financial protection! This site also offers you a community of like-minded people who can educate you on personal and family protection, too. This is all advice that needs to be heeded! A world that is built upon a foundation of dishonesty, fraud and outright LIES cannot and will not last.

And again, just how pervasive is the criminality? Here's just your latest example. Jon Corzine stole nearly $3B from account holders at MFGlobal five years ago when he used customer funds in a desperate attempt to stave off bankruptcy due to his mismanagement of the company. For this CRIME, Mr. Corzine has never been prosecuted nor has he served any jail time. Instead, today we learn that Corzine is in talks to settle his liability with "the government" for just $5,000,000. Now that's a lot of money to me and you but it's peanuts for someone like The Criminal Corzine. How does a scoundrel like this skate and escape the arcane notion of "justice"? What's that they say about a picture and a thousand words? Well, here are 2,000 words:

So, we'll continue to monitor the paper price as we search for opportune times to add to our personal stacks of wealth. But, please, you must understand that the world is not what you're led to believe and the current financial system is rigged in favor of The Bankers at your expense. Until this system collapses under the sheer weight of the accumulated fraud and deceit, your only winning move is opt out of the paper games and continue to prepare accordingly for the day of reckoning that is, without question, headed our way.

TF

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  188 Comments

OOOBuck
Oct 7, 2016 - 12:12pm

Wait a Second Rickards

Good one Turd. That's a gotcha if ever there was one. Rickards is a cagey SOB and so nice to see his undercoat exposed.

Antony von Clearwell
Oct 7, 2016 - 12:16pm
Joseph Warren
Oct 7, 2016 - 12:24pm

Re: Freaking classic

There are several guys out there who say they have CIA/intel agency backgrounds to some degree. They present themselves as 'good guys in the know, wanting to help America'. They say things 90% of which, most of us here would agree. It's that other 10% of what they say that is filled with poison. (Examples - The fiat-made -of -fiats SDR is a 'solution' to benefit the people. Lady Rothschild is for reforming 'capitalism'. We need a Con con. - - The crooks blatantly violate & consider the US Constitution to be "just a G -d piece of paper" now. But they know the people respect it. So if they can trash some of those pesky rights in the current Constitution, they can fool the people into going along with it. As Catherine Austin Fitts said recently, nothing good will come from a Constitutional convention.)

tyberious
Oct 7, 2016 - 12:27pm

You might want to view this

SR 1243 – Why the Pittibone Twins Support Donald Trump

SR 1243 – Why the Pettibone Twins Support Donald Trump
braincramps
Oct 7, 2016 - 12:28pm

Great news for Au, Ag, and Btc

On October 1st of this year, the IMF added the Chinese Yuan (CNY) to the Special Drawing Rights (SDR) basket of currencies. Only Big Boy currencies are included, and now China is part of the club. USD, GBP, JPY, EUR, and now CNY make up the basket.

The IMF could not ignore the currency of the world’s second largest economy. In order to be considered, China pledged to speed up the internationalisation of the CNY. That meant gradually opening up its capital account, and allowing the market to determine the value of the CNY.

China isn’t one to follow diktats of foreign countries to the letter. Beijing believes the addition of the CNY to this basket is a symbolic step towards legitimising their economy, and the methods by which they manage it.

The question now is whether China will play ball given that it is in the club. The Yuan has depreciated over 7% in the past 12 months. Everyone agrees that the Yuan will need to weaken. The question is the pace and eventual magnitude of depreciation.

China is addicted to credit fueled growth. Beijing recognises the problem, but credit growth continues. Someone will need to bear the losses. It will either be the heavy industry, or the household sector. The problem for Beijing is that the heavy industry sector is politically powerful, and more importantly employs millions of workers. Social unrest will not be tolerated. The number one goal of the Communist Party of China is to remain in power. As such, state owned banks are still directing loans to zombie state owned industrial companies and the property sector.

China cannot continue to print money and defend the Yuan from massive depreciation at the same time. Companies and individuals are fleeing the coming domestic inflation by exporting their capital abroad. I argue that in the absence of the IMF SDR review period and inclusion, China would have depreciated the Yuan much more already. China would have lost “Face” internationally if they sliced the Yuan by 30%, while at the same time applying to be a global reserve currency. If you have lived in this part of the world long enough, you know that losing “Face” outwardly is to be avoided at all costs.

Those who look to official figures of FX reserves as evidence that capital outflow is waning are being fooled. Chinese companies continue to do massive M&A deals globally. Chinese citizens continue to levitate luxury property markets across the globe. Vancouver recently implemented a 15% foreigner property tax to deter the ravenous Chinese.

Now that China has officially joined the club. They are free to monkey hammer their currency lower just like the Fed, ECB, BOJ, and BOE do, and not lose “Face” doing it. Quantitative easing is just a fancy name for money printing. Western central bankers are masters at it, and now China will openly play the game as well.

Traders will be watching the PBOC’s 9:15am reference rate closely. The PBOC’s actions in the first week after the inclusion will help frame expectations for future actions. Now that Fed rate hike odds for November and December are rising, I expect the PBOC to come out guns blazing. A year end USDCNY rate of 7.00 is definitely in the cards.

Don’t forget about Europe. One or more banks might meet the reaper in Q4. The PBOC will need to inject more money to mitigate any contagion risk spreading to Chinese financial markets. The Golden Week calm is a chimera. Next week the fun begins again.

The trend is clear. CNY down, Bitcoin up. If the PBOC begins Q4 by slicing the Yuan, Bitcoin will be jolted from the doldrums. The path to $1,000 will be paved with depreciating Renminbi.

https://us3.campaign-archive1.com/?u=db45c09bdf20e1866bb32123f&id=4268b4...

Safety Dan
Oct 7, 2016 - 12:29pm

Re: Terrific Post Turd - Joseph Warren

"Great summary of what has been going on, the absolute criminality of the whole system. "

I agree...

"Just quite possibly, Humanity is at a cross roads where more of us are seeing through the massive fraud & illusion that has governed so much of our lives. Who knows where this will take us. Personally, I'm quite optimistic about the long term future. "

May I propose an idea that is already an example to the world?

Spain Prospers Without National Government – What This Teaches Us

Spain Prospers Without National Government - What This Teaches Us

Video is 13:49min

Josh Sigurdson talks with author and economic analyst John Sneisen regarding Spain prospering without a national government for 10 months and the growth in their economy. While there is still ridiculous printing by the central banks and still regulations imposed by municipal government, if Spain is doing as well as they are without a national government, imagine how much better they’d do without any form of government!
Now bear with us, we break down how the government creates the problems they “strive” to solve by causing a perpetuation of “problem, reaction, solution” or The Hegelian Dialect. Spain can be a role model to snap people out of their pre-conceived perceptions of anarchy.
This isn’t anarcho-communism we’re talking about where no one’s allowed to voluntarily interact with each other as a collective enforces their will on the populace, but a totally free voluntary environment using the anarcho-capitalist method which is indeed inclusive of every ideal unlike any other ideology where you may have the society you wish, just let us opt out and don’t use force or coercion against others. Humanity is voluntary and government crushes free will as 51% impose their will on the 49%.
In this society, competition reigns free with only minor monopolies in comparison to the heavily subsidized and propped up monopolies of today. The corporatist/corporate-fascist system that’s in place today is too often confused for capitalism which hasn’t truly existed in its entirety for over 150 years.
Imagine a healthcare system that’s not manipulated as demand is artificial, propped up by the state causing inflation and big pharma monopolies which are then answered by the public with demand for more coercion and monopolization.
All of the problems people claim the government solves, the government actually either creates the need for or simply perpetuates the problem itself.

It’s time people own themselves as humanity has always been based upon. True voluntaryism means self ownership under the non-aggression principle. The only person you truly have control over is yourself and without that, what’s the point in life as it is? Collectivism begets enslavement and there is no moral excuse for controlling the masses under any one ideology. So why not allow people to decide, deflate the markets under a free market system allowing so much more competition and let competition take hold as small businesses then have a fighting chance against the major corporations that have been propped up by the state for decades despite pushing an outdated and inferior product.

When we are empowered as individuals we may finally have peace.

Safety Dan
Oct 7, 2016 - 12:36pm

Re Jim Rickards Forecasts...

When you miss a date, (think Sept 30, 2016, dollar's death forecast), to save face and book sales you reload and give another date..

The Next BIG Event Happens October 7

On October 7, the IMF convenes in Washington to consider, according to Jim Rickards, "additional steps to expand the role of SDRs and make China an integral part of the new world money order."

In other words, the yuan is about to get stronger... and the dollar is about to get MUCH weaker.

The writing is on the wall: A significant devaluation of the USD is on the horizon.

https://freekit.birchgold.com/oct-7/?utm_medium=email&utm_campaign=rav&u...

Safety Dan
Oct 7, 2016 - 12:41pm

Not Good News Forecasted

Gold & Silver Mining Index (XAU) Falls Out Of Bearish Pattern

Chris Kimble Kimble Charting Solutions

October 05, 2016

It’s been a heck of a year for precious metals. Through 3 quarters this year, Gold (NYSEARCA:GLD), Silver (NYSEARCA:SLV), and the miners (INDEXNASDAQ:XAU) were big time out-performers.

HOWEVER, those good vibes have been lost on investors during the first few days of trading in October. In short, the precious metals sector has been hit hard in early October.

Today I want to revisit the Gold & Silver Mining Index (XAU) chart. Last month, I warned investors about XAU due to a bearish rising wedge chart pattern. And as you can see in the chart below, XAU has fallen out of that pattern.

Two other variables that also spelled trouble for the Gold & Silver mining index were: 1) The rally retraced 61.8% of the prior decline. This usually is a strong Fibonacci resistance level – see point 1. And 2) The Relative Momentum Index for XAU was peaking at the same time (point 2).

Gold & Silver Mining Index (XAU) Chart

https://www.seeitmarket.com/gold-silver-miners-fall-bearish-pattern-16125/

goldcom
Oct 7, 2016 - 12:46pm

Paper Comex trades shouldn't surprise us

Just my opinion but I'd guess not 1% of trades in Comex gold and silver have any belief in sound money principals. Few think of gold as a true safe haven. Sure a few hedge fund guys might have some knowledge of the historic value of PM's but they are playing with their clients money that pretty much don't give a shit and react to the overwhelming inputs of bullion banks.

So why does anyone even play that game? Or do they? The COT report says there are different factions we discuss here as Commercials and Specs, but we don't know that for sure. The Comex can report whatever they want in this day and age of lies layered on lies.

I want to know if some CB just dumped a bunch of gold to satisfy the physical demand of the lower pricing or what is the real demand. The Doc of SD Bullion said last Friday was the biggest day ever so I'm guessing US coin and bullion purchasing is still doing well. So has physical demand fallen of a cliff somewhere else in the world or did Merkel and Germany just pass on this years shipment of gold repatriation to get the DOJ off of Deutsche Banks ass and that gold just got dumped on the market? Who knows for sure?

Yes, China is on holiday this week, but shouldn't more Chinese have time to buy more physical? Sorry, but sometimes the built in obscurity of PM markets are challenging to say the least. The physical demand must overwhelm the bastards at some point. Where will the physical come from this time?

Safety Dan
Oct 7, 2016 - 12:47pm

Holding New Baby Charges..

I know there are a couple Turdite family members expecting in the near future. Please see this 4:58min video.

INSANE! HOSPITAL CHARGES MOTHER ‘$39.35 TO HOLD HER BABY AFTER HE WAS BORN’

INSANE! HOSPITAL CHARGES MOTHER ‘$39.35 TO HOLD HER BABY AFTER HE WAS BORN’

Published on Oct 7, 2016

Sub for more: https://nnn.is/the_new_media | FOX8 reports the unthinkable and people are rightfully outraged, A new father says he was charged to hold his baby after his wife gave birth. Reddit user “halfthrottle” posted an image of the hospital’s billing statement under the headline, “I had to pay $39.35 to hold my baby after he was born.” The photo has been viewed more than 2.6 million times in the past 24 hours.

Got Kids or Grandkids? Take a break at our new Kids Channel:
(( SUBSCRIBE )) https://bit.ly/sub-to-Banchi-Brothers

See the report here:
https://youtu.be/SBZejc9LM8M

Read more:
https://fox8.com/2016/10/04/dad-i-had-...

JQuest
Oct 7, 2016 - 12:48pm

Oct 7, 2016 - 12:50pm

GLD

YukonCornelius
Oct 7, 2016 - 12:51pm

Silver holds BREXIT results low again - $17.11

See June 24th - the lows in "Silver" (Comex) 17.11. This was the day the silver market starting trading the BREXIT results. It held yesterday (low 17.15) and again today (17.11).

FWIW

GLTA - Yukon

Safety Dan
Oct 7, 2016 - 1:04pm

Off Topic. Interesting Article... Sold On Ebay,

Printer ink to machine gun parts and the sight for a grenade launcher, on eBay. ,,,,

U.S. Attorney: Fort Campbell soldiers sold stolen Army gear to buyers overseas

The men sold "firearm components, advanced communications headsets and laser or optical sights," the indictment reads. The equipment was classified by the Defense Department as "DEMIL D," meaning that it must be destroyed by the military and cannot be sold elsewhere.

The indictment lists the following equipment stolen and sold between 2013 and 2016:

  • A sight for an M203 grenade launcher.

  • Machine gun parts including magazine adapters, heat shields, and barrel assemblies with at least 30 barrels.

  • Body armor.

  • Sniper telescope with tripod and rifle mounts.

  • Combat and flight helmets.

"These are extraordinarily and inherently dangerous in the wrong hands and outside of the military or police tactical use," Rivera said Thursday.

Rivera then pointed to a photo of a trigger mechanism that is

https://www.tennessean.com/story/news/crime/2016/10/06/six-fort-campbell-soldiers-two-civilians-indicted-charges-selling-army-equipment-buyers-11-countries/91666716/

But I remember someone else selling weapons to ISIS and others..

What's going to happen to them?

H8Fiat
Oct 7, 2016 - 1:07pm

Let's print more

Interesting that the beat down continues. Could it be the IMF / World Bank meeting this weekend as noted above? Sure does align IMO and also China being on holiday? Could be an interesting Sunday.

Free money!!!!

https://www.imf.org/en/News/Articles/2016/10/06/AM16-PR16447-IMF-Members...

H8

Safety Dan
Oct 7, 2016 - 1:29pm

Yet Another Potential Solution For Islam Extremist

The message below by Vladimir Putin is a promise that muslims know would be kept. Why spend hundreds of millions of dollars on security when a simple message backed by a history of action will do the trick. Then there is the Obama approach.......
- Dr. Jim Garrow -

“If they bomb EVEN one city in Russia, I swear, in half an hour every muslim will die” Vladimir Putin

“I swear if they bomb Russia, in half an hour every muslim will die” Vladimir Putin

The Russian leader is reportedly mounting an enormous military mission to take control of the terror group’s stronghold of Raqqa.

The city is the self-declared capital of ISIS in Syria and is patrolled by as many as 5,000 jihadi members.

Putin is set to mobilise 150,000 reservists who he conscripted into the military in September.

Yesterday, following the Paris attacks, Putin hinted he was ready to join forces with the West to tackle Islamic State.

He told David Cameron: “The recent tragic events in France show that we should join efforts in preventing terror.”

https://thetimess.info/if-they-bomb-even-one-city-in-russia-i-swear-in-half-an-hour-every-muslim-will-die-vladimir-putin

**************************************************************************

Here's a test for us older guys.. How many know how Ronald Regan solved the Iranian Crisis back in the 1980's? Then see this outstanding study I've linked from the Iran Hostage situation on "Negotiating with Terrorist":

Negotiating with Terrorists: The US-Iran Hostage Crisis - SSRN

papers.ssrn.com/sol3/Delivery.cfm/SSRN_ID724243_code327511.pdf?abstractid...

encounters between the United States and Iran to solve the crisis and reach the terms ... PresidentRonald Reagan agreed to sell military arms to Iran to free U.S. ...

From the Abstract:

The analysis compares negotiation theory and research findings with outcomes in this case, concluding that neither principled, nor soft, nor rights-based bargaining seemed to work, while power and interest focused approaches had a positive effect on the negotiated outcome. The case yields insight into negotiation contexts where parties of vastly different strength in absolute terms have reversed power positions in bargaining leverage; shows which side tends to follow particular negotiation paths; and how the use of various strategies help or hinder conflict resolution.

Maestro
Oct 7, 2016 - 1:47pm

Looks Like A Good Old Fashioned...

FUBM

Amazing how little 2.5 Billion buys today!


Oct 7, 2016 - 1:54pm

Re the GBP flash crash

Citi wins The Captain Obvious Award:

Again, HFT "liquidity" may appear to be a mile wide but it is always about one inch deep.

A. Tad Askew TF
Oct 7, 2016 - 1:59pm

Mile wide and an inch deep...

Sounds a lot like Cramer....

cheers!

joeblack
Oct 7, 2016 - 2:01pm

The FED is going to do

whatever benefits the banks regardless of the economy


Oct 7, 2016 - 2:02pm

Lost in the shuffle today

Mr Donut trimmed again. Note that he was at +3.8% just nine weeks ago!

Maestro TF
Oct 7, 2016 - 2:04pm

Wondering...

I always wonder when someone dumps 2.5B, WHO is on the other side of the trade gladly lapping it all up?

I know I was only responsible for $1B of that amount

Who got the rest?

Henrik
Oct 7, 2016 - 2:07pm

Were they trying to slam the price before Shanghai opens?

The Chinese can easily lift the price above the 200 DMA from these levels. It would have been a lot harder if price was around 1240$...Maybe if price was that low even the Chinese could panic.

Keith TF
Oct 7, 2016 - 2:10pm

shanghai accord???

I keep asking his people about the Shanghai accord. They never respond. Short lived accord I guess.

Antony von Clearwell
Oct 7, 2016 - 2:36pm

Quiet

After Europe closed it's quiet out there...

Now also quiet here.... Everybody already in the pubs?

....or licking wounds? :)

tvend
Oct 7, 2016 - 2:39pm

What's the trade here?

Is Asian arbitrage going to kick in Sunday night and make for great Monday for the levered ETFs, a la NUGT / JNUG??

I could use a quick day trade to make me feel better about how much gains have been given back to the casino.

And to use that for an ounce of real gold! Learn those lessons from the lumps, and whatnot.

Thinking of trying a position on JNUG at close to catch a Monday pop.

OR... Will the Asians pile on to collapse the price? Who would stop them? Why shouldn't they say if you can't beat em join em, and then take delivery on cheaper gold for the next two months?

Who's betting on this line of thinking?

Revelation21.21
Oct 7, 2016 - 2:42pm

wondering

who 's on the other side? Well, the guy who sold it to the first guy ;-)

tvend
Oct 7, 2016 - 2:44pm

Taking to myself

To answer my own question, even if Asians bid up the spot overnight, can't CONMEX just short the open and skim even more off them? That to me makes the Asian market a cautious seller on Sunday.


Oct 7, 2016 - 2:58pm
Orange
Oct 7, 2016 - 2:58pm

JNUG

Looking for a pop next week so I bought JNUG at little earlier at $9.70.

Don't forget this Shemitah crap ends on the 11th, although some say TSHTF may not come on the exact date.

Gold to $2,000 by mid Nov. and JNUG to the moon.

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Key Economic Events Week of 4/15

4/16 9:15 ET Cap Util and Ind Prod
4/17 8:30 ET Trade Deficit (Feb)
4/17 10:00 ET Wholesale Inventories
4/18 8:30 ET Retail Sales (March)
4/18 8:30 ET Philly Fed
4/18 10:00 ET Business Inventories (Feb)
4/19 8:30 ET Housing Starts and Building Permits

Key Economic Events Week of 4/1

4/1 8:30 ET Retail Sales (Feb)
4/1 9:45 ET Markit & ISM Manu PMIs
4/1 10:00 ET Construction Spending (Feb)
4/1 10:00 ET Business Inventories (Jan)
4/2 8:30 ET Durable Goods (Feb)
4/3 9:45 ET Markit & ISM Services PMIs
4/5 8:30 ET BLSBS

Key Economic Events Week of 3/25

3/26 8:30 ET Housing Starts (Feb)
3/27 8:30 ET Trade Deficit (Jan)
3/28 8:30 ET Q4 GDP final guess
3/28 10:00 ET Pending Home Sales (Feb)
3/29 8:30 ET Personal Income (Feb)
3/29 8:30 ET Consumer Spending and Core Infl. (Jan)
3/29 9:45 ET Chicago PMI
3/29 10:00 ET New Home Sales (Feb)

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