Time For Another Hat Contest

108
Tue, Aug 18, 2015 - 11:17am

With all that's going on in the world...from China to Ukraine to disinflation bias to the next FOMC meeting...what a perfect time for another Turdville Hat Contest!

The September FOMC meeting is Wed-Thu the 16th and 17th of September. The Fedlines that might contain a "September rate hike" will be released at 2:00 pm EDT on September 17. So, your entry in this contest is:

  1. The Comex closing price of the Dec15 gold on Friday, September 18
  2. The Comex closing price of the Dec15 silver on Friday, September 18
  3. Tiebreaker: The NYSE closing level of the HUI index on Friday, September 18

In each category, there will be two winners. In gold, first place is a TFMR silver round and second place is an autographed Turd Hat. In silver, same deal.

So, have at it. Please use this thread to submit your guesses and be sure to include your tiebreak answer. I'll close this thread to new entries tomorrow at 7:00 pm EDT.

GOOD LUCK!! (You're going to need it...)

TF

About the Author

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turd [at] tfmetalsreport [dot] com ()

  108 Comments

sengfarmer
Aug 18, 2015 - 11:25am

2nd

I won't even guess, things are too f+++d up.

CPE
Aug 18, 2015 - 11:25am

Thx

Turd

1. 1150

2. 15.50

3. 125

renozep
Aug 18, 2015 - 11:30am

Hat Contest- Thanks Turd

Dec. 15 gold- 1095.55 Dec. 15 silver- 13.88 Dec. 15 HUI- 106.50 Sorry to be so pessimistic. Hope I'm wrong.

Antony von Clearwell
Aug 18, 2015 - 11:33am

3rd?

Au: 1131

Ag:15.55

Hui: 129

Angry Chef
Aug 18, 2015 - 11:36am

China and Swiss Refining

Turd,

I'm going to hold off on any predictions for the moment and think about it. But I just listened to your interview with Elijah Johnson at Finance and Liberty and you mentioned something that I have heard as well. That China is taking delivery of LBMA London good delivery bars and having them refined into kilo bars and shipped off to China never to return. I believe Alasdair Macleaod has mentioned this as well. But does anybody have an article from a reputable source that says this is true ? I've heard it here and in other locations but I've never seen anything written about it. Only spoken about it. Anyone ?

indiana rod
Aug 18, 2015 - 11:36am

My Numbers

Silver $16.30

Gold $1227

HUI 191

garth
Aug 18, 2015 - 11:36am

hat contest

gold- 1080.75
silver- 15.80
HUI- 135

matt_
Aug 18, 2015 - 11:36am

My entry

Gold: 1105

Silver: 15.15

HUI: 118.25

4 oz
Aug 18, 2015 - 11:43am
imach1
Aug 18, 2015 - 11:46am

God willing

AU 5000 Ag 100 HUI 1129

Key Economic Events Week of 10/21

10/22 10:00 ET Existing home sales
10/24 8:30 ET Durable Goods
10/24 9:45 ET Markit flash PMIs
10/24 10:00 ET New home sales
10/25 10:00 ET Consumer Sentiment

108 Comments on Time For Another Hat Contest

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Key Economic Events Week of 10/21

10/22 10:00 ET Existing home sales
10/24 8:30 ET Durable Goods
10/24 9:45 ET Markit flash PMIs
10/24 10:00 ET New home sales
10/25 10:00 ET Consumer Sentiment

Key Economic Events Week of 10/14

10/15 8:30 ET Empire State Fed MI
10/16 8:30 ET Retail Sales
10/16 10:00 ET Business Inventories
10/17 8:30 ET Housing Starts and Bldg Perms
10/17 8:30 ET Philly Fed MI
10/17 9:15 ET Cap Ute and Ind Prod
10/18 10:00 ET LEIII
10/18 Speeches from Goons Kaplan, George and Chlamydia

Key Economic Events Week of 10/7

10/8 8:30 ET Producer Price Index
10/9 10:00 ET Job Openings
10/9 10:00 ET Wholesale Inventories
10/9 2:00 ET September FOMC minutes
10/10 8:30 ET Consumer Price Index
10/11 10:00 ET Consumer Sentiment

Key Economic Events Week of 9/30

9/30 9:45 ET Chicago PMI
10/1 9:45 ET Markit Manu PMI
10/1 10:00 ET ISM Manu PMI
10/1 10:00 ET Construction Spending
10/2 China Golden Week Begins
10/2 8:15 ET ADP jobs report
10/3 9:45 ET Markit Service PMI
10/3 10:00 ET ISM Service PMI
10/3 10:00 ET Factory Orders
10/4 8:30 ET BLSBS
10/4 8:30 ET US Trade Deficit

Key Economic Events Week of 9/23

9/23 9:45 ET Markit flash PMIs
9/24 10:00 ET Consumer Confidence
9/26 8:30 ET Q2 GDP third guess
9/27 8:30 ET Durable Goods
9/27 8:30 ET Pers Inc and Cons Spend
9/27 8:30 ET Core Inflation

Key Economic Events Week of 9/16

9/17 9:15 ET Cap Ute & Ind Prod
9/18 8:30 ET Housing Starts & Bldg Perm.
9/18 2:00 ET Fedlines
9/18 2:30 ET CGP presser
9/19 8:30 ET Philly Fed
9/19 10:00 ET Existing Home Sales

Key Economic Events Week of 9/9

9/10 10:00 ET Job openings
9/11 8:30 ET PPI
9/11 10:00 ET Wholesale Inv.
9/12 8:30 ET CPI
9/13 8:30 ET Retail Sales
9/13 10:00 ET Consumer Sentiment
9/13 10:00 ET Business Inv.

Key Economic Events Week of 9/3

9/3 9:45 ET Markit Manu PMI
9/3 10:00 ET ISM Manu PMI
9/3 10:00 ET Construction Spending
9/4 8:30 ET Foreign Trade Deficit
9/5 9:45 ET Markit Svc PMI
9/5 10:00 ET ISM Svc PMI
9/5 10:00 ET Factory Orders
9/6 8:30 ET BLSBS

Key Economic Events Week of 8/26

8/26 8:30 ET Durable Goods
8/27 9:00 ET Case-Shiller Home Price Idx
8/27 10:00 ET Consumer Confidence
8/29 8:30 ET Q2 GDP 2nd guess
8/29 8:30 ET Advance Trade in Goods
8/30 8:30 ET Pers. Inc. and Cons. Spend.
8/30 8:30 ET Core Inflation
8/30 9:45 ET Chicago PMI

Key Economic Events Week of 8/19

8/21 10:00 ET Existing home sales
8/21 2:00 ET July FOMC minutes
8/22 9:45 ET Markit Manu and Svc PMIs
8/22 Jackson Holedown begins
8/23 10:00 ET Chief Goon Powell speaks

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