From Turdville With Love; An open letter to the good people of Switzerland

201
Mon, May 12, 2014 - 9:51pm

I hate to be the bearer of bad news, Switzerland, but what you suspected all along is actually true. Your gold is gone. All of it. Leased and sold away by your central bankers and politicians.

As recently as 1996, the Swiss Franc was considered "good as gold". Why was this the case? Since the early 20th century, the Swiss Franc had offered a reserve backing of gold. This uniquely sound currency had given the country of Switzerland considerable financial power and independence, yet, at the urging of their politicians and central bankers, the Swiss willingly forfeited this enviable position.

The demise of the Franc and Swiss sovereignty began in 1992 when the Swiss made the fateful decision to join the International Monetary Fund (IMF). The IMF's Articles of Agreement (Article IV, Sec 2b) clearly state that no member country can have a currency linked to gold and, as such, Switzerland immediately set out on a course to de-link the Franc from gold. Just four short years later, the Swiss National Bank (SNB) and the Swiss government had formed a plan to eliminate the Franc's gold backing and, in March of 1997, a revision of the Nationalbank Act was passed and all links of gold to the Franc were removed. Further, since the Swiss constitution mandated sound money, it had to be amended, too. Thus, in a hastily organized vote, a new Swiss constitution was approved in May of 2000. (https://www.efd.admin.ch/dokumentation/medieninformationen/archiv/00382/...) This served to finally and permanently sever the Franc's gold backing and initiated the Swiss into the world of global fiat currency.

The SNB has spent the 14 years since leasing and re-leasing the country's gold reserves. In 1999, the SNB reported gold reserves of 2,590 metric tonnes. The most current "audit" of SNB reserves showed just 1,040 metric tonnes of gold remaining on the balance sheet and I believe that none of this is actual, physical gold. Instead, what the SNB holds are paper claims and promissory notes. The remaining 1,040 tonnes has been sold and re-sold into the marketplace by greedy bullion banks, intent upon suppressing price through the leverage of paper metal futures contracts and rehypothecation. In other words, the "gold" that the SNB claims to hold/own on behalf of the Swiss people is gone. This makes the Swiss people just another bagholder, certain to be left in line wanting with all of the other holders of unallocated accounts when the fractional reserve bullion banking system inevitably collapses.

Furthermore, I've come to the conclusion that it was this last bit of Swiss gold that was utilized to suppress and manipulate price away from the alltime highs of September 2011. What makes me think this? Let's start with a history lesson...

Again, the Swiss officially forfeited their birthright of national independence and sovereignty when they joined the IMF in 1992. Then, by formally de-linking the Franc from gold in 2000, they accepted full membership into the clique of fiat currencies. Regardless, and perhaps just by tradition, the Swiss Franc was still considered a "safe haven" currency as late as 2011. But that's when things got out of hand.

You recall 2011, don't you? Under the weight of $600B worth of QE2, the U.S. Dollar Index was collapsing. From a high near 90 in mid-2010, it had fallen to near 73 by the spring of 2011. Shortly thereafter, the U.S. fiscal situation began to wobble as "Debt Ceiling" negotiations took place in Washington and the U.S. credit rating was downgraded by Standard & Poor's. The ensuing political rancor drove gold from $1500 to $1900 in eight weeks. Also catching a bid in this "safe haven" trade was the Swiss Franc and, in the summer of 2011, it also rallied over 20%.

"We can't have this!", screamed the Swiss Keynesians. "Something must be done or our export-driven economy will suffer", they warned. So what happened next? The SNB went ALL IN.

In the wee hours of Tuesday, September 6, 2011, the SNB announced a permanent and horrific change to the Swiss currency. Henceforth, the Franc would be linked/pegged to the Euro. No more safe haven bid. No more national sovereignty. Going forward, the Swiss were all in. Their fortunes had been officially tied to the fortunes of the European Union, for better or for worse. At this point, there was no further reason to hold any gold in reserve. Why would the Swiss need it? Their currency was now officially fiat and it's value was permanently pegged to another fiat, the Euro. What purpose would gold serve going forward? As the Keynesians say, it had become "a barbarous relic".

Left as the sole remaining "safe haven", one would have expected a huge rally in gold on 9/6/11, likely moving price up and through $2000/ounce from the weekend close near $1920. Instead, with the same counter-intuitive move to which we've all grown accustomed in the time since, gold was raided and price was smashed. Here are some flashback c&ps for you. First two charts from 9/6/11 and 9/7/11 showing the unusual price action:

And, as you might imagine, I was actively chronicling these events on this site. Here's a sample from Wednesday, Sept 7:

"I think it's quite clear now why gold responded yesterday in the opposite direction from what you would have expected. With central banks actively managing a debasement of their currencies, we are now seeing them also attempt to actively manage a debasement of gold, too. Be careful. Be very careful.

We all wondered yesterday why gold would plunge on the SNB news. Now we know. In an attempt to mitigate the "negative" effect on francs priced in gold, the SNB sold a massive amount of gold futures at the same time. How do we know this, because it appears that the same thing earlier today.

Yes, that's 7,000 contracts (700,000 ounces) (nearly 22 metric tons!) dumped on the Globex while London and NY are closed! This should also raise your deja vu spidey senses regarding silver in May. The $ drop in silver was greater because the silver market is considerably smaller. However, it's the same strategy. Maximize the downward impact and collateral damage by executing the attack at a time of minimal liquidity. This all wreaks of malicious manipulation. If you are trading, be prepared for anything."

And there you have it. Speculated upon at the time and again here in this post: The SNB is the culprit. It was the remaining SNB gold that was leased and dumped onto the market in late 2011, shoving price back from the record highs and smashing gold for nearly 0 in a little over three weeks. What was left of the Swiss gold was then leased to bullion banks throughout 2012 and the first half of 2013. Physical demand only increased, however, and that remaining Swiss gold has now been delivered to China and points East. Yes, the SNB still shows this leased gold on their balances sheet as an asset. Most every other western Central Bank utilizes the same accounting gimmick. Instead, it should be listed as a liability as the actual, physical underlying is no longer there. It is...gone for good.

Sensing this, a movement has begun in Switzerland to reclaim their sovereignty and birthright. The Swiss People's Party (SVP), which was the only major party voting against the new Constitution back in 2000, began an initiative last year to re-enforce a gold backing to the Franc. After collecting more than the requisite 100,000 signatures, a national referendum on the issue is planned. First, however, a vote was held last week in Swiss parliament. This procedural vote is basically a "recommendation" from Parliament, designed to impact the eventual, national vote. Here's how Bloomberg described it in an article dated May 5:

SWITZERLAND (BLOOMBERG) - >

Swiss parliamentarians urged rejection of a popular initiative that would curtail the Swiss National Bank’s independence by requiring it to hold a fixed portion of its assets in gold.

Members of the Swiss parliament’s lower house voted 129 to 20 with 25 abstentions today against the plan, which demands that at least 20 percent of the central bank’s assets be in gold. It would also disallow the sale of any such holdings and require all SNB gold be held in Switzerland.

No date for a national vote has yet been set. The government in November also recommended the initiative be opposed, saying it would impinge upon the SNB’s ability to conduct monetary policy. Parliament and the multi-party government issue recommendations on all national referendums as a matter of procedure.

Of course! How could anyone, in their right mind, be in favor of this:

  1. Demanding that at least 20% of your central bank assets be in gold
  2. Disallowing any sale of said gold
  3. Require repatriation of all foreign-held gold

Don't you silly peasants know what's good for you? By making these demands, you "impinge on your central bank's ability to conduct monetary policy" and "curtail the SNB's independence"!

Then, check this out, also from the same Bloomberg story. Last year, even Thomas Jordan, the head of the SNB, got in on the act:

"SNB President Thomas Jordan took the extraordinary step of commenting on politics last year when he urged rejection of the initiative, saying it would crimp the Zurich-based institution’s independence and force it into “large-scale” purchases to meet the required 20 percent threshold."

Hmmm. "Large-scale purchases", just to get back to the 20% threshold? Well, that's interesting, now isn't it? And what about this repatriation requirement? Why should that be a big deal? The SNB currently provides this list of its gold storage:

  • 70% (728 mts) of the gold is already held in Switzerland
  • 20% (208 mts) is held at The Bank of England
  • and 10% (104 mts) is held at The Bank of Canada

I can't speak for the 104 metric tonnes held in Canada but the Swiss people should be very nervous about the gold the SNB allegedly stores in London (https://www.tfmetalsreport.com/podcast/5678/empty-vaults-london). Also, the SNB has been reticent to discuss where in Switzerland their gold is stored. Could this be because the "gold" is stored with the Bank of International Settlements for easy distribution and leasing? And where is the BIS? It's in Basel, of course. And where is Basel? It's in Switzerland!! How about that??

Look, I'll cut the chase here to save some time. Here's the "open letter":

To the good people of Switzerland:

You have been scammed and sold down the river. Your politicians and bankers, in a pathetic attempt to consolidate power and curry favor with the EU, have given away your independence and your historic sovereignty. You should be angry.

The initiative you have taken and the referendum you have planned are all well and good. I applaud you for taking these steps within the context of Swiss law and tradition. However, you must understand what is truly at stake and if you don't take more powerful and forceful acts soon, the likelihood of you ever regaining your birthright as an independent, sovereign nation is slim.

The next steps you undertake must include these:

  • Demand an immediate and full, independent audit of the SNB gold reserves. This is your gold, not the SNB's, and you should be allowed a full accounting.
  • All Swiss gold that is held domestically must be held in Swiss-owned bank vaults, not at the BIS.
  • Demand an immediate repatriation of all foreign-held gold. Do not accept excuses regarding "logistics". Give the BoE and the BoC no more than 90 days to return your gold.
  • Immediately de-peg the Franc from the Euro and divest yourself of all accumulated Euro holdings. Ignore the Keynesian shills who would have you believe that a strong currency is bad for economic growth.
  • Use the process of divesting yourself of the Euro to accumulate and rebuild your gold reserves. Then, use these reserves to once again partially back your currency.

The world is rapidly changing and tomorrow will not be like yesterday. The current global financial system, based upon promises, debt and unlimited fiat currency will one day soon by replaced by a system that returns the world to a sound money platform. The monetary powers of the 21st Century will come to the forefront by virtue of their accumulated reserves of sound money, not by their addiction to easy money.

You, Switzerland, still have time to act and prepare but you must move quickly. The possibility exists for you to reverse course and demand change but time is short. The end of the great Keynesian experiment is upon us. Reclaim your gold and your sovereignty now or be forever consigned to the trash heap of fiat currency history.

Faithfully submitted with all sincerity,

TF

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  201 Comments

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Unholy DallianceTF
May 17, 2014 - 3:48pm

Hi Turd! About the 'first' thing…

Here's a thought. Why not ask the arseholes (and yes, people, I chose that word deliberately!) who persist in this very silly game to refrain from doing it at all. It demeans you, Turd, and it demeans the serious work you do and it demeans the serious work of other contributors!

BagOfGold
May 15, 2014 - 12:10pm

The gold is gone...

& where did it all go?...The great lizard is looking into this!!!...

Bag Of Gold

Mark_BCstackaloha
May 15, 2014 - 11:57am

Stackahola, I pretty much

Stackahola, I pretty much totally agree with you. My criticism of Austrian Economics regarding economic growth is that they seem to be advocating a deflationary spiral to rid the system of all this bad debt, from which we can start regrowing again, but that won't happen. The consequences of a deflationary spiral would be so bad, they would be beyond what people could imagine, as over half the population becomes unemployed and starves. Gotta go, sorry can't keep typing, I'll try to revisit later tonight. You can click on my link for a much more indepth analysis of the kinds of "downer" things you touched on.

stackaloha
May 15, 2014 - 4:20am

Mark_BC

I'm not sure if I am being dense or maybe you mis-typed? It seems like you said that economic growth is the problem, but then you slam on Austrian Economists for not knowing how to deal with unemployment and shrinking middle class. Both employment and the middle class are products of economic growth so it seems like you are for economic growth although you said it was a bad thing?

I won't claim to be an Austrian Economist but I do like the idea of sound money. Not because I believe it can solve all the worlds problems, because that's an impossibility. I want sound money simply because it would be more honest. We wouldn't be doing business with a currency that was actively stealing from us at all times. I don't think a sound money system would be perfect but i don't think it's possible to have a sound money system as dishonest as the best fiat out there. Because as soon as it becomes that dishonest it wouldn't be "sound money" anymore.

What this Keynesian system of ours has done is stolen from us through inflation, also, more importantly imo, it has stolen the future. They have created a false reality now by stealing the future prosperity from the future generations. And for what? society seems to be constantly deteriorating with too many "consumers" running around trying to consume as much as they can borrow for. I'd definitely like to have a chance to live in a society where sound money was used.

As you mentioned, we are at/near peak oil. To me, the most important bubble going is the population bubble. This bubble is largely due to penicillin and oil I believe. in 1900, only 114 years ago, the total world population was roughly 1 billion, now 4-5 generations later we are at 7.2 billion. Whether by the rotten bastard bankers/politicians or by future energy shortages, I have to presume that the population bubble will find a needle at some point. Our "system" seems to be so FUBAR at this point that no change in economic policy would save us from ourselves.

Jeez, didn't plan on being a downer. sorry about that. Anyhow, i do think sound money would be better, if only because it would be more honest and limit the dirty tricks that bankers could play. Do you think "sound money" wouldn't be worth a try?

ivars
May 15, 2014 - 3:06am

Quote:The U.S. debt,

Quote:
The U.S. debt, including unfunded liabilities such as Medicare, Social Security, etc., is on the order of $100-200 trillion.

Unfunded liabilities will remain just that, unfunded. Defaulted upon. People dying sooner, Medicare reduced, etc.

Mark_BC
May 15, 2014 - 1:09am

This is a good piece with the

This is a good piece with the exception of the following statement:

"Ignore the Keynesian shills who would have you believe that a strong currency is bad for economic growth."

This is where Austrian Economics falls apart and reveals its gross oversimplifications in describing how the real world works. First of all, economic growth is the problem, not the solution or something to be striving for. Due to resource constraints (primarily oil), economic growth on a global scale is now finished and will soon begin reversing.

Secondly, this so-called "sound money" (whatever that means) will not promote economic growth. Economic growth comes from harvesting natural resources and what we do with them; not from any monetary or fiscal policy, or abstract economic school of thought.

The sad truth is that the Austrians don't have a clue how to deal with the problems the world faces -- primarily unemployment and shrinking purchasing power of the Middle Class. The Keynesians are totally out to lunch, but I'm afraid the Austrians aren't much better. They keep banging their drums about how this mystical free market will solve all problems but they don't have a clue what that actually entails.

Key Economic Events Week of 10/19

10/19 11:45 ET Goon Chlamydia
10/20 8:30 ET Housing Starts
10/20 1:00 pm ET Goon Evans
10/21 10:00 ET Goon Mester
10/21 2:00 pm ET Fed Beige Book
10/22 8:30 ET Initial Jobless Claims
10/23 9:45 ET Markit Oct flash PMIs

buzlightening
May 14, 2014 - 9:31pm

The criminal bankster are heading for cover.

Time to put on the kevlar long johns. What you see going down now is the initial TIMBERRRRRRrrrrr of the former debt based global financial system. All event driven from the 9/11/01 twin towers cover up of all things worthless as in bonzi's. Kill! Murder for gain as old as cain. redrum! redrum! redrum! Take out anyone who blows the whistle the system is corrupted to the blackest deep dark anal orifices satanic bankster cabal babel. Evil destroys itself so get out of the way as the western nations of the earth blowup on debt based nitro derivatives. This will be a summer of hell. You'd have to be living in a cave or running around blind with your head up your backside not to see how fast it's all moving now. Willie said Ukraine is where the dollar goes to die. Dollars been dead a long time, as well as the dead head fed fuds. Now you can hear the screaming of BRIC nations calling them out and to fall over. You darn well better be prepared for the economic life boats off the USSA Titanic are launching. You don't hear'em? Our ears so dull of hearing.

MagpieDagney Taggart
May 14, 2014 - 8:52pm

@Dagney...not cheap, just subsidized

https://qz.com/94817/the-real-reason-to-fight-nuclear-power-has-nothing-...

Missing from the entire debate about nuclear is the most important fact of all: Nuclear is dying due to poor economics, and the debate is already over as far as the market is concerned.

Fred Hayek
May 14, 2014 - 8:51pm

From Turdville with love? Why do I picture Turd fighting

Why do I picture Turd fighting young Robert Shaw in a train compartment and then, just when Shaw seems to have gotten the upper hand, he tries to put on Turd's hat but it was booby trapped by his Q (Pining) who precisely calibrated the composition of the foam so that if anyone whom the hat does not fit perfectly tries to wear it, it emits a knockout gas. Shaw goes down like a fiat currency.

infometron
May 14, 2014 - 8:23pm

@dagney

Thanks for sharing your rationale. Maybe I will have to reconsider. No apology required, as nothing you said was taken personally. I'm doing fine here on the West Coast (so far as I know). I agree that a broad brush implicating all involved in the uranium industry in threatening human health and well being is unfair.

I admit to being overly principled at times. Viability is the key word.

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Key Economic Events Week of 10/19

10/19 11:45 ET Goon Chlamydia
10/20 8:30 ET Housing Starts
10/20 1:00 pm ET Goon Evans
10/21 10:00 ET Goon Mester
10/21 2:00 pm ET Fed Beige Book
10/22 8:30 ET Initial Jobless Claims
10/23 9:45 ET Markit Oct flash PMIs

Key Economic Events Week of 10/12

10/13 8:30 ET CPI and Core CPI
10/14 8:30 ET PPI
10/14 9:00 ET Goon Chlamydia
10/15 8:30 ET Philly Fed
10/15 8:30 ET Empire State Idx
10/15 8:30 ET Import Price Idx
10/16 8:30 ET Retail Sales
10/16 9:15 ET Cap Ute & Ind Prod
10/16 10:00 ET Business Inv

Key Economic Events Week of 10/5

10/5 9:45 ET Markit Svc PMI
10/5 10:00 ET ISM Svc PMI
10/5 10:45 ET Goon Evans
10/6 8:30 ET Trade Deficit
10/6 10:00 ET JOLTS job openings
10/6 10:45 ET Chief Goon Powell
10/7 2:00 ET Sept FOMC minutes
10/7 3:00 ET Goon Williams
10/8 8:30 ET Initial jobless claims
10/9 10:00 ET Wholesale Inventories
10/9 12:10 ET Goon Rosengren

Key Economic Events Week of 9/28

9/29 8:30 ET Advance trade in goods
9/29 9:00 ET Case-Shiller home prices
9/29 10:00 ET Consumer Confidence
9/30 8:15 ET ADP employment report
9/30 9:45 ET Chicago PMI
10/1 8:30 ET Personal Income and Spending
10/1 8:30 ET Core Inflation
10/1 9:45 ET Markit Manu PMI
10/1 10:00 ET ISM Manu PMI
10/2 8:30 ET BLSBS
10/2 10:00 ET Factory Orders

Key Economic Events Week of 9/21

9/21 8:00 ET Goon Kaplan
9/21 10:00 ET Goon Evans
9/21 Noon ET Goon Brainard
9/21 6:00 pm ET Goon Williams & Goon Bostic
9/22 10:30 ET Chief Goon Powell on Capitol Hill
9/22 Noon ET Goon Barkin
9/22 3:00 pm ET Goon Bostic again
9/23 9:00 ET Goon Mester
9/23 9:45 ET Markit flash PMIs for September
9/23 10:00 ET Chief Goon Powell on Capitol Hill
9/23 11:00 ET Goon Evans again
9/23 Noon ET Goon Rosengren
9/24 1:00 pm ET Goon Bostic #3
9/24 2:00 pm ET Goon Quarles
9/24 10:00 ET Chief Goon Powell on Capitol Hill
9/24 Noon ET Goon Bullard
9/24 1:00 pm ET Goon Barkin again & Goon Evans #3
9/24 2:00 pm ET Goon Bostic #4
9/25 8:30 ET Durable Goods
9/25 11:00 ET Goon Evans #4
9/25 3:00 pm ET Goon Williams again

Key Economic Events Week of 9/14

9/15 8:30 ET Empire State and Import Price Idx
9/15 9:15 ET Cap Ute and Ind Prod
9/16 8:30 ET Retail Sales
9/16 10:00 ET Business Inventories
9/16 2:00 ET FOMC Fedlines
9/16 2:30 ET Powell Presser
9/17 8:30 ET Philly Fed
9/18 8:30 ET Current Acct Deficit

Key Economic Events Week of 9/7

9/9 10:00 ET JOLTS job openings
9/10 8:30 ET Initial jobless claims
9/10 8:30 ET PPI
9/10 10:00 ET Wholesale Inventories
9/11 8:30 ET CPI
9/11 9:45 ET Core CPI

Key Economic Events Week of 8/31

9/1 9:45 ET Markit Manu Index
9/1 10:00 ET ISM Manu Index
9/1 10:00 ET Construction Spending
9/2 8:15 ET ADP employment
9/2 10:00 ET Goon Williams
9/2 10:00 ET Factory Orders
9/3 8:30 ET Initial jobless claims
9/3 8:30 ET Trade Deficit
9/3 12:30 ET Goon Evans
9/4 8:30 ET BLSBS

Key Economic Events Week of 8/24

8/24 8:30 ET Chicago Fed Idx
8/25 10:00 ET Consumer Confidence
8/26 8:30 ET Durable Goods
8/27 8:30 ET Q2 GDP 2nd guess
8/27 9:10 ET Chief Goon Powell Jackson Hole
8/28 8:30 ET Pers Inc and Consumer Spend
8/28 8:30 ET Core Inflation
8/28 9:45 ET Chicago PMI

Key Economic Events Week of 8/17

8/17 8:30 ET Empire State Manu Idx
8/17 Noon ET Goon Bostic
8/18 8:30 ET Housing Starts
8/19 2:00 pm ET July FOMC minutes
8/20 8:30 ET Jobless claims
8/20 8:30 ET Philly Fed
8/20 10:00 ET LEIII
8/21 9:45 ET Markit flash PMIs July

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