Cynicism on Syria
I may have mentioned on a few occasions my now-ingrained, deep distrust of mainstream media outlets, even (ESPECIALLY) the more venerable, influential ones. Thus I am somewhat puzzled by the current sudden, all-encompassing push to build olive-branch stacks all OVER the place around Syria – after a grueling, 2+ year conflict. While I am very happy to welcome any REAL signs pointing to an end to the bloodshed, the perfect unison and timing with which all of these puzzle pieces are suddenly falling into place is truly astounding to me.
Syrian truce offer?
“The Syrian conflict has reached a stalemate and President Bashar al-Assad's government will call for a ceasefire at a long-delayed conference in Geneva on the state's future, the country's deputy prime minister has said in an interview with the Guardian. […]
If accepted by the armed opposition, a ceasefire would have to be kept "under international observation", which could be provided by monitors or UN peace-keepers – as long as they came from neutral or friendly countries, he said.” -- Guardian
Perhaps as a response to this:
“Iranian President Offers to Broker Talks Between Assad, Syrian Rebels” -- TIME
“A major Kurdish alliance has joined the opposition Syrian National Coalition after more than a year of fraught negotiations, in what may prove a significant breakthrough for the rebels. […] Kurds account for 10 per cent of Syria’s population – more than 2 million people - and both the opposition and President Bashar Al Assad have tried to win their support, each believing it could be crucial in tipping the balance of power on the ground in their favour.” – The National (UAE)
Overtures toward Iran from US and others?
“The White House hinted on Thursday about a possible meeting between President Barack Obama and the new Iranian President Hassan Rouhani when the two leaders are at the UN in New York next week. […] François Hollande, the French president, said on Thursday that he would meet Mr Rouhani on the sidelines of the UN General Assembly, which would be the first time the leaders of the two countries have met since 2005.” -- FT
Or merely MSM blitz to insinuate that this is the case?
Put another way:
"Iran’s leaders, seizing on perceived flexibility in a private letter from President Obama, have decided to gamble on forging a swift agreement over their nuclear program with the goal of ending crippling sanctions, a prominent adviser to the Iranian leadership said Thursday.
The adviser, who participated in top-level discussions of the country’s diplomatic strategy, said that Obama’s letter, delivered to Iran’s new president, Hasan Rouhani, about three weeks ago, promised relief from sanctions if Tehran demonstrated a willingness to “cooperate with the international community, keep your commitments, and remove ambiguities.” The text of the letter has not been made public, but the adviser described its contents in an interview.” – Boston Globe
Are we seeing the POTUS being ‘more flexible’?
Is this really a set of sober steps back from the brink of outright military conflict? Are we about to see the Laureate earn the metal?
Perhaps the Administration has decided that it needs to deal with one crisis at a time, and pushed Syria on the back burner to focus more attention on the upcoming budget/debt ‘talks’ on the domestic front.
Perhaps some other pending ‘October surprise’ will required full attention (both theirs and ours). Dramatic, soap-opera-like twist(s) from the MENA participants and/or paid agents in the theater, now that warm, fuzzy, good-will feelings have been built up?
Perhaps this is a well-considered move to lull opponents into complacency before a decisive offensive push.
Perhaps BOTH sides have finally seen the light, and realized that they can put aside past animosities and work together for mutual benefit.
Perhaps some pipeline deal compromise has been hammered out under wraps that is to Putin's approval.
Incidentally, what, if anything does this have to do with the no-taper announcement? 'The FedRes will continue to print and export inflation. We’d appreciate it if sharply rising oil prices did not further exacerbate the erosion of the purchasing power of the USD, so there are now a few dozen (hundred?) thousand MORE men and women riding in very efficient killing machinery now here next door to make sure everyone remembers what currency oil should be denominated in.'
Or the other way around -- some version of the 'we will dump treasuries en masse NOW if you don't back off from war, and agree to buy them back from us at least at the current pace or faster' cards were subtly lifted and shown to the US negotiating team.
Perhaps we are all being TOO cynical, and government’s long-awaited efforts to secure peace in the Middle East are finally bearing fruit, and we are about to see some major group hugs. The expertise, dedication, sincere good will to make the world a better place, and long-term foresight to make this happen has been there all along – it just needed the firm but precise-to-the-extreme ‘strong hand’ of the CIC to persuade the parties involved through show of force. Former Senator Kerry is a statesman and strategist of the utmost caliber, and will soon secure a disarmed Syria, to be followed shortly by a ne-nuclearizing Iran.
The next Peace Nobel could now be in the bag.
What do YOU think?