Pre Fedlines Open Thread

Only about 3.5 hours to go before all the fun starts. Here's a thread to get you ready.

Just two charts so that we're all on the same page. Again, once we broke down last week and then closed below $1320, it became clear that a minimum downside was somewhere near $1270. Might we see that later today? I hope not but it's certainly NOT out of the question.

The main item of interest, though, is the obvious attempt to hammer price last evening. When this type of move is employed by The Forces of Darkness ahead of the news event, it's almost always a fakeout. Why? Because the bullion banks, as agents of the central banks, likely already know the outcome. By crashing price, they are attempting to draw in as many fresh Spec shorts as possible, into which they cover and BUY. We saw this identical pattern back on 9/5, the day before the latest BLSBS release. We'll see how it turns out this time but, I must tell you, last night's action makes me quite optimistic about the ultimate outcome of today's craziness.

One more thing...For subscribers, this weeks Access2Access event has been scheduled. It will be a webinar with Andy Hoffman of Miles Franklin. Just like last week, participants will be able to submit the questions and Andy will answer them live during the presentation. If you want to be a part of it, you can register by clicking here: https://attendee.gotowebinar.com/register/6634276493783303426

Have a fun day!

TF

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Key Economic Events Week of 4/15

4/15 8:30 ET Empire Fed
4/15 8:30 ET Retail Sales
4/15 8:30 ET Goon Williams
4/15 10:00 ET Business Inventories
4/16 8:30 ET Housing starts
4/16 9:00 ET Goon Jefferson
4/16 9:15 ET Cap Ute & Ind Prod
4/16 10:00 ET Goon Daly
4/16 1:15 ET Chief Goon Powell
4/17 3:00 ET Goon Barkin
4/18 7:30 ET Goon Mester
4/18 8:30 ET Philly Fed
4/18 9:00 ET Goon Bowman
4/18 9:15 ET Goon Williams again
4/18 10:00 ET Home sales
4/18 10:00 ET LEIII
4/18 11:00 ET Goon Bostic
4/19 10:30 ET Goon Ghoulsbee

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