An Amazing CoT and BPR for Gold

141
Mon, Jul 8, 2013 - 4:57pm

Released just this afternoon, the July Bank Participation Report and the latest Commitment of Traders Report are so interesting that I felt they justified this new post.

So, let's dive right in. I'm not going to spend much time talking about silver because the data is somewhat skewed this week by the expiration of the July13 contract. The Large Specs added 3800 net long and the Commercials added 3700 net short, all due to expiration and rollovers and now we see why silver outperformed gold by such a wide margin last week.

The reports for gold, on the other hand, are astonishing. Let's start with the CoT. For the reporting week, price fell by $32 while total OI rose by 19,752 contracts. Check out these internals:

Large Specs dumped another 6,200 longs and added 7,200 additional shorts. This brings their net position down to just 20,700 contracts and drops their total net long ratio down to a preposterously low 1.15:1. Again, for perspective, shortly after QE∞ was announced last fall, the gold Large Specs were net long over 210,000 contracts. This means that, in the time since, they've been coerced into dropping their long exposure by over 90%.

On the all-important flip side, The Gold Cartel added another 21,427 new longs last week through the Tuesday cutoff. Because they also added 8,995 new shorts, their net short position only declined by over 12,000 contracts. However...and here comes the amazing part...their new net short position is just 22,776 contracts, roughly 70 metric tonnes of paper gold, and their updated net short ratio is also preposterously low at 1.12:1.

Remember, this entire "event" from the announcement of QE∞ last fall to today, has been staged in order to give The Bullion Banks the time and the ability to cover their massive paper short position. When QE∞ was announced in September of last year, the total Cartel net short position was 737 metric tonnes of paper gold. As of last Tuesday, they are now net short just 70 metric tonnes. That's an incredible and amazing drop of over 90%.

Now get this, the CoT survey was taken last Tuesday. On Wednesday and Friday of last week, the total dollar move in gold was down another $32. Over those two days, the total open interest n gold rose by 18,561 contracts. It recent form follows, then it is safe to conclude that the vast majority of this new OI was contract initiation on the short side by the Large Specs. If that's the case, then we headed into last weekend with a total Gold Cartel net short position as low as 5,000 contracts. TOTAL!! And now you see why I find this so incredible and amazing.

Next let's consider this month's Bank Participation Report. This aggregated report gives us a once-a-month look at the gross positions of those traders classified as banks, both U.S. and non-U.S. Now check this out...let's start with the report from last October so that you can see from another perspective just how steep the changes have been in the nine months since.

GROSS LONG GROSS SHORT

U.S. Banks 40,625 146,809

Non U.S. Banks 34,881 113,445

TOTAL 75,506 248,254

And now here are the numbers from last month (June). Note that the banks had moved from net short position of 172,748 to a small net long position of 4,582. This got everyone's attention and was well summarized here: https://jessescrossroadscafe.blogspot.com/2013/06/cftc-gold-and-silver-bank-participation.html

GROSS LONG GROSS SHORT

U.S. Banks 56,751 27,129

Non U.S. Banks 24,035 49,075

TOTAL 80,786 76,204

Well, we've all been waiting with baited breath for the July report and it just came in a few minutes ago. Would the banks continue to cover on these falling prices or were they adding to the downside momentum? We got our answer:

GROSS LONG GROSS SHORT

U.S. Banks 69,565 24,939

Non U.S. Banks 34,904 58,565

TOTAL 104,560 83,859

The total net long position grew by over 16,000 contracts to an astounding 20,701. But drill a little deeper...The U.S. banks actually added net longs of 15,000! The only thing holding the overall net position in check was the 9,500 new shorts put on by non U.S. banks (HSBC? Scotia? Barclays? UBS?) Do you think that The Fed warns, plans and advises the non-U.S. banks as clearly and succinctly as they do the U.S. banks?? The Fed IS the U.S. Banks. If Barclays or UBS is too stupid to see what's going on and they are actually adding shorts at these prices, well Hells Bells, go right ahead! Their selling simply allows the U.S. Banks to cover even more!

Look, I know these past nine months have been brutal and we've all suffered through the almost-daily pain of continued losses. But this is almost over! Yes, prices may continue lower, stopping and turning who knows where. However, I am 100% confident in my analysis of The Big Picture here. The major, too-big-to-fail, Fed-Primary-Dealer and Bullion Banks have now fully gotten themselves out from under what had been an extraordinarily wrong-footed net short position of over 146,000 contracts last autumn. They are now net long nearly 45,000 contracts! (And certainly more than that after last Wednesday and Friday.) That flip of 191,000 contracts took place while price declined by 30% from $1800 to $1250 and represents a change of position equaling over 595 metric tonnes.

Please, I beg you, remain patient and continue to stack physical metal. You will soon be rewarded with a rally that will surprise even the most ardent of bulls.

TF

https://news.goldseek.com/COT/1373312054.php

https://www.cftc.gov/dea/bank/DeaJuly13f.htm

About the Author

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turd [at] tfmetalsreport [dot] com ()

  141 Comments

thatguy007
Jul 8, 2013 - 9:59pm

Impossible to say

But for me it's an indicator of significant stress and distrust within the financial system. Perhaps foretelling that something wicked this way comes.

donnojackshit russwinter
Jul 8, 2013 - 10:00pm

@Russwinter

"I suspect there is a Long Term Management like rogue whale in that speculator short seller complex. "

Yep, owned by JPMorgue and operated out of the Caymans or the like......!


Jul 8, 2013 - 10:01pm

Lost in all the hubbub tonight...

...is the rather sweet little spike in gold...currently UP $11.

foggyroad
Jul 8, 2013 - 10:05pm

Great post

Great post, TF.

Really good.

I would h/t it twice if I could.

TF
Jul 8, 2013 - 10:15pm

Now up $15

Clearly, my bullish report has spooked the shorts!

punchbowl
Jul 8, 2013 - 10:22pm

BOP and Willie

The funny part is that BOP is a huge fan of Willie. He is a subscriber to the Hat Trick newsletter.

Strongsidejedi TF
Jul 8, 2013 - 10:28pm

The yellow hatted one is back in town!

I believe we used to call that a FUBM.

Now, it's not so much FUBM as it is just F'n UP!

Silver up $0.25

Does that CNBC talking head want to come back and tell me about how Goldman is telling their clients to sell on Ag and Au?

What a bunch of crooked guys... they're fricking going long as they tell the big clients to sell.

:)

¤
Jul 8, 2013 - 10:32pm

Chinese inflation data...

...just released. Gold reacts in knee-jerk fashion.

Wake me back up at $1800 & $40

Rip Van Winkle mode...on.

https://www.marketwatch.com/story/china-consumer-prices-rise-faster-than...

Willy
Jul 8, 2013 - 10:37pm

COT/Miners

Great post Turd!! For real. Puts it all into perspective. On another note the miners were crapola today. When will they lead??? Also bologna polny aka bo polny said the bottom for gold will be this Wednesday. Hopefully he is a few days late/off.

Yes I did notice the pop in gold............sweetness!

Dyna mo hum
Jul 8, 2013 - 10:42pm

Snowden interview part 2 just released

The Guardian - Interview with Edward Snowden in Hong Kong Part 2
Missiondweller donnojackshit
Jul 8, 2013 - 10:50pm

@donnojackshit

"I am pessimistic that you will overcome the criminal banks and their collusive Governments to operate outside their system of currency "

Believe me I've thought about that a lot!!

In this payment system, the idea is to us the existing banking system for transactions on the consumer/merchant side, but its linked to a payment/ accounting system that converts the gold to the currency for "just in time delivery" of the currency. This satisfies banks, their regulators and helps to stay compliant with the USA Patriot Act. Key point though: the physical gold is held OUTSIDE THE BANKING SYSTEM and never hypothecated until spent in a transaction.

LondonGoldBuyer Silver_investor
Jul 8, 2013 - 10:55pm

Selling

The reason for buying gold and silver is for wealth preservation and savings. Cashing in your savings for needed or better uses is the entire point.

If you have an immediate need. use it for what it is for.

the_circle
Jul 8, 2013 - 11:04pm

FOFOA on GOFO rate

This from FOFOA may help anyone understand the GOFO rate, and the difference between gold leases and gold swaps;

"The GOFO rate is basically a measure of unencumbered physical gold's desire to bid for dollars. And the lease rate is the banks' bid to borrow your gold so they can sell it and then do whatever it is that banks do with your money.

So the message of a high lease rate is "lease us your gold, PLEASE, and we'll pay you handsomely for it." Remember, a lease is where you "rent out" an asset to derive an income stream. And a swap (like GOFO) is where you need a loan, so you offer an asset as collateral and then YOU pay the income stream to someone else. Only with a negative GOFO rate, you retain control of the gold PLUS you receive the income stream coming in, so why would anyone LEASE their gold in this backwardation scenario?"

and, backwardation poetically described;

"...But in a strange way backwardation is kind of like AIDS to the fiat money system. Once it's in there, you can't get it out. And you can't actually see the HIV virus. All you can see are the antibodies that attack it. That's how you know it's in there, eating away at the system."

https://fofoa.blogspot.co.uk/2010/07/red-alert-gold-backwardation.html

---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Would I be right in suggesting that a negative GOFO means that by agreeing to loan your gold to someone else, you keep it and they pay you interest for borrowing it from you (ie. you keeping it)?

S Roche
Jul 8, 2013 - 11:09pm

Hey Mud-Butt! re GOFO & Tyler Durden

I hope you don't mind but I love that name....or is it a condition?

I didn't write that post, the Tylers did, but they gave me a h/t for alerting them to the LBMA GOFO report:

https://www.lbma.org.uk/pages/index.cfm?page_id=55&title=gold_forwards&show=2013

when their BBerg terminal was not updating GDLRG1M (GOFO) all day.

To those that are asking what it may mean*, is that the bottom is in for gold and about to run hard higher. This signal was last seen in November 2008 just after the lows and before that in March 2001 at the beginning of the bull market. From looking at the trading around those dates it is very volatile so be careful chasing the price in the first week, there is usually a big retracement before the uptrend is confirmed....maybe the bears will attack Wednesday to celebrate the FOMC minutes.

*the only dissenting opinion that I've read is that with interest rates so low the negative GOFO signal may not mean as much this time as it did previously, but fwiw I am backing up the trading truck over the next week or so. (And I bought more phys Friday). GLTA

philipat
Jul 8, 2013 - 11:19pm

GOFO

I also noticed the "S. Roche" at the foot of the ZH Article and also wondered if it was written by our very own behated Swiss Drug Guy.

ZH Articles normally attribute authorship at the top of an Article not the bottom, which raised some doubts as to the above.

tmosley
Jul 8, 2013 - 11:20pm

S Roche: It also went

S Roche:

It also went negative in 1999, and not much happened as I recall, though that is probably because of the desperate action of central bankers, actions that they likely can't or are not willing to repeat (ie dumping gold).

Do you have any data stretching further back? Say to 1968?

Spicoli
Jul 8, 2013 - 11:22pm

I may be jumping the gun on this but what the heck...

It is pretty nice to see some positive action. ;-)

Video unavailable
kryton619 TF
Jul 8, 2013 - 11:30pm

Mud butt

"Mud butt" = muck ass

tyberious
Jul 8, 2013 - 11:33pm

Ok whatever

How to Retire with Over $4.3 Million on Only $197 Dollars per Paycheck

Quick Tip for College Grads

magine you make $40,000 annually working for a corporation that offered dollar-for-dollar matching on contributions up to the first 4.5% of salary. You are in the 28% tax bracket. To save $10,000 is going to be far easier than you think because you are dealing with a number of variables that are often not obvious. Let me illustrate.

Say you saved 20% of your income and had it put into your 401k, amounting to $8,000 each year. This one move will result in a savings of $2,240 on your tax bill, plus $1,800 in company matching will be deposited into your account ($40,000 x 4.5% = $1,800.) By investing the $8,000, you’re already $4,040 wealthier; that’s a 50%+ return on your money without taking any risk simply because you were empowered by having knowledge of the tax laws! At the end of the year, your 401k would have $9,800 added to it. If, instead, you chose not to invest in your 401k, you would take home an extra $5,120 in your paycheck after income taxes, payroll taxes, etc. But ask yourself which you would rather have: An extra $5,120 in your paycheck each year - $197 per bi-weekly paycheck - or $9,800 deposited into an account that can grow tax-deferred for decades?

The answer isn’t difficult. Were you to start this course of action at 25 years old and maintain it until you were 65, at a 10% compound annual rate of return, you would retire with over $4,337,000 in your 401k. That’s not a joke, nor is it a typo.

https://beginnersinvest.about.com/od/college1/qt/collegegrad.htm

DayStar
Jul 8, 2013 - 11:41pm

Harvey's Up!

DS: If TF is right and a gold rally of epic proportions is upon us, then we should also see a dollar crash of epic proportions and the collapse of the Western economies. • Bloomberg: Gold demand internationally remains robust - especially in Asia. China’s gold imports from Hong Kong for May jumped over one third from April, confirming again that Asian buyers shrewdly buy on dips in price. In Japan, gold bullion demand in 2013 is twice the levels seen in 2012. ​• DeviantInvestor: The stage is set for a JPM managed rally to take advantage of their net long position, having dumped their shorts in the last two engineered declines in gold and silver. However, it is possible that their agenda is to generate further support for the dollar and additional declines in gold and silver. With essentially unlimited financial backing, their ability to create and sell huge quantities of PAPER silver and gold and a "free pass" from the regulators, they can overwhelm technical indicators, oversold conditions, and sentiment if they so choose. • Bloomberg: Imports into Turkey, the fourth-biggest consumer, more than doubled to a 4 1/2-year high of 45.5 tons in April. They held above 43 tons in May and June, the longest run in data on the Istanbul Gold Exchange’s website going back to 1995. • Ted Butler: There is undeniable proof that the recent price action on the COMEX in gold and silver is the new and manipulative version of the law and supply and demand. Adam Hamilton (Zeal Intelligence): Investors simply want to buy things that go up. That is why gold has thrived many times in rising-yield environments. ​• Bundesbank Warns China's Currency "On Its Way To Becoming Global Reserve Currency". • Zero Hedge: On Friday, Brinks saw 24% of its entire registered gold holdings, or 133k ounces, quietly get withdrawn. This, together with the moves in JPM and HSBC inventory, meant that total COMEX gold holdings dropped by 116K ounces to a new low not seen for the first time since 2006. • Chris Powell: Reuters reports today that 60 percent of the gold mining industry in South Africa is now estimated to be unprofitable, but there is not a peep from that industry. All this and more in...

The Harvey Report!

https://www.tfmetalsreport.com/comment/edit/329810

DayStar

the_circle
Jul 8, 2013 - 11:41pm

More negative than 2001 & 2008

In 2001 the 1 month GOFO rate turned negative, in 2008 the 1 & 2 month GOFO turned negative. TODAY (08 Jul 2013) it is the 1,2 & 3 month rates that are negative! What about tomorrow?!

They're gonna wanna keep this quiet.

Libero
Jul 8, 2013 - 11:46pm

Tyberious retirement follies

What you say is very nice but what really sucks is to have a sheltered retirement nest egg be a loss and then when you have to use the funds from it you have to pay 25-28% tax, that really hurts -a loss upon a loss.

I would strongly recommend to any new investor to invest in a Roth IRA as young as possible, forget about the tax deductions in a 401K or IRA. I was putting money into an IRA when I was in a low 18% bracket, what an idiot. Now what I take out is taxed at a higher rate. Do the Roth Do it Do it.

Nice to see metals move up at this time of night (EST). Enjoy....

S Roche
Jul 8, 2013 - 11:46pm

@ T Mos

In 1999 after the Washington Agreement on Gold in September GOFO went negative -4%, a record, as the gold carry trade of the 90s unwound and gold shot up from $254 to $319, 25% in three weeks so I think plenty happened, but as you may have read Eddie George had a view on this and there was Central Bank intervention to save bullion banks who were caught short. They got gold back to $250ish, with Gordon Brown selling part of UK gold reserves creating the low, then GOFO went negative again in March 2001 and gold went from $250 to $300 pretty rapidly and here we are today.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Washington_Agreement_on_Gold

https://www.netdania.com/Products/live-realtime-streaming-currency-exchange-rates-charts/chart-forex-charts/ChartStation.aspx if you go to weekly you can see 1999 clearly, plenty of volatility.

1968 was the London Gold Pool when London closed for two weeks when their attempt to control money failed:

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/London_Gold_Pool

@philphat surely some mistake, ed.

tyberious
Jul 8, 2013 - 11:49pm

$10,000 Gold

$10,000 Gold

Posted: 08 Jul 2013 04:08 AM PDT

I interviewed Nick Barisheff, who is calling for $10,000 gold. Normally, I shy away from these “sky-high” predictions but after seeing him interviewed more than once, I felt he presented a realistic and legitimate case.

Nick Barisheff is President and CEO of Bullion Management Group Inc., a bullion investment company that provides investors with a secure, cost-effective and transparent way to purchase and store individual Good Delivery gold, silver and platinum bullion bars. Recognized worldwide as a bullion expert, Barisheff is the author of $10,000 Gold: Why Gold’s Inevitable Rise is the Investor’s Safe Haven. He is a speaker and financial commentator on bullion and current market trends.

https://www.amazon.com/10-000-Gold-Inevitable-Investors/dp/1118443500/ref=sr_1_1?ie=UTF8&qid=1372352785&sr=8-1&keywords=10000+gold

For further information on the book, please visit: www.10000goldthebook.com

Here’s the interview:

Is the gold bull over or, as you contend in your new book, is it headed to $10,000 an ounce?

The first thing people have to realize is that no fiat currency, ever, has resulted in anything except decline followed by default, while gold has always maintained its value in mankind’s history of money exchange. Today we have a coordinated, and in terms of fiat currency creation epic, decline orchestrated by the world’s largest central banks. Debt-fueled fiat currency creation is among several long-term irreversible trends I spell out in $10,000 Gold. All of these trends have been in place since the late 1990s, when gold was trading below $300 an ounce.

2. What evidence can you put forward to support the case for gold in light of recent events?

There is no question gold is going to resume its bull market trend after blatant market interference in April and Fed jawboning in June about tapering bond purchases.

If you examine the April gold price decline, sales estimates for the COMEX on Friday April 12 and Monday April 15 were between 125 and 400 tonnes. It was, purely and simply, a deliberate paper gold attack as indicated by the size and speed of the sales that then triggered sell stops and margin calls. There are only a few large global institutions that could have flooded the market in that manner.

In June, this price raid on gold was reinforced by the idea that the U.S. Fed Chairman, Ben Bernanke, is somehow going to end his crescendo of computer-generated currency creation based on a mending economy. From German car sales being at a 20-year low to the slowdown in China’s GDP growth to Japan’s failing stock market to the U.S. record in food stamp usage, there is dominant evidence that the global economy is coming undone.

What people seem to have overlooked is the Fed Chairman’s admission that, should the economy worsen, he will expand, not taper or discontinue, quantitative easing. Observers such as John Williams at ShadowStats point to U.S. household income that’s flatlined since 2009. Williams has also stated that any talk of tapering is pure propaganda to placate global markets on the U.S. dollar while trying to suppress gold. [1]

3. If one supports the fact that the paper market has been manipulated and/or jawboned into temporary submission, what is the physical market signaling?

In India, one of the world’s most robust markets for physical gold, the government has tried to curb gold imports through a series of warnings, and now actual restrictions. Yet India’s national body of jewellers, the All India Gems & Jewellery Trade Federation, says reports of gold smuggling at different airports in India rose by 2,200 percent last year. The GJF also stated that despite an increase in the import duty from 1 percent to 8 percent in January last year, gold consumption has gone up, not down. [2]

In the United States, even after the April gold price shock, the following month we noted that the 40 percent premium U.S. consumers were willing to pay for one-tenth ounce coins from the U.S. Mint priced gold at $1,932 an ounce, a physical price that is higher than the $1,900 an ounce record for paper gold set in 2011.

In China, the premium that gold buyers paid to take immediate delivery of bullion jumped four-fold in the six weeks following the gold price “crash.”[3]

If this were truly a natural correction or actual bear market, then physical gold market participants would be panic selling, not panic buying. Over the long term, these artificial declines in the price of paper gold are good for gold, because they allow a lot of big, smart, long-term investors to enter the markets. Allowing for what often is a slow summer season, I would not be surprised to see gold hit new highs before year end. 4. Let’s talk about more of the long-term irreversible trends in $10,000 Gold. What is the link that oil, population growth and the aging population have with the price of gold?

As I state in my book, the world’s rising population, aging population and outsourcing all create the need for more government debt to compensate for slowing growth, and increased government debt equals more currency, lower purchasing power and a higher gold price.

When natural economic growth does not come through productivity, or the manufacturing and production of natural resources, then the government must fuel growth through debt creation. In 2012, it cost the U.S. government $2.47 to grow its GDP by $1.00.

Despite the claims of energy independence because of shale oil in the United States, the world’s growth has been fueled by cheap land-based oil, located mainly in the Middle East. Oil sands and shale oil are extremely expensive to produce by comparison, and are therefore inflationary. Apart from currency printing creating inflation, the rising price of oil will also be inflationary because it is used for virtually everything.

These irreversible trends all impact growth negatively, reduce taxation revenues, cause inflation and require ever greater government expenditure, which lead to ever-increasing government debt. Therefore, the world’s citizens will suffer through increasing waves of currency debasement, which naturally causes the value of gold to appear stronger against currencies. 5. Is $10,000 gold a price limit in your mind?

We are in uncharted financial territory. If you look back over the history of fiat currencies it’s actually extraordinary. Several reputable analysts are calling for $10,000 gold, such as Société Générale’s Edward Alberts. Jim Sinclair, the man Barron’s labeled “Mr. Gold” because of his proven understanding of the gold market, has stated he expects gold to eventually trade at $50,000 an ounce.

Given systematic global currency debasement, people need to understand that it is not necessarily gold that will rise in value, but currencies that will lose value against gold. Yet due to the temporary manipulation of the paper gold price, I would suggest that those with foresight have a historic opportunity to acquire uncompromised physical gold.

Thank you Nick!

TomMack
Jul 9, 2013 - 12:03am

problem solved

now back to stacking and bottom picking

RightLeftWrong
Jul 9, 2013 - 12:09am

Sinclair - Chicago

Several hundred in attendance today. Jim received a standing O at the start. In addition to what was mentioned earlier in this thread regarding the meeting. A couple of additional pieces of info:

1. Gold trading bottom is in this week - he advises buying "good" gold shares this/next week - He says only about 30% of the companies are "good" and he says to contact him to learn more about which companies are the ones to own.

2. He said Barrick was for sale and that he had even been recently called to see if he wanted to buy it - he joked saying the "callers/sellers" were really slumming it by calling him.

3. He mentioned that Tanzanian Royalty expects 4/5 production deals in the next 18 months

4. Yra Harris was in the crowd - which I liked to see - showing some respect

5. Several of the questions were basic and really disappointing to hear asked.

For me - I got out of it what I was hoping for - I wanted to see what "WE" look like - who "WE" collectively are.

If I had to describe the crowd - it was predominantly male although there were plenty of teh fairer sex including one apparently very wealthy woman who asked whether she should store her LARGE hoard in 100 kilo bars or coins - Jim suggested bars. The crowd did have some ethnic diversity. I'd put the average age in the 50's - there were many people who appeared to be north of 60-65+

RLW

Spartacus Rex
Jul 9, 2013 - 12:57am

Telegraphing the Turnaround in Gold by Casey Research

As of last Friday, gold has now fallen as much 35.4% (based on London PM fix prices) over 96 weeks. But if you’re like us, you still recognize that the core reasons for investing in gold haven’t changed. People who sold their gold recently made a shortsighted decision. Before too long precious metals will rebound—and probably in a big way.

But when? Does history have any clues about how long we’ll have to wait for that rebound?

Perhaps the most constructive way to forecast a turnaround in gold is to look at how its price behaved in prior big corrections.

Here’s an updated view of gold’s three largest corrections since 2001, along with the time it took the price to return to the old high and stay above that level.

It has taken a significant amount time for gold to return to old highs after each big selloff this cycle. And the bigger the correction, the longer it has taken—with each correction lasting longer than the last.

However, I think our current correction more closely resembles what occurred in 1974-1976 than any of the dips so far this cycle. Here’s an updated overlay of the gold price then and now.

As you can see, during the big correction of the 1970s, gold declined 47% and took 187 weeks to recapture old highs. This fits in with the pattern discussed above: the bigger the correction, the lengthier the recovery. Another interesting pattern: the time to reach new highs always equals or exceeds the duration of the decline. Continue reading @ https://goldsilverworlds.com/price/telegraphing-the-turnaround-in-gold/

Spartacus Rex
Jul 9, 2013 - 1:01am

Hyperinflation Has Struck Already 56 Times – It Could Hit Again

Gold Silver Worlds | July 9, 2013 Nick Barisheff, CEO of Bullion Management Group Inc. and author of the book $10,000 Gold: Why Gold’s Inevitable Rise Is the Investor’s Safe Haven did an recent interview with Investor’s Digest of Canada. In it, he explained how an hyperinflationary period does not occur by accident. It is rather a process which comes at the end of five stages. The pattern is recurring. This article covers the process which leads to hyperinflation and the answer to the question why Wall Street inclines to discredit the yellow metal.

Five stages towards hyperinflation

A history of paper currencies or, perhaps better, a study of inflation, is essential if we wish to understand the role gold plays as money. Almost every irredeemable paper cycle goes through the same stages from birth to death. The cycle begins life with the promise of healing all the country’s economic woes, while promising prosperity for all. It also promises to do this with the least amount of pain and discipline, which is why this phase is so appealing and so seductive. Although the cycle can vary, it appears countries that break free of gold, choosing instead to introduce fiat currencies, go through the following stages. Read the rest about the Five stages @

https://goldsilverworlds.com/money-currency/hyperinflation-has-struck-already-56-times-it-could-hit-again/
philipat
Jul 9, 2013 - 1:17am

Does One Sense.....

....There is something BIG and very BAD brewing in the background and just about to break the surface? If so, we should know soon.

As I type this, AU is up almost $18 on GLOBEX? That just doesn't happen and is perhaps another indicator the the bottom is already in and the BB's are ready to shear the Hedgies?

S Roche
Jul 9, 2013 - 6:25am

GOFO

Negative 1M, 2M, 3M & 6M...gold yawns. So far no reaction, still early days.

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