A Broader Perspective

525
Tue, May 14, 2013 - 11:37am

Time is short but I do have something interesting for you to consider today.

Look, there's a lot going on that will make tomorrow's gold (and silver) "market" different from yesterday's. Regardless, I still believe it's useful to look at yesterday's market in order to forecast where we might be going based upon where we have been.

Today, we're going to look at the Continuous Commodity Index. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Continuous_Commodity_Index. Here's a little background info from the Wiki page:

"The 17 components of the CCI are continuously rebalanced to maintain the equal weight of 5.88%. Since CCI components are equally weighted, they therefore distribute evenly into the major sectors: Energy 17.65%, Metals 23.53%, Softs 29.41% and Agriculture 29.41%. While other commodity indices may overweight in certain sectors (e.g. Energy), the CCI provides exposure to all four commodity subgroups."

So, first, let's look at a 25-year chart. Some of you may not even have been alive at the start of this chart. Personally, I was just graduating from college and chasing my then-sweetheart to San Francisco. (That's an interesting story but we'll save it for another day.) The point is: This chart covers a lot of ground and time. Therefore, it is to be respected.

Notice that for the first half of the chart, the action is sideways. From 1988 to 2002, the index fluctuated in roughly a 50-point range. Though there was some action in individual commodities from time to time, overall the sector was a real yawner. The sideways action actually goes back even further, to the early 1980s, when interest rates were raised to choke the money supply and curb inflation. So, for roughly 20 years, commodities in general sucked.

Then what happened? The debt-induced easy growth of the 90's finally popped in 2001 and it has been off to the races for commodities ever since. Sure there have been pauses and corrections along the way but there also been periods of blowoff, parabolic rallies, too. In the end, though, the trend has remained. Here, see for yourself:

So now let's look a little closer. On the five-year, weekly chart below, you can see where we currently stand. Of course, I've tried to draw the trendline as accurately as possible but it's impossible to show exactly where it currently lays. Needless to say though, we're pretty much right on top of it. So there are three things to consider:

  1. First and foremost, is this 11 year bull market in commodities over? Did commodities go sideways for 20 years only to have a bull market end after just 10 years? Look at it another way...Have the fundamental conditions which prompted this bull market changed? Are the Fed and other central banks about to embark on a Volcker-esque tightening spree?
  2. Could commodities in general (and, by extension, gold and silver) bounce and rally right here and right now, just like they did the on the last two occasions they encountered the main trendline in late 2008 and mid 2012?
  3. Are commodities about to over-shoot again, similar to the circled area on the monthly chart above? If so, could a final drop toward 500 or even 475 be in the cards? IF that were to happen, what would be the short-term impact on the price of gold? Of silver? Would you finally capitulate/panic and sell or will you rely on your answers to the questions posed in point #1 above?

OK, gotta stop there but that should give you plenty to think about and discuss for a while. Have a great day and let's hope that CIGA BoPolny/BoPelini/BoDiddley/BoJackson is proven correct.

TF

About the Author

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turd [at] tfmetalsreport [dot] com ()

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SilverSurfers
May 29, 2013 - 4:54pm

HQ

systems for silly includes window OS 2000 profession based, will required two monitors, with cursor flying there between said monitors, one of which has standard system launch icons, the other of which being a secondary work space, so that cut and past, can fly there between with full screen visual, such as two ViewSonic monitors requiring a dual monitor drive board inbedded in the mother board with 2G ram, floopy, minimum 2G CPU, the C drive partitioned into C/D with say 50m in the C partition for OS installed with word 97 SR, though silly may have original disks somewhere unknown, with external very small size speakers for the 1960-90 youtube tunes, a must synthetic amphetamine, and minimum 750m in the D partition, with an extra mag drive E, say from tiger supplier or form fit and function, reliability being the key driver, for independent backup and ghosting, the monitor preferably being models 12132, so that existing sw tools can be used quickly will full on communications, and a second redundant like system as a backup, with AT layout keyboard and window track ball mice, thus have ready use and back up capability, as silly would communicate normal dot dot for macro install, wordstar emulation, in a system with an optical CD reader, but the two system magnetic space can be used as a back up without installing optical CD writers, all well within common technology expertise, it is also preferred that the system be compact and placed under the table to permit maximum desktop drawing pace for the creation of figures, and so, the desk(s) should be pretty good size for making drawings, as silly would bring drafting tools as desired, into HQ central, preferably closer to the tent than the airport, to visually communication perceptions to torpedoes, sharks, and circus master, with back up copying machines, offices and keyboard banger lobby positioned in close proximity, as mutual back up machines, with the lobby having a fax machine, as needed, but fax is not generally used, though a scanner taking small 8.5 x 11 or 8.5 x 17 such as a strobe pro can be integrated with two system, a very small size scanner for each, additionally, back up hardware of either system should be stored nearby, so that, if one system fails, the back up can be used, while the first system in repaired quickly without any down time whatsoever, using on site stored like hardware, whereas office, lobby and conference room can have standard modern systems available machines for the keyboard banger and visiting sharks and torpedoes, the system are to be installed, the software and hardware installed, in advance as soon as funding is secured, as a lead time item, and with a very quiet refrigerator placed in the lobby, quiet and packed with very simple foods, and hopefully a shower in the HQ for sillys use, as silly generally wont leave lock down, will stay at HQ, and gets locked into battle stations 24/7 with a next door or across the street grocery store. But renting of the HQ, between the airport and tent and installing said equipment and software is a first must, and getting a air mattress with bedding is a must, as there is zero time for relearning and shopping and silly wont do it anyway and needs to hit the floor running fast. As HQ is being put together, Head knocker get silly reinstated in California, so that lollipop can easily get silly admitted befor the tent as well as the sharks and head knocker, the HQ facility put together by a responsible technology hired ho who could also find the HA facilty for rent, as Silly is off to the windy city looking for the sharks, and then back to HQ then looking for lollipop, so that the HQ and magificient 7 are online and good to go, fast. So Get Ready Baby, and Look Out Baby, Cause Here I Come.

rare earth - get ready
SilverSurfers
May 29, 2013 - 11:34am

The

Secret World of Gold

Video unavailable
SilverSurfers
May 28, 2013 - 3:10pm

Permits

for flag waiving, yellar wearing, and score singing will be obtain through assigned werewolves, specifically, Lollipop will be assigned task to obtain demonstration permits in tent location, and hired guns will be assigned task to obtain demonstration permits about the hired guns location, for both event, the comic big bang and the 0k shoot out as part of preparations.

chic and slash : le freak

Recall about 1979, in a 21 18 club, in Fullerton CA, just freaking off big time, got to have the knees for it though, as your tail brush the floor, just going off.

SilverSurfers
May 28, 2013 - 12:40pm

Sneak

peek, for the breakfast mind screw. Yeah, its a difficult Read, all right, Totally.

Table of Aspects

Aspect 0.0 Prolog, Parties Weaknesses and Strengths
Aspect 0.1 REID is Expert in Five Fields
Aspect 0.2 REIDs Neural Net and Computing Power
Aspect 0.3 REID as Commanding General
Aspect 0.4 REID the Grandiose Alpha Werewolf
Aspect 0.5 REID is Ready for the Take Down.
Aspect 0.6 REIDs Resume
Aspect 0.7 REID is Ready for Case
Aspect 0.8 The Shark School Hired Guns
Aspect 0.9 REIDs Call to Arms
Aspect 0.10 FED US Target Criminal Conspiracy
Aspect 0.11 FED US Target Strategy
Aspect 1.0 The Plaintiff Team
Aspect 1.1 Plaintiff and Cast of Characters
Aspect 1.2 A Star is Born, the Plaintiff.
Aspect 1.3 Plaintiff Experts Torpedoes
Aspect 1.4 Plaintiff Attorneys Hired Guns
Aspect 1.5 Defendants Attorneys Specifically
Aspect 1.6 Defendants Attorney Generally
Aspect 1.7 The Magnificent Seven
Aspect 1.8 REIDs Cross Dimensional Hats
Aspect 1.9 Local Counsel
Aspect 1.10 Grant Deed as Backup Slugger to Hyena
Aspect 1.11 List and Acronyms used in Files Papers
Aspect 1.12 HQ Advanced Prearations upon Funding
Aspect 2.0 Scope of Complaint Causes and Actions
Aspect 2.1 Prayer for Injunctive Relief
Aspect 2.2 Defendant Manipulations since GS bailed racket in 09
Aspect 2.4 Fungible Combined In House and Client Money
Aspect 2.5 The Eight Ball Plaintiff Team
Aspect 2.6 REID and the Shark World
Aspect 2.7 Gangland Torpedoes at TFMR
Aspect 2.8 Andy Dany Hypothesis and Discovery
Aspect 2.9 Sugar Canes Hypotheses Market Action
Aspect 2.10 Judicial Notice of Facts
Aspect 3.0 Financing and Budget of 6m$ for one year
Aspect 3.1 Practical Business Operations
Aspect 3.2 Mr.B to Pony Up Funds in Advance
Aspect 3.3 Suit Lift off and Initial Salvo
Aspect 3.4 REIDs Skin in the Game
Aspect 3.5 Attorney Attire Court Dress Code
Aspect 3.6 California Dispersement Attorney
Aspect 3.7 Marketing of Plan and Acquiring VC
Aspect 3.8 Problems Raising Venture Capital
Aspect 4.0 Preparation before Filing Initial Salvo
Aspect 4.1 Simple Rocket Science and Graphics
Aspect 4.2 Filing and Injunction Moving Papers
Aspect 4.3 Cut and Paste Attorney Efficiencies
Aspect 4.4 Budget for One Year of Litigation
Aspect 4.6 FIFO, Pools, Walls, Staggering, and Thresholds
Aspect 4.7 Broadcasting Exclusivity Licensing
Aspect 4.8 Tea Partiers Invited to The Shoot Out
Aspect 4.9 MOPE the Supporter and Nation Campaign
Aspect 4.10 Misdirection Surprise and Confusion
Aspect 4.11 Headquarters Facilities
Aspect 4.12 Preliminary Funding Solicitations
Aspect 4.13 MOPE Fight Song and Campaign Flag
Aspect 4.14 Mind Screw of The District Judge
Aspect 4.15 Attorney and Expert Assignments
Aspect 4.16 Discovery Initiated at Salvo
Aspect 4.17 Secrecy Before Initial Salvo
Aspect 5.0 Burden of Proof at Initial Salvo
Aspect 5.1 Shoot Out at the OK corral
Aspect 5.2 Defendants Nefarious Conduct
Aspect 5.3 Defendants Blown Down
Aspect 5.5 Gold Experts Do Not Cross Dimension
Aspect 5.6 Price Rigs Shorts Buys Drift Sells
Aspect 6.0 Sustaining Injunction Relief
Aspect 6.1 Misdirecting the Enemy and Totally Confused
Aspect 6.2 Junction Shall No Wiggle Room
Aspect 7.0 Discovery Before Trial and Trial
Aspect 8.0 Time Segment Litigation Stages
Aspect 8.1 Defendants Turn Coats Traitors
Aspect 9.0 General Conclusion and Summary
Appendix Personal Posts of Bullion Market (Attached)

=========== Teaser plus following Equals Clue by Code Names ========== Nutshell for nuts. MOPE peeps, judge, US Government, and agencies, turning all on the manipulator, that rat bastard, the wall street mob boss. Andy Dandy shows prima facie price targeting and manipulation. Star shows COT data fingering the Manipulator. Hyena show likely internal In house and Clients funds, for prima faci inference sufficient, but also for the setup, to get them to divulge nefarious internal business operation. Hence, direct proximal causation shown during the shoot out of all times. Irreparable injury to bugs, for injunctive relief. Injunctive relief in terms of staggered pools, walls, time displaced sells, staggered FIFO, avoiding gross sell amounts and positions prohibitions, without any wiggle room for any dodge. Shut them down, easy and quick, hard and fast. Of course, back up sluggers and auxiliary appearances can replace or support, and then, pass case off to US Justice after shut down, to put snake and medusa behind bars, need 6m$ VC for 6mo. ======================================================

Great posts are indeed great, and much appreciated by nearly all, nearly, but dont you think in the scheme of big things, of which everyone really complains, and that concerns most, they dont really solve much, excepting providing some comradery and supporting mutual comfort and mutual back slapping, that misery loves company? Just asking.

Price manipulation produces a lack of price discovery. A lack of price discover is irreparable harm and causes some civil tort monetary damage, to any one who holds an AGE or ASE, or who holds any amount of precious bullion specie, or in the precious metals trade who transacts any buys, sells, serves the public, publication, retail, wholesale, and is undue influence upon the US government agency, the US mint, and when acting with another, is not only an actionable civil tort and RICO claim, but specifically, a RICO crime against the US Government agency US Mint offering jail time to the offenders of such price manipulation. Just saying.

Speaking Plainly: I am offering to take down the manipulator within 6mo and need 6m$ in funding to do so, to enjoin and terminate their habitual price manipulations, and hand US Justice a criminal case on a silver platter, and if anyone would like to PM with a name(s) by email address of anyone interested in funding such with a multiple return, it would be much appreciated, as I tend to seek solutions, rather than back slaps. Just asking.

The Mamas & The Papas - Monday Monday
Werewolves Of London
SilverSurfers
May 28, 2013 - 6:45am

KISS

Marketing KISS of The Secret World of Gold

TF metal folks finally getting suspicious. A good indicator that the target has no clue, a good thing. Using Astro Empires Forum for indirect communications.

Plan worked out pretty good with defined HQ facilities, command and control, support facilities, communication lines, logistics, front line forces, auxiliary forces, attack plan, looks really good, and needs now funding (supply lines to financier now with VC hunt system on line and working) and then on to execution, 6m$ and 6mo, and torpedoes away for the greatest take down of all time turning 6m$ VC into 18m$ 2x, in less than a year, taking down JPM in the bullion space.

Bullion Space: T Ferguson 2ed Target Package Posted segmented TF direct by email; J Embry 2ed Target Package through Dark Mole; Sinclair Teaser; Livermore Teaser; Rickards Teaser; Kirby Teaser; Russell Teaser; Pento Teaser, Doctor Teaser; Murphy Teaser; Powell Teaser; Turk Teaser; Greyerz Teaser; Hathaway Teaser; Eveillard Teaser; Leeb Teaser; Sprott Teaser; Rule Teaser; Faber Teaser; Grandich Teaser, Gross Clue, ElErian Clue; MHommell Clue; Butler Clue; Norcini; Willie Clue; Michaelsom Clue; Hommel Clue, Political Space: Ron Paul Congressman Teaser; Paul Criag Roberts Teaser; D Issa Congressman Teaser; J Campbell Congressman Teaser, GOP Teaser; PastorLindsey; Schiff Teaser; Neveller; Rogers; JWilliams: GWilliams, and, News Space: Hunter Teaser; King Teaser; Keiser Teaser; Celente Teaser; Durban Teaser; Barnes Teaser; Waltzek Teaser; Grant Teaser; OReilly Teaser; Daughty Teaser; Bonner Teaser; Kristol Teaser; Krauthammer Teaser; Guild Teaser.

===========Teaser========================== Sir, I can take down JPManipulator, and end this nonsense.
Please carefully consider the following 3 cites as you wish.
The country needs saving, and we all must do our duties.
Most Respectfully, DM Reid BS JD
https://www.tfmetalsreport.com/users/silversurfers
https://forum.astroempires.com/viewtopic.php?f=99&t=111935
https://www.tfmetalsreport.com/blog/4710/broader-perspective?page=10 =========== Teaser plus following Equals Clue by Code Names ========== Nutshell for nuts. MOPE peeps, judge, US Government, and agencies, turning all on the manipulator, that rat bastard, the wall street mob boss. Andy Dandy shows prima facie price targeting and manipulation. Star shows COT data fingering the Manipulator. Hyena show likely internal In house and Clients funds, for prima faci inference sufficient, but also for the setup, to get them to divulge nefarious internal business operation. Hence, direct proximal causation shown during the shoot out of all times. Irreparable injury to bugs, for injunctive relief. Injunctive relief in terms of staggered pools, time displaced sells, staggered FIFO, avoiding gross sell amounts and positions prohibitions, without any wiggle room for any dodge. Shut them down, easy and quick, hard and fast. Of course, back up sluggers and auxiliary appearances can replace or support, and then, pass case off to US Justice after shut down, to put snake and medusa behind bars, need 6m$ VC for 6mo. ======================================================== https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mSYXXIW9gfE
SilverSurfers
May 28, 2013 - 6:32am

Additional

backup Sluggers:

Ruff Rider aka Bear Rear

Santa Claus aka Mr Tanz

SilverSurfers
May 28, 2013 - 5:37am

Defined

Plan worked out pretty good with defined HQ facilities, command and control, support facilities, communication lines, logistics, front line forces, auxiliary forces, attack plan, looks really good, and needs now funding (supply lines to financier now with VC hunt system on line and working) and then on to execution, 6m$ and 6mo, and torpedoes away for the greatest take down of all time.

Marvin Gaye - I Heard It Through The Grapevine
SilverSurfers
May 28, 2013 - 5:08am

Plan

worked out pretty good with defined HQ, support facilities, communication lines, logistics, forces, auxiliary forces, attack plan, and needs now funding and then execution, 6m$ and 6mo, and torpedoes away for the biggest take down of all time.

SilverSurfers
May 28, 2013 - 4:31am

Video

Clips, two of them, beef papers and Injunctive papers, for two events, the cosmic big bang and the ok shoot out, where turd interview lead shark, for national consumption.

With no usual bed side note pad, and 1/2 asleep, where best thinking is had, thinking it through, had to get up and write this chit down, on the online note pad, and so, if an investment bank, with a team gets the target package and decides to fund, that eliminates the need for lecture, but turd would sill be the star, but instead of a hatter lecture, its two regular lead shark interviews, which would be visual, for msn replay consumption, where turd asks lead chicago shark a series of questions, the question and answer lists prepared in advance by hatter, as hatter is well schooled at talking to himself, and describing verbally complex systems, so hatter would write the question and answer lists, well in advance, for the lead chicago shark to answer, and so, the show goes on, at the cosmic big bang filing and at the ok shoot out hearing, and since visuals enhance msn rebroadcasts, well, turd goes youtube video uplink, for msn feeds, released by turd early AM, for raw raw during national mode a dope before the two main events, and now, back to never never land, except this time, while sitting at battle stations, known locally as sitting cat naps.

In deed, that totally works, but instead of a bartaloma v Rickard match on cnbc, Turd and Lead shark do two video interviews before the two raw raw events going on all the new channels, except trud would have to put the jack on the floor and ditch the shades, as any would be rock star would, and thus, whether they be investment banks or gold heavies or trudites funding, the two video youtube clips would be made, with reduce pressure, where retakes can be hand, to get it right, for national msn feed and rebroadcast, thus accommodating both situations, life hatter conference for funding, and turd video broadcasts.

Video unavailable
Video unavailable
THE COUNT FIVE-'PSYCHOTIC REACTION',(1966).wmv
The Hollies - Carrie Anne
Video unavailable
SilverSurfers
May 28, 2013 - 4:19am

Status

Have attack plan, 3rd Edition, looking for 6m$ for 6mo to take down manipulator, and sure there are problems, first offering 2x 18m$ in one year, so, at least it enters the business world, and gold heavies dream time, and news like to stay on top of thinks, and politician want to be re-elected, and have put out notices there, so that is the pool of possible investors and leads. Some have been transmitted, and that is in process, and here, like lighting the light bulb, tfmr is a total info rush, and made it happen, and now the repeat performance, so, presently scanning threads for leads to send teasers to invest in the shoot out of all time. TBTJ is a freakin joke played on us all. That shits stops now.

The approach is a system engineering one, not a typical VC hunt using the menlopark VC boys, been there, done that. Sure the draft is a difficult read, but if someone first gets it, read it, comprehends it, then that one would be considered as a serious player, which to does rules out most of those at TFMR, so far, but you never know, surprises can happen,

If you all can post letters from investment houses, or videos of such, or from gold heavies, that would be much appreciated, as I will pick it up as a lead, regularly scanning threads, as a VC hunt, at least. Investment houses and big gold heavies should have teams qualified to review, and hence the more likely to get it, totally.

Some may ridicule, for whatever reason, I strive undaunted, as best able, using the thinker, as best able, one man's best, under the circumstances, following a dream, to shut down the manipulator, but now at least, there is a real documented attack plan in hand, and that, not to long ago, was in fact only a dream.

Spent 3 weeks since brainwave 4/29/13 getting attack play together, another week getting the VC hunt system down, and so, the VC hunt beings in earnest this month after memorial day.

Do You Believe in Magic?
Steppenwolf - Born to be wild 1969
Hot Chocolate - I believe in miracles + lyrics
HOT CHOCOLATE - Everyone's A Winner

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