Sing It Like Maureen

406
Thu, Dec 13, 2012 - 9:53am

A nighttime raid and a new day dawns.

Video unavailable

Just a few items today as MrsF has designs on my time. An entire day of Christmas shopping awaits and I plan to take the excursion without my phone and the ability to check the "markets".

Last night's devious attempt to run the sell stops below 1705 succeeded in tilting the charts bearishly this morning. Whatever. I couldn't care less. I do continue, though, to find it amusing that every time we get an unexpected raid for $20 in gold, the same old trolls and naysayers show up. I'm not sure what they're trying to accomplish. First of all, why would I or any of you feel foolish for being bullish in the face of the fundamentals? Additionally, by blasting me as a "cult leader" etc, they seem to think they can discourage me and get me to shut this site down. Uhhhhhhh....let me make this perfectly clear: I ain't going anywhere. The Cartel can raid and manipulate. Their disinfo agents can plant seeds of doubt. Their dupes and shills can lie and deceive. Whatever. It doesn't matter. The facts are what they are and the fundamentals do not lie. Please utilize this time and these distorted, low prices to add to your stack. Physical metal is your only protection against the ongoing destruction of paper money.

Maybe these trolls are frustrated paper traders who get angry when the free chart analysis I offer doesn't work out as planned? Look, I do my best. I not only try to give you an explanation for what has happened but I also try to predict the future. Sometimes it works, sometimes it doesn't but everyone needs to keep these two things in mind:

  1. Not even Nostradamus could have warned you that at precisely 7:55 EST last evening, some weasel on a trading desk would institute a naked sell order with the intention of blowing out the sell stops.
  2. I don't even trade anymore. Yes, I have a small handful of long-term options but I have practically begged all of the traders that frequent this site to use Andy Maguire's trading service. Given the unprecedented desperation of the manipulation, you are absolutely crazy if you are attempting to trade the metals without his guidance.

OK, back to the business at hand. Since there is such a dogged determination to keep the metals down, we'd best be aware of the support levels and where price could head if those levels are broken. For now, the lows of last week are holding and that is certainly a good sign. However, as seen last night, The Evil Ones can emerge from the shadows at any time, day or night, to blindly raid price. Please use the charts below as guidelines for dip buying.

Finally I leave you today with the reprint below. I wrote this on Saturday, November 3rd, after the metals had been savagely beaten the day before. Gold was at $1675 and silver was under $31. Like today, many were fearful and the AGAs and trolls were everywhere. The message is simple: Any fight worth winning is going to be challenging and we don't take on this endeavor because it is easy, we take it on because our destiny requires it. Setbacks and frustration come with the territory but we must persevere. Keep the faith. Be strong. Vindication and victory will soon be ours.

TF

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

https://www.tfmetalsreport.com/blog/4296/defiance

Well, you can either give up or carry on with renewed determination. I choose the latter.

These are the times that try men's souls...

Let's see, what do we know for certain?

Quantitative Easing is now a permanent fixture of the financial markets for, without it, the U.S. bond market would collapse and interest rates would reset multiples higher.

  • The U.S. federal deficit will continue to be greater than $1T/year, regardless of the outcome of the election.
  • Later this month and into December, a "lame duck" session of Congress must come to terms with the looming fiscal cliff and well as an imminent breach of the debt ceiling.
  • Further downgrades of the credit rating of the U.S. are likely.
  • The European Union, already tattered at the edges, remains on the brink of crisis and dissolution.
  • Dollar creditor nations, led by China, are rapidly accumulating gold and silver as they exchange their devaluing fiat reserves for hard assets.
  • Dollar hegemony and reserve currency status will, one day in not-too-distant future, come to an end.

I could continue but I think you get the idea. Regardless of the paper machinations of the Comex, physical precious metal remains your best defense against the tumultuous times ahead.

The summer soldier and sunshine patriot will, in this crisis, shrink from the service of Turdville...

I think you know where I stand but where do you stand? Will you now become bitter? Will you be easily swayed by the uninformed and the disinformation agents? Do you have the courage of your convictions to not only find your way but guide others through the darkness?

Yesterday was tough and, worse, unexpected. But don't think for a minute that it was a selloff directed specifically at the precious metals. So understand that there may be more going on here than you think. The situation in Europe is tenuous, at best, and things on the ground in the U.S. aren't much better. For now, the precious metal "baby" is being thrown out with the proverbial "bath water". You should seize this opportunity to add to your stack.

  • With all of the selling in gold and silver yesterday, just whom do you think was taking the other side of that trade? Let give you a clue...it wasn't the specs.
  • Backwardation, as measured by the difference between the futures "offer" and the spot "bid", has reached a level of such extreme that it makes further significant declines highly unlikely.
  • Our friend, Andrew, reports that demand in London yesterday remained "exceptional" and "unprecedented". Though the effects of this physical demand can often by muted on an intraday basis, it nonetheless precludes the bullion banks from exacerbating the moves to the downside.

But he that stands by it now, deserves the love and thanks of man and woman...

I personally promised you a "hot, explosive and historic" summer. It, obviously, did not come to pass and, so far, it has not materialized this autumn. Do not be dismayed. I personally know of several extraordinarily brave and courageous people who are actively working to bring about an end to the blatant manipulation of precious metal price by the Bullion Bank Cartel. With firm reliance upon the protection of Divine providence, I am extremely confident that they will be successful. When they are, not only will the manipulation end but, perhaps, the plundering of Western reserves will slow, as well.

Tyranny, like hell, is not easily conquered; yet we have this consolation with us, that the harder the conflict, the more glorious the triumph...

So, again, I implore you: Do not lose faith and do not suffer from doubt. The end of The Great Keynesian Experiment is indeed upon us and you must continue to prepare accordingly. Do not be swayed by the day-to-day trading of the Comex nor the incessant noise and disinformation supplied by the financial media. Think for yourself. Study the past and the present, then consider the future. Trust your instincts. Believe in yourself and your ability to lead and inspire. Your family needs you. Your friends need you and Turdville needs you. The future demands leadership at every level and we all have a role to play. I will continue to do my part. Will you?

About the Author

Founder
turd [at] tfmetalsreport [dot] com ()

  406 Comments

Mr. Fix
Dec 13, 2012 - 12:00pm

RE,Dr G

 Okay, maybe it is simply a matter of semantics.

 No, I do not have paper anything in my safe, just shiny.

 And yes, I agree with your contention that all price discovery is currently in the paper markets.

 Making a paper bet, to me would be more analogous to what happens at a casino in Vegas,

 then what it is that we are doing.

If we are working from the assumption that our precious metals have real value, then removing them from the open market, at some point will have a significant impact on the Evil Empire's ability to manipulate the price with impunity.

 At some point, there will be more standing for delivery than can possibly be delivered.

( Harvey Organ still thinks that that may be this month, as the numbers for those “standing for delivery” were massively lowered at the last minute, to create the illusion of lowered demand.)

 More importantly, manufacturers who depend on silver as one of their raw materials,

 will literally pay whatever it takes to keep their supply.

 Whenever prices are manipulated lower, and this applies to every commodity in existence,

 it always creates shortages. Gold and silver are most definitely not an exception to this rule.

 The bullion banks, and their respective governments had a huge stockpile, to be able to maintain a price manipulation scheme for decades. Their stockpiles are gone now, and all they can play with is their paper shorts.

 I will agree that we currently have absolutely no effect whatsoever on the price of silver and gold.

 However, when the day comes that delivery becomes impossible due to its scarcity,

 then not only will we have an effect on the price of silver and gold,

 many of us will already have a substantial stockpile of it.

 This does not equal gambling in Las Vegas.

 Sooner for later, it either comes back to supply and demand,

 or it will be outlawed altogether.

 Either way, the price will explode.

indosil
Dec 13, 2012 - 12:01pm

Gold Does Not Need You Or Me-JIM Sinclair

Dear CIGAs,

Gold will trade at $3500 and above on its own merits with Eastern demand in the cash market being the engine of price.

The Fed via Goldman has capped gold in the paper market for months. They were so obvious between $1775 and $1800 that Petunia can call the strategy.

Goldman is, in all practical senses, the Exchange Stabilization Fund because ESF is only a brokerage account. There is no fund in terms of what one thinks a fund’s office should look like. Read the law.

The President or US Secretary of the Treasury may appoint ANY person or entity to act on their behalf as the manager of the Exchange Stabilization Fund. The Exchange Stabilization Fund has a broad mandate that allows it to trade many things including GOLD. The USA is not the center of the Gold price in the full valuation move into 1980.

Right now the geniuses in charge of the ESF are driving gold via the paper market directly into Eastern hands. There is much speculation about the amount of Gold the USA holds and its deliverability as much gold and silver was used in the Manhattan Project and no audit has ever been carried out.

The gold price will in the not too distant future go through the cap and that will take it to full valuation above $3500. If you’re speculating in gold in futures without at least 20 years of positive history and training as or under a professional you have a financial death wish.

If your reason for owning gold and silver is an exchange failure you are fundamentally challenged.

The volatility in gold and counter intuitive moves, thanks to Goldman as broker for the Exchange Stabilization fund investor, will migrate back to good gold shares with the real beef.

Respectfully, 
Jim

murphy Xeno
Dec 13, 2012 - 12:02pm

Xeno et all

Whenever I come across a lengthy write up like the Thunder Road Report, I don't have time to read it. Many times when you try to find it again it's gone. What I have done is simply downloaded a printing program like cute pdf writer.

https://www.cutepdf.com/products/cutepdf/writer.asp

I just simply print it to my desktop/documents and have a copy of it forever. Also saves printer paper.

Mr. Fix and fellow gnats- Last night during the concert Billy Chrystal made mention that the concert could reach upwards of 2 billion people. I don't believe that many were watching but that's not the point. He said if everyone donated just $1 they would raise you guessed it $2,000,000,000.

Hmmm what would happen if everyone bought 1 ounce of physical silver? Just askin'

zimbabwebobb
Dec 13, 2012 - 12:04pm

FED is targeting 2.5% inflation stripping out food and energy

The FED is targeting 2.5% inflation stripping out food and energy. So when we the get inevitable double digit inflation in food and energy prices, the high intellectuals at the Fed will tell the public that it is just transitory. That will be their excuse to keep from "selling assets" and raising interest rates to "control inflation". Meanwhile that is exactly what they need and want to inflate away US govn't debts. 

If they want to quicken this process which I believe they do, then a lil US led war in MENA would accomplish this nicely.

Quisp
Dec 13, 2012 - 12:06pm

KatieRose - Thank You - Farming

Katie, Thank you for your comments and advice regarding my post last night on buying land and living on the farm. I really appreciate your insights. I still plan to go through with it, but as I alluded to in my post, it's a 5 year plan. I do not intend to give up my job and become a farmer for at least 5 more years. That 5 years will enable me to continue to stack, and get the land paid for. I already have very little debt; no car payments and a very reasonable mortgage. I already have a 4x4 pickup with low miles and no payment. I think I can also have the mortgage paid off in the next 18 months. So, I think I'm in a good spot financially. (I know, you thought you were too) I ought to be able to build and get started for cash, and those funds will be set aside and waiting for that purpose.

There's no way I can keep my current job AND live on the land. The land is about 800 miles from my current location. When the time comes to go, I plan on not selling my current home. I figure that I'll need some income while building etc., so my large home on 3/4 acre with a 2 car garage should rent for a decent monthly figure. That should hopefully keep me from dipping too deeply into reserves and my stack. I would rather be sitting on the debt free hard asset (the house) which can generate some income, than a pile of fiat from the sale of that asset.

Also over the next 5 years, I plan to take a few adult classes at the local vo-tech (welding, etc). That should be a useful skill.

I feel very strongly about withdrawing my financial support of the current corrupt system, but I definitely feel I am going into this with my eyes open. I won't simply pitch it all on principle without firmly securing my chances for success. Failure is not an option.

Again Katie, thank you for your guidance. You are a good soul.

indosil
Dec 13, 2012 - 12:06pm

@DPH

Sorry......guess we posted Santa's Post at the same time.

Mr. Fix
Dec 13, 2012 - 12:08pm

@ murphy

 Max Keiser has been promoting that exact idea for at least a couple of years now.

 That is exactly right, if everybody simply bought an ounce of silver, this entire farce would be brought to an extremely abrupt ending.

 Thank you for putting that into the context of just how much difference an ounce of silver being removed from the market can make.

Monedas
Dec 13, 2012 - 12:09pm

Melodrama !

C'mon Katie Rose .... you played him like a violin ! Congrats ! I wish I could do the same ! Monedas 1929 Comedy Jihad Send Your Coins To Mama Monedas World Tour devil

SilverLeaf
Dec 13, 2012 - 12:11pm

Who couldn't have seen this coming?

"Not even Nostradamus could have warned you that at precisely 7:55 EST last evening, some weasel on a trading desk would institute a naked sell order with the intention of blowing out the sell stops."

No...but the likely trading direction going into year end was so damn obvious...did you think the monkeys weren't prepared to stomp on the metals immediately after the Q4 announcement? 

Turd's Dec 5 prediction that the metals will experience a strong December seems destined to be wrong (again). I suppose anything could happen in the next two weeks, but logic says that it's unlikely that the manipulators will let a crisis like the fiscal cliff go to waste. Add in the historically low trading volumes over the holidays, and it seems like a no-brainer that the pressure is likely down for at least another couple of weeks. 

I wouldn't be surprised at all to see gold back to $1650ish and Silver down to about $30 going into year end. I doubt they go much lower than that given the fundamentals and the cartels already extended short positions. If and when the metals hit those levels, I'm adding to my physical stack and getting setup for a range trade. I do suspect that metals will catch a bid in Q1 and Q2 of 2013, once all of the things I listed below are behind us, the consequences of the fiscal cliff resolution and QE4 become clearer.

.................................................................................................................................................

I'll take the other side of Turd's prediction...

Submitted by SilverLeaf on December 5, 2012 - 12:39am. Hat Tip! 22

...that "we'll end 2012 at the high end of the yearly range". Don't think it's going to happen...Instead, I think they'll try to jam the price down in the next few weeks in an attempt to:

1. Paint as low a yearly performance for gold and silver as they possibly can. As Jim Rogers said earlier this year, gold's gone up every year for the last 10 years and has killed returns on all other asset classes. It would be normal to have a year where it's flat or ends with a loss. The bastard manipulators would love nothing more than to have 2012 returns come in as low as possible to discourage investors as we go into 2013, and to minimize the perception that gold is a *dependable, can't lose investment*.

2. Take advantage of the "fiscal cliff" farce until an agreement is reached at the last minute (as we all know it will). If the compromise results in more monetary debasement (as we all know it will), the manipulators will want gold and silver to react from the low end of the 2012 range, not the high end. To achieve that, they have to jam the price down before the miraculous compromise is reached at the end of December.

3. Force more small investors to pile on with year end tax loss selling. The timing's ripe to try to force another minor waterfall decline, by taking advantage of the 3 week window investors have left for tax loss selling. Create downside volatility, and small investors who want/need to take tax losses will pile on and force prices even lower.

TallBloke
Dec 13, 2012 - 12:14pm

@Pailin

They are 2013. They've been shipping them for about a month now.

Mr. Fix
Dec 13, 2012 - 12:20pm

@ achmachat

Now that is exactly how this game should be played. 

 Speaking of that, I need to go spend my afternoon fixing some other people's crap so I have enough dry powder

 to take maximum advantage of this "fucking dip".

lets try not to over think all of this,

 just keep stacking. 

achmachat
Dec 13, 2012 - 12:23pm

mr fix

I'm doing my best! Last week, 60 Armenian Arks, yesterday it was 100 Canadian Maples. I'd rather have those than numbers on a savings account.

Addendum: The problem I had with my Arks last week got solved. The dealer was shocked about how the Arks had left their packing department, replaced them and gave me a little 20grams silver bar as a gift.
napa698
Dec 13, 2012 - 12:29pm

My Two Cents

What the Fed did yesterday was to give the EE 40B$ more per month to do their bidding and to keep the money in the system ,under their control.They need to control everything and that takes a lot of money.They control the banking system, the bond market,the FX market,the stock market,the PM market, the oil market,everything.The money stays is the banking system and that keeps a lid on inflation,they just move it around to keep things from falling apart.

The price of paper PMs will go to zero,what i don't understand is when they fall everybody has a cow.It's going to zero short gld or slv or use puts to make money on this.The way to tell that the end of their control in the pm market is coming to an end is when the price at the LCS are going up as the paper price is going down,that will be the tell.

The action of the last two days says that they are still in complete control.

ag1969
Dec 13, 2012 - 12:30pm

I am always amazed at how...

...We constantly talk about the decoupling of the paper and silver price, we talk about the fact that the paper price could go to zero, but there is no phyzz available, to measure your wealth in ounces, blah, blah, blah, but when smoke signals appear that it might actually be happening we do not rejoice that we are one step closer to the finish line. I know, I know, I have a stack too, and if you let it, these dips can eat you up, especially when the trolls arrive with their eight year old's I told you so routine.

Courage is not the absence of fear, it is the management of fear. When a fight of the this magnitude finds you, you need to pick a side, have conviction, and then show no fear in the face of the enemy if you are convinced you have chosen the proper side. Nothing has changed. It is still smarter to hold real money in your possession rather than fake money in the enemy's lair. 

Actions speak louder than words. You are witnessing desperate acts from desperate men(and Blythe), and in my opinion, the more crazy this gets, the closer we are.

I am not the smartest guy in the world, nor the richest, but it seems to me that what is happening is exactly what we have all predicted, and it needs to happen for us to get where we want to be, so embrace it. 

Really sit back and think about what happened here. Benny announced the printing of more fake money until something impossible happens to end it. That never ends well, you know it and I know it. After this expected yet still stunning announcement, real money goes on a nosedive? It doesn't make any sense, so I refuse to worry about it or let it get me down. I have purchased three times this week and have a substantial check of federal reserve shit notes coming any day. I will by more when I get it.

What am I worrying about today? How am I going to make my hockey rink better than last year's version. I bought my wife two real (metal) hockey nets for Christmas and we just love hockey (my wife skates circles around me and tried out for the olympics many moons ago) and I live on a lake where I clear and keep clear a regulation size hockey rink. No matter what Blythe and her cohorts do with illusory paper silver, my wife and kids want to play hockey.

Go live your lives people. Their version of money is a grand illusion. You have know how and courage and wealth!

indosil
Dec 13, 2012 - 12:30pm
boatman
Dec 13, 2012 - 12:30pm

my guy

after TF, that is:

"Bottom Line: Don’t fight the Fed, If the market (S&P) pulls back closer to the 1400 level in the days ahead, I would view any pullback as a buying opportunity. continue to look for opportunities to buy the metals.

Yesterday's FED announcement just proves they are heading significantly higher in the months ahead. targets remain: 14,000 Dow, 1,500 S&P, 1,900+ gold and 50+ silver into next year,more on this monday."

Bobbejaan
Dec 13, 2012 - 12:33pm

Looks like I picked a bad day to quit drinking [+ Wink] ....

.

Anybody know the phone number for Silverholics Anonymouse devil

Nigel Black
Dec 13, 2012 - 12:34pm

USA retirement funds

When I heard The Bernanke state that at some point the Fed will reduce the size of its balance sheet, I laughed until I fell off of my chair. Then I starting pondering this... how much $$$ is sitting in USA retirement funds? (401K, IRAs, etc). I am not an American, so I am not sure what the answer to this is.

The reason I ask is the following: perhaps (in the future) the Fed starts to "reduce" the size of its balance sheet by forcing, I mean getting Americans to replace the funds/assets in their retirement accounts with US bonds? (and other toxic assets)

Not sure if this is even an option for them, but given how corrupt everything has become, this wouldn't surprise me.

zimbabwebobb
Dec 13, 2012 - 12:35pm

Nothing will stop the Daily Conversion Process

Western central banks can manipulate the paper markets lower short-term, but NOTHING is going stop the daily conversion process.

By conversion process I mean the daily conversion from USD denominated paper assets to physical gold by wealthy savers, eastern central banks and surplus oil producers.

Every day these hordes of savers generate a massive surplus of US dollar trash and with these new dollars put a supportive bid under the global physical gold market. 

abguy4
Dec 13, 2012 - 12:35pm

@ da Turd et al

''Many believe that Rickards is a paid agent of dis-info.''

OR...................There's a fungus among us.

Correct me if I'm wrong here, but, isn't JR the guy who says - right up front-

''I work(ed) for the CIA and mis-info 'think tanks' that work for them''? Now anybody who has read ANY books by CIA/FBI/Blk Ops, will confirm that the authors all tell you - right up front - that there is NO retirement from these organizations. Same as any mafia book will tell you. Its their house rules, and it's never changed. Besides he has that same swarmy self-assured lying conniving smile as all the other two-faced snakes. Hiding-In-Plain-Sight is the newest modus Operandus, so just be aware out there guys.

billwilson
Dec 13, 2012 - 12:40pm

I'm switching sides.

I'm done. Enough screwing around. I'm going over to the dark side ... to make some money.

It's just too easy for the dark side to profit. Lots of capital, HFT algos easy to direct, and fully backstopped. Too F&*(ing easy!!!

Putting half in the long term hold account and the other half into a trading paper PM account to see if I can share in the spoils of manipulation. I guess if the game is rigged, better to be on the side of the guy rigging it. 

Bill of Rights
Dec 13, 2012 - 12:42pm

This is a thing of

This is a thing of Beauty...Keep voting with both hands lol.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?feature=player_embedded&v=cimkxHOxePM

prius_driver
Dec 13, 2012 - 12:43pm

Time for the afternoon slam

margin calls for us chickens, then sell the bonds (big treasury auction today), then price can go up after market closes.

ReachWest
Dec 13, 2012 - 12:45pm

@ ag1969

Excellent post -- cuts to the heart of it. yes

Emotions are difficult things to control - but control them we must.

We are on the right side of this .. the proximity to the end game is inversely proportional to the frequency of the EE's desperate games.

Xeno
Dec 13, 2012 - 12:52pm

Murph

Thanks Murphy, I have the .pdf. It's just that a lot of people won't be able to get it now which is a shame because it's an excellent write up of the long K-wave and the K-winter we're in. Although the PTB seem to be doing all they can to go from autumn to spring which is only bringing us the winter of our discontent.

brad_pitts_betterlooking_brother abguy4
Dec 13, 2012 - 12:55pm

why all the hate here on jim

why all the hate here on jim rickards?

just because he isn't saying the metals are going to the moon starting tomorrow? he is and has been right and probably knows more about this stuff than all of us put together.

i posted about this a long while ago too. china holds oodles of our debt. in more ways than one they could cause us big trouble if they decided they didn't want it anymore. at the same time their own economy is tenuously involved. so what of a solution? we allow them to accrue PM's to whatever agreed upon level and then either some new monetary system is announced or the same one limps on but with china satisfied with their real money seat at the table. that's why it was probably true when blythe said that jpm was just hedging for their client.

the two world's two most important sovereigns aren't anywhere close to naive enough to let things deteriorate into depression without having themselves in position to ride it out or even profit from it. the u.s. nd china are colluding on their end plan. anyone notice it's got awfully quiet on the china is a currency manipulator front? and that in the end romney lost an election it appeared he would win?

by the time this transfer is over the u.s. probably forfeits even more of its sovereignty and we the people our rights. but the ptb will have survived - and even more in control than before.

BagOfGold ag1969
Dec 13, 2012 - 1:00pm

ag1969...

You said..."Courage is not the absence of fear, it is the management of fear"....

Let me add another thought to that...

& pain is only fear leaving you!...

Thank You for the wonderful post!!!...

Bag Of Gold

Missiondweller Nigel Black
Dec 13, 2012 - 1:09pm

@ Nigel re retirement confiscation

I've written about this a few times.

There's about $3 Trillion in IRA's and 401k's but about $16 Trillion in pensions that will likely be taken in exchange for "Guranateed Retirement Accounts". Unions are actually promoting this because most pensions are massively underfunded and are making next to nothing under ZIRP, making things even worse. The GSA's would essentially be a government bailout of underfunded pensions while allowing the US gov to confiscate money they need NOW.

https://macrowealthpreservation.blogspot.com/2012/12/teresa-ghilarducci-...

https://macrowealthpreservation.blogspot.com/2012/08/progressives-have-t...

Missiondweller brad_pitts_betterlooking_brother
Dec 13, 2012 - 1:15pm

@brad re Rickards

I'd say Rickards is very bullish on gold. Anyone doubting should watch him on Capital Account yesterday. Its a fantastic interview.

Jim Rickards: the Fed is Racing to Create Inflation Before the US Economy Implodes!
rocoach
Dec 13, 2012 - 1:16pm
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