Waiting for The Bernank

295
Wed, Dec 12, 2012 - 9:57am

A nice little rally this morning. Hopefully, it's not a headfake. We'll know soon enough, I guess.

In honor of our rally this morning, let's have a Hat Contest!! Only one category today and that's silver. The winner must correctly guess the final closing price for spot silver on the Kitco chart in the homepage. This price closes at 5:15 EST before trading resumes at 6:00. Please use the comments section below for your guess. I'll close this thread at 12:30 p.m. EST, when the Fedlines are announced.

Speaking of the Fedlines....they are all that matter today. Everything else is just noise. Back in September, the Fedlines came out at Noon EST but today it is apparently 12:30. My guess is that LIESman complained to The Bernank that, back in Spetember, he didn't get a lunch break. It was Fedlines and then jet across town for The Bernank Gobbledygook Press Conference. With the extra half hour today, LIESman will be able to pound his baloney sandwich in peace before the big news.

https://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/wonkblog/wp/2012/12/12/five-things-to-look-for-out-of-the-fed-today/

So, anyway, things are liable to get pretty dicey around here later. Hopefully, the servers will hold up through all of the traffic spikes. As far as price goes, silver might see resistance at 33.80, 34.40 and, if we really get rolling, anywhere over $35. If The Bernank "disappoints", look for support at 32.60 and 31.80. Gold will encounter resistance at the old "Iron Dome" of 1735-1740 and, of course, our latest highs of 1750-1755. The 1750+ level would also represent the old buggaboo of a 2% daily cap so that level would be worth watching later today. If a gold cascade develops, look for support near 1705 and then 1680.

OK, that's it. I'll have a new thread for you shortly after the Fedlines are released. Good luck with the Hat Contest!

TF

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  295 Comments

FleetFeet
Dec 12, 2012 - 9:59am

Silver

$32.96

tmosley
Dec 12, 2012 - 10:00am

Silver @ $36.22

Silver @ $36.22

TJeffson
Dec 12, 2012 - 10:01am

Old Bennie

it's too bad we can't just get rid of the guy (and the whole FED while we're at it). Hopefully, things go well for those of us here.

Silver @ 33.67

Deshman
Dec 12, 2012 - 10:01am

Silver @ $34.24

Silver @ $34.24

El Gordo
Dec 12, 2012 - 10:03am

Wait,

wait, wait. Anybody think he will say anything substantive at all. Or anything resembling a truthful statement? Who knows, but time will tell, shxt will smell, etc.

$33.26

Dec 12, 2012 - 10:03am

First, y'all!

Guess: Silver 31.92... less QE than expected = an old-school beatdown.

SIlverbee
Dec 12, 2012 - 10:04am

$33.59

unfortunately

more fun might be to guess how much it will tank in the moments before? Will we hit $32.50

RTMoney
Dec 12, 2012 - 10:04am

Silver @

34.21... I hope

mack
Dec 12, 2012 - 10:04am

Hi Ho Silver

Gettum up Scout

$34.44

Anonymous
Dec 12, 2012 - 10:04am

Removed comment

Removed comment.

Key Economic Events Week of 10/14

10/15 8:30 ET Empire State Fed MI
10/16 8:30 ET Retail Sales
10/16 10:00 ET Business Inventories
10/17 8:30 ET Housing Starts and Bldg Perms
10/17 8:30 ET Philly Fed MI
10/17 9:15 ET Cap Ute and Ind Prod
10/18 10:00 ET LEIII
10/18 Speeches from Goons Kaplan, George and Chlamydia

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Key Economic Events Week of 10/14

10/15 8:30 ET Empire State Fed MI
10/16 8:30 ET Retail Sales
10/16 10:00 ET Business Inventories
10/17 8:30 ET Housing Starts and Bldg Perms
10/17 8:30 ET Philly Fed MI
10/17 9:15 ET Cap Ute and Ind Prod
10/18 10:00 ET LEIII
10/18 Speeches from Goons Kaplan, George and Chlamydia

Key Economic Events Week of 10/7

10/8 8:30 ET Producer Price Index
10/9 10:00 ET Job Openings
10/9 10:00 ET Wholesale Inventories
10/9 2:00 ET September FOMC minutes
10/10 8:30 ET Consumer Price Index
10/11 10:00 ET Consumer Sentiment

Key Economic Events Week of 9/30

9/30 9:45 ET Chicago PMI
10/1 9:45 ET Markit Manu PMI
10/1 10:00 ET ISM Manu PMI
10/1 10:00 ET Construction Spending
10/2 China Golden Week Begins
10/2 8:15 ET ADP jobs report
10/3 9:45 ET Markit Service PMI
10/3 10:00 ET ISM Service PMI
10/3 10:00 ET Factory Orders
10/4 8:30 ET BLSBS
10/4 8:30 ET US Trade Deficit

Key Economic Events Week of 9/23

9/23 9:45 ET Markit flash PMIs
9/24 10:00 ET Consumer Confidence
9/26 8:30 ET Q2 GDP third guess
9/27 8:30 ET Durable Goods
9/27 8:30 ET Pers Inc and Cons Spend
9/27 8:30 ET Core Inflation

Key Economic Events Week of 9/16

9/17 9:15 ET Cap Ute & Ind Prod
9/18 8:30 ET Housing Starts & Bldg Perm.
9/18 2:00 ET Fedlines
9/18 2:30 ET CGP presser
9/19 8:30 ET Philly Fed
9/19 10:00 ET Existing Home Sales

Key Economic Events Week of 9/9

9/10 10:00 ET Job openings
9/11 8:30 ET PPI
9/11 10:00 ET Wholesale Inv.
9/12 8:30 ET CPI
9/13 8:30 ET Retail Sales
9/13 10:00 ET Consumer Sentiment
9/13 10:00 ET Business Inv.

Key Economic Events Week of 9/3

9/3 9:45 ET Markit Manu PMI
9/3 10:00 ET ISM Manu PMI
9/3 10:00 ET Construction Spending
9/4 8:30 ET Foreign Trade Deficit
9/5 9:45 ET Markit Svc PMI
9/5 10:00 ET ISM Svc PMI
9/5 10:00 ET Factory Orders
9/6 8:30 ET BLSBS

Key Economic Events Week of 8/26

8/26 8:30 ET Durable Goods
8/27 9:00 ET Case-Shiller Home Price Idx
8/27 10:00 ET Consumer Confidence
8/29 8:30 ET Q2 GDP 2nd guess
8/29 8:30 ET Advance Trade in Goods
8/30 8:30 ET Pers. Inc. and Cons. Spend.
8/30 8:30 ET Core Inflation
8/30 9:45 ET Chicago PMI

Key Economic Events Week of 8/19

8/21 10:00 ET Existing home sales
8/21 2:00 ET July FOMC minutes
8/22 9:45 ET Markit Manu and Svc PMIs
8/22 Jackson Holedown begins
8/23 10:00 ET Chief Goon Powell speaks

Key Economic Events Week of 8/12

8/13 8:30 ET Consumer Price Index
8/14 8:30 ET Retail Sales
8/14 8:30 ET Productivity & Labor Costs
8/14 8:30 ET Philly Fed
8/14 9:15 ET Ind Prod and Cap Ute
8/14 10:00 ET Business Inventories
8/15 8:30 ET Housing Starts & Bldg Permits

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