The Iron Dome

Thu, Nov 15, 2012 - 12:23pm

You'll be hearing a lot over the next few days about the "Iron Dome" that Israel has. Apparently, The Gold Cartel has one, too.

As reported in the morning update to the previous thread, today we witnessed an extraordinary act of blatant manipulation in the gold pit. Over the course of about 5 minutes, one single order was filled. This massive dump of about 25,000 gold contracts managed to move the price of gold down by nearly $20. To give you an appreciation of the size and scale of this deliberately criminal act, 25,000 contracts is the paper equivalent of 2.5 million ounces of gold or, roughly, 77 metric tonnes. 77 tonnes is the paper equivalent to the alleged physical holdings of Australia or Indonesia.

Now, think about that for a moment. Indonesia is the 4th largest country in the world, in terms of population. Coming in at 250,000,000 people, there exists in Indonesia about 1/10th of an ounce of gold for every person. And some prick in New York was able to dump the entire thing in a matter of seconds. Amazing. And this is what passes for free and fair markets in the 21st century!

Anyway, back to the "Iron Dome" analogy....

Having been caught with their pants down (sort of like General Petraeus), once QE∞ was announced, The Cartels sprung into action to crush the momentum of the longs and flip the algos back into sell mode. By doing so, The Forces of Darkness were able to cover roughly 23% of their net short position over the four-week period from 10/4/12 to 11/2/12. Not eager to see a rebound as they are desperate to continue covering, The Evil Ones have been employing an Iron Dome of resistance at $1730-1740. Why, you ask? It's quite simple.

  1. Even Ronnie Milsap could see that a move back through $1740 and toward $1755 would show the clear end of the recent pullback/consolidation and indicate an imminent move back toward the critical Cartel line in the sand at $1800.
  2. The 20-day MA for the Dec12 gold is near $1714. The 5-day is near $1726 and the all-important 50-day is near $1744. Keeping gold below these key technical indicators is extremely important if you want to maintain the perception of "continued weakness".

So, here is a collection of gold charts, showing the Iron Dome at various stages as well as the disgusting, criminal actions that took place earlier today.

As you might expect, silver has been brutalized, too, and is subjected to its own Iron Dome. Fortunately(?) for silver, it is not quite yet at the same critical stage as gold and has therefore been able to hold in a bit more strongly. Expect a significant fight, though, once silver moves through $33.

Now, on the bright side, we have this:

  • Today's massive raid occurred before the London PM fix, which ended up coming in at $1710. This has resulted in some extremely large physical purchases and this will almost certainly have to be reflected in the paper price over the next few days.
  • Additionally, some of the 25,000 contracts will need to be covered before the next CoT cutoff on Tuesday. Remember, Tuesdays are often either Happy or Terrible based upon how The Cartels need to paint the survey.

So, hang in there, fart in their general direction and take out your anger by buying some physical today. I am hopeful that, one day soon, the paper manipulation game will be compromised and the perpetrators will be exposed for the lying, thieving, despicable creatures that they are. Until then, keep smiling and continue to accumulate your personal financial protection at these deeply discounted prices.


p.s. I try to remember to post a notice to Twitter every time I make a new post. If you haven't already, you should consider "following" @TFMetals.

5:00 pm EST UPDATE:

The metals have continued to slowly improve this afternoon from the savage beating they took this morning. This is quite positive for us Good Guys. However, I feel obligated to draw your attention to something that has me concerned.

Did you see this ZH article earlier today? This "dedicated seller" thing set off some alarm bells for me as it reminded me of the period back in late September and early October when we were all similarly flummoxed by a Cartel "Iron Dome" near $1780 in gold and $35 in silver. I wrote about in several posts but summarized the problem on this post from Thursday, October 4:

Here's the problem...That week of desperate, regular Cartel capping culminated with things breaking down on October 5 and the metals have been under consistent pressure ever since. Of course, past isn't always prologue and history doesn't always repeat, but I'm the one who is paid to recognize patterns and this is clearly one we must keep watching. The main level on which to concentrate would seem to be $1705 in gold. A break there and it will become likely that gold sees at least a re-test of the lows of 11/5, near $1670-1680.

This is no reason to be scared, just cautious. Let's see what happens tomorrow. Have a good night.


About the Author

turd [at] tfmetalsreport [dot] com ()


Nov 16, 2012 - 2:11am

Gold & silver margins

Am I the first to mention it here?

Gold futures margins dropped from 9113/6750 to 7425/6750.

Silver margins down more significantly from 16875/12500 to 12100/11000.

Will go into effect at close of business on Tuesday the 20th

Btw you can subscribe to a specific newsletter by CME that will bring you all these margin updates as soon as they are announced - just FYI.

Nov 16, 2012 - 2:32am

From an age when hunting WMD was honorable and heroic

Birger Stromsheim

Birger Stromsheim , who has died aged 101, was considered the greatest of the “Heroes of Telemark” who in 1943 launched a daring raid to destroy a crucial part of the Nazi atomic weapons programme.

Dagney Taggart
Nov 16, 2012 - 2:57am

Thought I'd Come In....

for a comment before bed.

a. November 20, 2008 was the bottom of the last metals pullback if I'm not mistaken. That is an interesting find, Horst. That, on top of the timing of the CFTC position limit appeal. Wow, talked about mixed messages. Good luck on that one, traders. Has it been front-run? Why does it seem like these so-called "announcements" are deliberately used to explain the occult's fetish with cycles?

b. Whoever brokers peace in the ME with have the religious folk screaming "anti-christ!". Watch. I'm curious to find out who the 2 dead "witnesses" will be. Again, why does it seem like this is yet another show for the armchair generals? Oh well. War is a distraction for "useless eaters" anyway. How convenient that there is a Bilderberg emergency "poker meeting" in Rome right now. I can hear David and Henry grumbling to BN sitting naked in their Depends: Send some useless eaters into Gaza to shoot some rockets at yourself to get the useless eaters distracted! We need to have an emergency poker meeting. We have overplayed our hand and are losing control! The NWO as planned will not happen and our Moon hideout isn't ready. Distract distract distract or we are f***ed! It will be a good opportunity for you to try out your new missile toys too.

PS. Considering all the surveillance tech western countries have, how is it possible that the Palies have rockets with launchers capable of flying hundreds of miles with any accuracy? One just doesn't stick their finger in the air and say, "Tel Aviv is that way". Again, oh well.

Night all. It's time to find out if I'm affected by "position limits".

Nov 16, 2012 - 3:26am

How gold could play in the old UK

Ten years - countdown to the microbar

6th April 2023

One year ago today the Sterling Microbar was born. We review the ten year countdown to April 6th 2022 - the events that led to Britain's return to a new gold standard after 93 years.

2012 - 10 years

International investors begin to lose confidence in the sovereign bonds of European nations but the value of sterling rises and gilt yields fall to lows as Britain is seen as a safe haven. Barack Obama is re-elected and US debt monetisation continues. The "price of gold" is quoted in the Financial Times as $1700 per ounce (31,100 mg).

2013 - 9 years

Greece finally leaves the Euro and the painful process of Eurozone disintegration begins. The dollar soars over 1 euro and the sterling crisis begins as Britain is seen as suffering collateral damage from European markets. The UK finally loses its AAA credit rating status.

2014 - 8 years

Further bailouts are required to prevent failure of major UK banks suffering from Libor manipulation scandals and exposure to the collapsing Eurozone. The pound falls below 1 dollar. Capital flight from the UK gathers pace as international investors nurse currency losses on UK investments and property.

2015 - 7 years

Labour wins the General Election promising an end to "futile austerity" which it blames for the crisis. Ten year gilt yields have reached 5%. Chancellor Ed Balls discusses a "soft peg" of sterling to the US dollar to arrest the slide in the currency, allow cuts in interest rates and continue stimulus spending. The Treasury is once again responsible for setting interest rates.

2016 - 6 years

US stock and bond markets crash as the strong dollar hits the fragile US economy hard and international oil prices continue to rise. The US debt to GDP ratio passes 130% and the new Republican government vows to cut government spending.

2017 - 5 years

Britain is forced off its USD soft peg after only 2 years by selling pressure on gilts, but the Chancellor refuses to raise interest rates above 4%, saying that this would be an "unnecessary and damaging knee-jerk reaction". Tories openly taunt the Government in the House of Commons over "endless debt monetisation". Silver jewellery and coins become popular in the UK due to rising gold prices.

2018 - 4 years

Private ownership of gold bullion is capped in the USA as the dollar falls below 8 mg for the first time. Sterling continues to slide but the weak pound seems to be helping the economy. Switzerland introduces the first floating chip-embedded microingot and the franc now appears stable at around 3 mg. Gold-backed bank accounts are more popular in Germany.

2019 - 3 years

Markets are rocked by revelations of gold allocation and reserve frauds affecting the USA, Bank of England and a number of Swiss banks. Central banks and gold "investment funds" admit to holding only 10-20% of the declared tonnage. The Bank of England announces that it has been engaged in gold purchases for the past three years and increased gold reserves to almost 500 tonnes. The dollar falls below 5 mg. The Financial Times prices Brent crude in grams for the first time.

2020 - 2 years to go

George Osborne is elected in a landslide victory promising to halt Britain's economic collapse and introduces a programme of capital controls, public spending cuts and hardship measures to help pensioners and public employees. The Government sets up a commission to study the tax-free floating chip-embedded microingot, quickly dubbed the "microbar". Barclays introduces the Gold Plus account.

2021 - 1 year to go

The USD is now below 2 mg and chaos reigns in the US as secession movements in the south of the country are met with federal government repression. Coins, jewellery and foreign currency have now effectively displaced sterling for investment and savings purposes in the UK, while gold, silver or foreign currency elements in remuneration packages are becoming popular. Treasury income has fallen sharply and there are two general strikes during a "Summer of discontent" over public sector pay. Sterling microbars are delayed by technical problems but Swiss franc and Deutschmark microbars are increasingly being seen on Britain's streets.

2022 - April 6th

Microbar changeover day. The Bank of England issues 10mg, 20mg, 50mg, 100mg, 200mg and 500mg tax-free Sterling microbars whose sterling value floats just above the international price of gold. Gold bank current accounts now enjoy a government guarantee against bank failure up to 100 grams, secured on Bank of England reserves. Most banks offer an initial free allocation of 500 mg on gold cards and uptake is brisk. Laws are passed to prohibit debt monetisation and limit bank reserve ratios.

Since the microbar changeover there have been two further changes in quoted microbar values: down to £0.95 per mg on 17th October 2022 and back up to £1.00 per mg on 2nd February this year. A YouGov poll in December 2022 reported that 55% of Britons still compare prices in sterling, while 72% of foreign tourists shopping in London "mostly" compared prices in mg.

Nov 16, 2012 - 3:58am

the flood!

I have just ordered two months' salary worth of Noah's Arks. I liked the symbolic image. Now... If this time it's different and we don't have a major down-day when I order silver, that would make lots of us happy sailors!

القراع عصفور
Nov 16, 2012 - 4:07am


if TFMR suffered a denial of service attack tonight? or server maintenance?

btw - i once received an order from Tulving before i even sent it. either Einstein had a few things wrong, or i got someone else's order, and they happened to have had excellent taste.

Nov 16, 2012 - 4:47am


Silver slumping in Europe this morning.

Nov 16, 2012 - 4:51am

What people in India will do?

India to be hit if US falls off ‘fiscal cliff’

What's its impact on the markets?

As has already started, the fears are driving people to play safe and sell risky assets, 'a risk-off' approach in market parlance. This means people will buy US dollar and gold, and sell emerging market currencies and stocks. In such a scenario, FIIs may sell in the Indian market, pulling the market down. FII selling would weaken the rupee, and could also increase our trade deficit.

القراع عصفور
Nov 16, 2012 - 4:57am

feed the turd

i am taking heavy artillery, and must assume, so is Turd. i may need to beef up my security, and maybe the same for TFMR. don't know.

Nov 16, 2012 - 5:14am

Dryocopus pileatus wrote: if

Dryocopus pileatus wrote:

if TFMR suffered a denial of service attack tonight? or server maintenance?

The latter.

Nov 16, 2012 - 5:23am

Way cool?

Speaking as someone not from the USA, I'm sorry to break it but the USA is not loved like some big brother and I doubt ever has been. Also I wouldn't use that term to try and gather affectionate support considering its dripping with Orwellian dystopian nightmarish reality. Jet fighters flying a couple of feet above the ground is not cool unless you are a 12 year old boy


Nov 16, 2012 - 5:48am

A few Responses ( no more time sorry)

Ok this is really frustrating for me as there are a lot of people with questions above and I have answers to them but probably not the time to respond to all of them, unfortunately just too busy, its why I haven't posted here recently.

Anyway Ill start with the price smash yesterday from $1723 and 25,000 contracts traded, This could have been orchestrated to buy physical, however another factor is the setting of the algorithms, you see a sequence of lower closes fix to fix causes neutral algo's to seek more stops below the market rather than above, additionally the price difference between fixes is another factor, if a significant amount, as it was ($10+) then you will see further selling or buying pressure from the neutrals depending on whether it was higher or lower than the previous fix, if like we saw before the rally in the summer you get multiple lower fixes in a row then the neutral algo's will keep selling rallies, this has the effect of doing the work for any entity short, this is why you see sudden large dumps of contracts, it is designed to set the tone and divide the division of labor to the algorithms and the momentum guys, rather than the cots themselves.

Therefore the 25,000 contract sale in min's after what should have been very bullish jobs data was designed to set the tone and more likely algo related then physical related. This from a correspondence I had with Bart Chilton this morning "regarding trading this week, or Thursday, I can tell you that there did appear to be some anomalous activity and that we are looking at these trades specifically. However, we don't circle back with people and tell them what took place. We look at the law and what was going on. It there is a potential that the law was violated, our enforcement division get involved. We are prohibited (by law) from saying which traders did what or disclosing individual trader names and positions.

read into this what you will, I take it to mean they saw it, gave the entity who did it a slap on the wrist and said you best not do that for a week or two. Anyway It really doesn't matter, as I've said before you can trade around these manipulations, you just have to reevaluate your trading style to encompass every what if scenario and use the appropriate leverage.

As to the above post regarding Margins, I am not surprised by the reduction. As mentioned previously on here many do not understand how they are generated (read Ernie Pantussu) and where calling for increases on price drops. This is not likely as volatility has really declined and the price of the underlying is also declining, as both of these are the primary factor in determing margins this is why we get the decline, furthermore this is designed to bring more dumb money into the market so it can be fleeced by price declines like yesterday, is has the effect of enticing traders to leverage themselves further which isn't smart.

Finally in response to:

was someone buying 77 metric tons of physical when this was being sold on the comex ? In short no. In long yes they were buying futures contracts long on the comex (more likely covering of shorts into long stops, as evidenced by the reversal to $1718 shortly after) However spot indexing and physical purchases would have occurred in size on the dip, what size would be a guess but it would not be insignificant, hopefully in the next month or so I should have a contact with actual detailed physical size information.

Good luck and Good Trading,


Nov 16, 2012 - 6:35am


...however another factor is the setting of the algorithms, you see a sequence of lower closes fix to fix causes neutral algo's to seek more stops below the market rather than above, additionally the price difference between fixes is another factor, if a significant amount, as it was ($10+) then you will see further selling or buying pressure from the neutrals depending on whether it was higher or lower than the previous fix, if like we saw before the rally in the summer you get multiple lower fixes in a row then the neutral algo's will keep selling rallies, this has the effect of doing the work for any entity short, this is why you see sudden large dumps of contracts, it is designed to set the tone and divide the division of labor to the algorithms and the momentum guys, rather than the cots themselves.

Nice info Hawk. Is this just speculation or do you have a source?

Green Lantern
Nov 16, 2012 - 6:39am


Speaking as someone from the US, maybe you need to lighten up. you should try being a 12 year old for a day. Gotta get you out to an Air Show with the US Air Force Blue Angels. Aviation is not about bombs bursting in air.

Virginia Beach Oceanfront Air Show 2012 - Blue Angels
Nov 16, 2012 - 6:58am

Will the metals shine today?

they took the finish off them early this morn as usual. We probably wont see them float to the top until Tuesday.

See if they go for the gusto to get gold below $1700

Nov 16, 2012 - 7:03am

God Bless America

Last post might seem a bit harsh I'm not anti american but i am extremely anti-american foreign policy, (and british for that matter). Take the troops home, stop wasting money building expensive fighter jets, drones and god know what else on the War Machine. Respect other nations in peace with fair trade. Lead the world as you once did as a beacon of liberty not a paranoid police state.

God bless that America

Nov 16, 2012 - 7:03am

gaza to tel-aviv

is 44miles

nothing for an 'unguided' missile .....with some practice[i believe they have that]

Nov 16, 2012 - 7:05am


no, no one knows the whole story......inflammation is at the heart of it tho.......there are a lot of pieces..........makes sense to avoid anything implicated.

i can tell you my girlfriend the acupuncturist has CURED 3 people of statin induced acute alzheimer's symptoms.

the crystal deodorant is what i use, too.......lasts 2 YEARS! upside down after use to keep water from melting 'base'...causing rock to get loose n fall out.

i do: no fluoride toothpaste, Berkey fluoride filter on drinking water, no MSG, no aspartame [i use pure stevia w/no additives in my cocoa/coffee], coconut oil DAILY [very important], take vit K [5,000mcgs/day] to KEEP my calcium in my bones and not my BRAIN or my ARTERIES.

how we gonna survive the great econ reset if we are dead or worse[alzheimers]?????

and yes, Dr. G, i keep my fasting glucose level at 75-80

what's yours?

alzheimer's cured in MINUTES [with Enbrel---a arithritis anti-inflammatory drug]...they are probly STILL testing this........from '08[morons] :

WAYYYYY better than Aricept[alzheimer's drug]:


the Nobel Prize in Chemistry in 2008 was awarded to researchers Osamu Shimomura, Martin Chalfie, and Roger Y. Tsien for discovering this.............removes excess calcium from the brain......from jellyfish......

drugs like Aricept do nothing for the underlying disease process, are not effective for everyone, and, if they do help, do so only for a limited time. One courageous Johns Hopkins geriatric physician says the only reason these drugs are so widely used is "the understandable desperation of those who care for patients with Alzheimer's disease and a relentless promotional campaign by drug companies."

you should see the cafeteria at the Mayo clinic.......i have........hamburgers n french fries are the hot items..............nurses hitting on 'heaters' [ciggys] out back at the break table.

they get my shivering mom in there ONE MORE TIME and jack that thermostat down to 68 deg. [while the menopausal old nurses run around in sweaters!].............i'm going POSTAL! on their dumb a**es.

Nov 16, 2012 - 7:08am

i'd like to back the truck up

but i already did that.

lower than here thank ...god.........or Turd, actually

Nov 16, 2012 - 7:11am

All this nonsense on the fiscal cliff.

The countries financials fell over the cliff years ago.. The debt will never be brought down, never.

Just keep raising the debt ceiling like the only thing you know how until the masses finally figure out they better get ouy of US and all Monopoly money

sick of these games they play in these free markets..

Bobbejaan treefrog
Nov 16, 2012 - 7:13am

RE:- Postal & Courier Deliveries of Packages & Items

Treefrog said :-

Whenever i get a package from ups, i sign for it with any signature that comes to mind. george armstrong custer, kilgore trout, donald duck, whatever. they never question it, much less ask for i.d.

The delivery drivers generally get you to sign an electronic-pad ..... often BEFORE they will hand over the package for a close "not-been-tampered-with" inspection, PLUS they usually "rush you" & won't wait around for you to check the package-contents if there is a doubt.

My dad once had a "large-bag" delivery of Junk Silver coins, and innocently signed for it as it seemed ok (at a glance) in the delivery-driver's hands.

When we went to open it, we discovered that one small corner of the bag had been carefully "slit open" to allow about a quarter of the coins to be "siphoned / drained" from the bag, and the bag had then been re-sealed with a heat-sealer.

We immediately raised it with the seller (who fortunately knew us from prior purchases as being honourable), who in turn raised it with UPS .... only to have UPS disclaim any liability by them "attaching / transferring" the electronic signature from the E-pad to a (never before seen) "scam PDF document" stating that the package "had been closely inspected prior to signing and was in an untampered condition)".

Luckily for us, the seller had had similar problems before with other deliveries of his, and honourably replaced the stolen coins out of his own pocket .... but (from later conversations), he never did get reimbursed for the stolen coins from UPS.



EVER SINCE THEN, our family ALWAYS sign for ANY delivery using "Unchecked" in the signature box .... and we've never had a problem contesting bad-deliveries ever since.


That's something that readers who get regular signed-for deliveries might want to consider.

Nov 16, 2012 - 7:16am


K2, Mg, Kelp, all important. The Asthaxanthin stuff is the real deal, it has kept me from needing bifocals, and is a great natural sunscreen.

Back on your topic, Ashwagandha, and Indian herb, seems to reduce oxidative stress and seems to be as effective in controlling Alzheimers as some of the prescription drugs. Greenmedinfo has links to a bunch of studies. Since I've been taking it, my gray hair is starting to come in the old color.

On topic. Great experiences with Provident, except for the last two orders. The silver was supposed to be in stock, but the order didn't ship for 3 weeks. One of the orders was shipped FedEx ground against my instructions, which required me take a day off of work to wait for the delivery (they give you an 8 hour window). When I contacted them about this, they hung up on me. I guess they were trying to cut costs. The only problem is, they are 10 miles from my house and the whole shipping process took a week!

Green Lantern
Nov 16, 2012 - 7:18am


I agree with your political assessment. Even in an ideal scenario where the US and/or Britain, minded their own business and stopped patrolling the world, We would still have a military to protect our borders. Just as the founders suggested. Hopefully much less and mostly as a deterrent.

But none of that has anything to do with the spirit of aviation, speed, precision and a momentary feeling of freedom for the pilot and exhilaration for the spectator.

I went to a an air show last year. I didn't go for the air show, just to spend a day at the beach. But man was that fun!! Was I surprised. And I don't believe in war.

This needs to be added to the top ten list of low fly overs. CLASSIC!

Wayne's World (3/10) Movie CLIP - Baberaham Lincoln (1992) HD

A little British pride

The Red Arrows Royal Air Force Aerobatic Team
Nov 16, 2012 - 7:22am

Problems with Tulving?

Here is another horror story, a 60 oz order of gold.

Sounds like Hannes is semi retired and the store is being run into the ground by the kids.

Problems with Tulving --My last trade with them.

Nov 16, 2012 - 7:23am


I've heard Tulsi Tea is good for de-toxifying flouridated water

*Unlike Normal tea which actually concentrates flouride.

I avoid toothpaste if it has flouride in it, can be challenging finding it though, supermarkets where i live don't stock any flouride free toothpaste, in fact they all advertise high flouride like its a good thing!!! Kids will often swallow toothpaste or even just eat some out the tube so be careful about that.

Nov 16, 2012 - 7:31am


Oh all right I admit they can be cool! lol I agree with being able to defend yourself with force if need be.

Wasn't long ago i was against firearms and thought the US gun laws ridiculous. Oh how my views have changed!

Big Buffalo
Nov 16, 2012 - 7:32am

News affecting metals today

4:00AM IT:Merchandise Trade Actual: E1.56B Forecast: EBPrev: E0.59B 5:00AM EM:Merchandise Trade Actual: E11.3B Forecast: E8.5BPrev: E9.9B 9:00AM US:Treasury International Capital Actual: $B Forecast: $BPrev: $90.0B 9:15AM US:Industrial Production Actual: % Forecast: 0.2%Prev: 0.4%
Nov 16, 2012 - 7:34am

Again late, despite all that

Again late, despite all that happens during the day and USDx, GSR is moving down.

If we look only at this chart, some consolidation with even small reversal is possible for next few days, a breakout to about 34, 5 next week, then ... May be pullback to 33.. some stabilization there... Then may be silver finally restarts move up ( that would be within 2 weeks).

Nov 16, 2012 - 7:37am
Nov 16, 2012 - 7:38am

thanks optics

i'm on the AXE

i will look at ASH, again, with your personal info.

i am already taking handfulls of stuff so i have to weed things out some

one thing i never miss is 5000mgs vit c n 500 mgs lysine 2x-3x day per linus pauling.............has CLEANED my buddy's plugged artery that gave him heart attack 18 yrs. ago.......proven with recent dye-stress test[dangerous].......5-way bypass they did was completely plugged [arteries from legs n arms are NOT the same as around heart]


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