BLSBS Friday

177
Fri, Jan 6, 2012 - 11:19am

Well, it's BLSBS Friday once again. I could write another snappy missive regarding the bs and nonsense that is the latest monthly, wholly-manipulated government statistic but what would be the point? Instead, I thought you'd enjoy a video of Mrs F and I enjoying our coffee while listening to LIESman et al wax philosophic about the joys and wonders of delayed-reaction keynesianism.

Charlie Brown Teacher Speaking

Anyway, just read this and you'll get the real story:

https://www.zerohedge.com/news/real-jobless-rate-114-realistic-labor-force-participation-rate

The "market" for paper precious metal continues to be a joke. After having the audacity to trade up and through 1630 in the first hour of trading, gold was summarily crushed by the Forces of Darkness in the last 45 minutes or so. Whatever. The bad part is that I printed these charts an hour ago and now they're sort of obsolete. Sorry. I'd re-print them but my freaking printer just broke. UGH. It's going to be one of those days. Anyway, here are your charts.

First, here's an hourly gold. Again, gold rallied almost exactly to this line about an hour ago, only to be savagely attacked by the awaiting monkeys.

More significant are the daily and weekly charts. Here you can see that we are slowly making progress but now is still not the time to be extraordinarily bullish. When gold is finally allowed to clear 1640, I'll get interested. When gold then breaks back above 1700, I'll get wildly bullish.

At the risk of sounding like a broken record, silver continues to be actively suppressed. That said, let me state this clearly:

I am of the firm belief that the spike in April put the fear of God into the EE. They have manipulated the takedown ever since simply so that they can cover their massive short position and eventually transform it into a net long position. They are not yet finished with this project. We will be able to decipher when they are done by looking at the CoT reports and the charts.

Regarding the silver charts, you can clearly see a continuing desire to keep silver under $30. Why is $30 so important? A glance at these charts should tell you all you need to know.

Once silver breaks above the first downtrend line, confidence will rise that the forced "correction" is over and some spec money will begin returning to the pit. Breaking 30 will also set up the next stage, which would be a run toward $35 and the main, downtrend line that connects the highs of April with the highs of September. WHEN silver breaks back above that line, it's on! Until then, we can't be sure that the EE is ready to let it happen.

I must take a moment to update Pigatha, too. She is right back to the all-important 81.50 level this morning. Again, this level served to contain the rally last January. Will it do so again this January? Maybe. Since the euro makes up something like 55% of the POSX, further euro weakness will propel this index higher. As you can see, once through, 81.50, the next stop might be as high as 84.

Here are some items to add to your weekend reading list. First up, a 2012 look-ahead from Patrick Heller:

https://www.libertycoinservice.com/index.php?option=com_content&view=article&id=368:forecast-of-events-that-could-affect-gold-and-silver-prices-in-2012&catid=6:coin-update-articles&Itemid=29

Next up, please take time to read this article from Jeff Nielsen. He covers in great detail one of the central theses of this site. Namely, that the Fed is actively stimulating the purchase of treasuries, through their primary dealers. The idea that there is currently no QE is absolute nonsense. The PDs are simply doing the covert dirty work of the Fed. Again, without the PD buying, where would rates be? Rates would have to rise dramatically from current levels to attract actual, organic, free market buying. The U.S. government debt service cost for fiscal 2011 was $454B. What would it cost to service service the debt if the 10-year rate was 5% instead of 2%? Would would it cost at 8%? Rates, therefore, cannot be allowed to rise as higher rates would only serve to accelerate the unraveling of The Great Ponzi.

https://www.bullionbullscanada.com/index.php?option=com_content&view=article&id=23599:maximum-fraud-in-us-treasuries-market&catid=47:us-commentary&Itemid=132

Mr. Turk has weighed in on silver. He compares it to AAPL. I hate this comparison as it makes silver sound like some kind of fiat-based, wealth accumulation scam. However, his rationale and price targets jibe with mine, so, here you go:

https://kingworldnews.com/kingworldnews/KWN_DailyWeb/Entries/2012/1/5_James_Turk_-_Gold_is_Great,_But_Silver_is_the_Next_Apple.html

I spoke with The Tech Team this week and we are beginning to build the site changes that I mentioned in the video earlier this week. The changes are designed to enhance the revenue of the site which will, in turn, allow me to offer significant new levels of content. I hope to have these changes in place by the end of the month and I will keep you posted in the progress and what I am thinking. In the meantime, do not forget that the only revenue that this site receives is from the advertisements. The generous Turdite donations help considerably and I am extremely grateful for them. However, please continue to give our sponsors your occasional attention.

Lastly, I discovered a few days ago that one of my all-time favorite bands had called it quits. (Well, actually, they're going to try to continue without one of the founders but it won't be the same.) I first discovered the BoDeans back when I was in college. They wrote rock-and-roll songs about love and angst and longing. I was immediately hooked. The guys tried for almost 30 years to gain a national following and they actually came close a couple of times. Now, they're just beaten down old farts like me. God bless you Kurt and Sammy. A heartfelt hank you for providing part of the soundtrack to my life.

Here are the boys back in 1989, almost making it to the big time:

Video unavailable
BoDeans - You Don't Get Much - Live From the Pabst
BoDeans - Closer to Free (Live at Farm Aid 25)

As I close, I see that The Cartel counter-attacks have stopped and the metals are rebounding. Good. They'll probably be rangebound for the rest of the day. Enjoy your weekend. Check back tomorrow for release of the latest TFMR podcast. I had some technical difficulties in recording it but I think you'll enjoy it regardless.

TF

About the Author

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turd [at] tfmetalsreport [dot] com ()

  177 Comments

bigfoot
Jan 6, 2012 - 1:22pm

negative gold lease rates (again)

Hi everybody..............sorry to bring up a sore subject, but I just picked this chart off of Kitco this morning.

The last time this happened in early December, Gold got hammered. Hope I'm wrong but TPTB are a relentless and if history repeats they may be getting ready to raid again. I was planning on stacking 40 silver coins this morning, but think I might wait a few days till the "all clear" siren sounds.

boatman
Jan 6, 2012 - 1:23pm

@shill

i wish you could URL that run so i could email it around.

Ubergrinch
Jan 6, 2012 - 1:26pm

Newb Question

I'm new here. Does EE stand for Evil Empire?

Shill
Jan 6, 2012 - 1:28pm
Smiddywesson
Jan 6, 2012 - 1:32pm

Canaries in the coal mine

Certain events tell us TPTB are preparing for the unrest that will result when we reach the end of the road (devaluation or collapse). Others indicate that we are reaching that point soon. I keep a list of these things. I added another after I saw that jobs report. TPTB won't have to worry about future revisions when the jig is up, so the economic numbers will get even more delusional as we reach the end.

Other canaries in the coal mine we have seen lately:

Canaries in the coal mine:

  • Looting of federal pension funds to make ends meet
  • The Food Safety Modernization Act (Jan. 2011) gave the FDA and Homeland Security complete control over all food production, handling, and distribution, even your backyard garden.
  • China ramps gold purchases: In July through Sept of 2010, China bought about 10 tons of gold. In the same period for 2011, they bought 140 tons. By comparison, total gold imports in 2010 were only 120 tons. China is involved in panicked buying.
  • Open bickering about backing sovereign bailouts with gold reserves undermines the “gold is just tradition” game. Until recently, it was unthinkable to undermine the party line so openly.
  • Frequent rules changes, such as mark to market, which of course, mask the fact that there are no rules when governments are desperate.
  • Previously reluctant ratings agency trying to salvage their reputations because they know what’s coming.
  • Punishing ratings agencies and their execs for downgrading AAA ratings.
  • ECB and Fed reaching 75% gold reserves on the asset side of their balance sheets
  • Countries like Venezuela repatriating their gold
  • Bank runs in the EU and at BoA, but no media coverage
  • Open protests regarding economic conditions all over the world
  • Intervention in former safehaven currencies like the Swiss
  • Zero interest rates forever
  • Political leaders, finance ministers, and bankers retire to spend more time with their families, others allegedly attack maids who later turn out to be prostitutes.
  • Forceably replacing elected officials with bankers called “technocrats.”
  • Markets driven by rumors spread by political leaders who have run out of options.
  • Gold spikes down result in gold vendor sites experiencing technical difficulaties
  • Premiums on physical gold and silver rise.
  • China’s economy hits a brick wall
  • Defaults are not defaults, just a voluntary 50% haircut
  • Hypothecation saves the COMEX, thereby robbing clients and ruining the Comex.
  • Banks putting caps on how much money you can withdraw. (France, BoA)
  • Libyan oil trade in gold precipitates an invasion, and their gold disappears.
  • China agrees with Russia and Japan to do business without the US dollar
  • Elevation of the National Guard Bureau Chief to the Joint Chiefs of Staff
  • Indefinite detention of American Citizens without trial is quietly legalized.
  • SOPA to shut down troublemaker web sites
  • The emergency broadcast system is beefed up so it can be used to shut down access to information.
  • War drums with Iran and Syria.
  • The Chief Economist of the IMF gives a year end speech basically saying everything has to go perfectly for 20 years or it’s all over, which he says is unthinkable. He never mentions devaluation, not once.
  • Economic numbers will become more unbelieveable near the end, because there’s no costs to lying near the end.
Gold Five
Jan 6, 2012 - 1:33pm

PD = ?

Public Domain?
Price Discovery?
Paula Deen?

Shill
Jan 6, 2012 - 1:33pm
Tyler
Jan 6, 2012 - 1:43pm
Tyler
Jan 6, 2012 - 1:44pm

Oh and also on CNN

"Brothel workers support Ron Paul"

I can't tell if I'm laughing or crying

agauinvest
Jan 6, 2012 - 1:46pm

Smiddy

Was this 2011 year end? Anyone have a link to that speech? I'd like to read it.

"The Chief Economist of the IMF gives a year end speech basically saying everything has to go perfectly for 20 years or it’s all over, which he says is unthinkable. He never mentions devaluation, not once."

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