Foreign Affairs

224
Sat, Nov 26, 2011 - 12:55pm

Next week is shaping up to be an extremely volatile and tense week. At the surface, there is the ongoing concern over the EU and the future of the euro. Bubbling below the surface is something far more dangerous.

First, on Wednesday, there was this:

https://www.zerohedge.com/news/aircraft-carrier-cvn-77-parks-next-door-syria-just-us-urges-americans-leave-country-immediately

Which was followed by this:

https://www.zerohedge.com/news/russia-retaliates-against-us-puts-radar-station-combat-alert-prepares-take-out-european-missile

The only article I found concerning Medvedev's speech managed to minimize the concern by pointing out that all of the bluster was likely just "posturing before the next Russian presidential election". What the author failed to point out, however, is that Medvedev isn't running for re-election. Hmmm. So what do we make of it? What is going on here? Let's refer to the ageless wisdom of Admiral Painter:

Russians don't take a dump, son...

The Russians are clearly trying to send a signal to the U.S., NATO and the Arab League to NOT attack Syria and depose Assad the way they did Gaddafi. Syria is a longtime Russian ally in the region.

OK, so then we get this, from the media arm of The Mossad:

https://www.debka.com/article/21519/

Why would the Turks or the Israelis go to the trouble of wiping out 6 of Syria's "top pilots" if they weren't planning on assuming control of Syrian airspace in the near future?

https://news.yahoo.com/turkey-says-no-longer-tolerate-syria-bloodshed-113444151.html

And then we get this, also from debka. Looks like the Russian "plan" is escalating, too:

https://www.debka.com/article/21521/

Then, today, we are treated to this. Nothing like pissing off Pakistan, too, and at just the wrong time. You can bet your arse there will be mass rioting and anti-U.S. demonstrations in Pakistan over the next few days. Will there be sufficient chaos to unseat the ruling generals?

https://www.reuters.com/article/2011/11/26/us-pakistan-nato-idUSTRE7AP03S20111126

Just for a little background and color:

https://www.armscontrol.org/factsheets/Nuclearweaponswhohaswhat

And, to top it all off, there's this:

https://www.haaretz.com/news/diplomacy-defense/iran-general-threatens-retaliation-against-israel-nuclear-sites-1.397789

And this:

https://abcnews.go.com/International/wireStory/iran-threatens-hit-turkey-us-israel-attack-15032413#.TtEtds1OBhs

So, enjoy the rest of your weekend. Rest and relax but keep an eye on the headlines. Perhaps this will all just blow over. Could we be so lucky? I fear the worst, however, so I'll leave you with one more bit of wisdom and experience from Admiral Painter.

We'll Be Lucky to Live Through It

About the Author

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  224 Comments

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Moderator Washington
Nov 28, 2011 - 8:45am

We won't be hearing from Aram anymore

We won't be hearing from Aram anymore

Swift Boat VetAram
Nov 28, 2011 - 2:18am

Put a sock in it Aram!

Your childish tantrums today, because the moderator pulled a post of yours, bespeak of an agenda on your part. The mod explained why it was pulled and the explanation was more than sufficient reason for that action. This is not the first time you've had posts pulled. An adult would realize that repeated posting of the same cr*p that got yanked the first time is not only childish, but is exactly what trolls can't seem to stop doing as that seems to be more important than anything else. Crap gets deleted once, so you just wait until late the next night and do the same garbage with a link.

Turd has more patience than I for your childish insistence to post the same crap week in and week out. Other areas are reserved for you to rant on any subject your little heart desires ----- USE THEM !!!

Swifty

TheGreatKDTF
Nov 28, 2011 - 12:46am

Turd you know your on the right side !!!

Many will scoff & laugh but the Holy Bible tells it all end from beginning & history is being fulfilled before our very eyes. That is if they are open !!! KD

D.B. Cooper
Nov 28, 2011 - 12:13am

On the subject of AIPAC and

On the subject of AIPAC and Israel, here's a video that aired in Europe in 2007 on the AIPAC lobby and how it's taboo to discuss and talk about in the US. It's worth watching...

The Israel Lobby in the US - VPRO documentary - 2007
Subotai
Nov 27, 2011 - 11:53pm

@Drifter

How do I know what the military is telling Obama? I prefer not to say, but call it an educated guess. Anyone would reach the same conclusions, though, after a quick perusal of the scholarship coming out of the Army War College. It gives one a pretty good idea how most military minds look at things in the Middle East, especially Iran.

I encourage anyone that is convinced that we MUST prevent Iran from obtaining nuclear weapons to read what our sharper military minds say on the subject. In a nutshell, Iran will find nukes just about as useful as everyone else does - they have dubious value in preventing your country from being invaded, and are utterly useless for anything else. The Iranians may want to lob a radioactive payload at the Zionist Pigs, but one of two things will happen if they do: 1) They will kill tens of thousands of Palestinians as well, and Israel will obliterate them; or 2) they will fail. The only thing worse than committing mass genocide is failing to get the job done. Either way, whatever is left of Iran will have no friends, save maybe North Korea.

The last thing Iran wants is a conflict that provides anyone cover to assault their nuclear program. They will want to contain the violence within Syrian borders and rocket attacks from Lebanon, trying to goad the Israelis into invading Lebanon. Iran may or may not believe that the Israelis/Americans will inevitably strike, but either way they won't increase the risk, or guarantee it, by overtly intervening in Syria.

What is truly fascinating to me is how Russia is playing this. Despite their lack of any real ability to deter us, they are openly bellicose and providing some very dangerous weapons to the regime in Syria. It's almost as if they're falling victim to their own version of the domino theory. It doesn't make a lot of sense, given the popularity of Putin and Medvedev. It is unlikely the fall of the Syrian regime would change that appreciably. They must have reached a different conclusion than the rest of the world and believe Assad can weather the storm without their direct involvement, which can't possibly be in the cards.

Hold over
Nov 27, 2011 - 10:39pm

Israel is the only free

Israel is the only free nation in the middle east

Can the people of Gaza vote? Run for office? The Bull dozeing settlements,

I've seen the Israeli version of democracy ,not sure I can agree with you

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Drifter
Nov 27, 2011 - 10:34pm

@ Subotai

Sorry I don't buy it. You overlooked an obvious motivator for many of the parties involved- Iranian nuclear capability. Someone is going to smash it & general turmoil in the area is a good excuse. Iran, Syria, Hamas & Hezbollah have been getting ready for 2 years for the next big one and I doubt they see this as anything but an opportunity.

and this- "The military establishment is not stupid, and they are giving Obama the following assessment:"

how do you know what the military establishment is telling pres Obama?

Tyler
Nov 27, 2011 - 10:25pm

Subotai you make many good points

One thing to consider though - the elite/military have been building HUGE underground fallout shelters at a frantic pace in the US and other countries like Russia. Although a full-scale war is not effective from the mindset you mention, if the goal actually is destruction...

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