Late-day Levitation

Mon, Nov 21, 2011 - 4:13pm

After a particularly nasty global selloff this morning, everything from stocks to crude to the PMs are trying to bounce a bit this afternoon. I wouldn't get too excited, however.

We see this almost every day now...every down equity day, at least. Stocks decline and then, once the bad news flow ebbs a bit, stocks recover. This afternoon, it's not just stocks, it's almost everything. It's tempting to get a little optimistic. You might begin to feel that the storm has passed. Maybe it has. What do I know? I'm just saying...this has looked and felt really bad for about 3 or 4 days now and I feel like things are going to get a lot worse before they get any better.

On the bright side, we discussed this morning how buyers seemed to be emerging at $31 silver. Well, whaddayaknow...$31 continues to hold. In fact, the silver chart even has a little FUBM look to it. Again, caution must be observed here. Do not be surprised if $31 fails tomorrow or Wednesday. Stout and significant support does not look to be prevalent until we reach $30 and continue down toward $28.

Gold, on the other hand, looks terrible. Having decisively broken the trendline from the September lows, it looks almost certain to be headed even lower. I'd say 1650 is not far over the horizon and 1600 is likely. Sorry. I wish I had better news for you but I gotta call 'em like I see 'em.

There is absolutely no doubt in my mind that gold and silver are being deliberately jammed lower by the intervention of the U.S., Swiss and Japanese central banks, through their conduits, The Bullion Bank Cartel. Yes, some spec money is again flowing out of the pits as liquidity is raised worldwide. However, since September, central banks have played an active role in clipping over 10% from the price of gold, all during a time of extraordinary uncertainty and increasing fiat currency devaluation risk. Soon, the time will arrive when no more blood will be drawn from the stone...when all who can sell will have sold. This will be evident by CoT reports that show a stable spec position alongside an increasing commercial short position, all while price is dropping. Again, this day is coming but it's not here yet. Until then, stay cautious and bide your time.

Finally, late last week I promised "Dr Jerome" that I would publish on this main page a missive he included in the comments section of one of my posts. Nice work, Doc.

Before I go back to grading today...
Submitted by Dr Jerome on November 16, 2011 - 6:52am.
I have been ruminating ...

A close friend of mine was murdered last December 2. He was 70. Marched at gunpoint into his cellar and popped in the back of the head with a 22. All for a handful of silver coins. We know who the perp is! But the police have not made an arrest for a lack of evidence. They have a video of him selling the coins to a local dealer. No justice. and I have lost my trust in the police, in the whole system, and in the leadership ability of every politician I know of. And now, banks are ripping off people's trading accounts.

My employer will not allow Fidelity to release my 403b. I have to quit a good job to get the account. that is discouraging. My wife and I began investing real estate in 2006. today I am ready to walk away from 8 underwater properties as good renters are becoming scarce. I am disgusted and ready for a different life. I think I'll get what I want.

Given that Keynensian economics is is sinking and gasping for air, those who wish to defend it now have the burden of proof. Good luck with that. Yet our leaders still embrace it (publicly) and sing its praises to the citizens. But why did I swallow their Keynesian system, hook, line, and sinker, for most of my life? Why did I not start buying PMs years ago as many of you did?

At Harvard University in the mid 1700s, a student was expected to know Latin and Greek upon entry and develop a thorough mastery of logic and argumentation--what we call "critical thinking" today. Theology was a mainstay of education, providing a foundation of ethics. That means every educated person of the day could read legalese, argue effectively, and at least knew right from wrong. After the American civil war education began to change. Industry needed engineers and financiers. The casualties of education were Latin, rhetoric, and theology, as math, the hard sciences, and the social sciences elbowed their way into the curriculum. I don't need to mention what happened to philosophy as Neitchze pushed aside Plato, Benthem, and others. Don't even get me started on Derrida!

Another subject we absolutely do not teach in our school systems is money! People graduate from college with no grasp on credit, compounded interest, and certainly no ability to understand your typical zerohedge article. I wonder how many of you with degrees in economics did not really learn how money works until after you took a job in the financial industry or became a PM bug?
So our educational system turns out sheeple who lack the skills to evaluate arguments and evidence, who are unable to recognize sophism, and have no clue of how money works. Can you imagine a more docile population for the Banksters to fleece?

But the lack of an education in basic thinking skills puts one at a far greater risk than just losing your money to bankers and used car salesmen. You are unable to comprehend and judge the rhetoric of political wannabees at election time. Political rhetoric has degenerated into the shouting of slogans, presidential branding, and attack ads. Where is the honest debate of issues? I thought that was what the new mass media of radio and TV would bring us... Oh, I forgot, you have to have a ton of money to use those...hmmm, who has that kind of money? Only now are the changes wrought by the internet being felt. Look out, EE.

I ran for student council in the 6th grade. IN the polls we were neck and neck. I lost, but I learned a valuabe lesson. "Promise those who vote for me a bowl of ice cream at my house after school!" That is what my opponent did (his name was Clinton, really), and he won. My best friend even voted for him. And he never got his promised ice cream (true story). Aha, Plato was right! In democracy, politicians pander to the voters and get elected. Then they can legislate whatever they want, such as insider trading. And at election time, here come the promises of ice cream again. Why don't people see thorugh it? Oh yeah, they are not really educated. But I didn't need to tell you that.

But I will tell you this: At my large midwest, Big 10 university, where we do NOT teach you to read legal documents, how to argue, or what's right and wrong, we DO promote diversity. Diversity is everywhere! There is a diversity statement appended to almost every document we write--sometimes very awkwardly. So why do we promote this so religiously? It wouldn't have anything to do with a one world government, would it? (couldnt resist). If I were a conspiracy theorist, I would see one grand scheme to shape the minds of people to discount radicals like Turd and embrace a new world.

But silver could bring it all crashing down.
The financial world is precariously hanging by a Keynsian thread hoping for ... something... To to hold it together, to keep inflation in check, the EE manipulates the price of oil, gold, food--every commodity can be controlled by a heavy hitter in the futures market. But there is enough gold, oil and corn to deliver that there really is no risk of the store not being able to deliver the goods. As many people who want it can have it.
Except for silver!
The CME has a measly 32 million ounces of silver on the shelves. 6000 contracts! If the sellers cannot deliver, the CME will be shown to be a fraud--a store that takes your money but cannot deliver. Trust will be broken. The buyers will leave. How would the EE control the price of the big items then?

Nobody could defeat the mighty Achllies. He was invincible. No weaknesses. Divine protection. Dipped in the river Styx to make him unassailable, except for his heel, by which his mother held him as she dipped. A goddes told the wimpy Paris of his weakness, and a lucky shot with his bow, guided by the goddess, felled the hero.

Max Kieser was right! Silver is the cartel's "Achilles heel." If we all keep stacking bars, rounds, eagles, junk & jewelry, eventually the silver will all be hoarded away in holes, closets, safes, and lost in canoeing accidents (alas). And the CME may be exposed.

A default by Italy or France could freeze global liquidity much sooner. If Greece brought down MF Global, perhaps Italy or France can bring down the rest. And if their liquidity dries up, they may not have the fiat available to keep selling the paper silver in the CME. One can always hope. December may be very interesting. I'll be reading Harvey Organ's play by play every night. And I am going to buy some more silver.

Silver! Not an investment... a revolution!

OK, that's all for now. Keep an eye on things overnight. The craziness will continue. TF

About the Author

turd [at] tfmetalsreport [dot] com ()


Fr. Bill
Nov 21, 2011 - 4:21pm



Nov 21, 2011 - 4:21pm

I'm #1!


Nov 21, 2011 - 4:21pm

Just missed it!


Nov 21, 2011 - 4:32pm

Damn, you moderators are fast

Damn, you moderators are fast at sniping down those retard-bots that come to spread government gloom. I was just going to say something to the tune that maybe someone needed a brain exam, but no need now :)

Nov 21, 2011 - 4:37pm

Thanks for the update - sure

Thanks for the update - sure get the felling that we're going to be exploring some lower numbers before this turns back to the upside.

Wow - $1600 on Gold - Turd says that's likely - would not have imagined it possible a couple of weeks ago.

I have a fair amount of "dry powder" in reserve and am holding it for an opportunity to get back in on some of my Miners as well as adding another sizeable tranche to the stack.

Nov 21, 2011 - 4:38pm


or fifth................probably 6th by now. Oh well.

Thanks TF. Looks like a resting spot for right now for the metals to see what might break in the Asian market.

I'm pretty sure another Yen intervention is going to happen soon. They pegged it back at 80 briefly 2 weeks ago and now look at it. Tonight maybe. All the way back up to the high 77's? The BOJ can't like what they're seeing. Not much bang for the Yen.

That super committee BS is about to come out. Just watch the reaction in the Asian market at some point on that news. Watch that jpy/usd around 8:00

Another thumbs up to Dr. Jerome

Nov 21, 2011 - 4:42pm

Letter to congress critters

I sent the following to my honorable so-and-so's in Congress. As I indicate in the concluding paragraph, I don't expect anything to happen, but I needed to vent my contempt for our ruling elite.

"On November 1, I learned that former Goldman Sachs CEO, former US Senator, former NJ Governor and world-class Obama fundraiser Jon Corzine had pioneered new frontiers in financial fraud at MF Global. I just learned that the extent of Corzine’s MF’n fraud now stands at about $1.5 billion rather than the $600 million originally estimated. Three weeks have passed, yet Corzine and his criminal associates still walk free, apparently unconcerned about prosecution for this enormous crime. This situation raises a few questions.

"How can a reasonable person have any confidence in any financial institution – bank, stockbroker, insurance company, or futures broker – or that any security is worthy of their trust as long as Jon Corzine walks free? Corzine knew the magnitude of the risk MFn Global took by buying European sovereign junk bonds, and he knew that he was violating a sacrosanct trust when he used segregated client funds to collateralize his risky bets. Let us put this in historical perspective. MF Global had roots dating back to the 1700s. US futures markets originated shortly after the Civil War and, throughout history, no US futures commission merchant failed to return funds in its clients’ segregated accounts in the event of bankruptcy. As in never. Not in the Panic of 1906. Not in the Great Depression. Not during two world wars. Not during the 1970s stagflation. Not in the 1987 crash. Not in the 2008 financial crisis. Not until Jon Corzine took over the helm at MF Global two years ago and ripped off its clients in 2011. As long as Corzine and his criminal associates walk free, many investors like me observe the fact that the politically powerful and well-connected can steal money from depositors with impunity in 21st century America. Liberty and justice for all? As Nancy Pelosi would say, “Are you serious?”

"If a financial firm can buy junk bonds with 50:1 leverage and no capital to backstop losses, why is internet poker prohibited? Particularly since the former jeopardizes the entire financial system if that firm steals customer money to cover margin calls, which is almost inevitable in the current regime, and the latter is just a recreational activity of no particular consequence?

The ruling elite has certainly prostituted Lady Justice to favor the powerful and politically connected and perverted the rule of law into the law of rulers. So what is the point of your Congress if it cannot constrain the abuses of your government and compel it to execute justice?

"I lost $15,000 to Jon Corzine’s fraud at MFn Global. I’m not asking for a bailout. I don’t want sympathy. I am demanding justice. Something like an arrest warrant for Jon Corzine and his criminal associates, a perp walk, material witness detention of all MF Global officers and board members, a thorough investigation, a satisfactory accounting, a fair trial for the criminals, and a first-class hanging. I demand justice, but have no confidence whatsoever in your corrupt government to provide the rule of law."

Nov 21, 2011 - 4:43pm

Silver as the Achilles heel

My understanding is that there is not enough gold in existence for a truly gold backed system, even with fractional reserve banking. Since silver is much more plentiful, my thinking is that it would benefit society to have a dual backed currency of both gold and silver with a fixed exchange between the two globally so we do not have a repeat of the 1300's. This would make the money supply more plentiful and less able to be manipulated and inflated which I suppose is why the concept of monetizing silver has been fought so extensively. The desire by the elite is not to benefit society but for absolute power and control. If they actually cared to build society up and not tear it down this would have been allowed a long time ago. Because of this I can think of no positives about a new world currency coming into fruition. I expect the EE to go down, but not without great suffering on the part of mankind, followed by an epic battle to end all battles.

Nov 21, 2011 - 4:47pm

This only sucks

if you need to sell your stack to acquire some cash in the next few months because of ones' 'financial mismanagement' and! if you just recently bought. Otherwise, yawn:






the PM smack down check list:

1) What has changed in the financial world? A. Nothing

2) Are the fundamentals still there to hold phsyical Au/Ag. A. Yes, and then some.

3) Have we answered why this shakedown is happening. A. Yes. Profit taking and/or manipulations. Same f**kin shit.

4) Should we still be stacking and hoarding? A. Absolutely. Of course!


Light up a joint and lets get baked... its 4:46pm



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