Three Overnight Items

125
Mon, Aug 15, 2011 - 10:08pm

Gold and silver performed exactly as expected today. Now that we're moving higher again, where do we go from here? The charts below will help.

I mentioned back on Friday that I was going to be participating in an interview of Clif High, the founder of the WebBot Project. Here's a link to Clif's Wiki page and site:

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Web_Bot

https://www.halfpasthuman.com/

The full interview has now been posted to YouTube. Yours truly primarily appears in segment number one but I'd encourage you to listen to the entire interview.

https://www.youtube.com/user/webbotforumcom#p/c/B999009A902B0C2A/0/stbU3...

Lastly, The Golden Jackass sent me a terrific and detailed email earlier today. He has also given permission to post it here. As you know, Jim is one of the few good guys who isn't afraid to speak his mind. He's also a Turdite. His website and subscription service can be found here:

https://www.goldenjackass.com/

Jim Willie CB to me

Hey you big Turd-bag
this is the Dirt-bag, aka Jackass Extraordinaire

interesting how Silver is negatively correlated with the USDollar
but so is the US stock market, which grew dependent upon weakness perversely
strange how over the last 18 months the S&P500 stock index became part of the USD Carry Trade
very interesting, almost recognized by the mainstream monkeys too
they failed to realize that the DJIA and S&P indexes merely preserved purchase power, not a bull market
but it means that Silver falls with the S&P500 stocks unfortunately
it will take a couple months to separate the two

the Global QE will in my opinion replace the US QE
it will take the heat off the USFed and the clueless Bernanke
has Ben gotten a single analytic perspective correct in four years ??
I think not
in fact, the Jackass and Big Ben are always on opposite sides, and Ben is wrong every time
with the Bank of Japan buying the USTBond and the Swiss Natl Bank pulling down the Franc currency,
we have the makings of a Global QE
all it needs is a G-7 Meeting with the confused broken central bankers to join hands and sing together

my thinking is that Silver has toyed around and dithered under $40 long enough
it has built a strong base, and shows absolutely zero interest in going below 38
that means the only trade is on the long side, which means over 40
the Weak USDollar trade will be replaced by a Weak Western Major Currency trade
see the USDollar, Euro, and British Pound, all of which all circling the FOREX toilet
the objective of the major central bankers will be to keep the exchange rates calm controlled contained
they can then claim FOREX is stable, mission accomplished, even though the commodity prices will rise again

some money will move from Gold profits to Silver buys, a big new upcoming factor
this is the next important phenomenon along with Large Commercials covering their short positions
I have stated many times that Gold fights the big important political battles
but Silver rides through on a white horse and take triple sized gains
this time is no different and Gold has broken a wide gap in their criminal fortress wall
to be sure, some claim Silver has too much of an industrial component
it does, but it is a staple with stable demand
the big added demand is from investment demand, a powerful new global factor led by the Chinese and Indians
Silver demand is still nearly equal in US$ volume as Gold, an amazing fact

my solid reliable experienced Gold trader contact reports that investment grade Gold bullion comes with a price premium of 25%
and that Silver bullion comes with around a 20% price premium, both versus the COMEX paper prices
he calls the COMEX almost completely irrelevant, but still watched by sheep
translation: Gold is now at $2000 and Silver is almost now at $50

please post this note on your weblog if you wish
any quick thoughts in reply would be appreciated and valued, never depreciated, surely not deprecated
best wishes to you and all the other Turd-lets
greetings from the Land of Jackass Wannabees
/ jim

Have a great overnight/early Tuesday. See you in the U.S. a.m. TF

About the Author

Founder
turd [at] tfmetalsreport [dot] com ()

  125 Comments

UncleFester
Aug 16, 2011 - 12:00am

Yeoman

With the introduction of the Euro and the WAG, both in 1999, the paper price of gold is no longer real. What is the real paper currency price of gold? That is the question of all questions. The international cartel of counterfeiters (EE) already know, the rest of the world does not! As this price discovery unfolds, one will find discrepancies in the paper and physical price to be more prevalent as time goes on. You are already seeing this with the difference in brent and crude oil. Next on the agenda is gold. Make no mistake...this is a currency crises! In a currency crises, the crack-ups can appear weird and non-intuitive. There is wealth to be made on the arbitrage, but that is too fluxional for most commoners. Better to keep stacking while the giants play, no?

UFester

Bay of Pigs
Aug 16, 2011 - 12:02am

RE:Jim Willie

Been a subscriber for a very long time and had the pleasure of talking to Jim on a few occasions at the Cambridge House Conferences. Shot the breeze with me one on one for 20 minutes or so. He is very bright guy, a fine gent and has rock solid analysis/newsletter.

Sadly, he doesn't attend those shows anymore. Why, I'm not exactly sure. Probably because he lives in Costa Rica now.

I'd love to see both him and Turd on a panel with the GATA boys teeing off on Nadler and Christian. I'd pay to watch that...

A big Hell Yeah to Turd and the Golden Jackass!

FogHorn LegHorn
Aug 16, 2011 - 12:05am

TF and Jim Willie it just gets better and better

Thank You, both! This is becoming the premier learning resource for noobs and old cranky cynics like Me, and everyone in between! Jim your posts are some of my favorites, the depth of Your understanding, offered up in Your, "Classic no bull" format, Top shelf stuff! Your current take on Silver is spot on in my opinion. Hat tips to you Sir!!

TheYeomanFarmer
Aug 16, 2011 - 12:07am

Prices

UncleFester, I understand the price discovery issues. And, Darth, I've never tried to purchase 50,000 oz (I wish I had those kinds of resources to invest). But I guess I still don't understand what's preventing a person from purchasing 10 Comex silver contracts, at the current "paper" price, and standing for delivery of the fifty 1,000oz bars. Has anyone tried it and been told they need to pony up an extra 20% to convert the contract into physical?

If/When that actually starts happening, things will get very interesting indeed.

Rui
Aug 16, 2011 - 12:07am

Be careful of keeping your gold in Switzerland

A few weeks ago Jim Willie mentioned that he heard about stories that some Switzerland bank was actually unable to deliver phyzz gold to ALLOCATED accounts. He talked about it in the past and received death threats b/c of it. That mess was still not sorted out the last time he talked about it. I think there's a public audio interview on Black Swam that he talked about it. Check it out, folks.

Don't trust these bankers easily, be it US banks or foreign ones.

Xeno
Aug 16, 2011 - 12:11am

WOW GJA & TF!


Thanks Turd for posting the Jim Willie email and thanks Dr. Willie for allowing it to be posted.

Golden Jackass, dirt bag, no matter. A few years ago the belligerent one and I exchanged an email or two and I can say there isn't a more straight shootin' S.O.A.G. to be with in one's corner. Always upfront, no b.s. sugar coatings, and more than worth the read, subscription, and education. Thanks Dr. Willie.

I suspect that Big Jim was coaching Dylan Radigan or at the very least that Dylan is a Golden Jackass subscriber. If not, he ought to at least be a Turdite.

I can see it now, The Golden Jackass and the big Turd team up and leave us all some golden road apples along the way. Now there's a thought that'll give someone nightmares ay Blythe? Ruprect? Timmy? Jeffrey?

Josephj36
Aug 16, 2011 - 12:18am
UncleFester
Aug 16, 2011 - 12:18am

Yeoman

Smarter than I can tell you the # of contracts required before delivery of physical can be stood for, and the # required to break the COMEX. Indeed, that would make for fireworks at the LBMA and COMEX. This has been done in the past, see Hunt brothers in the late 1970's. That was squashed with the Volker rule + changes to the COMEX delivery rules. Basically, the Hunts fought the law and the law won. The law doesn't have the head room to pull those shenanigans again, IMHO. Raising rates would bankrupt every sovereign in the western hemisphere...then again, maybe that is the plan!

UFester

murphyRui
Aug 16, 2011 - 12:22am

@Rui

I really respect and value James Turk's opinions from Goldmoney. When talking about pm's with any of his guests he always says the physical has no counter party risk. I would agree if one holds their own. But, what about his operation? His vaults are in Switz., London and Hong Kong. Are they susceptible to counter party risk? I believe you are referring to "normal banks"?

Shill
Aug 16, 2011 - 12:25am

I had to catch this before called it a night

Jon Stewart calls out mainstream medias disconnect from Ron Paul!
YouTube - Daily Show - Ron Paul 8/15
Well done !

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