Fri, Jul 22, 2011 - 10:21pm

Just two simple charts for you to chew on over the weekend. I'll be unavailable for a couple of days as I'm headed to where the streets have no name. It'll be a sort of homecoming for me in the city of blinding lights, out there in God's country, where the land is often as white as snow. This time of year, however, it should be a couple of beautiful days.

First up, here's a weekly silver. As you can see, the uptrend from 2010 appears to be firmly intact. This chart confirms for me, however, that silver, above 40, will encounter some resistance around 42 to 42.50. It won't be the end of the world but there may be a period of a few weeks where gold will outperform. Ah...silver and gold. What a pair! Two hearts that beat as one!

Gold, on the other hand, looks magnificent...almost like staring at the sun. Gold may often seem to move in mysterious ways but, in fact, it moves with grace. Once you realize that the goal of The Cartel is to manage its ascent, you can begin to see, and rely upon, repeating patterns. The most grand of patterns is evident on the chart below:

The pattern above is not just the real thing, it's even better than the real thing. Note how, since 2009, gold has followed a six-month pattern of, roughly, 20 weeks UP followed by 6 weeks down. It may appear out of control but it is, in fact, the sweetest thing. Gold is now clearly into its next 20 week UP cycle. Following pattern, we should expect a mid-November high, somewhere in the neighborhood of $1800. Not bad.

That's it for now. I must walk on with or without you. I hope you have a great weekend though of course, some days are better than others. This is my exit but I'll be back in three sunrises. TF

About the Author

turd [at] tfmetalsreport [dot] com ()


Jul 22, 2011 - 11:18pm
Jul 22, 2011 - 11:29pm

Enjoy your weekend, Turd !

We are comforted, knowing that the Casinos you may visit will treat you more honestly than The Cartel ! Monedas 2011 Ever vigilant with his freedom affirming humour !

Jul 22, 2011 - 11:59pm

@Turd You are going to see U2

@Turd You are going to see U2 in Colorado?

Jul 23, 2011 - 12:02am

I got it. He's going to see

I got it. He's going to see Spiderman on Broadway!

Jul 23, 2011 - 12:04am


One guy, definitely gets it. Ron Paul

Ron Paul: "We Will Default Because The Debt Is Unsustainable"
Jul 23, 2011 - 12:08am

Have fun...

I hope you have a rockin' good time.

Jul 23, 2011 - 12:09am

had a few, hope my math isn't off

1600 to 1800 gold (Turd's guess):

GLD gain of 12.5%, DGP gain of 25%

40-50 silver in the same time frame (my personal guess):

SLV gain of 25%, AGQ gain of 50%

Jul 23, 2011 - 12:41am

lol GoodDoctor

If he does, I'll guard his car.

Blight Master
Jul 23, 2011 - 12:51am

Coin shows

Got a local coin show this weekend to hopefully do some stacking. To those new to stacking phyzz ask your LCS about coin shows and clubs. Why pay a 4.95 Premium plus postage or tax over spot when there's hundreds of other people that have been stacking longer than most of us in our own neighborhoods that just need to cash in a little metal to pay bills. I usually always manage to stack a good bit under spot at shows and can find cool numismatic stuff at spot now that silver is so high. Best of all, no paper trails, and you build a good relationship with people of similar interests that will buy your PM's at or just under spot should you ever get tight and need some FRN's to pay the bills. The old timers can give you some amazing perspectives on the state of the PM's market through the last century as well.

Jul 23, 2011 - 1:33am

CPL end of the Month SHTF

Anyone else watching CPL on the Paul Ryan thread at ZH??? Hopefully he is just more despondent than usual, and loaded up on scotch and downers. Hopefully it's just noise, but it sounds like anon et al are planning something big for the end of the month... keep your powder dry. Please check out the conspiracy theory section of the forums for more info.... as Zero Hedge is down for scheduled maintenance??? ​Granted I've only been a ZHer for a year, but shit is starting to get strange...

CPL has his cards on the table. If nothing happens by the end of the month, I guess we all know he is full of shit. If his paranoid rantings have even a shred of truth... buckle up.

Hugh needs a drink

Subscribe or login to read all comments.


Donate Shop

Get Your Subscriber Benefits

Private iTunes feed for all TF Metals Report podcasts, and access to Vault member forum discussions!

Key Economic Events Week of 2/24

2/25 9:00 ET Case-Shiller home prices
2/26 10:00 ET New home sales
2/27 8:30 ET Q4 GDP second guess
2/27 8:30 ET Durable Goods
2/27 11:30 ET Goon Evans speech
2/28 8:30 ET Pers Income and Spending
2/28 8:30 ET Core Inflation
2/28 9:45 ET Chicago PMI

Key Economic Events Week of 2/17

2/18 8:30 ET Empire St Manu Idx
2/19 8:30 ET Producer Price Idx
2/19 8:30 ET Housing Starts & Bldg Perms
2/19 2:00 ET January FOMC minutes
2/20 8:30 ET Philly Fed
2/21 Fed Goons all day at Chicago Conf.
2/21 9:45 ET Markit flash Feb PMIs

Key Economic Events Week of 2/10

2/11 10:00 ET Job Openings
2/11 10:00 ET CGP Hump-Hawk House
2/12 10:00 ET CGP Hump-Hawk Senate
2/13 8:30 ET CPI
2/14 8:30 ET Retail Sales
2/14 9:15 ET Cap Ute & Ind Prod
2/14 10:00 ET Business Inventories

Key Economic Events Week of 2/3

2/4 10:00 ET Factory Orders
2/5 8:15 ET ADP Employment
2/5 9:45 ET Markit Service PMI
2/5 10:00 ET ISM Service PMI
2/6 8:30 ET Productivity & Unit Labor Costs
2/7 8:30 ET BLSBS
2/7 10:00 ET Wholesale Inventories

Key Economic Events Week of 1/27

1/28 8:30 ET Durable Goods
1/28 10:00 ET Consumer Confidence
1/29 10:00 ET Pending Home Sales
1/29 2:00 pm ET FOMC Fedlines
1/29 2:30 pm ET Powell presser
1/30 8:30 ET Q4 GDP first guess
1/31 8:30 ET Pers Inc and Spending
1/31 9:45 ET Chicago PMI
2/2 10:00 pm ET Chiefs win SB LIV

Key Economic Events Week of 1/13

1/14 8:30 ET CPI
1/14 9:00 ET Goon Williams
1/15 8:30 ET PPI and Empire Fed
1/16 8:30 ET Retail Sales and Philly Fed
1/17 8:30 ET Housing Starts
1/17 9:15 Et Cap Ute and Ind Prod

Key Economic Events Week of 1/6

1/7 8:30 ET US trade deficit
1/7 10:00 ET ISM Services PMI
1/7 10:00 ET Factory Orders
1/8 8:15 ET ADP employment
1/9 8:00 ET Goon Chlamydia speech
1/9 1:20 ET Goon Evans 2:00 ET Goon Bullard
1/10 8:30 ET BLSBS
1/10 10:00 ET Wholesale Inventories

Key Economic Events Week of 12/16

12/16 8:30 ET Empire State Manu Idx
12/16 9:45 ET Markit flash PMIs Dec
12/17 8:30 ET Housing Starts and Bldg Perms
12/17 9:15 ET Cap Ute and Ind Prod
12/19 8:30 ET Philly Fed
12/20 8:30 ET Final guess Q3 GDP
12/20 10:00 ET Pers Inc and Spending
12/20 10:00 ET Core Inflation

Key Economic Events Week of 12/9

12/10 8:30 ET Productivity and Unit Labor Costs
12/11 8:30 ET CPI
12/11 2:00 pm ET FOMC fedlines
12/11 2:30 pm ET CGP presser
12/12 8:30 ET PPI
12/13 8:30 ET Retail Sales
12/13 10:00 ET Business Inventories
12/13 11:00 ET Goon Williams speech

Key Economic Events Week of 12/2

12/2 9:45 ET Markit Manu PMI
12/2 10:00 ET ISM Manu PMI
12/2 10:00 ET Construction Spending
12/4 9:45 ET Markit Services PMI
12/4 10:00 ET ISM Services PMI
12/5 8:30 ET Trade Deficit
12/5 10:00 ET Factory Orders
12/6 8:30 ET BLSBS
12/6 10:00 ET Wholesale Inventories

Forum Discussion

by Green Lantern, 38 min 37 sec ago
by Green Lantern, 1 hour 13 min ago
by Green Lantern, 7 hours 16 min ago
by allenb, Feb 25, 2020 - 11:16pm
by Green Lantern, Feb 25, 2020 - 6:49pm