To Recess or Not To Recess

That is the question. For yours truly, the end result has always been stagflation and the US (and world) is definitely headed in that direction. But today's economic data seemed to forestall the recession talk for now and that has helped to drive the Comex metals backward...again.

Today's two datapoints were Retail Sales and the latest Capacity Utilization & Industrial Production numbers. Both came in stronger than expected and the prevailing "wisdom" is that this suggests that the US is not (yet) in a recession.

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Key Economic Events Week of 11/28

11/28 12:00 ET Goon Bullard
11/28 12:00 ET Goon Williams
11/29 9:00 ET Case-Shiller home prices
11/29 10:00 ET Consumer Confidence
11/30 8:15 ET ADP jobs report
11/30 8:30 ET Q3 GDP 2nd guess
11/30 9:45 ET Chicago PMI
11/30 10:00 ET JOLTS
11/30 1:30 ET Chief Goon Powell
12/1 8:30 ET PCE and Core PCE
12/1 8:30 ET Consumer Inc and Spend
12/1 9:30 ET Goon Bowman
12/1 9:45 ET S&P Manu PMI
12/1 10:00 ET ISM Manu PMI
12/2 8:30 ET BLSBS

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