TFMR Podcast #23 - The Jim Willie Trifecta
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On Wednesday, I spoke again with the inimitable Golden Jackass, Jim Willie.
First of all, I hope you've got some time to devote to listening as this baby clocks in at about 55 minutes. I tell you what, though, it's well worth your time. Think of it as two acts. In the opening act, Jim answers some of the Turdite questions that were submitted earlier this week. We tried to cover as many as we could but we only got to 5 or 6 of them. The questions were so good that it took a while to answer them but we tried our best to hit the most popular queries. In act two, Jim and I discuss current events and the developing "black hole" of the U.S. treasury market and U.S. government deficit funding.
Jim's on his game here so sit back, relax, maybe crack a cold one and enjoy.
Jim Willie

Jim Willie is an original. If you want to be official about it, you can call Jim a "statistical analyst" as Jim has a PhD in statistics from Carnegie Mellon. Since 2004, however, he's simply been known as "The Golden Jackass".
Through his website http://www.goldenjackass.com/ Jim has developed a subscription-based newsletter service which is second-to-none in its quality and its "outside-the-box" thinking. Jim's very affordable service, The Hat Trick Letter, can be found here: http://www.goldenjackass.com/subscribe.html
p.s. As you can tell by his bio picture, he has an extraordinarily large brain, which he uses to all of our benefit.
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Comments
France is a PIG !!
I Love that, good ol` Jim.
Great link on Barnhardt.biz
No matter what you think of Ann Barnhardt, you have to admit, she walks the walk she talks about.
On the top of her site tonight was a link to alt-market.com article by Brandon Smith that pretty much sums up my opinion as to the upcoming election:
http://www.alt-market.com/articles/838-the-lesser-of-two-evils-con-game
One quote:
George Carlin summed it up nicely in this clip:
We need another George Carlin these days, I miss him.
If my only choice this fall is between Romney and Obama, and that sure looks like that's what it'll be, I've decided I'll sit this one out. Voting for the lesser of two evils is still voting for evil.
[EDIT]
Here's the video from the above link which compares Romney with Obama - worth a watch:
FREE (JIM) WILLY
New Hope Flavor Kool-aid....
One World
One World - n., adj. the idea that all the people's of the Earth (are forced to) work together for one thing, the supporting of the USD, and suppression of PM's, in a race to the dismal bottom. (See also, 'Globalism'.)
My take on the interview
I like the two of you, Turd and jackass, talk about financials. Thanks for the interview.
The new idea i heard was that one day the FED could stop being central bank, being the corporation that they are ;) Intriguing.
The rest of the interview was, for the most part, known from previous interviews.
What i missed:
1) still very few details about the sheriff from the east. 15 billion dollars is a lot of money, but nothing the banks with the FED and their trillions behind them could not handle...I raised the question before, who are they. Because, a lot of the story of Jim is based on this new sheriff, and if we want to form ourselves an idea about how powerful they are and who's side they are on you have to know more about their identity.
2) It does matter if the FED brings out another overt QE or not. Because it will tell us if they chose sides with Obama or Romney (even if they are opposite sides of the same coin). It is actually quite telling, and as such i found that to be a chance missed in the interview. (you asked it Turd but i was not happy with the answer from Jackass ;)
3) all the interviews, this one not excluded, sort of have a tone of disbelief at how stupid the powers are...where as i think Bernanke, the FED, others, are not stupid at all, but merely acting according to a plan. Yes, i realize this brings in a lot of assumptions, guessing, conspiracy if you will, but once you accept the reality that these people are busy crashing the world on their terms, a lot of things start to make more sense. And the interviews get more depth as well, because it becomes like chess..what is their plan, what is their next move, where do they want to be in 10 steps.....
Did Jim Willie just plagiarize?
Sounds like Jim's unnamed "friend" just quoted a piece straight out of Martin Armstrong's newest published work from yesterday called "Truth about Gold, why you should buy gold now," on his unofficial website http://martinarmstrong.org/
Here is a little snippet
"They were convinced that in order to get out of the massive debt, the US would adopt a two-tier monetary system making external dollars BLUE and domestic GREEN and this these external dollars would decline in value DEFLATE and thus the solution was to sell Euro Dollars and move all deposits to domestic. That drove the dollar higher and the Euro Dollar deposits dropped by nearly 50%. So the end result can be far more complicated than the simple linear idea that they will just print into HYPERINFLATION. Sounds nice! It just can’t happen. Furthermore in the core economy – that is the peripheral fringe. HYPERINFLATION is possible only in a peripheral fringe economy because the rest of the world around it is STABLE. That allows capital to flee outside the economy helping to create the HYPERINFLATION lacking reserves. When you are talking about the CORE economy instead of the fringe such as Germany in the 1920s or Zimbabwe, it is no longer possible for capital to flee to other nations because there is nothing stable to run to. If the USA were to move into that sort of scenario, the entire world would collapse. What are you going to buy. Euro bonds. Yen bonds. They are better. Big institutional money still needs the dollar. The flight-to-quality is still taking place."
Check it out. He's a brilliant, sensible man. He predicted the famous market crash in the 80's to the very DAY, as well as several other market crashes around the world. Read his bio. He's pro gold, but he's not a cult leader for the 24/7 gold bull crowd. God knows there are plenty of those around.
Also, just my suggestion, but you should be skeptical of people who constantly refer to a special "friend" or "contact" who always seems to be anonymous. Its an age old tactic. Create an imaginary friend to express your unfounded predictions in order to dodge the blame when it doesn't come to pass. You may be familiar with a few others who use this tactic, such as Pastor Lindsey Williams and Alex Jones, both of whom are constantly, incessantly proclaiming something, and also somehow simultaneously making money.
Central banks, ? German savers preparing for QEx
Edited to add more links at 8:45 GMT
FAZ, Germany's best newspaper, this morning baldly asserts the rumours mentioned on ZH yesterday. http://www.faz.net/aktuell/wirtschaft/wahlen-in-griechenland-notenbanken-bereiten-offenbar-notoperationen-vor-11786656.html (google translate if necessary).
If Tsipras wins or there is too much chaos, FAZ is expecting coordinated Central Bank intervention.
The BofE in the UK has announced a huge extension of the UK bond carry trade that may be/become a form of QE.
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/finance/debt-crisis-live/9333028/Debt-crisis-live.html
Reuters reports that the electronic bank run in Greece has reached a critical point.
http://www.reuters.com/video/2012/06/13/reuters-tv-greek-banks-may-be-only-days-away-from-c?videoId=235973209
ZH this morning carries a Wall Street analysis with three scenarios: 1) Greece pro euro, Gold unch. 2) Greece anti euro, robust EU response, Gold up. 3) Greece anti euro, inadequate EU response, Gold down. I would concur but only in the very short term.
http://www.zerohedge.com/news/positioning-weekend-bofas-risk-cheat-sheet
Global MSM is now reporting in real-time as the disaster happens. I cannot comment on what moves that will cause, although of course they could be large.
More specifically, Germans are talking about Target 2. First principle: someone must lose value. Fact: Southern Europeans are reducing their risk of losing value by transferring their funds to German banks, into cash or out of the zone. This bleeds South European banks. Funds are then transferred from Germany to them. Result: German taxpayers are assuming the risk as South Europeans escape it. This may sound esoteric, but the Germans are aware of it. So far there has been nothing but uncompromising noise coming from Germany.
German wealth is at risk.
Default scenario: their Target 2 balance becomes worthless
Inflation scenario: their EUR deposits in Germany become less valuable in real terms
In any scenario that threatens the German Target 2 credit or the real value of German household EUR deposits - these are savers not borrowers - ordinary (which means relatively wealthy) Germans are going to seek to derisk their own wealth holdings through the banking system. In 2011 they did this by renting every safety deposit box in Central Europe and cleaning the place out of gold. I wonder how they will do it in 2012. Somehow I don't think that these relatively bright and assertive people will just stand there and watch EUR 1T go poof.
Other nationals with balances in relatively safe countries may do likewise. Bund yields are losing their safe haven allure. Europe just may be the first to catch on to the idea that an alternative is needed even to 'safe haven' bonds, 'safe' bank credit balances and physical cash. A yellow alternative, and subsequently perhaps a white one too.
Hypothetical projection based upon Elliott Wave
Sorry for the compacted previous chart. Here is a more expanded view.......rg
Sorry for the compacted
Sorry for the compacted previous chart. Here is a more expanded view.......rg
@Driven81
I read the piece of Martin Armstrong, the one you hinted at, with great interest.
Although the man is obviously very skilled and shows that he knows what he is talking about, some things were flawed or lacking in my opinion.
1) manipulation as a myth. Sorry but the silver market is manipulated into oblivion, obviously against the law, and therefor with backing up from the government. To state this is simply a normal market where people try to make money buying and selling paper contracts, business as usual, is beyond naive.
2) if gold will never play an overt monetary role (no return to a gold standard in any shape or form), as Martin states, how come that central banks are buying again, massively?
3) Martin predicted a low on gold as low as 1400 dollars, earlier. We never made it.
Sheriff from the East
Once again, the TF Metals Report was months ahead of the mainstream media. Astute Turdfans will remember that several of Turd's podcast guests (and the man himself) have been talking for some time now about big moves in the East that will drastically affect the Cartel's ability to manipulate the price of metals.
Well, today, CNBC reported that:
Hong Kong's stock exchange operator said Friday it has agreed to buy the 135-year-old London Metal Exchange for 1.4 billion pounds ($2.2 billion), as it acts on a plan to shift into commodities to capitalize on Chinese demand.
The exchange has "identified particular demand for commodities trading, focused around metals, to support the large and growing metals consumption in Asia, and particularly, China," it said in a statement.
http://www.cnbc.com/id/47826468
Hold onto your yellow hats, folks, Turd and Willie's "Sheriff from the East" just walked into the saloon.
re do they know what they are doing
Good Morning
great podcast, and now I understand the Treasury interest rate whirlpool of success he mentioned earlier.
I must disagree with Senseosensei on this point, however:
but once you accept the reality that these people are busy crashing the world on their terms
You specifically mention Bernanke and the Fed, in terms of who 'these people' are, and I would argue that they are blindly grasping at straws - this is chaos, not a master plan. The list of 'these people' is way too long for there to be anything of a real plan at work - the EU hasn't had a plan all along it turns out, except maybe Germany intended to take over the continent. That individual factions have been planning, yes - the Rothchilds, the various Chinese powers, Hong Kong, etc., the Kremlin, the various mafias, the Fed, the Saudis, the Iranians, the BIS - and what about South America, too. No master plan is being executed, even if many are being attempted. Oh, left out the IMF, they do have a master plan, but the Chinese are just going to keep Europe's airplanes, so there goes that plan. The World Bank has a plan, but they don't have any money. The UN would have a plan, but anyone who gets sent there from their basket-case country just starts to snuffle up the truffles, while Africa burns. The American military may have had a plan, but whacka-mole has not panned out. The world is too big, even for the master plans of Dr No. Ben Bernanke is currently at a pretty big lever, but the machine behind the lever is not what he thinks it is. No, I am not afraid of a master plan succeeding, more of 78 master plans colliding and reaching the Mandlebrot fat tail moment.
I was about to write something about
Willie bashers, but it was just too open to mis-interpretation.
We are the outlaws
Sorry to pour cold water, but in my opinion the most important principle here is that metal flows eastwards. Having as I do the survival and prosperity of the West at least to a limited extent at heart, I cannot welcome this development as good news. If low paper prices and a broken transmission mechanism in London are required to deliver / maintain the eastward movement of metal, I am sorry but I think they will be maintained. When a sustainable monetary system is then established it may well be leveraged / fractional reserved in the East and the relevant fiat needed in the West, to ensure that real wealth continues to move Eastwards. This should continue until the Chinese demographic bulge has been worked through, which will be beyond our lifetimes. Since in fact trillions and not billions are at stake, what is surprising is not that they have bought the LME, but that they have got it so cheap. But I am not expecting the sheriff to help us much. Instead I am learning his language so that I can listen to his conversations with the judge and the prison guards - any chink in their armour may help.
@Xty - gorgeous panoply of players
I wish I could give that amazing post two hat tips.
RE: re do they know what....
29+ Hat Tips on that post, Xty! Very cogent! Thank you very much.
mining CEO's executive compensation, Barrick top profit earner
Ousted CEO turns out to be top profit earner among gold-industry peers
Aaron Regent, who was fired last week as chief executive officer of Barrick Gold Corp. after failing to boost the stock price, generated more profit for every dollar of pay last year than any of his peers in Canada and the U.S.
Barrick, the world’s largest gold miner, earned $514.98 for every dollar the Toronto-based company paid Regent for 2011, according to data compiled by Bloomberg. That was more than the CEOs of the six other largest North American gold companies. Goldcorp Inc., the second-largest producer by market value, reported $172.09 of net income for every dollar awarded CEO Chuck Jeannes. Yamana Gold Inc. CEO Peter Marrone brought in $47.88 in profit for every dollar of pay.
Executive compensation is coming under increasing scrutiny, with gold mining CEOs among the best-paid in Canada last year, even as their companies’ shares failed to match gains in gold prices.
“I would like to see the compensation more directly tied to the stock prices,” Pawel Rajszel, a Toronto-based analyst at Veritas Investment Research, said in an interview. “Then you’ll see these producers be more disciplined in terms of capital allocation.”
Arab spring un-sprung
Egypt’s top court reverses election results, confirms Shafiq’s right to run
PATRICK MARTIN
Cairo — The Globe and Mail
Published
Thursday, Jun. 14 2012, 8:29 AM EDT
Last updated
Friday, Jun. 15 2012, 4:17 AM EDT
The most important election in the Arab world following last year’s Arab Spring has been reversed, and the dominant position enjoyed by the region’s pre-eminent Islamist movement has been a dealt a blow from which it won’t easily recover.
In a shocking announcement Thursday, just two days before the country’s presidential election, Egypt’s Supreme Constitutional Court ruled that elements of the country’s recent parliamentary election violated the constitution and that the entire lower house would have to be dissolved. Temporarily, at least, all legislative power is to be placed in the hands of the country’s military leadership, and martial law was decreed Wednesday to give them powers to combat any resistance to it.
At the same time, a separate court ruling confirmed the right of Ahmed Shafiq, a former military commander and one of deposed leader Hosni Mubarak’s favourite ministers, to seek election as president....
http://www.theglobeandmail.com/news/world/egypts-top-court-reverses-election-results-confirms-shafiqs-right-to-run/article4258269/
But honestly, talk about lesser of two weavels.
(and blushing from praise, tanks)
Agree to disagree
I guess we then agree to disagree. The plan as i see it is to establish a world empire, where the map is divided into regions. Europe will be such a region, as is the US. With the UN, the IMF, the court in The Hague, all playing key roles in establishing this empire. With central banks like the FED, the bank of England, and a few others, providing the financial backing.
And as i see it, the plan is working just fine.
* destabilizing sovereign countries to a point where they have to accept troika's or bankers rule in order to survive CHECK
* getting the US on their knees by shipping jobs and industry overseas, buying every senator and politician in the country, deciding who becomes the president, to assure a certain decline to a point where the US is in disarray with a possible civil war and willing to hand the keys to the world empire CHECK
* pushing the global agenda, with one world electron currency, agenda 21, nato as the world's police CHECK
* killing the competition, and countries not willing to play along like Iraq, Libia, and soon Syria and Iran CHECK
not good at agreeing to disagree
who do you think is carrying out this plan?
edit: to explain, you cannot agree to disagree, and then continue to argue, as you did. Agreeing to disagree is something you do when you stop arguing - not something you suggest to make the other person look argumentative, while you then present your side as a conclusion.
I see that the bailout in
I see that the bailout in Spain and the proposed injection of liquidity in the UK is really pushing up those PM prices :)
Takes me back to something I mentioned previously, where I predicted that QE3 when it arrives will have less effect than the perma-bulls are hoping for.
Who are behind the plan of plans
The same people that are behind the trilateral commission and Bilderberg conferences, mainly old monarchs and old money. Key players are David Rockefeller, Zebigniew Brzezinski and a few others.
Not sure how fluent you are in foreign languages but this is a very telling document by Brzezinski :
http://www.scribd.com/doc/6099781/-Technotronic-Era-La-Era-Tecnotronica
But there are many other documents on this topic, from the players themselves where they outline it all: speeches, conferences, white papers.. it's right in your face if you look for it.
what bailout?
no money has been found for Spain, and, as you say, the BOE is only 'proposed' as well. Lots of promises, but no ink on paper.
Google trends on Euro gold buying last 2 months
"comprar oro" - trebled
"gold kaufen" - doubled
"buy gold" - up 20% or so (mostly US/India/Singapore)
"goud kopen, comprare oro" - higher but figures inadequate.
Most languages show parabolic rather than linear increases.
Levels are now roughly the same as June/July 2011.
BUT
All phrases meaning "price of gold / gold price" in my fav. European languages -> UNCH.
My interpretation: the instruction now going out is "buy at best".
Reports of the impact on the regional physical markets will no doubt start dribbling into the media in the coming weeks.
The Diminishing Returns Of
The Diminishing Returns Of Central Planning, And Why More Printing Would Have No Impact
http://www.zerohedge.com/news/diminishing-returns-central-planning-and-w...
They will try, IMO, to print like there's no tomorrow than to admit they were wrong.
@Senseosensai
I agree with you 100%, and I was rather hoping that my question re who is really behind the Easter entity would get a clearer answer. I take JW's point, that it's not just China but Korea as well, etc, but that could also mean that it's other private banking cartels, the 0.01% finally taking out the 1%, as long-ago predicted by conspiracy theorists. It does indeed all seems to be going according to plan, controlled demolition leading to tighter global financial controls...as predicted by Fulford and L Williams. I notice Goldman Sachs weren't mentioned much, except to say that they take positions opposite JPM? This could be the Vampire Squid going for the kill, non ?However, Jim did say there is a move away from centralisation, and that can only be a good thing. Proof please...
Great interview anyhow - I was riveted! Please ask JW to elucidate on the Eastern Powers as soon as he has more information.....thanks!
The EU Smiled While Spain’s
The EU Smiled While Spain’s Banks Cooked the Books
http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2012-06-14/the-eu-smiled-while-spain-s-ban...
Of course.. Crooks and liars are named so because it's what they do!
More M.A.D.ness
Central Banks Warn Greek-Led Euro Stress Threatens World
http://www.businessweek.com/news/2012-06-14/central-banks-warn-greek-led...
Scare tactics, or reasons to pump up the markets?
World economies prepare for panic after Greek polls
http://www.reuters.com/article/2012/06/14/us-eurozone-crisis-idUSBRE85D0...