Pailin's Trading Corner

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Sockeye
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here is a great video.  Paul

here is a great video.  Paul Toudor Jones trading the stock market today.  he offers a free webinar tomorrow thursday.  so watch this one.  I am signing up for the free webinar.  it is after the market closes tomorrow thursday.  4:30.  I hope that is Eastern time. He trades from NYC so it should be. 

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Rico
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@Sockeye, Well, that was 5

@Sockeye,

Well, that was 5 minutes of my life wasted.  

pailin
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Daily Pivot Points
Name S3 S2 S1 Pivot Points R1 R2 R3
Classic 1696.29 1712.02 1723.19 1738.92 1750.09 1765.82 1776.99
Name S3 S2 S1 Pivot Points R1 R2 R3
Classic 32.7 33.19 33.55 34.03 34.39 34.87 35.23

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I never buy at the bottom and I always sell too soon. -Baron Rothschild

Man is a credulous animal, and must believe something; in the absence of good grounds for belief, he will be satisfied with bad ones. -Bertrand Russell

JoeKa
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Greece agrees on bailout terms

Believable? You decide.

Greece agrees on bailout terms

Political leaders finally decide on a course that would avert a chaotic default for the debt-choked nation

Greece's Finance minister Venizelos leaves his office in Athens
Greek finance minister Evangelos Venizelos attended a eurogroup meeting with the ‘the agreement in his hands’, officials said. Photograph: Yiorgos Karahalis/Reuters

After three days of high drama, political posturing and brinkmanship, Greece's coalition government reached a tentative agreement on the draconian terms required to unlock €130bn (£109bn) in aid for the crisis-hit country on Wednesday night, although the marathon negotiations were set to continue into the small hours.

One senior aide said that by the time the Greek finance minister, Evangelos Venizelos, boarded a plane at 7am to attend Thursday's eurogroup meeting in Brussels, he would have the "finalised text of the agreement in his hands".

In the first concrete sign that Greece's feuding political leaders had decided on a course that would avert a chaotic default for the debt-choked nation, prime minister Lucas Papademos said that consensus had been achieved over all but one of the cost-cutting reforms the EU, European Central Bank and IMF are demanding in return for the rescue programme.

"There has been agreement on all issues except one," Papademos's office said in a statement released after seven hours of talks between the technocrat leader and the three party heads backing his interim administration. The final obstacle to the politicians signing the accord was supplementary pensions, the one area where all three party chiefs were determined to avoid further cuts prior to general elections in the spring.

But with the Greek government resuming negotiations with the country's "troika" of foreign lenders at 1am, officials appeared confident that the sticking point would be resolved by the morning.

"The negotiations have essentially been closed," said a senior official.

The 17-nation eurogroup is expected to discuss and ratify the agreement Venizelos will present to them later in the day, with analysts interpreting it as another positive sign that the bailout deal would finally be sealed. The eurogroup had originally want to seal the deal on Monday but wrangling over the austerity measures meant that the deadline was missed.

Antonis Samaras, the New Democracy party leader, said the negotiations would continue "because at this time of great pain we have to think about pensioners".

The centre-right politician, who had thwarted agreement by persistently raising the issue during the talks, has been a vocal opponent of the "growth through austerity" polices meted out to Greece by the EU and IMF.

Throughout the talks, Papademos, a former vice-president of the ECB, repeatedly interrupted the talks to speak with Jean-Claude Juncker, the eurogroup chairman, and IMF chief Christine Lagarde.

Panic hovered over the talks, widely seen as a last chance for Greece to keep bankruptcy at bay. Athens faces debt repayments amounting to €14.5bn in barely six weeks' time – money it simply does not have. Taking the discussions down to the wire had exasperated European leaders and seen markets gyrate in recent weeks.

The prospect of further austerity has whipped up widespread anger among Greeks with unions vowing a ferocious "and possible uncontrollable" backlash.

 
redwood
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Wow, the metals are rising in

That's some news Joe.   The metals are rising in Asia.....maybe its true.   I know maybe is not good enough.   I thought this was to be decided by Feb. 13. but its a full moon tonight  and the bats are twirling.  So I say yes, the default has been derailed...  and the metals will go up tomorrow.cool

Vypuero
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I dont get his numbers

He is talking about the ES but that is trading in the 1340s not 1313 - I don't get it - why are his numbers wrong? Oh I see now, this is 1 year ago today.  Did you know that?

sixdollarsilver
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I guess in the end it doesn't matter what I decide

JoeKa wrote:

Believable? You decide.

Greece agrees on bailout terms

market is as market does

Perfidious Albion
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Morning all..

time zone trade.   07:00 hours gmt: & metals risen steadily overnight, now waiting for a reverse to go short through till after the afternoon lbma fix..   Wee struggle going on over the 61.8% fib retrace of yesterdays dip around 1738/1740 just inching the stop loss up point by point waiting for the morning beat down.

Edit to add.. turned at 1738.  Beat down of four bucks so far, looks like the euro/dollar is holding the price up. 

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Capt. Willard
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Good Morning

Sometimes your appreciation for something increases with your understanding

Copy and paste:

"Like all elements with atomic numbers larger than iron, gold is thought to have been formed from a supernova nucleosynthesis process. Their explosions scattered metal-containing dusts (including heavy elements like gold) into the region of space in which they later condensed into our solar system and the Earth. Because the Earth was molten when it was just formed, almost all of the gold present on Earth sank into the core. Most of the gold that is present today in the Earth's crust and mantle was delivered to Earth by asteroid impacts during the late heavy bombardment"

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JoeKa
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Capt. Willard

Capt. Willard wrote:

Sometimes your appreciation for something increases with your understanding

Copy and paste:

"Like all elements with atomic numbers larger than iron, gold is thought to have been formed from a supernova nucleosynthesis process. Their explosions scattered metal-containing dusts (including heavy elements like gold) into the region of space in which they later condensed into our solar system and the Earth. Because the Earth was molten when it was just formed, almost all of the gold present on Earth sank into the core. Most of the gold that is present today in the Earth's crust and mantle was delivered to Earth by asteroid impacts during the late heavy bombardment"

So if we want to walk on streets of gold, we basically need a huge-ass rock to come hit us?

It makes sense.

Since after said rock hits, we will indeed be walking on streets of gold figuratively...if you believe. wink

sixdollarsilver
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figuratively speaking

JoeKa wrote:

Capt. Willard wrote:

Most of the gold that is present today in the Earth's crust and mantle was delivered to Earth by asteroid impacts during the late heavy bombardment"

So if we want to walk on streets of gold, we basically need a huge-ass rock to come hit us?

It makes sense.

Since after said rock hits, we will indeed be walking on streets of gold figuratively...if you believe. wink

If I ever have the pleasure to walk on a street of gold, I imagine my reptilian mind will be far more useful than the critical one I currently employ.

Perfidious Albion
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Ignominious fate

Twins.. Au joined at the hip, running pip for pip with eur/usd.. 

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A lemming doesn't last long these days..

JoeKa
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sixdollarsilver wrote: If I

sixdollarsilver wrote:

If I ever have the pleasure to walk on a street of gold, I imagine my reptilian mind will be far more useful than the critical one I currently employ.

Phew! Now I know those two reptiles can certainly sing! yes

sixdollarsilver
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we learn to live

people are the same wherever you go

Titus Andronicus
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central bank stuff today

Watch out for some extra monkey action.

European Central Bank (EURR002W) policy makers meeting in Frankfurt today will keep the benchmark interest rate at a record low of 1 percent, according to 55 of 57 economists in a Bloomberg News survey. Two predict a cut to 0.75 percent. The decision will be announced at 1:45 p.m. Frankfurt time and ECB President Mario Draghi will address journalists 45 minutes later.

(that's 7:45 EST and 8:30 EST)

Separately, the Bank of England will probably expand its asset-purchase program by 50 billion pounds ($79 billion), according to another Bloomberg survey. That decision is due at noon in London.

(that's 7 am EST)

(hope I translated the times correctly.)

Perfidious Albion
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Monkey bizz,

Hey Titus, thanks for all the work on the time zone trades :)

The General might enjoy this.. 

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redwood
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*Greece Given Until Sun To

*Greece Given Until Sun To Find EUR300M In Cuts For 2012 -Senior Euro Area Official

*EUR300M In Greek 2012 Cuts Need Not Be In Pensions - Senior Euro Area Official.

Gomer,  surprise, surprise!

pailin
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shorts??

PM shorts just got spooked, or normal cover before COMEX open?

Very happy with my pivot buy yesterday :)

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I never buy at the bottom and I always sell too soon. -Baron Rothschild

Man is a credulous animal, and must believe something; in the absence of good grounds for belief, he will be satisfied with bad ones. -Bertrand Russell

atlee
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CL

Thanks for the video Peridious Albion yes

reference WTI (CL)

Look at a daily chart. I see an Uptrend from September that in November started going sideways.

I see a slow stochastic that is clearly oversold

I see anything bumping along the bottom of that channel starting around 96 as clearly a buy.

And lastly, hit 100, goes to 103.

Looks like have the greek deal.

Party in Europe free souvlaki for everyone

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pailin
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atlee wrote: Looks like have

atlee wrote:

Looks like have the greek deal.

Party in Europe free souvlaki for everyone

Heh. For the next 20 mins. Then reality :)

__________________

I never buy at the bottom and I always sell too soon. -Baron Rothschild

Man is a credulous animal, and must believe something; in the absence of good grounds for belief, he will be satisfied with bad ones. -Bertrand Russell

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