Hey Eric O, I'd love to get your insights regarding Colossus Minerals. Market Cap a little under $900M, but still not really producing as far as I can tell, but they got some really high grade gold / platinum / palladium properties! I guess that's probably why they are such a large non-producer...
Eric O's Favorite Gold Miners
Here's NGD's 3 year chart
It's gorgeous. The 50 Wk (2o0 Day) MA is providing long-term support.

It's Gorgeous. 200 DMA (or 50 Wk MA, in this case) is providing support long-term (Red Arrows). MACD is positive and the cross is bullish (Orange Arrow). Looking at the Falling Wedge on the RSI, though, is the only short-term neutral indicator (Green Arrow). The RSI needs to break above that down trend line to have the stock run to $14 or so, approximate projection of the trend channel, otherwise some sideways movement could happen between $10.50 and $11.50. A good place to accumulate. A break of this channel would be bad, obviously. Love the increasing volume through time as well. Definitely under accumulation, up until about a month ago. Now? not so sure.
ANV's chart is a near carbon-copy, except volume is differently patterned.
http://www.flickr.com/photos/29681681@N06/5980678363/in/photostream
Hope this helps.
Ta,
p.s. I'm going to run out of picture space quickly with these so, I'll post them to my Flikr account and link them here in the posts via thumbnail going forward.
What the hell happened to this stock?! I haven't reviewed the thread to see if it's been discussed.
1 year chart analysis is here:
http://www.flickr.com/photos/29681681@N06/5981257108/
Bottom line: If you like the fundamentals of the company keep an eye on it. Do not buy more until last week's washout bottom confirms and a trend re-asserts itself. I'll try to remember to keep my eye on it and if anything changes say something about it. But, right now? Abandon Ship or at least, Break off the Attack and re-group.
Ta,
Beauty Chart. No, I'm not Canadian, but three of my favorite things come from Cananada: Rush, Hockey and Gold, so I wanna be an honorary Canuck.
3 Year Chart is here:
http://www.flickr.com/photos/29681681@N06/5981280976/
It has to be considered range-bound until it bests its December high[1], around $17.30 or so. I wouldn't buy the BO (unless volume was 3x normal, though, buy the re-test. Learn from my mistakes, please. Short-term Gold weakness (yeah right!) would push this back to $15 - $15.50. Any price action below the bottom blue UT line would signal a re-test of support at the 50 wk MA or the horizontal support at $13.30. Downside strong support is absolutely around the $12.25 double-bottom. It's been coiling, waiting for this moment all year. Note the successive higher-lows all through 2011, which correspond nicely with the RSI hitting 50.
Screaming Buy IMO.
Ta,
[1] - Note the mistake on the chart where I reference the April high... I meant December.
What the hell happened to this stock?! I haven't reviewed the thread to see if it's been discussed.
Recent bad news on production guidance. Discussed at length on the thread. Comments 172, 187, 192, 194-197, 218, 227.
They are now in damage control mode. Trying to stop the bleeding with a news release yesterday with a lot of super good drilling results.
http://www.marketwatch.com/story/lake-shore-gold-continues-to-define-and...
Thanks Eric. I figured something like that. I think my analysis is prudent in light of that. Toe dip carefully until the stock shows some kind of a bullish posture, which right now it is not. That could change quickly, so use the channels I drew as a guide and look for a double bottom to form.
Ta,
3 Year Chart Analysis here:
http://www.flickr.com/photos/29681681@N06/5981389270/
Back the truck up now below $2.80 as it's poised to run hard on a BO of that level. Seriously. A near swiss stair pattern and it's currently in the longest consolidation period of it's run since the bottom in 2008. Massive bottom formation @ around $2.10. Anyone in at that price has to be very happy. I wouldn't be surprised to see $4.00 on a break of $2.80 within 2-3 weeks.
I may buy a bit this morning if there's a pink sheet symbol.
Ta,
We've crossed back into Ontario now. Ontario Hwy 101 will take us all the way to Timmins.
There is 5-6 million ounces of past production along the next 60 miles or so, and the name of St Andrew Goldfields will come up repeatedly. They have properties spread out all along this stretch of the Break. Market cap is running around $320m.
First up, along the south side of the road, we hit St Andrew's Holt and Holloway Mines. These two mines are just a stone's throw apart, and combine for a total of about 65,000 ounces per year. Costs are currently running high (north of $1000/oz), and this is therefore high on the to-do list of things to work on.
We've got another 5-10 miles of driving through St Andrew's properties before we get to what I think is a very interesting stretch of road. First up is the Garrison Property of Northern Gold Mining. This consists of a 1.2 million ounce open pittable resource at Garrcon, and another 300,000 ounces of deeper, higher grade ore at Jonpol. These are just a few hundred meters apart so it's not hard to imagine some kind of combined operation here someday. Northern recently completed a PEA for Garrcon alone that envisions up to 130,000 ounces per year, with a capex estimated at $156m. Not too shabby. Market cap sitting at $35m. Another interesting thing about Northern is that Insiders own 40%, Sprott owns 15%, and Valgold owns 15%. That only leaves about 30% of the stock floating around.
On strike a couple of miles from there, we've got Moneta Porcupine Mines. They are working on what they call their Golden Highway Project. Several targets involved, but the main ones are Windjammer South and the Southwest Zone. Windjammer South has 43-101 compliant resources of about 520,000 ounces. Grades are amenable to an open pit. The Southwest Zone is just a few hundred meters away. Barrick worked on it in the 1990's and calculated (pre 43-101 days) 625,000 ounces. This is a higher grade, underground target. Interestingly, Moneta recently drilled a hole drilled in the "gap area" between these two targets and came up with 1 gram over 117 meters. Seems like things could get bigger here. Market cap of about $40m.
Sitting smack in between the properties of Northern and Moneta, is a little strip of land owned by St Andrew. It's their Garrison Creek Project. Earlier stage, but they are pulling long intervals of open pit grade ore.
This whole zone, Northern to St Andrew to Moneta is only about 5 miles of strike length. If someone was thinking big around here they could joint venture them all together and come up with something pretty huge.
Back closer to the highway now, we pass the Fenn-Gib project. Recently optioned from Barrick by Lake Shore Gold. Lake Shore thinks they can come up a 2-3 million ounce open pit there, but Barrick retains some back-in rights if it goes north of 5 million.
Next up is the Hislop Mine of St Andrew (there's that name again). This smallish open pit should produce about 20,000 ounces this year. Expansion exploration is ongoing, including some adjoining ground recently optioned from Stroud Resources.
Very close by, and along strike from Hislop is the Black Fox Mine of Brigus Gold. This combined open pit/underground operation is currently ramping up and should hit 100,000 ounces next year. They are getting some encouraging exploration results southeast of the mine in what they call the "147 Zone", which lies just a couple of kilometers from Hislop.
We'll pass through the town of Matheson next. Population of 2,600 so I'm thinking there might be somewhere to stop for lunch. The Cozy Diner sounds about right for me.
Once past Matheson, we hit the Taylor Project of St Andrew. This is probably their most advanced project, with a lot of drilling this summer. Currently reporting 560,000 ounces of total resources, in an underground type target. Further down the road comes St Andrew's Clavos Mine. A former small producer, it has recently been optioned by little Sage Gold. With their little $7m market cap, they think maybe they can get Clavos back up and running.
Next along the road is the Aquarius Project of St Andrew. There is supposed to be over 1 million ounces here, but St Andrew hasn't done anything with it for years. Don't know the back story on that one.
Nearby Aquarius, Moneta Porcupine is back to work on their Nighthawk Lake property. Early days on this one, though one hole did hit 2 g over 57 m.
Take a breath! We are almost to Timmins now, where we'll really get into the big stuff!
Part III to follow...
TMGOF for Timmins Gold.
I think this is the one you want.
http://www.marketwatch.com/story/golden-predator-announces-second-major-...
TMGOF for Timmins Gold.
Yup. Found it. Thanks. It's well bid this morning above $2.80. But the XAU and HUI need to break out or I fear there will be a wash out when the correction in Gold and Silver come. The XAU needs to take out 220.87 on a closing basis. Dave on the main board is right about the algo selling at that level.
Be careful.
Ta,
I bought my Golden Predator stocks last week. I just started trading. Looks like a did some good homework. Thanks everybody for all the good tips.
Gr. from Holland!
Sudden pop in Maudore right out of the blue. No news, no nothing. Whazzz Up?
18 month Weekly chart here:
http://www.flickr.com/photos/29681681@N06/5982138180/
Another good looking stock. Possibly overbought in the short-term @$6.11, but huge volume up weeks are good to see. Watch for a BO of the green channel, if so then a run up to $8 is possible. But, that said, the short-term UT could break and it would fall back into the $5.50 to $5.75 range. Strong horizontal support just below $5.50. The long-term blue UT line from the July 2010 low may not be important, but it does correspond with the horizontal support in this time frame. The Green UT channel should be watched. I don't know which channel is the dominant one, maybe a better technician can comment here.
But, it looks good, maybe pricey right now, but if so, only 10% or so.
Ta,
3 Year Weekly chart here:
http://www.flickr.com/photos/29681681@N06/5981617303/
Huge volume starting in Sept 2010 fuels the rise off the triple bottom ~$1.00. Gave most of it back but did so on declining volume, which is good. The current upleg has happened on excellent volume as well. The Long Term UT line met horizontal resistance @ `$2.00 and the stock is moving lower. Watch for support to appear before buying more. Possible entry points are in the $1.60 to $1.65 range as well as $1.50.
A move above $2.00 would be very bullish and, as well, can be considered a buy-in point in a rising market. A move below $1.40 would be horrific.
Ta,
I'm seeing RBY up big after hours on a $70m investment from Agnico-Eagle. Interesting...
http://www.prnewswire.com/news-releases/rubicon-minerals-announces-c7000...
I took a peek at it. Yes, those look like fabulously high grade drill results. And yes they look to be doing all the right stuff. But.....
Unless I'm missing something, I can't find a 43-101 compliant resource calculation, nor any kind of seat-of-the-pants resource calculation at all. They say they are under construction but I can't find what the total capex budget is. They say they expect to be producing in 2013, but I can't find any estimate as to what they expect for annual production.
I hang my hat on the fundamentals, and I've just got nothing to work with here. No way for me to proceed.
Tom L is our technical guy, but to my amateur eye, just looking at the chart I see nothing in particular to get excited about. It's a yawner. Perhaps worse than a yawner, with lower highs and lower lows.
Sorry, but there are way too many juicy looking opportunities out there right now for me to want to take a flyer on this one.
Sudden pop in Maudore right out of the blue. No news, no nothing. Whazzz Up?
It happened also the other day to Romios and Silvermex (from the Dines pump) and also have noticed from my watch list a few others.
Here's a theory: We are at an inflection point valuation wise. As the money pushers with new interest in precious metals bring more dollars into the sector, we may see this popping up. The more the merrier I say.
When the flood gates open and the cash starts chasing these, the tide should rise all boats?
I took a peek at it. Yes, those look like fabulously high grade drill results. And yes they look to be doing all the right stuff. But..... [snip Eric's comments on fundamentals]
Tom L is our technical guy, but to my amateur eye, just looking at the chart I see nothing in particular to get excited about. It's a yawner. Perhaps worse than a yawner, with lower highs and lower lows.
Sorry, but there are way too many juicy looking opportunities out there right now for me to want to take a flyer on this one.
2 year Weekly chart here:
http://www.flickr.com/photos/29681681@N06/5984480400/
It doesn't look bad, but it doesn't look like its going anywhere anytime soon. It's still digesting the 20x run-up. If Eric's fundamental analysis is correct there may be something else going on, but I don't see anything in the volume to make me think serious distribution is happening. Rather, it's trending down on low volume b/c the market thinks it's too pricey and is moving to find the low end of the range. I've made a guess on my chart.
Look for a swing low that does not hit the bottom DT line, that will form the beginning of a Falling Wedge and signal that people are coming in to support the price. Falling Wedge BO's can be very powerful.
If you were in at the beginning of the run I would hope you took money off the table between $8 and $10. A break below the horizontal support line would see a move lower towards $5.00 and even, in the extreme, $4.00
Ta,











What the hell happened to this stock?! I haven't reviewed the thread to see if it's been discussed.
Recent bad news on production guidance. Discussed at length on the thread. Comments 172, 187, 192, 194-197, 218, 227.
They are now in damage control mode. Trying to stop the bleeding with a news release yesterday with a lot of super good drilling results.
http://www.marketwatch.com/story/lake-shore-gold-continues-to-define-and...
__________________
Don't Fight the Tape.
Sitting around complaining that the market is "wrong" is an excellent way to keep losing money.