Ivar's Charts

See my partial explanation Nov. 7/11 in this forum, it may help.

Hi ivars, really appreciate this thread.

Could you give more thoughts on why you think usd will decline(bigtime?) vs the euro, btw im of the same belief myself.

How have you positioned yourself to best capitalize on the projections that you have long term/mid term of the future?

also; interesting with the gold/silver ratio, hitting 120(!) a couple years forward(couldn't read the time axle(my screen is small)

there seems to be some massive trading opportunities between gold/silver(as always)

what factors do you put in into the gold/silver projections?

sincerely, David

+1 Sapo says he's possibly dealing w/ his business.

http://saposjoint.net/Forum/viewtopic.php?f=14&t=2626&st=0&sk=t&sd=a&sta...

Ivars, I noticed you are back, which is highly appreciated! I have a question to you about the chart you did on the Dow and your comments on why it hasn't been playing out like you predicted so far?

Hope all is well with you. Good to see you back and posting again!

Think you for that fast reply Ivars.

I have a few follow up questions.

1. You say when QE Eventually ends the markets will fall. What about QE to infinity? If they print likes there's no tomorrow and just keep doing it there won't be an end to QE. What is your take on this concept?

2. You say "probably the same time gold will start moving up, if it will" isn't the concept here that gold will rise on QE, not when QE is ends?

3. You say "If it will". Do you have doubt about gold rising to new highs?

Thanks again for your excellent graphs and for sharing your knowledge. I've studied all of your graphs quite thoroughly and really respect your predictions.

Your charts are a blessing as they seem to give general clues in a mid to long term time frames.

To see silver over $50 well into the $60ties makes me think strategic, into which Turds tactical insights dovetail. 

I've also got a question:

Your EUR/USD chart shows the current upwards thrust beeing capped around 1.35, stalling out and fall off into abyss.

If you would combine this with Jim Sinclairs prediction about the Greek events from todays post on JSmineset.com.

+++Quotation+++

Source

www.jsmineset.com

February 22, 2012, at 8:39 pm

I am speaking with leaders in finance who control immense sums of money. If these people do not understand the forces at work what makes you think politicians or their college professor appointees to central banks have a better understanding? The answer is simple – they do not!

Let me share with you the conclusion I took away from today’s luncheon.

1. What is going to happen is going to take place in March somewhere between the 14th and 20th in all probability.
2. What will determine the fate of markets is what action China does or does not take in providing funds to IMF bailout funds.
3. I believe China can and will extract significant trade and other benefits for their presence.
4. I believe China will want the same immunity that the IMF just took for themselves on sovereign debt in liquidation.
5. Greek gold will be held hostage to their debt.
6. That will accelerate the modest trend of repatriation of gold for the cellar of the New York Fed to nations like Germany that are certainly able to store their own wealth.
7. There will be an acceleration in the trend of utilization of other currencies than the dollar for contracting internationally regarding goods, service, oil and minerals.
8. I do not agree that we are at the doorstep now of major changes in the international monetary system. That comes in June of 2015.
9. I am certain that we are on the immediate threshold of the monster kick of the financial can down the road that is a dead end.
10. I believe China and the US Fed will assist in that great last can kick that backfires.
11. I am certain that I am in the right business and that business is the identification and accumulation of gold as gold is the ultimate survivor of what is about to happen.
12. I am certain the gold industry is mad as a Danbury hatter in selling their product the moment they produce it.
13. I am certain the gold and silver industry is in a transition back to the dividend producers they once were.
14. I am certain that the volatility in gold, silver and equities we have already seen is nothing compared to what is about to happen.
15. The last man standing among asset categories as the new monetary system is introduced sometime post June of 2015 will be gold and gold alone.

+++End of quotation+++

Makes you want to rifle through the available EUR/USD puts just over 1.35xx once the cross runs out of steam to hold long term.

As the Euro reverses and heads lower, possible coinciding with somekind of destabilizing news spin out of Greece et al, your charts show Silver and Gold leaving the orbit in quite a spectacular slope.

This would - in my eyeballs - make most sense if the "news event" would fall into March week 3 (March 20, Spring Equinox) and affect both, USD and EURO equally detrimental.

Otherwise a weakened Euro would translate into a relative strength in USD, which in turn might send the metals on a dive bombing mission. So, the effect would have to be on all currencies equally bad and would give the the metals their go signal.

A debt structuring deal struck in Greece on March 20 and an Israeli Attack on Iran as a combined one-two punch could very well paint the next months as anticipated on your 2011 charts. Magnificent.

Are there new updates based on more recent price action to be incorporated into EUR/USD?

I know Ivars, your not too much into trading. Therefore this goes to everybody willing to answer:

How you trade this constellation and its possible permutations?

Go long the metals...wait for the Euro to turn and stay short?   

I've printed your charts, they lend perspective. Thanks for your research efforts!