Eric O's Favorite Gold Miners

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Eric Original
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AuRico Gold (AUQ)--formerly Gammon Gold

Well, now that we have the strike, the acquisition, and the name change under our belts, we can stop and see what we've got here.

Market cap of $1.8B.  2011 production guidance from their 3 Mexico mines of around 290,000 ounces of gold equivalent, nearly 40% of which is silver.  Terrific expansion potential at the existing mines, plus a very good looking exploration and development pipeline.  All of this is in Mexico.  

The  company has been around for a while, and all the management seems to have some connection to Barrick.  I'm sure there's a story there somewhere.

This one looks good to me from every angle.  I still don't get this goofy new name though.

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Argonaut Gold (ARNGF) (AR in Canada)

Anybody remember Meridian Gold?  They had such a nice mining company going that Yamana bought them out.  The next morning, realizing that they were now unemployed, a bunch of the Meridian guys decided to start their own company.  They raised a bunch of money, went on an acquisition and merger binge, and have put together a very nice looking company.  All of it is in Mexico.

Market Cap is $490 million, production from their flagship El Castillo Mine is around 70,000 oz per year.  Their advanced San Antonio project is looking to add 80,000 oz per year in 2013.  The La Colorada project is an effort to restart an older mine that had shut down.  I remember La Colorada from when Eldorado Gold first developed it.  I owned Eldorado at the time.  I never really understood why they sold it and went in a different strategic direction, but that's another story.  The new private owner of La Colorada couldn't handle the low gold prices, and closed the mine in 2002.   My gut tells me there is still a lot of gold around there.  In fact, the most recent news release talks about how the drilling is going so good there, they promptly doubled the budget.

These are all open pit, heap leach gold mines.  A different twist for Mexico where it seems like all we ever hear about is underground gold/silver mines.  I don't mind.  I'm betting those old Meridian guys know exactly what they are doing.

http://www.argonautgoldinc.com/i/pdf/May_2011_Resource_Update_Presentati...

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Eric Original
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That about does it

That pretty much covers the miners that I started of this thread with.  Any questions, comments, insights, just bring them on.  If you'd like to post an analysis of one of your favorites, go for it.

My focus is largely on producing, mid to small size gold miners.  I also tend to prefer the US, Canada, and Mexico.  I'm thinking about looking at San Gold and Wesdome next.  I don't mind if you want to talk about silver miners or exploration companies either.  Anything is fine, but someone else will have to largely carry the ball on those.

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shaunster
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Awesome list Eric

Eric, awesome small miner list!

I am also looking in to a local small miner, any way I can contact you private email?

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Shaunster

Nothing personal, but no.  I like my anonymity. 

If you have an interest in a certain miner, just lay it out here on the thread.  See what folks think.

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"Did you notice on my miner

"Did you notice on my miner write-ups I never once talked about price per share?  Always just about total market cap.  Think in terms of "If I were buying the entire company, would I do it?"  If yes, buy whatever little piece you "can afford" and go with it."

Eric, I am sorry.. I am just now getting back to this thread (SO many places to get lost in TF's blog and SO little time!) ....At any rate, I just wanted to say that your above comment to me was EXCELLENT advice. I get it. That makes sense. When you put it that way.. I see I can afford pretty much any miner. cool

Ewc, ...Thank you again. I did actually buy some Silverquest on the same day that I bought N.Tiger & Riverstone! ....Really hoping to see some action with these undervalued miners over the next 1/2 year. ....My main goal (besides adding to physical) right now is to add good miners as I can plus sleuth out the best miners to buy call options on with an expiry of early next year. .....I'm a little nervous about the options but not the miner shares really. ......I see an upcoming opportunity to make $$ off miner calls and then use that to add to my pitifully lacking stash of physical. ..I just worry that the EE knows my plans and will always be one step ahead of me but if I don't take some well-calculated risks.. I won't get as far as I need to go.

Ok.. got off topic there. Sorry. ...Fantastic thread Eric. I will go over it again and again to seek out those good miners for options. Thanks!smiley

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Great clip from Rick Rule

I just put this out on the front page, but I think it fits this thread as well.  Sage advice from Rick about the importance of always having dry powder, plus some brutally honest advice about junior miners.

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Eric Original
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More Rick Rule

Here's another one from last fall:

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Queenston QNMNF

I love this stock the price action is great and it's way above it's 300 MDA.  I'm loading up now and as AEM owns %16 of Queenston.  They will eat it up for it resource base as it's very very close to their own mines.

I own close to 3000 shares and will not sell one dime.

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Wesdome (WDOFF) (WDO in Canada)

Wesdome looks to me to be another one of these quiet, boring, little plain vanilla miners very much in the mold of Claude Resources and Richmont.  More interested in going about their business than in pumping their stock.  They've been at it for 20 years.

Market Cap of $250 million.  For that you get two nice steady little Canadian mines, one in Ontario and one one in Quebec.  They will produce a combined 70,000 ounces in 2011.  They have excess milling capacity ready and waiting, and expansion in development on nearby ground.  They will drill ​167,000 meters this year, ​which seems astonishingly high for a company this size.  A lot of the junior exploration companies out there, that everybody gets all excited about, aren't drilling half that much.  Not a quarter that much.

Plus, ​they actually turn a profit!  ​A lot of the well known miners that everyone talks about, on this thread and elsewhere, are still losing money at $1500 gold.  Wesdome made a profit of $3.7 million in 2010, and $2.5 million already in the first quarter of 2011.  

Plus, each April for the last three years, ​they've paid a small dividend!  How many miners do that?  Not many.  Followers of Jim Sinclair should be impressed with that.

I don't own this one yet, but on the next dip, I will.

http://www.wesdome.com/documents/Wesdome-April-2011.pdf

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San Gold (SGRCF) (SGR in Canada)

For about a $1.0B, you get the Rice Lake Mine in Manitoba.  Been working since 1934.  Very high grade at around 10g/t.  They keep finding nearby satellite orebodies.  80,000 ounces of production and growing.  Some good looking lottery tickets in the Timmins Camp also, which I mentioned in my write up about Lake Shore Gold.

I don't own it.  Maybe someday.  But, like Doug Casey says, "You can't kiss all the girls".

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Putting it all together

Suppose I had $1B to throw around.   What would I buy?

If I'm stuck on Canada I could buy Kirkland Lake, OR Lake Shore, OR San Gold and end up with somewhere around 100,000 ounces of production with good looking growth prospects.

I could buy Aurizon with my $1B, and get more production.  But are the growth prospects as good?  Is the stock chart performance as good?  Good question.

I could leave Canada and take a chance on South Africa with my money by buying Great Basin.  South Africa is undervalued but it might stay that way forever.  Who knows?

Maybe Mexico?  If I buy both Timmins and Argonaut I'd get about 170,000 ounces of production and have about $250 million left over.

How about if I combine these small Canadians?  Put Claude, Richmont, and Wesdome together and you get about 200,000 ounces of current production, some growth in the pipeline, and again you'd still have $250 million left over.

Whether you go for the Mexico plan or the small Canadian plan, you could add in a lot of lottery ticket companies with your extra $250 million if you wanted to.

Of course this is just one way to look at these things, but it's food for thought.

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I thanked you for the Rick

I thanked you for the Rick Rule vids on the main thread earlier Eric.. but I only just now got a chance to listen to them ..on this thread. Wow... ...such great soundbites from him. Alot of wisdom there. I think my favorite was "You must be a contrarian or you will be a victim". ...and "Volatility is goods on sale cheaply...that's all it is".

Excellent stuff and I think we (me) need to heed the sage advice about some of these juniors too.

Thanks again for posting.

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re: Ginger

I think the most important thing is about how "having cash on hand will give you the ability and ​the courage​ to act in down markets."

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l'idiot du village
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PKL and ITH

Hi Eric, you mention that you like some of the old
Mine refurbishment programs and I agree. Pickle
Crow PKL falls into this category, and I think this
Once great property still has potential if they can
Work out the geology here. I'm also quite keen
On a less risky project in Alaska called International
Tower Hill ITH, which already has a lot of ounces
And should be able to add a lot more. This is
A low grade deposit though, so may get hit more
If the Au price dips more. I guess really we are
Just caught in a wait and see period, and unwise
To rush in. I keep a close eye on the Canadian
Ventures exchange chart, which often turns down
Before the big markets (it's been down siince
March), but then turns back up before the others
Too.

ginger
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Yep, Eric. I know. ....That's

Yep, Eric. I know. ....That's the sticky part for me. indecision

silverwood
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This is a good thread

Here are the miners I current have a position, % amounts of position varies considerable and some are viewed just as long shots. 

AEM

AAU

ALS.to

AUY

AXU

BRD

CGR

DROOY

EXK

ECU.to

EXN.to

FVI.to

GG

GBG

GPL

HL

IAG

KBX

MVG

MRDDF

NJMC

ORE.to

SPM.to

TRX

YNG.to

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PC Gold (PCGLF) (PKL in Canada)

harfwit,

Thanks for the tip on PC Gold, and their Pickle Crow project.  Very much fits the thesis that I've been talking about.  Sounds a lot like my little pet Bralorne, but it's maybe a few years behind.  I like the fact that they've built a brand new 225 tpd mill.  That tells me they fully intend to mine it, not just drill it up and sell it.  I like that.  I'll be keeping an eye on this one.

http://www.pcgold.ca/vm/newvisual/attachments/805/Media/PCGoldPresentati...

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International Tower Hill (THM) ( ITH in Canada)

Harfwit,

Completely different sort of investment thesis on this, but one that certainly can work.  10 million ounces proved up, but it's a long road to getting something like this up and running.  Discovered in 2006, the company's own timeline says production in 2017.  Permitting and developing something of this size often seems to take forever.  Use it strictly as a play on the gold price, not with any dream of actually being present when they pour the first bar.

http://www.ithmines.com/_resources/presentations/ITH_Presentation_June_1...

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Eric Original
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Silverwood

Nice list you got there.

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