Pailin's Trading Corner

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CookieMonster
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Winding up for glory?

Is that glory up or glory for shorters?

Weird disconnect btwn silver and equities. Dow will rally a few weeks, but silver? All its stocks are down. 

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NCOT
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35's

Now it wont get out of 35!

pailin wrote:

By the way, where are all those jerks that maligned me when I said XAG was going back to 35s a few weeks back on the old site? Suckas :)

(but know I love you all)

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magis00
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Hearsay

From what I've heard, many of those who've gone far in the financial / paper world grasp what we all do about needing a store of wealth -- and whereas we all dig on Au for that reason, a lot of traders and money managers I've spoken with are digging on the icey stones.  Their pros for doing so are that they're precious (ie, store a lot of wealth in a small item), and very very transportable.

I get all of that, it's a parallel to the $100,000 in silver is impossible, $100,000 in gold fits in a backpack idea -- my worry would be the same as yours Pailin ... diamonds are only "rare" because a market-maker made them so.  Au and Ag, on the other hand ...

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@ NCOT are you short here?

Kinda annoyed I went long silver stocks today getting hammered. Are you short here? I'm thinking about it. But fear there's a huge equity rally coming in the general markets. Plus this Martin Armstrong thing spooked me from shorting. 

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pailin
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Glory

Glory for -patient- longs. I'm referring to XAG and physical. Can't speak to the miners, not my gig. I still think we've got a setup here to run down to 26-30 before we're "safe" again. Not shorting for that though either. Just sitting on my hands...

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CookieMonster
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miners as down indicator

when miners are down while silver climbs, usually a down indicator. i don't think it's due to hedge fund shorting at this point and is back to be a good indicator.

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l'idiot du village
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DIAMONDS NOT FOREVER

@PAILIN

Good points no question. However, the Chinese have

emerged, along with the Indians, as major diamond

buyers. The prices did take a severe drop, but are now

rebounding very nicely. Diamond exploration companies

are incredibly rare compared to the gold diggers, and are

even less successful. There is a serious lack of any new mines

coming on stream, the Asians are big buyers, my conclusion

is that prices will be heading North. Successful Juniors will be

handsomely rewarded, without question, and ownership of

stones makes an interesting diversification from metals,

although that in itself becomes a whole new area of study.  

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@Pailin

You have your "season of chickensh!t" and I have my "I just wanna take my ball and go home".  Sounds like we are largely on the same page.  Canned Bacon and musty gold coins not withstanding!  cheeky

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NCOT
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Cookie..

I've been tempted, but I'm cold turkey at the moment (situation as well as my sandwiches)..

JoeKa and Pailin had a word with me after I bombed out on Monday. 

I'm calming down, and stepping back, and mental trading to see if I'd get it right.

As usual after a big loss, I'll only dip in with low amounts.

After that I'll probably screw it all up again!

Seriously though, I would have shorted at 35.70 earlier down to 35.30 but only a small amount. I did that in my head, JoeKa did it for real and cashed in!

Played Eur/USD in my head and would have made a single digit profit!

Tempted to long WTI...

Doesn't look like Silver will break 36, however, at the moment, if silver isn't being shafted, that's as good as an up day.. especially in the current market.

Still think it will go down before it goes up. Not sure it will go below 32 as some people suggesting, its shown good support.

I'm still trying to learn charts etc, near term, we've had lower highs, and a few lower lows.

All IMO, of course!

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Any information written above is purely for entertainment purposes only. I will not be held responsible for my own comments as I'm slightly mentally unhinged.
As most people quote a movie in their signature here's one:
"Who's the more foolish, the fool or the fool who follows him?" . Don't be the fool that follows me!

silvernomics
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27.50 - 28.50

pailin wrote:

Glory for -patient- longs. I'm referring to XAG and physical. Can't speak to the miners, not my gig. I still think we've got a setup here to run down to 26-30 before we're "safe" again. Not shorting for that though either. Just sitting on my hands...

I concur, Pailin; that's why I have built a cash position which is going nowhere for the moment. Bit worried it's going to race away per Turk and Sinclair, but presumably this is what you are looking for too:

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Xaritas You said   Getting a

Xaritas

You said

Getting a Twitter account and a client you can always leave running outside of a web browser is extremely helpful, too.

Can you expand on this.  I dont understand.  I am totally not into these social web sites.  What good would it to.  And what do you mean by getting a client outside of a web browser.  what do you mean and how would it help. 

Todays technology has pretty much run away from me.  I am still living in the old days in some ways.  I also do not have a cell phone.  probably would be good to get one for trading in case I have a problem. 

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pailin
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27.5-8.5

Ditto. But I'm also still looking at that lower trendline bottom in case this thing goes more F2008 than most expect. That's where I get 26s from.

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I never buy at the bottom and I always sell too soon. -Baron Rothschild

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Pining 4 the Fjords
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POSX and silver

I find it very interesting that the POSX has gone from 76 to 75.55 in the last 5 hours, yet silver and gold are basically flat over the same time.  Not that long ago, such a drop would have caused significant movement in PMs, but not now... 

So we are either 1. detaching from POSX daily movements, or 2. PMs are treading water and are poised for a drop if the dollar catches a bid.   My money is on the latter as I am short silver at the moment, but would love to hear what you guys think!

Good trading, Pining 

pailin
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backward and loving it

Sockeye wrote:

I also do not have a cell phone.

No cell phone here either. I chose to live in a small town and specifically within walking distance of anything I need (police, fire, library, town hall, post office, etc) if cars/phones are not what we're used to in the future. Anyway, why would I pay an extra bill each month so folks could harass me more often than they do now?

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I never buy at the bottom and I always sell too soon. -Baron Rothschild

Man is a credulous animal, and must believe something; in the absence of good grounds for belief, he will be satisfied with bad ones. -Bertrand Russell

pailin
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canned chickensh!t

Eric Original wrote:

Sounds like we are largely on the same page.  Canned Bacon and musty gold coins not withstanding!  cheeky

I left the door open to be interested in the future :)

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I never buy at the bottom and I always sell too soon. -Baron Rothschild

Man is a credulous animal, and must believe something; in the absence of good grounds for belief, he will be satisfied with bad ones. -Bertrand Russell

NCOT
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Pailins Corner Rocks

pailin wrote:

I chose to live in a small town and specifically within walking distance of anything I need (police, fire, library, town hall, post office, etc)

So if your house is on fire do you walk to the fire station?

Sorry... I'm a sarcastic bastard! blush

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Any information written above is purely for entertainment purposes only. I will not be held responsible for my own comments as I'm slightly mentally unhinged.
As most people quote a movie in their signature here's one:
"Who's the more foolish, the fool or the fool who follows him?" . Don't be the fool that follows me!

silvernomics
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Yes, looks like in the first

Yes, looks like in the first two weeks of August the lower trendline bottom will hit the 138 extension of the takedown move, plus the weekly 100 MA and the lower hypothetical flag line.

pailin
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fire fire!

NCOT wrote:

So if your house is on fire do you walk to the fire station?

Sorry... I'm a sarcastic bastard! blush

No. They'll see it. I'm in line of sight.

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I never buy at the bottom and I always sell too soon. -Baron Rothschild

Man is a credulous animal, and must believe something; in the absence of good grounds for belief, he will be satisfied with bad ones. -Bertrand Russell

CookieMonster
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risk factor

yes risk is high here. last highs too far for a good short. but the reward is going to be amazing once this thing makes up its mind.

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sp001
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armstrong

can anyone pls summarize the whole martin armstrong thing? i keep seeing it mentioned but what is it he is saying, that b/c of pi, we reached the bottom in equities? just tryin to piece it together.

nice to see everyone on the same board, the site is too massive to get through otherwise. anyone notice that yesterday's volume was through the roof but today's is lacking (spy) 

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