Silvercorp Metals, Inc. (SVM) - Aggressive Growth Profile

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tread_w_care
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stink bid price?

stink bid today?  got further to fall?

buy when others are fearful . . .

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tread_w_care
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I can't take it, got to nibble

9.50 is too attractive to me;

taking some nibbles here. 

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ragandbone
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9.16 and still going down !

Looks like we get the gap close today !!!!!

Bastards !!

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Wow, even more attractive

At 9.17; got some stink bids in to see if we can fall below our day high, seeing some support in the high 9.20's-low 30's

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Puregold
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Gap is closed. First tranch

Gap is closed. First tranch of SVM for trading bought at $9.04. It doesn't have to be over. Traders are now salivating at the gap at $8.10, which would make for a nice double bottom. Bulk of cash still sidelined for possible lower prices. I'm in about 25% of position. I won't be looking to buy more until price drops below $8.70ish. If it doesn't get there before 10:30AM tomorrow i'll reaccess and maybe start building on my current position at a different price.

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Crushed!!!

You got to love!  We will be in the single digits P/E ratio any day!  At this point I'm just holding on.  I bought more physical today on the dip, maybe it's too early.  I doesn't matter, I'm pretty sure silver will be much higher in the future.  I'm just going to sit back and watch the excitement.

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Pyrat
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Puregold called it

Good call Puregold. But you should have told me about the collapse in all of the market.

Yeah, what have you done for me lately! Just kidding.

Anyone doubling down yet, or are you waiting to see what Friday brings?

Puregold
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Pyrat wrote: Good call

Pyrat wrote:

Good call Puregold. But you should have told me about the collapse in all of the market.

Yeah, what have you done for me lately! Just kidding.

Anyone doubling down yet, or are you waiting to see what Friday brings?

Silver is a proxy for liquidity in the general market. I put up a silver chart yesterday and mentioned that it wasn't looking good. Silver not looking good means liquidity is not looking good. Liquidity not looking good means step aside before the floor disappears.

Dramatic down days like this that don't include a gap down often lead to gap days the following trading day. The gap can be either way: up or down. This makes for interesting trading. A gap up can provide a nice selling spot and a gap down can provide a decent buying opportunity. Tomorrow is a day to be nimble. At worst it will be a day of gripping spectating. 

ghost
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Hmmm...

EPS came in below analyst estimate for the 2nd quarter in a row.  The market just doesn't seem to be too high on this company even though the company (and many of its shareholders) believe its SP is undervalued.  Hard to explain. 

maravich44
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@ghost SVM

( I own some too)   massive short target for some reason. I am waiting for the "holding a ball underwater" to fulfill.

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Puregold
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One line caught price today.

One line caught price today. If it doesn't hold here price will be looking for $8.10 and then $8.03. If these fall, the lower BB currently at $7.78 and the lower blue trend line will be worth keeping in mind. There are many more trend lines but I'm watching these at the moment. I didn't bother with any upsloping trend lines since the indicators aren't pointing in that direction at the moment. Would like to see lower prices coupled with one or more positive divergences forming on indicators.

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We got our gap today as

We got our gap today as expected. It was up for a .35 pop above yesterday's close, which was nice and tradable. I'm out of the position bought yesterday at $9.04 for a .24 profit as I am expecting the gap up to close and am prepared for lower prices, which appears to be happening now. Good luck.

Pyrat
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low valuation by analysts

ghost wrote:

EPS came in below analyst estimate for the 2nd quarter in a row.  The market just doesn't seem to be too high on this company even though the company (and many of its shareholders) believe its SP is undervalued.  Hard to explain. 

I still don't understand why the PM miners are taking a beating given the current economic news: i.e., going back into recession, high unemployment, European troubles, growing deficits. These are all bullish for the PMs. 

According to Sprott, most PM mining analysts are assuming that the PM prices are artificially high and are using much lower prices (he said silver in the 20s) to value the companies. 

I don't agree with that analysis so I'm bargain hunting at the moment. I'm just a bit afraid of this fall, so I'm still mostly in cash.

mouser
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OK start the buyback anytime.

TSX down nearly 480 as it write, and appears the commodity driven stocks are taking the brunt of the selloff. I dont know if its engineered by the POWERZ , or what, but they are shaking the tree hard. Panic is in the streets, and fundamentals are thrown out the window.

How much worse would the selloff be if they hadnt had record revenues and production?

 Dont think it would have mattered.

Facts... SVM has 230 million$ in the bank, no debt and are unhedged.

They have the lowest costs in the primary silver producers.

They have 100% growth planned in the next 18 months, YES they will have double the revenues ( at current metal prices)

SVM P/E ratio if not the best of the big caps silvers, is certainly in the top 2 or 3.

Here were are , trading at 8$, same as last september with silver under 20$.

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Mouser, I agree with

Mouser, I agree with everything you write. That is why I hold a long-term position, but it is still a very tradable stock. I trade it to make cash to buy physical and to add to my long-term position.

I went in big at the gap close at $8.10 as I mentioned in this thread on August 2 (100% of cash earmarked for SVM + margin up the wazoo). It's a no-brainer trade. A gap close combined with a double bottom. I've already sold most of that position at a sizeable profit that will be used to buy physical. I sold because things are too unstable here. The remainder will be held until a signal either way becomes clearer. SLV still has lower gaps and I'm not seeing enough positive signals to convince me to hold more right now.

Puregold
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something to think about over the weekend

Puregold
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I should maybe point out that

I should maybe point out that I only trade SVM, AGQ and ZSL. Nothing else. I hold other things in my long-term portfolio, but I exclusively trade SVM, AGQ and ZSL. I'm actually more of a gold guy but there is more money to be made trading silver related securities because of the volatility. I never short SVM. It would be like me going to my son's football game and betting against him because I think the other team is the better team. It would be bad mojo. I'm always cheering for SVM, so I am in no way ever encouraging anyone to sell SVM. I've reduced my trading to these three stocks as they have proven to consistently be my best money makers. Spending time watching other stocks looking for trades is essentially a waste of time for me. I watch other things (I've mentioned SLV a few times) to get signals that paint a clearer picture for me of SVM.

I am happy to find this SVM thread here. I have been posting a lot these last few days but don't want to clog this thread if the regulars here prefer it not to be so much about trading. You let me know and i'll zip it.

Tom L
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Puregold wrote: I should

Puregold wrote:

I should maybe point out that I only trade SVM, AGQ and ZSL. Nothing else. I hold other things in my long-term portfolio, but I exclusively trade SVM, AGQ and ZSL. I'm actually more of a gold guy but there is more money to be made trading silver related securities because of the volatility. I never short SVM. It would be like me going to my son's football game and betting against him because I think the other team is the better team. It would be bad mojo. I'm always cheering for SVM, so I am in no way ever encouraging anyone to sell SVM. I've reduced my trading to these three stocks as they have proven to consistently be my best money makers. Spending time watching other stocks looking for trades is essentially a waste of time for me. I watch other things (I've mentioned SLV a few times) to get signals that paint a clearer picture for me of SVM.

I am happy to find this SVM thread here. I have been posting a lot these last few days but don't want to clog this thread if the regulars here prefer it not to be so much about trading. You let me know and i'll zip it.

Nope, don't stop talking.  We all have something to say and can learn from others techniques.  Yours was a very good call.  I should have bought puts when the price was wobbling at $10.50.  Thanks for your time and your work.

Ta,

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TheGoodDoctor
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Agreed. I don't know what the

Agreed. I don't know what the hell you are talking about yet Puregold, but I am trying to learn. (filling the gaps) Everyone is here to learn or help in the learning process. No worries man.

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maravich44
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SVM Wolfgangrene's Charts

Covers and explains Silvercorp with gaps and future projections. Free of charge. Best all.

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